George Mason
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#147
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#87
Pace66.2#270
Improvement-1.1#291

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#164
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#111
Layup/Dunks-1.6#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#215
Freethrows-1.3#245
Improvement-1.0#310

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#144
First Shot+3.0#90
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#304
Layups/Dunks-4.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#77
Freethrows+4.2#16
Improvement+0.0#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 6.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 2.5% 0.5%
Average Seed 11.6 10.3 11.7
.500 or above 67.0% 88.7% 66.1%
.500 or above in Conference 44.1% 60.1% 43.5%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.8% 6.9%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round2.0% 6.6% 1.9%
Second Round0.5% 3.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 35 - 57 - 12
Quad 410 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 253   Navy W 68-55 OT 80%     1 - 0 +5.2 -1.8 +7.8
  Nov 08, 2019 254   Longwood W 76-65 80%     2 - 0 +3.1 +1.5 +2.3
  Nov 13, 2019 250   LIU Brooklyn W 80-74 79%     3 - 0 -1.7 -3.1 +1.1
  Nov 16, 2019 239   James Madison W 83-70 78%     4 - 0 +5.7 -1.3 +5.8
  Nov 19, 2019 220   Loyola Maryland W 65-61 75%     5 - 0 -2.2 -4.1 +2.4
  Nov 22, 2019 8   @ Maryland L 59-78 4%    
  Nov 25, 2019 111   Old Dominion L 61-63 41%    
  Dec 03, 2019 226   Jacksonville St. W 73-66 76%    
  Dec 07, 2019 230   American W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 21, 2019 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 67-60 73%    
  Dec 30, 2019 56   @ TCU L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 05, 2020 40   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 08, 2020 144   St. Bonaventure W 66-63 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 207   @ La Salle W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 15, 2020 258   @ George Washington W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 18, 2020 107   Richmond W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 22, 2020 167   Massachusetts W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 25, 2020 62   @ Davidson L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 28, 2020 81   Rhode Island L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 01, 2020 144   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 09, 2020 167   @ Massachusetts L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 12, 2020 40   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-77 12%    
  Feb 15, 2020 258   George Washington W 71-62 78%    
  Feb 19, 2020 107   @ Richmond L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 22, 2020 188   Saint Joseph's W 81-76 68%    
  Feb 25, 2020 57   Dayton L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 96   @ Duquesne L 65-72 26%    
  Mar 04, 2020 115   Saint Louis W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 07, 2020 228   @ Fordham W 62-61 55%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.6 3.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.9 2.0 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 5.0 3.2 0.2 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.4 1.0 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 2.9 4.1 1.4 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.4 1.6 0.1 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.1 3.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.2 5.6 8.4 11.2 13.1 12.5 13.0 10.9 8.0 5.8 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 71.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 30.6% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 73.5% 8.8% 64.7% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 71.0%
16-2 0.2% 57.9% 17.9% 40.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 48.7%
15-3 0.7% 43.3% 20.8% 22.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 28.5%
14-4 1.8% 16.2% 9.4% 6.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5 7.5%
13-5 3.6% 9.6% 7.8% 1.9% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 2.0%
12-6 5.8% 5.3% 5.0% 0.3% 12.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.5 0.3%
11-7 8.0% 4.5% 4.5% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.6
10-8 10.9% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
9-9 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
8-10 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
7-11 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 8.4
4-14 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 5.6
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 97.8 0.6%