Colorado St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
22  Jerrell Mock JR 31:19
94  Grant Fischer JR 31:48
169  Cole Rockhold SO 32:06
181  Jefferson Abbey SR 32:09
184  Eric Hamer SO 32:10
214  Carson Hume SO 32:16
250  Anthony Laurita FR 32:22
499  Satchel Caldwell FR 32:55
598  Ricardo Kaempfen SR 33:07
668  Justin Weinmeister JR 33:14
National Rank #15 of 312
Mountain Region Rank #5 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 91.9%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 72.7%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 74.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jerrell Mock Grant Fischer Cole Rockhold Jefferson Abbey Eric Hamer Carson Hume Anthony Laurita Satchel Caldwell Ricardo Kaempfen Justin Weinmeister
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 490 31:01 31:39 32:15 32:39 31:57 32:17 32:48 32:25 33:16 33:16
UW Invitational 10/01 591 31:46 31:59 32:11 32:11 32:07 32:19 32:34 33:36 33:02 33:04
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 32:55 32:51 33:36
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 465 31:27 31:29 32:01 34:19 32:04 32:03 32:40
Mountain West Championship 10/28 451 31:23 31:47 32:01 32:04 32:05 32:05 31:45 33:25 33:01
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 427 31:21 31:38 32:06 31:36 32:21 32:37 32:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 91.9% 15.7 419 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.0 2.2 3.3 3.8 5.2 5.5 6.3 5.7 5.5 5.9 6.5 5.5 5.2 5.3 4.4 4.5 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.9 132 0.2 1.4 4.9 25.7 41.9 20.5 5.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerrell Mock 98.6% 27.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 1.6 2.6 2.5 3.0 2.4 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.5
Grant Fischer 93.8% 82.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2
Cole Rockhold 92.2% 132.6 0.1
Jefferson Abbey 92.0% 140.0
Eric Hamer 91.9% 142.3
Carson Hume 91.9% 158.9
Anthony Laurita 91.9% 171.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerrell Mock 6.7 7.1 9.5 9.0 7.9 7.5 5.9 4.8 4.7 4.5 3.6 3.5 3.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0
Grant Fischer 22.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 2.1 1.9 3.2 2.6 3.1 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.9 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.3 3.7 2.7 3.0
Cole Rockhold 33.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.0 1.3 2.2 1.9 2.8 2.4 2.7 2.9
Jefferson Abbey 35.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.7 2.7
Eric Hamer 35.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.4 2.2 2.4
Carson Hume 39.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1
Anthony Laurita 42.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 2
3 4.9% 100.0% 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.9 3
4 25.7% 100.0% 2.4 4.0 4.4 3.8 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 25.7 4
5 41.9% 92.1% 0.8 1.9 3.1 3.5 4.8 3.9 5.3 4.9 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.3 38.6 5
6 20.5% 85.4% 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.0 2.5 2.6 1.7 1.6 3.0 17.5 6
7 5.5% 68.8% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.7 3.8 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 91.9% 0.2 1.4 0.7 3.3 5.9 8.2 8.5 9.2 9.3 7.3 8.5 8.7 7.9 6.6 6.7 8.1 1.6 90.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 2.0 1.4
Tulsa 68.5% 1.0 0.7
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Navy 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 2.0 0.6
Washington 16.7% 2.0 0.3
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.6% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.5
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 19.0