Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#310
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#326
Pace67.2#243
Improvement-0.7#210

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#211
First Shot+2.5#98
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#346
Layup/Dunks+3.8#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#162
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement+0.4#150

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#344
First Shot-4.1#308
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#353
Layups/Dunks-3.6#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-1.1#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.1% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.7% 24.7% 7.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.8% 15.6%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 0.9%
First Round1.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 48 - 128 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 61   @ DePaul L 59-70 4%     0 - 1 +0.3 -5.8 +5.7
  Nov 13, 2019 262   @ Fordham L 50-53 27%     0 - 2 -5.7 -16.0 +10.1
  Nov 18, 2019 295   @ Army L 65-81 34%     0 - 3 -20.9 -8.0 -13.4
  Nov 24, 2019 194   @ Lafayette L 75-80 17%     0 - 4 -4.1 +6.0 -10.5
  Nov 26, 2019 55   @ Notre Dame L 66-91 3%     0 - 5 -12.9 +0.0 -13.6
  Dec 03, 2019 237   Quinnipiac W 78-77 42%     1 - 5 -6.0 -0.9 -5.2
  Dec 07, 2019 13   @ Kentucky L 52-83 2%     1 - 6 -13.5 -9.7 -4.9
  Dec 11, 2019 244   @ St. Peter's L 70-86 24%     1 - 7 -17.8 +2.4 -20.7
  Dec 14, 2019 176   Princeton L 65-80 29%     1 - 8 -18.3 -6.0 -13.5
  Dec 21, 2019 173   @ La Salle L 58-66 14%     1 - 9 -5.5 -10.0 +4.3
  Jan 02, 2020 302   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 63-79 36%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -21.5 -14.9 -6.0
  Jan 04, 2020 249   @ Bryant W 77-73 25%     2 - 10 1 - 1 +1.8 +1.2 +0.5
  Jan 09, 2020 208   Sacred Heart L 75-77 37%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -7.8 -1.0 -6.8
  Jan 11, 2020 227   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-84 22%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -14.9 -4.8 -9.9
  Jan 15, 2020 186   St. Francis (PA) L 85-100 30%     2 - 13 1 - 4 -18.8 -0.1 -17.3
  Jan 20, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 79-67 88%    
  Jan 23, 2020 273   @ Merrimack L 62-68 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 208   @ Sacred Heart L 72-81 20%    
  Jan 30, 2020 330   @ Wagner L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 01, 2020 282   Mount St. Mary's W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 06, 2020 273   Merrimack L 65-66 51%    
  Feb 13, 2020 330   Wagner W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 15, 2020 223   @ Robert Morris L 66-74 21%    
  Feb 18, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 21, 2020 227   LIU Brooklyn L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 23, 2020 223   Robert Morris L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 27, 2020 249   Bryant L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-69 31%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.4 2.0 1.1 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.8 1.1 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.5 7.9 2.8 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 9.6 4.9 0.3 19.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.3 9.4 5.5 0.6 0.0 21.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 5.6 6.8 3.7 0.6 19.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.9 6.9 12.7 17.7 19.5 16.9 12.1 6.5 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 81.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 30.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 19.7% 19.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
11-7 2.9% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.2 2.7
10-8 6.5% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.4 6.1
9-9 12.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.5 11.6
8-10 16.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.5 16.5
7-11 19.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 19.3
6-12 17.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.6
5-13 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%