Wisconsin
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
10  Morgan McDonald JR 31:10
44  Malachy Schrobilgen SR 31:33
83  Olin Hacker FR 31:46
149  Joe Hardy JR 32:02
217  Ben Eidenschink FR 32:17
222  Russell Sandvold SR 32:17
324  Oliver Hoare FR 32:35
629  Tyson Miehe SO 33:10
674  Zack Snider FR 33:15
837  Ryan Nameth FR 33:31
1,174  Troy Smith JR 33:58
2,424  Ryan Clevenger FR 36:05
National Rank #13 of 312
Great Lakes Region Rank #1 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.5%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 4.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 37.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 93.1%


Regional Champion 61.7%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Morgan McDonald Malachy Schrobilgen Olin Hacker Joe Hardy Ben Eidenschink Russell Sandvold Oliver Hoare Tyson Miehe Zack Snider Ryan Nameth Troy Smith
Badger Classic 09/23 1127 33:17 33:17 33:38 33:17 34:53
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1126 32:20 33:23 33:31 34:07
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 474 30:50 31:49 32:02 32:03 32:09 33:54
Big 10 Championship 10/30 461 31:20 31:36 31:47 32:15 32:15 32:09 32:31 32:12 32:49
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/11 403 31:28 31:28 31:41 31:49 32:10 32:28 33:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.5% 12.5 359 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 2.3 5.6 5.0 8.1 7.0 7.3 7.8 8.2 7.7 6.1 6.3 5.9 4.9 4.1 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.6 57 61.7 22.1 10.7 4.5 1.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan McDonald 100.0% 15.7 0.4 1.8 3.0 5.1 4.1 4.7 4.3 3.6 4.3 3.6 3.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.1
Malachy Schrobilgen 99.9% 49.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.3
Olin Hacker 99.6% 80.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Joe Hardy 99.5% 122.8
Ben Eidenschink 99.5% 159.5
Russell Sandvold 99.5% 161.7
Oliver Hoare 99.5% 198.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan McDonald 1.0 63.3 11.5 5.8 4.5 2.9 2.1 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Malachy Schrobilgen 3.9 7.3 21.1 14.1 8.0 6.6 6.0 5.2 3.7 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6
Olin Hacker 7.9 0.9 4.6 7.6 9.8 8.0 7.2 6.3 6.5 5.1 5.1 3.9 3.4 3.3 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.1 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.2 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.3
Joe Hardy 15.6 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.9 2.6 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.3 5.0 4.3 4.7 4.9 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.2 2.9 3.1 2.5 1.7 2.2
Ben Eidenschink 24.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.5 2.8 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.7 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.2 3.1 2.9 4.0
Russell Sandvold 23.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.5 3.1 2.4 3.5 3.3 3.7 4.4 4.8 3.4 4.5 3.3 3.6 4.3 3.9
Oliver Hoare 35.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.3 3.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 61.7% 100.0% 61.7 61.7 1
2 22.1% 100.0% 22.1 22.1 2
3 10.7% 100.0% 1.4 2.4 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 10.7 3
4 4.5% 100.0% 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 4.5 4
5 1.2% 56.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 99.5% 61.7 22.1 1.4 2.6 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 83.8 15.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 2.0 1.8
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 68.5% 1.0 0.7
Michigan 66.4% 1.0 0.7
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 2.0 0.6
Indiana 23.1% 1.0 0.2
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 11.2
Minimum 6.0
Maximum 18.0