BYU
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
29  Rory Linkletter SO 31:24
31  Nicolas Montanez SR 31:25
45  Brayden McLelland FR 31:33
59  Jonathan Harper JR 31:36
92  Clayton Young SO 31:47
99  Spencer Hanson JR 31:50
107  Daniel Carney SO 31:51
108  Dallin Farnsworth SO 31:51
126  Mitchell Briggs SR 31:57
227  Steve Morrin JR 32:18
291  Erik Harris SO 32:28
National Rank #6 of 312
Mountain Region Rank #3 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Nationals


National Champion 7.8%
Top 5 at Nationals 54.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 90.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.7%


Regional Champion 19.5%
Top 5 in Regional 99.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rory Linkletter Nicolas Montanez Brayden McLelland Jonathan Harper Clayton Young Spencer Hanson Daniel Carney Dallin Farnsworth Mitchell Briggs Steve Morrin Erik Harris
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 200 31:20 31:04 31:33 31:14 31:06 32:26 31:41 32:32 31:50 32:37
Steve Reeder Memorial Invitational 10/07 384 31:36 31:39 31:37 32:02 31:38 31:55 31:55 32:24
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 31:36 31:37 31:56 32:26
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 251 31:22 30:59 31:33 31:19 32:11 31:45 31:47
West Coast Conference 10/28 295 31:27 31:38 31:28 31:19 31:40 31:54 32:03 32:00 32:30
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 318 31:17 31:35 31:38 31:40 31:35 32:09 32:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 5.8 217 7.8 11.0 11.8 11.7 12.4 10.8 9.3 6.2 5.7 3.7 2.7 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.5 70 19.5 29.5 37.2 10.5 3.1 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rory Linkletter 99.9% 33.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.9 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.8
Nicolas Montanez 99.9% 35.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.8 2.3 1.9 2.2 1.8 1.7 2.1 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.8
Brayden McLelland 100.0% 51.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0
Jonathan Harper 99.9% 54.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.7 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4
Clayton Young 99.9% 86.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2
Spencer Hanson 99.9% 90.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Daniel Carney 99.9% 93.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rory Linkletter 8.9 1.9 5.4 7.5 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.8 4.9 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.7 3.1 2.3 2.3 1.9 2.4 1.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.2
Nicolas Montanez 9.7 2.4 4.0 5.3 5.5 7.0 6.0 6.3 4.7 5.5 5.1 4.8 4.6 3.4 3.0 3.4 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.7 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.2
Brayden McLelland 12.8 0.4 1.1 2.8 3.4 3.6 4.9 4.3 4.9 6.4 4.9 5.6 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.6 2.7 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.1 1.8
Jonathan Harper 15.2 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.8 2.7 3.5 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.0 4.3 4.6 3.9 4.5 3.6 3.8 3.7 2.8 3.6 2.8 2.8 2.2 2.3 2.3 1.7
Clayton Young 21.8 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.7 2.5 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.6 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.4 3.2 3.5
Spencer Hanson 23.9 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.7 1.6 2.7 2.9 3.2 2.6 3.9 3.7 3.0 2.8 3.8 3.0 3.8 3.0 3.5 3.3 3.2
Daniel Carney 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.4 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 19.5% 100.0% 19.5 19.5 1
2 29.5% 100.0% 29.5 29.5 2
3 37.2% 100.0% 34.6 2.1 0.4 0.2 37.2 3
4 10.5% 100.0% 1.7 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 10.5 4
5 3.1% 98.4% 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 3.0 5
6 0.4% 75.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 99.9% 19.5 29.5 34.6 3.7 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 49.0 50.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Syracuse 100.0% 2.0 2.0
Iona 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Georgetown 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Portland 98.2% 2.0 2.0
UCLA 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 85.2% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 68.5% 1.0 0.7
Virginia 49.8% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 19.0
Minimum 14.0
Maximum 23.0