Maryland
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.9#10
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#41
Pace72.5#114
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#8
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#15
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3.2% 3.3% 0.7%
#1 Seed 14.1% 14.4% 2.9%
Top 2 Seed 28.9% 29.5% 8.3%
Top 4 Seed 54.8% 55.7% 25.7%
Top 6 Seed 71.7% 72.5% 41.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 90.9% 91.3% 76.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.1% 89.5% 74.9%
Average Seed 4.3 4.3 6.0
.500 or above 97.8% 98.0% 90.0%
.500 or above in Conference 91.2% 91.6% 78.1%
Conference Champion 20.6% 20.9% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four2.0% 1.9% 3.1%
First Round90.0% 90.4% 75.4%
Second Round74.0% 74.6% 54.7%
Sweet Sixteen46.8% 47.4% 28.1%
Elite Eight26.6% 27.0% 13.2%
Final Four14.0% 14.3% 4.5%
Championship Game7.2% 7.3% 1.3%
National Champion3.5% 3.6% 0.5%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 97.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 6
Quad 26 - 113 - 8
Quad 35 - 018 - 8
Quad 45 - 023 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 313   Holy Cross W 95-71 99%     1 - 0 +11.2 +7.4 +1.8
  Nov 09, 2019 92   Rhode Island W 73-55 90%     2 - 0 +20.6 -0.4 +20.3
  Nov 16, 2019 168   Oakland W 81-61 97%    
  Nov 19, 2019 280   Fairfield W 80-54 99%    
  Nov 22, 2019 149   George Mason W 82-63 96%    
  Nov 28, 2019 93   Temple W 78-67 85%    
  Dec 04, 2019 34   Notre Dame W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 07, 2019 54   Illinois W 82-71 84%    
  Dec 10, 2019 25   @ Penn St. W 75-74 54%    
  Dec 19, 2019 19   @ Seton Hall W 75-74 50%    
  Dec 29, 2019 259   Bryant W 89-64 98%    
  Jan 04, 2020 45   Indiana W 78-68 80%    
  Jan 07, 2020 9   Ohio St. W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 10, 2020 60   @ Iowa W 82-77 68%    
  Jan 14, 2020 38   @ Wisconsin W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 18, 2020 18   Purdue W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 21, 2020 111   @ Northwestern W 73-62 82%    
  Jan 26, 2020 45   @ Indiana W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 30, 2020 60   Iowa W 85-74 84%    
  Feb 04, 2020 78   Rutgers W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 07, 2020 54   @ Illinois W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 11, 2020 147   Nebraska W 79-60 95%    
  Feb 15, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 18, 2020 111   Northwestern W 76-59 92%    
  Feb 23, 2020 9   @ Ohio St. L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 26, 2020 68   @ Minnesota W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 29, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 73-74 46%    
  Mar 03, 2020 78   @ Rutgers W 73-66 72%    
  Mar 08, 2020 28   Michigan W 72-65 74%    
Projected Record 22 - 7 14 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.9 6.1 5.1 2.7 0.7 20.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.2 6.2 5.8 2.9 0.5 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 3.4 6.3 4.6 1.5 0.2 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 4.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 3.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.2 3.8 5.9 7.8 9.9 11.7 13.3 13.0 11.3 9.2 5.6 2.7 0.7 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 100.0% 2.7    2.6 0.1
18-2 90.8% 5.1    4.0 1.1 0.0
17-3 66.9% 6.1    3.6 2.2 0.3
16-4 34.9% 3.9    1.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
15-5 12.2% 1.6    0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.6% 20.6 13.0 5.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 100.0% 52.7% 47.3% 1.1 0.7 0.1 100.0%
19-1 2.7% 100.0% 47.9% 52.1% 1.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 5.6% 100.0% 40.0% 60.0% 1.4 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 100.0%
17-3 9.2% 100.0% 31.1% 68.9% 1.8 3.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 100.0%
16-4 11.3% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 2.3 2.6 4.2 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 100.0%
15-5 13.0% 100.0% 20.4% 79.6% 3.2 1.0 3.0 4.2 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 13.3% 99.8% 14.0% 85.8% 4.2 0.3 1.2 3.1 4.0 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 11.7% 99.4% 10.7% 88.6% 5.2 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 2.7 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
12-8 9.9% 97.6% 6.5% 91.2% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.5%
11-9 7.8% 92.0% 4.9% 87.2% 7.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 91.6%
10-10 5.9% 74.0% 2.6% 71.5% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.5 73.3%
9-11 3.8% 43.2% 2.1% 41.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 2.2 41.9%
8-12 2.2% 18.7% 3.0% 15.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8 16.2%
7-13 1.5% 4.0% 0.7% 3.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 3.4%
6-14 0.8% 0.8
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 90.9% 16.6% 74.3% 4.3 14.1 14.8 13.6 12.3 9.0 7.8 5.7 4.6 3.4 2.7 2.5 0.4 9.1 89.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.1 89.6 10.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 90.5 9.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 90.5 9.5