BYU
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
76  Yesenia Silva SR 19:56
150  Olivia Hoj FR 20:10
153  Erica Birk SO 20:11
162  Laura Young JR 20:12
275  Courtney Wayment FR 20:30
285  Ashleigh Warner JR 20:32
337  Kristi Rush JR 20:38
341  Alice Jensen SO 20:39
560  Natalie Connolly SR 21:02
972  Jennica Barrow JR 21:30
1,006  Emma Gee SO 21:32
1,072  Kelsey Braithwaite SR 21:37
National Rank #18 of 344
Mountain Region Rank #3 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 88.6%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 14.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 54.6%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 89.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Yesenia Silva Olivia Hoj Erica Birk Laura Young Courtney Wayment Ashleigh Warner Kristi Rush Alice Jensen Natalie Connolly Jennica Barrow Emma Gee
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 374 19:49 20:02 19:49 20:08 20:25 20:26 20:08 21:03 21:12 21:13 22:15
Steve Reeder Memorial Invitational 10/07 1163 20:49 21:38 21:15
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1098 20:28 21:03 21:45 21:32
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 545 19:52 20:03 20:57 20:10 20:42 20:19 21:35
West Coast Conference 10/28 426 19:48 20:21 20:04 20:03 20:18 20:05 20:33 20:29 21:08
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 579 20:00 20:18 20:11 20:12 20:39 20:51 21:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 88.6% 18.0 461 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.7 2.6 3.2 3.1 4.8 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.3 5.1 4.4 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.9 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.3 1.4
Region Championship 100% 3.7 124 0.2 20.2 28.7 23.0 17.9 8.1 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Yesenia Silva 89.8% 74.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Olivia Hoj 88.7% 116.8 0.1 0.1
Erica Birk 88.7% 120.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Laura Young 88.7% 124.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Courtney Wayment 88.6% 177.2
Ashleigh Warner 88.6% 181.1
Kristi Rush 88.6% 197.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Yesenia Silva 14.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.0 3.1 3.1 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.9 5.6 6.0 6.5 5.4 5.4 4.7 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.3 2.9 2.8 1.8 1.9
Olivia Hoj 23.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.4 4.4 3.5 4.4 4.8 3.8 4.5 4.2 3.6
Erica Birk 23.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.9 1.6 2.4 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.6 4.3 3.6 5.1 3.7 5.0 4.7
Laura Young 24.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.9 3.5 2.8 3.7 3.8 2.8 4.7 3.6 5.0 4.3 4.3
Courtney Wayment 37.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.4
Ashleigh Warner 39.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3
Kristi Rush 44.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 20.2% 100.0% 20.2 20.2 2
3 28.7% 99.7% 0.4 1.7 2.6 3.9 4.9 5.5 4.1 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 28.6 3
4 23.0% 98.7% 0.3 0.8 2.5 3.1 4.0 4.2 3.2 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.3 22.7 4
5 17.9% 88.2% 0.2 0.5 1.5 1.2 2.7 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.5 2.1 15.8 5
6 8.1% 15.4% 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 6.9 1.3 6
7 1.7% 1.7 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 88.6% 0.2 20.2 0.4 2.0 3.5 6.9 9.5 10.6 11.0 9.0 6.2 4.1 2.8 1.4 1.2 11.5 20.4 68.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Yale 92.0% 1.0 0.9
San Francisco 89.3% 1.0 0.9
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 2.0 0.3
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 2.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.4
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 13.0