Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#53
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#90
Pace69.4#176
Improvement+2.7#70

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#31
First Shot+6.0#27
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#128
Layup/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#17
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement+6.1#4

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#93
First Shot+4.1#68
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks+3.1#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
Freethrows+5.4#1
Improvement-3.4#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 13.2% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.9% 11.6% 4.5%
Average Seed 10.1 10.1 10.6
.500 or above 90.9% 94.3% 80.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 41.7% 15.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 2.6% 12.8%
First Four4.7% 5.4% 2.4%
First Round9.1% 10.6% 4.2%
Second Round4.2% 4.9% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 1.6% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Home) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 24 - 47 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 14
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 57   @ North Carolina L 65-76 40%     0 - 1 0 - 1 +1.1 -3.5 +4.9
  Nov 09, 2019 222   Robert Morris W 92-57 93%     1 - 1 +28.4 +14.5 +13.0
  Nov 12, 2019 347   Howard W 79-50 99%     2 - 1 +8.8 -8.0 +16.6
  Nov 15, 2019 157   Marshall W 74-64 87%     3 - 1 +7.3 -5.3 +11.9
  Nov 18, 2019 326   Presbyterian W 63-53 97%     4 - 1 -3.1 -8.3 +6.7
  Nov 21, 2019 121   Toledo W 64-62 OT 82%     5 - 1 +2.0 -20.7 +22.4
  Nov 26, 2019 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-66 97%     6 - 1 +13.1 +11.7 +2.1
  Dec 04, 2019 8   @ Maryland L 51-72 18%     6 - 2 -1.8 -10.3 +8.1
  Dec 07, 2019 145   Boston College L 72-73 85%     6 - 3 0 - 2 -2.5 -0.6 -2.0
  Dec 10, 2019 269   Detroit Mercy W 110-71 94%     7 - 3 +30.3 +26.2 +2.4
  Dec 14, 2019 116   UCLA W 75-61 81%     8 - 3 +14.2 +3.9 +10.9
  Dec 21, 2019 37   Indiana L 60-62 42%     8 - 4 +9.4 -1.3 +10.5
  Dec 29, 2019 343   Alabama A&M W 82-56 98%     9 - 4 +9.0 -0.2 +8.2
  Jan 04, 2020 47   @ Syracuse W 88-87 37%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +14.0 +22.3 -8.2
  Jan 08, 2020 51   @ North Carolina St. L 68-73 38%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +7.6 +6.5 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2020 7   Louisville L 64-67 35%     10 - 6 1 - 4 +10.4 +1.2 +9.0
  Jan 15, 2020 73   @ Georgia Tech W 78-74 47%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +14.2 +10.8 +3.3
  Jan 22, 2020 47   Syracuse L 82-84 59%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +5.2 +13.5 -8.4
  Jan 25, 2020 18   @ Florida St. L 84-85 24%     11 - 8 2 - 6 +15.8 +13.0 +2.9
  Jan 29, 2020 101   Wake Forest W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 01, 2020 73   Georgia Tech W 72-67 69%    
  Feb 05, 2020 72   Pittsburgh W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 09, 2020 74   @ Clemson L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 11, 2020 46   @ Virginia L 55-59 36%    
  Feb 15, 2020 2   @ Duke L 69-83 9%    
  Feb 17, 2020 57   North Carolina W 77-74 62%    
  Feb 23, 2020 98   Miami (FL) W 78-71 75%    
  Feb 26, 2020 145   @ Boston College W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 29, 2020 101   @ Wake Forest W 76-74 55%    
  Mar 04, 2020 18   Florida St. L 71-72 45%    
  Mar 07, 2020 66   Virginia Tech W 70-65 67%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.4 2.0 2.8 0.8 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.1 3.1 5.1 1.6 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 1.6 6.4 3.2 0.2 11.4 6th
7th 0.2 6.0 6.0 0.6 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 8.2 2.0 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.2 6.3 4.9 0.3 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.8 6.7 1.2 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.5 3.1 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 4.7 0.4 7.0 12th
13th 0.6 3.0 1.6 0.0 5.2 13th
14th 0.2 1.5 1.6 0.2 3.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.8 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 6.7 13.0 18.7 22.0 18.2 11.0 5.1 1.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 12.2% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 100.0% 24.5% 75.5% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.3% 86.3% 6.3% 80.0% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 85.4%
12-8 5.1% 62.4% 7.5% 54.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.9 59.3%
11-9 11.0% 30.3% 3.4% 26.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 0.3 7.7 27.8%
10-10 18.2% 13.8% 1.4% 12.3% 10.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.5 0.5 15.7 12.5%
9-11 22.0% 3.8% 0.9% 2.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 21.1 2.9%
8-12 18.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 11.5 0.1 0.1 18.6 0.1%
7-13 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.9
6-14 6.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 6.7
5-15 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 2.9
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.3% 1.6% 9.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.0 4.9 1.3 0.0 88.7 9.9%