High Point
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#342
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#324
Pace65.5#282
Improvement+1.5#114

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#329
First Shot-6.5#331
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#178
Layup/Dunks-3.9#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#290
Freethrows+2.3#34
Improvement+2.6#42

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#334
First Shot-6.1#336
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#203
Layups/Dunks+0.2#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#344
Freethrows-2.2#297
Improvement-1.1#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 11.4% 2.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.7% 32.6% 59.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 42.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 80 - 13
Quad 46 - 117 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 143   William & Mary L 56-70 14%     0 - 1 -15.4 -22.5 +7.9
  Nov 09, 2019 138   @ Wofford L 61-89 6%     0 - 2 -23.3 -8.6 -16.3
  Nov 13, 2019 155   @ Boston College L 33-59 7%     0 - 3 -22.2 -36.0 +14.5
  Nov 18, 2019 88   @ Belmont L 51-90 3%     0 - 4 -30.1 -22.1 -4.9
  Nov 20, 2019 91   @ Saint Louis L 55-67 3%     0 - 5 -3.5 -7.3 +3.0
  Nov 23, 2019 188   Eastern Washington L 74-90 20%     0 - 6 -20.2 -7.6 -11.7
  Dec 02, 2019 168   @ North Florida L 70-93 8%     0 - 7 -20.2 -4.9 -15.6
  Dec 05, 2019 314   Elon W 70-66 OT 47%     1 - 7 -8.2 -8.9 +0.7
  Dec 14, 2019 178   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-81 8%     1 - 8 -14.7 -1.3 -14.8
  Dec 18, 2019 169   Valparaiso L 72-87 18%     1 - 9 -18.1 +2.1 -21.2
  Dec 30, 2019 54   @ Texas L 58-89 2%     1 - 10 -18.8 -7.2 -11.5
  Jan 04, 2020 140   @ Radford L 62-73 6%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -6.5 -1.8 -6.2
  Jan 08, 2020 141   Winthrop L 57-79 14%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -23.3 -18.1 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2020 324   @ Presbyterian L 62-77 29%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -22.2 -12.4 -10.5
  Jan 16, 2020 267   @ UNC Asheville W 68-66 17%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -1.0 -6.2 +5.2
  Jan 18, 2020 301   Charleston Southern L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 20, 2020 311   @ South Carolina Upstate L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 23, 2020 231   Gardner-Webb L 64-70 28%    
  Jan 25, 2020 318   Longwood L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 30, 2020 261   @ Campbell L 59-69 17%    
  Feb 06, 2020 329   Hampton W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 140   Radford L 60-72 14%    
  Feb 10, 2020 231   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-73 13%    
  Feb 13, 2020 301   @ Charleston Southern L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 311   South Carolina Upstate L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 20, 2020 324   Presbyterian L 67-68 50%    
  Feb 22, 2020 318   @ Longwood L 64-70 28%    
  Feb 27, 2020 267   UNC Asheville L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 29, 2020 141   @ Winthrop L 64-82 6%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 3.6 0.5 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.1 1.6 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 5.6 4.3 0.2 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 5.3 7.7 1.0 0.0 14.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.3 9.6 2.9 0.1 20.0 10th
11th 1.2 5.6 10.6 10.8 4.1 0.2 32.4 11th
Total 1.2 5.6 11.8 17.5 19.7 17.3 12.5 8.1 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-8 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
9-9 4.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 3.9
8-10 8.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.0
7-11 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-12 17.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.3
5-13 19.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.6
4-14 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-15 11.8% 11.8
2-16 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%