Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#200
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#249
Pace64.4#310
Improvement-0.8#242

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#214
First Shot+1.5#140
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#343
Layup/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#131
Freethrows-2.7#319
Improvement-1.7#312

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
First Shot-4.3#313
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#20
Layups/Dunks-3.4#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#247
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement+1.0#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.2% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 23.1% 27.3% 10.2%
.500 or above in Conference 49.4% 51.9% 41.8%
Conference Champion 4.2% 4.7% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 12.5% 17.3%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.1%
First Round4.5% 4.9% 3.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 75.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 335 New Hampshire W 86-75 85%     1 - 0 -2.7 +8.3 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 11 212 Northeastern L 60-77 64%     1 - 1 -23.3 -10.9 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 15 340 @Army W 75-52 70%     2 - 1 +14.7 +5.2 +11.8
  Sun, Nov 16 162 @Marist W 56-54 30%     3 - 1 +4.7 -2.8 +7.7
  Wed, Nov 19 111 @Penn St. L 80-84 19%     3 - 2 +2.7 +15.4 -13.0
  Sat, Nov 22 280 Boston University L 74-75 64%     3 - 3 -7.3 +1.1 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 26 150 @Boston College L 60-73 28%     3 - 4 -9.5 -3.6 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 289 Bryant W 56-53 76%     4 - 4 -7.1 -8.0 +1.5
  Wed, Dec 3 167 @Massachusetts L 71-78 31%     4 - 5 -4.5 -1.6 -2.7
  Sat, Dec 6 148 @Furman L 69-79 27%     4 - 6 -6.4 -1.4 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 20 288 Holy Cross W 72-65 76%    
  Tue, Dec 23 16 @St. John's L 62-85 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 178 @Colgate L 69-73 34%    
  Mon, Jan 5 265 Dartmouth W 76-70 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 136 @Columbia L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 251 Princeton W 70-65 70%    
  Mon, Jan 19 252 Penn W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 159 Cornell W 81-80 52%    
  Fri, Jan 30 210 @Brown L 64-66 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 77 @Yale L 68-81 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 265 @Dartmouth L 73-74 50%    
  Fri, Feb 13 210 Brown W 67-63 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 77 Yale L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 159 @Cornell L 77-83 31%    
  Fri, Feb 27 251 @Princeton L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 252 @Penn L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 136 Columbia L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.4 5.1 3.8 1.1 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.4 7.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 17.0 3rd
4th 0.3 4.6 8.9 3.6 0.3 17.7 4th
5th 0.3 4.1 8.6 3.0 0.2 16.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.5 3.0 0.1 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.4 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.9 1.3 0.1 7.2 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.4 5.8 10.4 14.5 16.7 16.6 13.7 9.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 85.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
11-3 55.7% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1
10-4 23.4% 1.3    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 4.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 29.0% 29.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 0.8% 23.1% 23.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
11-3 2.5% 19.6% 19.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
10-4 5.8% 13.7% 13.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 5.0
9-5 9.8% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 8.7
8-6 13.7% 9.4% 9.4% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.6 12.4
7-7 16.6% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.1 0.6 15.9
6-8 16.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.6
5-9 14.5% 14.5
4-10 10.4% 10.4
3-11 5.8% 5.8
2-12 2.4% 2.4
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.4 95.2 0.0%