George Mason
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#110
Pace68.4#207
Improvement-4.0#317

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#169
First Shot-2.0#243
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#27
Layup/Dunks-0.3#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#275
Freethrows+0.5#133
Improvement-1.6#258

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#153
First Shot+0.7#134
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#220
Layups/Dunks-2.7#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#77
Freethrows+1.9#61
Improvement-2.4#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.4
.500 or above 85.1% 91.0% 69.8%
.500 or above in Conference 11.8% 15.1% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 2.9% 12.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 72.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 34 - 47 - 13
Quad 411 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 218   Navy W 68-55 OT 75%     1 - 0 +6.8 -2.8 +10.4
  Nov 08, 2019 323   Longwood W 76-65 89%     2 - 0 -1.6 +2.9 -3.8
  Nov 13, 2019 227   LIU Brooklyn W 80-74 76%     3 - 0 -0.6 -0.6 -0.3
  Nov 16, 2019 266   James Madison W 83-70 81%     4 - 0 +4.3 -2.8 +6.0
  Nov 19, 2019 271   Loyola Maryland W 65-61 82%     5 - 0 -5.0 -6.0 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2019 7   @ Maryland L 63-86 5%     5 - 1 -3.9 +0.5 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2019 168   Old Dominion W 60-53 53%     6 - 1 +7.0 -4.2 +11.6
  Nov 26, 2019 120   Nebraska W 85-66 41%     7 - 1 +22.0 +6.9 +13.7
  Nov 27, 2019 95   New Mexico St. W 68-64 32%     8 - 1 +9.4 +7.8 +2.2
  Dec 03, 2019 233   Jacksonville St. W 67-60 76%     9 - 1 +0.2 -4.1 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2019 217   American W 68-53 75%     10 - 1 +8.8 -5.4 +14.9
  Dec 21, 2019 300   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-53 86%     11 - 1 +4.9 -7.6 +12.8
  Dec 30, 2019 67   @ TCU L 53-87 18%     11 - 2 -23.4 -5.6 -22.4
  Jan 05, 2020 45   Virginia Commonwealth L 59-72 25%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -5.2 -8.4 +3.3
  Jan 08, 2020 116   St. Bonaventure L 49-61 50%     11 - 4 0 - 2 -11.2 -19.6 +7.8
  Jan 11, 2020 173   @ La Salle W 76-63 43%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +15.5 +7.9 +7.8
  Jan 15, 2020 191   @ George Washington L 67-73 49%     12 - 5 1 - 3 -5.0 -3.5 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2020 80   Richmond L 87-97 37%     12 - 6 1 - 4 -5.9 +8.7 -13.9
  Jan 22, 2020 198   Massachusetts W 75-69 72%    
  Jan 25, 2020 104   @ Davidson L 64-71 26%    
  Jan 28, 2020 73   Rhode Island L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 01, 2020 116   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 09, 2020 198   @ Massachusetts W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 12, 2020 45   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 15, 2020 191   George Washington W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 19, 2020 80   @ Richmond L 66-75 20%    
  Feb 22, 2020 243   Saint Joseph's W 79-71 77%    
  Feb 25, 2020 9   Dayton L 65-77 13%    
  Feb 29, 2020 90   @ Duquesne L 64-72 22%    
  Mar 04, 2020 92   Saint Louis L 66-68 42%    
  Mar 07, 2020 262   @ Fordham W 62-59 61%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.9 1.0 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 6.0 3.0 0.2 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.9 9.6 5.6 0.8 0.0 21.4 9th
10th 0.2 4.2 10.1 5.9 0.9 0.0 21.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.3 8.0 5.2 0.9 0.0 16.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 5.1 4.4 0.8 0.0 11.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 14th
Total 0.2 1.2 4.6 10.3 17.5 21.2 19.3 13.9 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 42.9% 0.0    0.0
13-5 11.5% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 9.8% 4.9% 4.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.2%
12-6 0.2% 6.8% 3.8% 3.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.1%
11-7 0.9% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.1%
10-8 3.0% 1.6% 1.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
9-9 7.6% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
8-10 13.9% 0.6% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-11 19.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.2
6-12 21.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.2
5-13 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.5
4-14 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 10.3
3-15 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%