Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.4 162
Expected Predictive Rating -0.3 169
Pace 60.4 358
Improvement +5.6 16

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #138 B- D+ D+ C- C+
Defense C- #228 C C+ C- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 124 58% 175 +1.2 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 226 40% 97 -0.6 212
Three Pointers 41% 173 38% 30 +2.6 93
1st FG Attempt 1.08 88 +3.2 87
Second Chance 25.8% 309 0.98 250 0.25 304
Turnovers 18.5% 285
Freethrows 0.25 331 82% 1 0.21 231
Total Offense +1.0 138

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 68 58% 168 -2.4 264
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 277 39% 211 +1.0 114
Three Pointers 40% 230 33% 160 +1.0 135
1st FG Attempt 1.03 191 -0.4 193
Second Chance 30.3% 173 0.99 120 0.30 142
Turnovers 16.2% 219
Freethrows 0.27 70 73% 233 0.20 89
Total Defense -1.4 228

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.5 119 +0.7 298
Shot Type Accuracy +2.7 91 -0.3 169
Possession Length 18.4 298 18.5 335
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 284 0.15 108
Improvement +3.1 #45 +2.5 #59

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.8% 15.6% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 91.1% 95.4% 73.7%
.500 or above in Conference 98.8% 100.0% 93.7%
Conference Champion 29.3% 33.0% 14.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round14.8% 15.6% 11.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 80.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 35 - 57 - 9
Quad 49 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 317 New Hampshire W 86 - 75 87% -6  14% 1 - 0 -2 B- +5 A+ F B D -7 F C+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 266 Northeastern L 60 - 77 78% -9  22% 1 - 1 -26 F -18 F D- F D- -8 C D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 328 @Army W 75 - 52 74% +9  95% 2 - 1 +16 C+ +2 B+ F F+ A+ +16 B C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 152 @Marist W 56 - 54 37% +1  47% 3 - 1 +5 D -6 D+ D+ F A +11 B A A
 Wed, Nov 19 115 @Penn St. L 80 - 84 27% -2  31% 3 - 2 +2 A +12 A A+ D+ F+ -11 D D+ D
 Sat, Nov 22 295 Boston University L 74 - 75 77% +2  68% 3 - 3 -9 C- -2 B C F D -7 F D+ A-
 Wed, Nov 26 117 @Boston College L 60 - 73 27% -9  1% 3 - 4 -7 D+ -3 C- C C D+ -5 F+ A+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 350 Bryant W 56 - 53 91% +2  52% 4 - 4 -12 F -14 D+ F F+ B- +3 A- D F+
 Wed, Dec 3 170 @Massachusetts L 71 - 78 39% -10  0% 4 - 5 -5 D -6 D D+ C C+ +2 F A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 159 @Furman L 69 - 79 38% -7  6% 4 - 6 -7 D+ -3 C+ F+ B- D+ -4 F F+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 312 Holy Cross W 81 - 53 86% +16  94% 5 - 6 +16 A- +11 B+ A+ F+ B+ +9 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 23 12 @St. John's L 59 - 85 3% -10  30% 5 - 7 -5 D+ -4 B F C C -1 D C B+
 Sun, Dec 28 212 @Colgate W 78 - 69 48% +2  61% 6 - 7 +9 C+ +4 A+ F+ C+ B +6 B C C+
 Mon, Jan 5 225 Dartmouth L 68 - 76 72% -3  3% 6 - 8 0 - 1 -15 D -5 F A C D- -10 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 186 @Columbia W 79 - 54 43% +13  99% 7 - 8 1 - 1 +26 A+ +17 A+ C+ D+ A+ +14 A+ B- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 217 Princeton W 87 - 80 OT 71% -7  13% 8 - 8 2 - 1 +1 A +13 B+ D A+ F+ -12 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 187 Penn W 64 - 63 66% +1  55% 9 - 8 3 - 1 -4 D -5 C D D- C+ +2 C+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 176 Cornell L 79 - 86 64% +2  55% 9 - 9 3 - 2 -11 C +1 D+ B+ C+ F -12 C- D+ C-
 Fri, Jan 30 281 @Brown W 69 - 59 63% +5  80% 10 - 9 4 - 2 +6 B +7 A+ F F C+ +1 B- F D-
