Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#192
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#244
Pace63.8#323
Improvement+1.4#99

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#205
First Shot+1.0#149
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#334
Layup/Dunks+1.3#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
Freethrows-2.6#321
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
First Shot-2.9#278
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#28
Layups/Dunks-3.4#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#258
Freethrows+1.8#70
Improvement+1.5#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 7.3% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 29.1% 43.1% 20.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.3% 60.0% 50.9%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.5% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 9.0% 13.3%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.7%
First Round5.6% 7.3% 4.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 49 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 335 New Hampshire W 86-75 86%     1 - 0 -2.6 +9.2 -11.8
  Tue, Nov 11 205 Northeastern L 60-77 64%     1 - 1 -22.9 -12.6 -11.2
  Sat, Nov 15 331 @Army W 75-52 69%     2 - 1 +15.7 +6.4 +11.6
  Sun, Nov 16 157 @Marist W 56-54 30%     3 - 1 +5.2 -4.5 +10.0
  Wed, Nov 19 126 @Penn St. L 80-84 24%     3 - 2 +1.3 +15.5 -14.6
  Sat, Nov 22 288 Boston University L 74-75 67%     3 - 3 -7.7 +0.6 -8.3
  Wed, Nov 26 156 @Boston College L 60-73 30%     3 - 4 -9.7 -3.7 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 311 Bryant W 56-53 82%     4 - 4 -8.8 -9.7 +1.5
  Wed, Dec 3 164 @Massachusetts L 71-78 33%     4 - 5 -4.4 -1.3 -2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 148 @Furman L 69-79 28%     4 - 6 -6.1 -0.7 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 20 326 Holy Cross W 81-53 84%     5 - 6 +15.1 +12.7 +6.5
  Tue, Dec 23 19 @St. John's L 59-85 3%     5 - 7 -6.6 -2.3 -5.1
  Sun, Dec 28 181 @Colgate L 68-72 37%    
  Mon, Jan 5 247 Dartmouth W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 142 @Columbia L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 248 Princeton W 70-64 71%    
  Mon, Jan 19 240 Penn W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 159 Cornell W 80-79 53%    
  Fri, Jan 30 226 @Brown L 64-65 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 76 @Yale L 68-80 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @Dartmouth L 72-73 49%    
  Fri, Feb 13 226 Brown W 67-62 67%    
  Sat, Feb 14 76 Yale L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 159 @Cornell L 77-82 32%    
  Fri, Feb 27 248 @Princeton L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 240 @Penn L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 142 Columbia L 70-71 50%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.3 3.1 6.0 4.1 1.3 0.1 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.5 8.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 18.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.8 9.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.2 3.7 8.3 3.0 0.2 15.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 6.8 2.7 0.1 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.7 2.6 0.2 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.3 1.3 0.1 5.9 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.5 9.0 13.4 16.3 17.2 15.2 11.1 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 87.7% 1.0    0.7 0.3
11-3 56.5% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1
10-4 26.6% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
9-5 5.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 34.4% 34.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 1.1% 24.9% 24.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
11-3 3.0% 19.8% 19.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
10-4 6.4% 16.4% 16.4% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 5.4
9-5 11.1% 12.9% 12.9% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 9.6
8-6 15.2% 10.9% 10.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.5 13.5
7-7 17.2% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.1 0.6 16.6
6-8 16.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.2
5-9 13.4% 13.4
4-10 9.0% 9.0
3-11 4.5% 4.5
2-12 1.8% 1.8
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.3 2.7 1.3 94.2 0.0%