Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#235
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#274
Pace67.0#252
Improvement-0.8#243

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#261
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#224
Layup/Dunks-8.1#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#67
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot-2.2#250
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#117
Layups/Dunks-2.9#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement-0.9#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.0% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 6.1% 11.6% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 30.8% 36.8% 27.9%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.5% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 25.2% 20.2% 27.5%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.0%
First Round1.9% 2.7% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 32.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 93 - 14
Quad 47 - 510 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 54 @Akron L 69-104 6%     0 - 1 -22.1 -7.8 -11.1
  Tue, Nov 11 307 Bucknell W 73-63 73%     1 - 1 -0.9 -2.9 +2.3
  Sat, Nov 15 19 @Kansas L 57-76 3%     1 - 2 +0.0 -5.6 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 149 @Iona L 69-89 22%     1 - 3 -16.4 -9.2 -5.3
  Thu, Nov 20 195 Northeastern W 70-57 54%     2 - 3 +7.7 -0.9 +9.1
  Mon, Nov 24 122 Bradley L 64-88 24%     2 - 4 -21.0 -6.1 -15.0
  Tue, Nov 25 154 Temple L 75-79 34%     2 - 5 -4.1 +1.5 -5.8
  Wed, Nov 26 167 Vermont L 74-79 37%     2 - 6 -5.9 +4.4 -10.7
  Sun, Nov 30 185 Saint Joseph's L 58-60 40%     2 - 7 -3.7 -6.9 +3.0
  Wed, Dec 3 203 @Monmouth L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Dec 6 262 @Loyola Chicago L 69-71 43%    
  Wed, Dec 10 269 Merrimack W 70-65 67%    
  Mon, Dec 22 154 @Temple L 71-78 25%    
  Tue, Dec 30 167 Vermont L 71-72 48%    
  Mon, Jan 5 237 Penn W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 72 Yale L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 187 @Harvard L 65-71 30%    
  Mon, Jan 19 247 @Dartmouth L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 250 Brown W 67-64 62%    
  Fri, Jan 30 143 @Cornell L 75-83 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 @Columbia L 68-77 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 237 @Penn L 72-75 40%    
  Fri, Feb 13 143 Cornell L 78-80 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 136 Columbia L 71-74 39%    
  Fri, Feb 20 250 @Brown L 64-67 41%    
  Fri, Feb 27 187 Harvard W 68-67 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 247 Dartmouth W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Mar 7 72 @Yale L 67-82 9%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.9 5.0 1.9 0.3 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 4.4 7.2 2.2 0.2 14.4 4th
5th 0.4 4.8 8.8 2.7 0.1 16.8 5th
6th 0.6 5.1 9.0 2.9 0.1 17.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 5.2 8.0 2.9 0.2 17.4 7th
8th 0.5 2.5 5.0 5.3 1.9 0.1 15.3 8th
Total 0.5 2.5 6.1 11.1 15.4 17.1 16.5 13.2 9.0 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 85.2% 0.2    0.2 0.1
11-3 63.4% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
10-4 27.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-5 6.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.3% 13.6% 13.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.9% 16.2% 16.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
10-4 2.4% 12.9% 12.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1
9-5 5.1% 10.3% 10.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 4.5
8-6 9.0% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.3
7-7 13.2% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.7
6-8 16.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 16.4
5-9 17.1% 17.1
4-10 15.4% 15.4
3-11 11.1% 11.1
2-12 6.1% 6.1
1-13 2.5% 2.5
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%