Brown
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#196
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#192
Pace73.1#81
Improvement+2.2#70

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#228
First Shot-4.3#301
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#27
Layup/Dunks-2.3#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#323
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement+1.2#106

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#176
First Shot-2.7#259
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#33
Layups/Dunks-1.6#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#90
Freethrows-1.9#286
Improvement+1.0#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 5.5% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 32.2% 52.3% 24.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.1% 60.9% 32.3%
Conference Champion 2.0% 5.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 7.2% 18.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round3.3% 5.5% 2.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 48 - 412 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 231   @ Bryant W 73-71 45%     1 - 0 +0.8 -1.0 +1.9
  Nov 09, 2019 239   Canisius W 75-68 68%     2 - 0 -0.2 -6.1 +5.4
  Nov 13, 2019 210   Quinnipiac W 70-68 63%     3 - 0 -3.8 -10.0 +6.1
  Nov 19, 2019 204   @ Sacred Heart L 63-84 40%     3 - 1 -20.8 -14.4 -5.6
  Nov 23, 2019 260   NJIT W 79-63 72%     4 - 1 +7.6 +4.4 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2019 272   @ Umass Lowell L 63-75 54%     4 - 2 -15.2 -16.5 +1.7
  Nov 30, 2019 217   Navy L 56-76 65%     4 - 3 -26.2 -16.1 -11.3
  Dec 04, 2019 281   Merrimack W 82-55 76%     5 - 3 +17.3 +5.5 +11.7
  Dec 07, 2019 136   @ Stony Brook L 63-79 25%     5 - 4 -11.2 -7.1 -3.9
  Dec 10, 2019 77   @ St. John's L 71-82 13%     5 - 5 -1.1 +5.1 -6.2
  Dec 28, 2019 2   @ Duke L 50-75 2%     5 - 6 -1.1 -10.0 +8.2
  Jan 02, 2020 73   Rhode Island W 85-75 26%     6 - 6 +14.4 +8.6 +4.9
  Jan 17, 2020 72   @ Yale L 56-70 12%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -3.7 -10.2 +6.8
  Jan 24, 2020 72   Yale L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 31, 2020 283   Cornell W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 01, 2020 249   Columbia W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 07, 2020 211   Dartmouth W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 08, 2020 94   Harvard L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 14, 2020 151   @ Penn L 71-77 27%    
  Feb 15, 2020 176   @ Princeton L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 21, 2020 249   @ Columbia L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 22, 2020 283   @ Cornell W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 28, 2020 176   Princeton W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 151   Penn L 74-75 49%    
  Mar 06, 2020 94   @ Harvard L 66-77 16%    
  Mar 07, 2020 211   @ Dartmouth L 66-68 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.3 6.7 3.5 0.5 14.3 3rd
4th 0.3 4.3 9.0 3.8 0.3 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.5 5.2 9.8 3.7 0.3 19.4 5th
6th 0.6 4.9 9.0 3.3 0.2 17.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.2 2.5 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.1 1.1 0.1 8.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.4 7.9 12.7 17.1 17.8 16.2 12.2 7.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 87.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1
11-3 60.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
10-4 24.1% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-5 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.3% 27.8% 27.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
11-3 1.1% 16.2% 16.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
10-4 3.2% 12.8% 12.8% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.8
9-5 7.2% 11.5% 11.5% 14.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.4
8-6 12.2% 8.7% 8.7% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 11.1
7-7 16.2% 3.9% 3.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 15.6
6-8 17.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 17.7
5-9 17.1% 17.1
4-10 12.7% 12.7
3-11 7.9% 7.9
2-12 3.4% 3.4
1-13 0.9% 0.9
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 14.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 0.3 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%