Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#271
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#326
Pace67.1#254
Improvement-1.9#333

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#241
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#276
Layup/Dunks+4.6#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#233
Freethrows+0.3#151
Improvement-0.2#193

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#281
First Shot+0.2#167
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#334
Layups/Dunks-3.3#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#189
Freethrows+1.4#114
Improvement-1.7#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 15.2% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 36.4% 53.5% 28.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.6% 78.5% 65.7%
Conference Champion 15.4% 21.0% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.2% 2.8%
First Four7.2% 7.8% 6.9%
First Round8.2% 11.5% 6.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 412 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 75   @ DePaul L 59-70 8%     0 - 1 -1.0 -7.2 +5.8
  Nov 13, 2019 228   @ Fordham L 50-53 30%     0 - 2 -3.6 -15.1 +11.3
  Nov 18, 2019 261   @ Army L 65-81 37%     0 - 3 -18.4 -5.5 -13.4
  Nov 24, 2019 220   @ Lafayette L 71-77 30%    
  Nov 26, 2019 52   @ Notre Dame L 57-75 5%    
  Dec 03, 2019 264   Quinnipiac W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 07, 2019 10   @ Kentucky L 57-83 1%    
  Dec 11, 2019 335   @ St. Peter's W 65-62 62%    
  Dec 14, 2019 210   Princeton L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 21, 2019 204   @ La Salle L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 02, 2020 301   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 04, 2020 259   @ Bryant L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 09, 2020 260   Sacred Heart W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 250   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 15, 2020 243   St. Francis (PA) W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 20, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 79-64 91%    
  Jan 23, 2020 291   @ Merrimack L 64-66 43%    
  Jan 25, 2020 260   @ Sacred Heart L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 30, 2020 331   @ Wagner W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 282   Mount St. Mary's W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 06, 2020 291   Merrimack W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 13, 2020 331   Wagner W 77-69 77%    
  Feb 15, 2020 283   @ Robert Morris L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 18, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-67 79%    
  Feb 21, 2020 250   LIU Brooklyn W 77-75 56%    
  Feb 23, 2020 283   Robert Morris W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 27, 2020 259   Bryant W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 29, 2020 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-67 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 4.3 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.2 15.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.2 4.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.7 4.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.6 1.2 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.0 1.2 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 4.9 1.6 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 2.2 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.5 7.9 9.8 11.7 12.3 12.1 10.9 8.9 6.4 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 97.3% 2.1    2.0 0.1
15-3 89.1% 3.7    2.9 0.7 0.0
14-4 67.2% 4.3    2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 34.5% 3.1    1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.7% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 54.7% 54.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 45.7% 45.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
16-2 2.2% 38.2% 38.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.3
15-3 4.2% 34.0% 34.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 2.7
14-4 6.4% 25.1% 25.1% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.8
13-5 8.9% 19.4% 19.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 7.2
12-6 10.9% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 0.1 1.7 9.2
11-7 12.1% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4 10.7
10-8 12.3% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.0 11.3
9-9 11.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.7 10.9
8-10 9.8% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 9.4
7-11 7.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-12 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.5
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 9.4 88.4 0.0%