Maryland
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.2#7
Expected Predictive Rating+16.0#15
Pace68.4#207
Improvement-1.8#258

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#44
First Shot+3.2#82
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#41
Layup/Dunks+2.9#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#152
Freethrows+3.8#9
Improvement-2.8#310

Defense
Total Defense+10.8#3
First Shot+8.6#9
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#25
Layups/Dunks+5.7#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
Freethrows+4.2#5
Improvement+0.9#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.1% 2.5% 0.5%
#1 Seed 11.6% 13.4% 5.0%
Top 2 Seed 31.0% 34.8% 16.9%
Top 4 Seed 70.7% 74.8% 55.2%
Top 6 Seed 89.1% 91.3% 80.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.3% 98.7% 96.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.9% 98.4% 96.1%
Average Seed 3.7 3.5 4.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 92.9% 95.4% 83.2%
Conference Champion 17.3% 20.0% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 1.4%
First Round98.0% 98.5% 96.0%
Second Round83.9% 85.5% 78.0%
Sweet Sixteen53.9% 55.7% 47.1%
Elite Eight29.3% 30.7% 24.0%
Final Four14.9% 15.8% 11.8%
Championship Game7.5% 8.0% 5.4%
National Champion3.5% 3.8% 2.2%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 78.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b5 - 19 - 9
Quad 26 - 015 - 9
Quad 34 - 019 - 10
Quad 44 - 024 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 339   Holy Cross W 95-71 99%     1 - 0 +8.2 +3.7 +2.5
  Nov 09, 2019 72   Rhode Island W 73-55 86%     2 - 0 +22.6 +1.7 +20.1
  Nov 16, 2019 208   Oakland W 80-50 97%     3 - 0 +24.2 +6.4 +18.2
  Nov 19, 2019 253   Fairfield W 74-55 98%     4 - 0 +11.0 +8.4 +4.6
  Nov 22, 2019 153   George Mason W 86-63 95%     5 - 0 +20.8 +9.3 +10.8
  Nov 28, 2019 83   Temple W 76-69 82%     6 - 0 +13.5 +8.4 +4.9
  Nov 29, 2019 97   Harvard W 80-73 85%     7 - 0 +12.1 +0.1 +11.2
  Dec 01, 2019 27   Marquette W 84-63 64%     8 - 0 +33.6 +14.1 +18.9
  Dec 04, 2019 54   Notre Dame W 72-51 82%     9 - 0 +27.4 +2.6 +25.1
  Dec 07, 2019 34   Illinois W 59-58 76%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +9.9 -6.6 +16.5
  Dec 10, 2019 30   @ Penn St. L 69-76 54%     10 - 1 1 - 1 +8.2 +0.5 +7.9
  Dec 19, 2019 9   @ Seton Hall L 48-52 41%     10 - 2 +14.6 -12.2 +26.5
  Dec 29, 2019 248   Bryant W 84-70 98%     11 - 2 +6.2 +9.9 -3.3
  Jan 04, 2020 41   Indiana W 75-59 78%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +24.1 +8.1 +16.1
  Jan 07, 2020 13   Ohio St. W 67-55 66%     13 - 2 3 - 1 +23.8 +2.1 +22.1
  Jan 10, 2020 16   @ Iowa L 49-67 46%     13 - 3 3 - 2 -0.8 -19.0 +18.2
  Jan 14, 2020 24   @ Wisconsin L 54-56 51%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +13.9 +4.0 +9.5
  Jan 18, 2020 20   Purdue W 57-50 70%     14 - 4 4 - 3 +17.9 +5.9 +13.7
  Jan 21, 2020 103   @ Northwestern W 69-60 79%    
  Jan 26, 2020 41   @ Indiana W 67-65 59%    
  Jan 30, 2020 16   Iowa W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 04, 2020 31   Rutgers W 67-60 74%    
  Feb 07, 2020 34   @ Illinois W 68-66 55%    
  Feb 11, 2020 121   Nebraska W 78-62 94%    
  Feb 15, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 18, 2020 103   Northwestern W 71-57 91%    
  Feb 23, 2020 13   @ Ohio St. L 64-65 44%    
  Feb 26, 2020 38   @ Minnesota W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 29, 2020 4   Michigan St. W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 03, 2020 31   @ Rutgers W 64-63 54%    
  Mar 08, 2020 22   Michigan W 70-64 71%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.7 5.7 6.2 3.1 0.6 17.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.9 9.4 8.0 2.4 0.2 21.8 2nd
3rd 0.5 7.1 7.1 1.4 0.1 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 7.8 1.5 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.8 2.7 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 4.7 0.4 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.6 1.5 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 2.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 0.9 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.1 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.8 10.0 15.6 20.0 19.7 15.1 8.6 3.3 0.6 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-4 95.2% 3.1    2.7 0.4 0.0
15-5 71.6% 6.2    3.8 2.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 37.7% 5.7    1.7 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-7 8.5% 1.7    0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.3% 17.3 9.0 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 39.6% 60.4% 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.3% 100.0% 32.4% 67.6% 1.4 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 8.6% 100.0% 29.2% 70.8% 1.7 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.1 100.0%
14-6 15.1% 100.0% 24.7% 75.3% 2.2 3.3 6.8 4.0 0.9 0.1 100.0%
13-7 19.7% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.9 1.4 5.4 8.3 3.9 0.7 0.1 100.0%
12-8 20.0% 100.0% 13.5% 86.5% 3.7 0.3 2.0 6.7 6.7 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-9 15.6% 99.9% 8.9% 91.0% 4.7 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 4.7 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
10-10 10.0% 99.2% 6.8% 92.4% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.2 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.2%
9-11 4.8% 89.4% 3.9% 85.5% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 89.0%
8-12 1.7% 63.1% 3.3% 59.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 61.8%
7-13 0.5% 21.0% 1.6% 19.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 19.8%
6-14 0.1% 4.3% 4.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.3%
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 98.3% 16.5% 81.8% 3.7 11.6 19.4 22.8 16.9 11.4 7.0 3.7 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 1.7 97.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.1 86.3 13.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.2 77.6 22.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.2 82.3 17.7