 Sat, Jan 31 81 @Yale W 67 - 65 17% +3  68% 11 - 9 5 - 2 +12 B +6 B+ F C+ B +6 B A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 225 @Dartmouth W 71 - 58 51% +6  95% 12 - 9 6 - 2 +12 C +0 B F D+ A+ +13 A- A+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 281 Brown W 69 - 60 80%
 Sat, Feb 14 81 Yale L 70 - 74 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 176 @Cornell L 80 - 82 41%
 Fri, Feb 27 217 @Princeton L 66 - 67 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 187 @Penn L 70 - 72 43%
 Sat, Mar 7 186 Columbia W 73 - 69 65%
Totals 15 - 12 9 - 5 +0 C +1 B- D+ D+ C- -1 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ B B- 41% 18% 41% C+ B- D C- D+ D+ D A+ C- C- C C C C 43% 18% 40% D+ C C C+ C+ C- B- C- B-
1.10 58% 40% 38% +3 0 1.08 26% 1.0 .25 19% .25 82% .21 1.11 58% 39% 33% 0 +1 1.03 30% 1.0 .30 16% .27 73% .18
Nov
9		 New Hampshire B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 17% 30% B A+ F F F B D A- C- D D A+ F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F A F C+ C+ A- F B-
1.23 61% 56% 50% +12 +2 1.28 19% 0.6 .11 13% .29 83% .25 1.07 61% 20% 45% +4 +1 1.11 17% 1.4 .23 20% .18 90% .16
Nov
11		 Northeastern F C F D+ F 36% 19% 45% C- F D F+ D- F A+ A+ A+ D- C A+ F C 41% 20% 39% C+ C D+ D+ D+ F F A- D
0.90 60% 13% 32% -6 0 0.90 28% 0.8 .22 27% .49 83% .41 1.16 57% 10% 45% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 12% .39 61% .24
Nov
15		 Army C+ A A- A- A 35% 26% 40% D B+ D- F F F+ A- A A+ A+ C- F A+ B+ 38% 13% 49% C+ B D+ B- C A+ C A+ B-
1.18 73% 45% 41% +12 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35 0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15
Nov
16		 Marist D F F A+ D 49% 13% 38% A D+ D C D+ F A+ A A+ A A+ D C B+ 42% 19% 40% F+ B C A+ A A D- A+ C-
0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37 0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21
Nov
19		 Penn St. A A D A+ A 38% 13% 49% B- A A- A+ A+ D+ D- A+ C F+ F B+ A- D+ 51% 12% 37% D- D F A+ D+ D F A- D-
1.25 72% 33% 43% +12 +1 1.28 38% 1.6 .58 20% .16 100% .16 1.32 76% 33% 28% +5 +2 1.16 45% 0.9 .41 11% .44 68% .30
Nov
22		 Boston University C- A+ F+ B- B 40% 18% 42% C+ B F A+ C F F B+ F D F F F F 38% 16% 47% C- F A F D+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.16 80% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13 1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08
Nov
26		 Boston College D+ F A+ F C 41% 33% 26% D C- D- A C C F A+ F D+ D+ C+ F F 31% 15% 54% D+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F B
0.93 41% 56% 21% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 15% .11 83% .09 1.13 63% 38% 39% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .17 90% .16
Nov
29		 Bryant F F A+ B+ D- 59% 10% 31% B+ D+ C F F F+ F A+ F B- A+ A+ C A 40% 8% 52% D A- D+ D+ D F+ A+ F A
0.96 41% 60% 40% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.5 .18 17% .04 100% .04 0.91 32% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.75 30% 1.1 .33 17% .15 86% .12
Dec
3		 Massachusetts D D+ A+ F D+ 42% 27% 31% D D B- F D+ C F A F+ C+ D C F F 45% 27% 29% C F A A+ A+ B- C- C C-
0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20 1.07 64% 38% 50% +10 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24
Dec
6		 Furman D+ D+ B- A B- 35% 38% 27% F+ C+ F+ D- F+ B- D- F F D+ F F A+ F 41% 11% 48% D+ F B F F+ B+ F F F
1.01 53% 43% 40% +3 -3 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .19 55% .10 1.16 83% 100% 24% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.5 .39 23% .38 80% .31
Dec
20		 Holy Cross A- B- A- A+ B 62% 13% 26% A- B+ B+ A+ A+ F+ B- A B+ B+ B- B+ A+ A+ 23% 23% 54% C A+ F+ C+ D+ F A D+ A-
1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24 0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13
Dec
