Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#270
Achievement Rating-2.6#195
Pace56.8#352
Improvement-2.7#330

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#149
First Shot-0.8#204
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#73
Layup/Dunks+1.6#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#75
Freethrows-4.3#339
Improvement-1.0#261

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#341
First Shot-6.4#335
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#210
Layups/Dunks-6.9#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#283
Freethrows+2.3#67
Improvement-1.8#303
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.4% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 28.9% 45.0% 22.8%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 56.6% 45.6%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.8% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 7.3% 11.6%
First Four2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
First Round3.0% 4.3% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Home) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 72   @ Providence L 67-77 8%     0 - 1 -0.1 +9.2 -10.8
  Nov 08, 2018 279   @ George Washington W 69-61 41%     1 - 1 +4.4 +7.0 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2018 277   Norfolk St. W 61-58 52%     2 - 1 -3.5 -3.5 +0.5
  Nov 18, 2018 155   Holy Cross L 45-57 27%     2 - 2 -11.6 -10.4 -5.6
  Nov 21, 2018 149   Lehigh L 69-80 36%     2 - 3 -13.2 +1.8 -16.5
  Nov 24, 2018 166   Colgate L 79-84 40%     2 - 4 -8.4 +9.5 -18.2
  Nov 28, 2018 119   @ Hofstra L 86-94 12%     2 - 5 -1.2 +10.2 -11.2
  Dec 01, 2018 93   Harvard W 67-64 21%     3 - 5 +5.6 +5.2 +0.8
  Dec 05, 2018 152   @ St. Bonaventure L 40-82 18%     3 - 6 -38.3 -23.6 -20.6
  Dec 08, 2018 280   @ Robert Morris W 74-71 41%     4 - 6 -0.8 +12.5 -12.9
  Dec 18, 2018 123   College of Charleston L 62-68 27%    
  Dec 22, 2018 155   @ Holy Cross L 60-69 19%    
  Dec 29, 2018 309   Cal Poly W 69-63 70%    
  Jan 03, 2019 267   @ St. Peter's L 61-64 39%    
  Jan 05, 2019 227   Canisius W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 11, 2019 202   @ Marist L 62-68 28%    
  Jan 14, 2019 305   Monmouth W 68-63 68%    
  Jan 17, 2019 261   Niagara W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 24, 2019 245   @ Fairfield L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 26, 2019 320   Manhattan W 63-56 74%    
  Jan 31, 2019 305   @ Monmouth L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 02, 2019 205   @ Iona L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 04, 2019 245   Fairfield W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 08, 2019 320   @ Manhattan W 60-59 53%    
  Feb 10, 2019 125   @ Rider L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 13, 2019 205   Iona L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 17, 2019 247   Quinnipiac W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 19, 2019 267   St. Peter's W 64-61 60%    
  Feb 24, 2019 202   Marist L 65-66 48%    
  Mar 01, 2019 227   @ Canisius L 64-69 33%    
  Mar 03, 2019 261   @ Niagara L 69-72 38%    
Projected Record 13.6 - 17.4 8.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 4.4 2.5 0.6 0.1 10.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 5.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.1 4.4 0.7 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.0 5.6 1.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.6 2.3 0.1 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.3 7.0 10.1 12.6 14.1 13.7 11.9 9.4 6.6 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.9% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 72.2% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 48.7% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.0% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 31.3% 31.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 24.7% 24.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 19.4% 19.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.0% 14.9% 14.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.7
13-5 3.9% 12.6% 12.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.4
12-6 6.6% 10.9% 10.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 5.8
11-7 9.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 8.7
10-8 11.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.6 11.3
9-9 13.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.2
8-10 14.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.8
7-11 12.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
5-13 7.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.2 95.9 0.0%