Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.2#349
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#308
Pace65.3#295
Improvement-0.3#214

Offense
Total Offense-24.2#353
First Shot-19.7#353
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#340
Layup/Dunks-5.8#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#289
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#323
Freethrows-4.8#340
Improvement-0.7#283

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#27
First Shot+6.1#35
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#140
Layups/Dunks+2.5#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows+2.9#45
Improvement+0.4#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 5.9% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 4.0% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 20.2% 33.4% 20.1%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.7% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 33.1% 18.3% 33.2%
First Four1.5% 4.6% 1.5%
First Round0.5% 4.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 46 - 146 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 28   @ Penn St. L 46-84 1%     0 - 1 -22.5 -18.1 -4.8
  Nov 10, 2019 80   @ Liberty L 55-66 1%     0 - 2 -1.2 -4.2 +1.1
  Nov 12, 2019 254   @ Longwood L 55-85 8%     0 - 3 -32.0 -20.3 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2019 212   @ Morehead St. L 53-76 6%     0 - 4 -22.7 -23.7 +2.0
  Nov 19, 2019 83   @ Stanford L 40-67 1%    
  Nov 21, 2019 38   @ Oklahoma L 38-70 0.1%   
  Nov 26, 2019 124   Wofford L 47-64 6%    
  Nov 29, 2019 181   @ Delaware L 42-61 4%    
  Dec 01, 2019 232   @ Fordham L 38-55 6%    
  Dec 03, 2019 19   @ Baylor L 39-73 0.1%   
  Dec 17, 2019 240   @ East Carolina L 46-62 7%    
  Dec 19, 2019 214   @ Charlotte L 41-58 6%    
  Dec 22, 2019 114   @ Old Dominion L 36-59 2%    
  Dec 29, 2019 62   @ Virginia Tech L 35-64 0.4%   
  Jan 04, 2020 347   Howard W 60-59 52%    
  Jan 11, 2020 324   N.C. A&T L 50-54 37%    
  Jan 13, 2020 322   NC Central L 49-53 37%    
  Jan 18, 2020 307   @ Norfolk St. L 48-59 18%    
  Jan 20, 2020 326   @ South Carolina St. L 51-60 21%    
  Jan 27, 2020 306   Morgan St. L 53-58 34%    
  Feb 03, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. L 41-45 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 306   @ Morgan St. L 50-61 17%    
  Feb 10, 2020 331   @ Coppin St. L 54-63 22%    
  Feb 15, 2020 337   Bethune-Cookman L 54-56 42%    
  Feb 17, 2020 341   Florida A&M L 51-52 46%    
  Feb 22, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 46-56 20%    
  Feb 24, 2020 324   @ N.C. A&T L 47-57 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 44-42 58%    
  Mar 02, 2020 347   @ Howard L 57-62 33%    
  Mar 05, 2020 331   Coppin St. L 57-60 40%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.0 1.6 0.2 5.6 5th
6th 0.4 3.4 3.3 0.3 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.6 0.7 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.3 1.9 0.1 12.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.8 2.9 0.2 14.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.5 7.6 3.7 0.5 17.8 10th
11th 1.0 3.8 6.8 6.7 3.4 0.5 22.1 11th
Total 1.0 3.9 8.2 11.9 15.1 14.9 13.8 10.9 8.4 5.5 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 94.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 84.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 56.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 19.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.2% 36.0% 36.0% 16.0 0.1 0.1
13-3 0.3% 30.6% 30.6% 16.0 0.1 0.2
12-4 1.0% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.1 0.8
11-5 1.7% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.1 1.5
10-6 3.3% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.2 3.0
9-7 5.5% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.3 5.2
8-8 8.4% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 8.1
7-9 10.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-10 13.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.7
5-11 14.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.9
4-12 15.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.1
3-13 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
2-14 8.2% 8.2
1-15 3.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.9
0-16 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%