Harvard
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#131
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#151
Pace71.5#118
Improvement+1.3#75

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#155
First Shot+4.6#51
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#349
Layup/Dunks-1.5#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#7
Freethrows-0.5#222
Improvement+0.7#100

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#111
First Shot+0.2#162
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#85
Layups/Dunks+0.8#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#123
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement+0.5#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.7% 29.8% 22.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 87.5% 94.4% 82.1%
.500 or above in Conference 84.7% 88.5% 81.7%
Conference Champion 32.4% 37.2% 28.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 1.5%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round25.7% 29.8% 22.5%
Second Round4.3% 5.7% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 7
Quad 49 - 215 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 106   @ Iona L 87-90 OT 32%     0 - 1 +4.2 +2.0 +2.8
  Nov 17, 2021 298   @ Albany W 60-53 74%     1 - 1 +2.7 -6.1 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2021 275   @ Siena L 69-72 70%     1 - 2 -6.2 -7.6 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2021 111   Colgate W 89-84 OT 57%     2 - 2 +5.6 +1.0 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2021 148   Northeastern W 77-57 65%     3 - 2 +18.4 +7.0 +11.3
  Dec 01, 2021 78   Rhode Island L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 04, 2021 116   @ Massachusetts L 78-82 36%    
  Dec 19, 2021 343   Holy Cross W 81-62 96%    
  Dec 21, 2021 310   Howard W 85-71 89%    
  Dec 29, 2021 9   @ Kansas L 67-85 5%    
  Jan 02, 2022 151   Princeton W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 07, 2022 216   Brown W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 09, 2022 121   Yale W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 15, 2022 333   @ Columbia W 78-67 84%    
  Jan 17, 2022 230   @ Dartmouth W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 22, 2022 185   @ Cornell W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 28, 2022 189   Penn W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 04, 2022 216   @ Brown W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 121   @ Yale L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 12, 2022 189   @ Penn W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 18, 2022 333   Columbia W 81-64 94%    
  Feb 19, 2022 185   Cornell W 81-74 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 151   @ Princeton L 71-73 43%    
  Mar 05, 2022 230   Dartmouth W 70-61 76%    
Projected Record 15 - 9 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.6 7.0 10.1 8.2 4.2 1.3 32.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 8.1 8.7 3.1 0.5 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 7.1 5.7 1.0 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 1.0 5.7 4.3 0.6 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.9 0.4 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.4 2.6 0.5 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.2 0.3 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.3 7.7 11.2 13.5 16.0 16.7 13.2 8.6 4.2 1.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
13-1 100.0% 4.2    4.1 0.1
12-2 94.7% 8.2    7.1 1.1
11-3 76.6% 10.1    6.3 3.6 0.2
10-4 42.1% 7.0    2.4 3.3 1.2 0.1
9-5 9.9% 1.6    0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 32.4% 32.4 21.3 8.6 2.1 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.3% 100.0% 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-1 4.2% 99.0% 99.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-2 8.6% 88.4% 88.4% 13.4 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.0 1.0
11-3 13.2% 61.5% 61.5% 14.0 0.1 2.0 3.9 2.0 0.1 5.1
10-4 16.7% 24.5% 24.5% 14.5 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.9 0.2 12.6
9-5 16.0% 3.2% 3.2% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 15.5
8-6 13.5% 13.5
7-7 11.2% 11.2
6-8 7.7% 7.7
5-9 4.3% 4.3
4-10 2.3% 2.3
3-11 0.8% 0.8
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.7 7.6 9.5 4.9 0.4 74.3 0.0%