Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
59  Jordann McDermitt SR 19:45
102  Alsu Bogdanova SR 19:59
225  Natalie Cizmas JR 20:20
348  Sydney Meyers JR 20:36
535  Jenna Wyns SR 20:54
725  Allie Knoll JR 21:10
754  Anna Aldrich SR 21:12
1,246  Tarynn Cullings FR 21:44
1,316  Madison Distelrath FR 21:49
National Rank #31 of 348
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 43.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 12.0%


Regional Champion 0.5%
Top 5 in Regional 51.3%
Top 10 in Regional 99.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jordann McDermitt Alsu Bogdanova Natalie Cizmas Sydney Meyers Jenna Wyns Allie Knoll Anna Aldrich Tarynn Cullings Madison Distelrath
Commodore Classic 09/16 829 20:01 20:09 21:01 21:24 21:01 21:14 21:29 21:54
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 678 19:39 20:10 20:18 21:05 21:34 20:51 21:09 21:52
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 539 19:33 19:43 20:12 20:34 20:50 20:52 21:25
Mid-American Championship 10/28 636 20:08 20:01 20:20 20:29 21:02 21:19 20:46 21:36 21:46
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 526 19:45 19:52 20:22 20:19 20:35 21:17 21:11





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 43.2% 23.5 567 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.3 3.2 3.3 4.3 2.7 3.2 3.3 1.6
Region Championship 100% 5.5 176 0.5 2.1 7.8 17.9 23.1 23.4 15.8 6.6 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordann McDermitt 86.1% 62.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5
Alsu Bogdanova 56.7% 89.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Natalie Cizmas 43.7% 153.2
Sydney Meyers 43.2% 190.6
Jenna Wyns 43.2% 221.1
Allie Knoll 43.2% 237.1
Anna Aldrich 43.3% 238.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordann McDermitt 6.1 5.2 9.3 9.9 8.7 7.5 8.4 7.8 5.1 5.4 4.4 3.8 4.5 3.0 2.2 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5
Alsu Bogdanova 13.6 0.5 2.0 2.6 3.1 4.1 3.9 4.5 3.8 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.8 4.3 3.8 4.8 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.2 2.8 2.6 3.1 2.7 1.7 2.2
Natalie Cizmas 31.7 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.4 3.3
Sydney Meyers 50.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8
Jenna Wyns 69.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Allie Knoll 88.0
Anna Aldrich 90.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 1
2 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 2
3 7.8% 85.8% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 1.1 6.7 3
4 17.9% 65.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 1.5 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 6.3 11.7 4
5 23.1% 51.0% 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.7 2.3 11.3 11.8 5
6 23.4% 39.5% 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.0 1.6 2.7 14.2 9.3 6
7 15.8% 7.9% 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 14.5 1.3 7
8 6.6% 0.8% 0.1 6.5 0.1 8
9 2.3% 2.3 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 43.2% 0.5 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.5 4.7 5.3 5.3 6.2 4.9 6.9 56.8 2.6 40.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 17.5% 2.0 0.3
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 2.0 0.1
Alabama 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0