Princeton
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#151
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#102
Pace65.8#262
Improvement-2.1#325

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#89
First Shot+4.7#46
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#257
Layup/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#9
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement+0.2#149

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#255
First Shot-3.6#284
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#99
Layups/Dunks-5.1#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#245
Freethrows+2.5#42
Improvement-2.3#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 26.5% 19.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 85.4% 93.9% 80.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.6% 83.1% 74.5%
Conference Champion 22.6% 26.9% 20.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.3% 2.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round22.2% 26.5% 19.7%
Second Round2.6% 3.8% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Away) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 56 - 7
Quad 410 - 216 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 98   South Carolina W 66-62 35%     1 - 0 +9.0 +0.5 +8.7
  Nov 14, 2021 94   Minnesota L 80-87 2OT 32%     1 - 1 -1.2 -3.2 +3.4
  Nov 17, 2021 255   Marist W 80-61 80%     2 - 1 +10.9 +11.0 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2021 127   @ Oregon St. W 81-80 33%     3 - 1 +6.5 +18.0 -11.4
  Nov 24, 2021 135   @ Monmouth L 64-76 34%     3 - 2 -6.8 -3.6 -3.7
  Nov 28, 2021 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 89-79 90%     4 - 2 -2.8 +6.1 -9.0
  Dec 01, 2021 133   @ Hofstra L 73-77 36%    
  Dec 04, 2021 169   Drexel W 72-68 66%    
  Dec 07, 2021 291   Bucknell W 81-70 85%    
  Dec 11, 2021 272   @ Lafayette W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 13, 2021 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 02, 2022 131   @ Harvard L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 07, 2022 333   Columbia W 80-64 93%    
  Jan 08, 2022 185   Cornell W 81-76 69%    
  Jan 15, 2022 216   Brown W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 17, 2022 189   Penn W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 230   @ Dartmouth W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 29, 2022 121   Yale W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 04, 2022 185   @ Cornell L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 05, 2022 333   @ Columbia W 77-67 81%    
  Feb 12, 2022 230   Dartmouth W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 18, 2022 216   @ Brown W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 19, 2022 121   @ Yale L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 131   Harvard W 73-71 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 189   @ Penn L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.3 5.6 6.5 5.9 2.6 0.7 22.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 7.5 7.0 2.5 0.2 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 7.9 6.4 0.9 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 7.3 5.0 0.8 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.3 4.7 0.6 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.6 0.7 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.5 0.3 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.3 6.5 10.8 14.3 15.4 16.0 13.5 9.1 6.0 2.6 0.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 2.6    2.6 0.0
12-2 97.1% 5.9    4.9 0.9 0.0
11-3 71.8% 6.5    4.1 2.1 0.2
10-4 41.0% 5.6    1.6 2.8 1.0 0.1
9-5 8.3% 1.3    0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 22.6% 22.6 14.0 6.4 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 100.0% 100.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-1 2.6% 100.0% 100.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1
12-2 6.0% 97.1% 97.1% 13.3 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.2
11-3 9.1% 71.8% 71.8% 13.9 0.2 1.9 2.9 1.4 0.1 2.6
10-4 13.5% 40.2% 40.2% 14.4 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.2 0.3 8.1
9-5 16.0% 6.8% 6.8% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 14.9
8-6 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
7-7 14.3% 14.3
6-8 10.8% 10.8
5-9 6.5% 6.5
4-10 3.3% 3.3
3-11 1.3% 1.3
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 22.2% 22.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.1 6.4 7.9 4.9 0.5 77.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 9.4 0.9 20.8 9.4 9.4 18.9 20.8 18.9 0.9