23		 St. John's D+ A+ D F B+ 35% 27% 38% D B F+ F F C F+ A+ D+ C B- F F D+ 57% 2% 42% F D F A C B+ B+ D B
0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17 1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25
Dec
28		 Colgate C+ C- F+ A+ A+ 38% 20% 42% C A+ F A F+ C+ F A+ F B D A+ B+ B+ 48% 20% 31% F+ B A F C C+ A- F B
1.13 57% 27% 57% +12 0 1.25 13% 1.3 .17 15% .10 83% .09 1.00 65% 18% 29% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 17% .18 80% .14
Jan
5		 Dartmouth D F C+ F F 49% 9% 42% B+ F C+ A+ A C C C C D- D+ F F F 35% 21% 44% C+ F D+ F F D+ F A+ F
1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20 1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32
Jan
10		 Columbia A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% A- A+ A- D- C+ D+ F A+ C- A+ B+ B- A+ A+ 54% 20% 26% C- A+ D+ A- B- B- B- F C-
1.31 61% 40% 56% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 15% .21 100% .21 0.90 48% 33% 17% -13 +1 0.78 39% 0.7 .28 23% .24 91% .22
Jan
17		 Princeton A D+ B- A+ B+ 48% 13% 39% B B+ B F D A+ B+ A+ A F+ A- F B- B- 37% 10% 53% D- C+ F F+ F F D- D+ F+
1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30 1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28
Jan
19		 Penn D B F C- C 47% 10% 43% A- C D D- D D- F F F C+ B+ F B- B- 40% 21% 38% D- C+ C+ A+ A+ C C D- D+
1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08 1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25
Jan
24		 Cornell C D F B- D 42% 8% 50% B D+ D+ A+ B+ C+ C A+ B F B F F C 47% 9% 45% D C- C+ F D+ C- F F+ F
1.21 55% 25% 38% 0 +2 1.06 27% 1.8 .47 14% .32 83% .27 1.31 55% 75% 43% +8 +2 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 17% .48 81% .39
Jan
30		 Brown B C+ A+ B+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A- A+ F C+ F F A+ A+ A+ C+ C F+ A+ B 44% 16% 40% C- B- C- F F D- F A+ C
1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58 0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18
Jan
31		 Yale B B C- A+ A- 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ D- F F C+ A- A+ A+ B A+ D- F+ A- 48% 13% 40% D- B B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D A
1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30 1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Dartmouth C B A+ C B+ 37% 17% 46% C- B F D- F D+ B A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ 44% 8% 48% F A- A+ A+ A+ F A- F C+
1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29 0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 4.1 12.5 10.5 2.2 29.3 1st
2nd 0.2 11.4 25.9 12.5 1.0 51.0 2nd
3rd 2.4 8.6 1.1 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 3.8 1.1 5.0 4th
5th 0.5 1.3 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.6 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
Total 1.3 7.8 21.2 31.1 25.0 11.5 2.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 2.2    2.2
11-3 91.6% 10.5    6.3 4.2
10-4 49.9% 12.5    4.7 7.4 0.4
9-5 13.1% 4.1    0.3 1.9 1.6 0.3
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 29.3% 29.3 13.5 13.5 2.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 2.2% 28.1% 28.1% 12.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.6
11-3 11.5% 21.2% 21.2% 13.3 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 9.1
10-4 25.0% 18.5% 18.5% 13.8 0.0 1.5 2.6 0.5 20.4
9-5 31.1% 14.6% 14.6% 14.3 0.5 2.3 1.6 0.1 26.6
8-6 21.2% 11.1% 11.1% 14.7 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.1 18.8
7-7 7.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.1 0.1 7.6
6-8 1.3% 1.3
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 14.0 85.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 12.7 40.3 48.4 11.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 1.3%