High Point
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#330
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#300
Pace69.9#175
Improvement-0.6#258

Offense
Total Offense-9.3#346
First Shot-10.3#346
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#127
Layup/Dunks-8.0#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#348
Freethrows+6.0#6
Improvement-1.3#325

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot-1.0#199
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#239
Layups/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#285
Freethrows+0.5#164
Improvement+0.7#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 7.3% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 14.4% 28.0% 13.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 15.5% 27.2%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 47 - 107 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 153   William & Mary L 56-70 20%     0 - 1 -16.5 -22.8 +7.0
  Nov 09, 2019 125   @ Wofford L 61-89 7%     0 - 2 -22.7 -9.9 -14.4
  Nov 13, 2019 97   @ Boston College L 33-59 5%     0 - 3 -18.0 -36.5 +19.2
  Nov 18, 2019 55   @ Belmont L 51-90 2%     0 - 4 -26.7 -24.0 +0.4
  Nov 20, 2019 115   @ Saint Louis L 57-74 5%    
  Nov 23, 2019 201   Eastern Washington L 68-74 28%    
  Dec 02, 2019 158   @ North Florida L 64-79 9%    
  Dec 05, 2019 312   Elon W 67-66 54%    
  Dec 14, 2019 176   @ Florida Atlantic L 58-72 11%    
  Dec 18, 2019 177   Valparaiso L 64-72 25%    
  Dec 30, 2019 23   @ Texas L 50-78 1%    
  Jan 04, 2020 108   @ Radford L 55-73 5%    
  Jan 08, 2020 145   Winthrop L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 11, 2020 316   @ Presbyterian L 64-68 34%    
  Jan 16, 2020 279   @ UNC Asheville L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 18, 2020 303   Charleston Southern W 67-66 49%    
  Jan 20, 2020 344   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 23, 2020 199   Gardner-Webb L 63-69 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 254   Longwood L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 30, 2020 261   @ Campbell L 62-71 22%    
  Feb 06, 2020 259   Hampton L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 08, 2020 108   Radford L 58-70 15%    
  Feb 10, 2020 199   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-72 15%    
  Feb 13, 2020 303   @ Charleston Southern L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 15, 2020 344   South Carolina Upstate W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 20, 2020 316   Presbyterian W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 22, 2020 254   @ Longwood L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 27, 2020 279   UNC Asheville L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 29, 2020 145   @ Winthrop L 60-76 9%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.4 0.6 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 6.3 4.8 1.0 0.1 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 7.2 5.1 1.1 0.0 18.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.3 7.3 4.5 0.9 0.0 19.6 10th
11th 1.0 3.5 5.5 4.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 17.5 11th
Total 1.0 3.6 7.0 10.9 13.8 14.6 14.1 11.5 9.1 6.4 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 73.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 45.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.0% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9
11-7 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.2
10-8 3.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.8
9-9 6.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.3
8-10 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
7-11 11.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.1
5-13 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.6
4-14 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.8
3-15 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.9
2-16 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%