Brown
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#186
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#78
Pace75.9#54
Improvement-0.9#296

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#240
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#131
Layup/Dunks-0.4#187
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#295
Freethrows+3.6#34
Improvement-0.6#275

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#144
First Shot+1.1#135
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#207
Layups/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#33
Freethrows-1.8#264
Improvement-0.3#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.8% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 59.5% 70.3% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.8% 53.2% 38.8%
Conference Champion 7.8% 9.4% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.1% 12.8% 21.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round7.3% 8.7% 4.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 61.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 49 - 314 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 256   @ Bryant W 73-71 52%     1 - 0 +0.0 -1.5 +1.5
  Nov 09, 2019 297   Canisius W 75-68 81%     2 - 0 -3.9 -10.7 +6.3
  Nov 13, 2019 262   Quinnipiac W 70-68 75%     3 - 0 -6.3 -11.2 +4.8
  Nov 19, 2019 294   @ Sacred Heart W 80-77 62%    
  Nov 23, 2019 184   NJIT W 72-69 61%    
  Nov 26, 2019 275   @ Umass Lowell W 79-77 56%    
  Nov 30, 2019 269   Navy W 71-64 75%    
  Dec 04, 2019 278   Merrimack W 70-62 77%    
  Dec 07, 2019 175   @ Stony Brook L 68-72 37%    
  Dec 10, 2019 90   @ St. John's L 72-82 18%    
  Dec 28, 2019 2   @ Duke L 64-89 1%    
  Jan 02, 2020 76   Rhode Island L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 17, 2020 125   @ Yale L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 24, 2020 125   Yale L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 31, 2020 270   Cornell W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 01, 2020 167   Columbia W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 07, 2020 200   Dartmouth W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 08, 2020 102   Harvard L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 14, 2020 107   @ Penn L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 208   @ Princeton L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 21, 2020 167   @ Columbia L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 22, 2020 270   @ Cornell W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 28, 2020 208   Princeton W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 29, 2020 107   Penn L 71-73 43%    
  Mar 06, 2020 102   @ Harvard L 68-77 23%    
  Mar 07, 2020 200   @ Dartmouth L 64-66 43%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 7.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 4.5 3.3 1.0 0.1 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 6.4 3.5 0.6 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 7.8 3.7 0.4 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.3 8.0 3.6 0.3 0.0 15.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 7.1 3.4 0.3 0.0 14.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.7 2.8 0.3 13.3 7th
8th 0.4 1.7 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.1 9.5 8th
Total 0.4 1.8 3.8 7.2 10.7 13.5 14.8 14.2 12.4 9.2 6.2 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 93.4% 1.6    1.5 0.2
11-3 70.8% 2.5    1.5 0.9 0.1
10-4 37.2% 2.3    0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0
9-5 8.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.3 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 62.7% 55.9% 6.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4%
13-1 0.5% 51.0% 45.8% 5.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9.7%
12-2 1.7% 39.0% 38.7% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.5%
11-3 3.5% 26.9% 26.7% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.5 0.3%
10-4 6.2% 21.5% 21.5% 13.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 4.8
9-5 9.2% 17.6% 17.6% 13.8 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.6
8-6 12.4% 12.8% 12.8% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 10.8
7-7 14.2% 5.4% 5.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 13.4
6-8 14.8% 0.6% 0.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7
5-9 13.5% 13.5
4-10 10.7% 10.7
3-11 7.2% 7.2
2-12 3.8% 3.8
1-13 1.8% 1.8
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.4 1.3 0.2 92.7 0.0%