Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#331
Pace72.0#111
Improvement+2.3#73

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#261
First Shot-2.1#248
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#236
Layup/Dunks-5.2#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#53
Freethrows-2.2#320
Improvement+2.9#40

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#293
First Shot-4.8#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#116
Layups/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#287
Freethrows-1.3#255
Improvement-0.6#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 59.2% 39.3% 63.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Away) - 16.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 141 - 18
Quad 42 - 34 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 265   @ Lipscomb W 73-70 35%     1 - 0 +0.0 -10.3 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2019 159   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-93 16%     1 - 1 -17.5 -8.5 -6.6
  Nov 21, 2019 23   Villanova L 69-98 4%     1 - 2 -15.6 -2.9 -11.2
  Nov 22, 2019 160   Tulane L 74-86 24%     1 - 3 -11.5 -1.1 -10.2
  Nov 24, 2019 207   Ohio L 63-75 35%     1 - 4 -14.9 -15.0 +0.6
  Nov 30, 2019 88   Belmont L 59-71 17%     1 - 5 -8.9 -11.2 +1.9
  Dec 07, 2019 124   @ Murray St. L 52-85 12%     1 - 6 -27.4 -19.9 -6.6
  Dec 14, 2019 101   @ Mississippi L 64-82 9%     1 - 7 -10.4 -5.5 -4.8
  Dec 21, 2019 107   St. Bonaventure L 65-66 21%     1 - 8 +0.4 -1.9 +2.2
  Dec 29, 2019 69   Rhode Island L 62-89 14%     1 - 9 -22.2 -10.1 -10.4
  Jan 02, 2020 170   @ Old Dominion L 60-70 18%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -7.4 -3.6 -4.2
  Jan 04, 2020 171   @ Charlotte L 62-68 18%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -3.4 -4.4 +0.9
  Jan 09, 2020 158   Marshall L 75-79 33%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -6.3 -2.8 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2020 111   Western Kentucky L 53-69 22%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -14.9 -21.3 +6.3
  Jan 16, 2020 178   @ Florida Atlantic L 94-97 OT 19%     1 - 14 0 - 5 -0.7 +11.2 -11.5
  Jan 18, 2020 163   @ Florida International L 75-85 16%    
  Jan 23, 2020 86   Louisiana Tech L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 25, 2020 278   Southern Miss W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 30, 2020 147   @ UTEP L 61-72 15%    
  Feb 01, 2020 177   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-83 19%    
  Feb 06, 2020 94   North Texas L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 08, 2020 219   Rice L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 12, 2020 174   @ UAB L 61-70 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 174   UAB L 64-68 38%    
Projected Record 4 - 20 3 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.4 2.2 0.4 3.0 10th
11th 0.3 3.3 2.4 0.1 6.0 11th
12th 0.7 5.7 7.2 0.9 14.5 12th
13th 2.7 12.8 14.7 3.4 0.0 33.7 13th
14th 5.8 15.8 14.1 3.9 0.2 39.7 14th
Total 5.8 18.5 27.7 24.6 14.5 6.4 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0% 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.1
7-7 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-8 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-9 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-10 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-11 24.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.6
2-12 27.7% 27.7
1-13 18.5% 18.5
0-14 5.8% 5.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.8%