Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#34
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#92
Pace63.8#313
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#31
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#50
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 10.3% 10.6% 3.0%
Top 6 Seed 21.9% 22.4% 7.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54.1% 54.9% 33.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 52.7% 53.4% 32.1%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 8.4
.500 or above 87.8% 88.6% 65.4%
.500 or above in Conference 61.1% 61.7% 43.0%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.1% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.8% 4.9%
First Four6.0% 6.0% 5.3%
First Round51.4% 52.2% 30.7%
Second Round31.9% 32.5% 16.1%
Sweet Sixteen13.8% 14.0% 7.9%
Elite Eight5.9% 6.0% 2.1%
Final Four2.4% 2.5% 0.4%
Championship Game1.0% 1.0% 0.4%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.4%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 9
Quad 25 - 29 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 65-74 18%     0 - 1 +12.4 +0.1 +12.5
  Nov 09, 2019 291   Robert Morris W 92-57 97%     1 - 1 +24.5 +13.5 +10.1
  Nov 12, 2019 340   Howard W 79-50 99%     2 - 1 +13.5 -4.2 +17.4
  Nov 15, 2019 240   Marshall W 85-66 97%    
  Nov 18, 2019 336   Presbyterian W 82-55 99%    
  Nov 21, 2019 96   Toledo W 73-63 82%    
  Nov 26, 2019 250   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-57 96%    
  Dec 04, 2019 10   @ Maryland L 66-74 23%    
  Dec 07, 2019 78   Boston College W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 10, 2019 222   Detroit Mercy W 82-64 94%    
  Dec 14, 2019 88   UCLA W 74-65 79%    
  Dec 21, 2019 45   Indiana W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 29, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 86-52 99.8%   
  Jan 04, 2020 58   @ Syracuse W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 08, 2020 40   @ North Carolina St. L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 11, 2020 3   Louisville L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 15, 2020 61   @ Georgia Tech W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 22, 2020 58   Syracuse W 66-60 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 16   @ Florida St. L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 29, 2020 100   Wake Forest W 76-66 81%    
  Feb 01, 2020 61   Georgia Tech W 69-62 71%    
  Feb 05, 2020 84   Pittsburgh W 71-62 77%    
  Feb 09, 2020 77   @ Clemson W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 11, 2020 7   @ Virginia L 52-61 22%    
  Feb 15, 2020 2   @ Duke L 66-78 16%    
  Feb 17, 2020 6   North Carolina L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 23, 2020 55   Miami (FL) W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 26, 2020 78   @ Boston College W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 29, 2020 100   @ Wake Forest W 73-69 65%    
  Mar 04, 2020 16   Florida St. W 68-67 52%    
  Mar 07, 2020 65   Virginia Tech W 67-60 72%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.2 9.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.7 4.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.2 4.4 1.4 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.7 3.4 4.5 1.5 0.2 10.2 7th
8th 0.4 2.5 4.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.3 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.1 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.1 5.0 7.3 9.9 10.9 12.0 12.1 11.1 10.2 6.9 4.8 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 88.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 76.6% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.0
16-4 36.8% 0.9    0.2 0.6 0.1
15-5 14.1% 0.7    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 66.7% 33.3% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.2% 100.0% 19.8% 80.2% 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.5% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 3.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.8% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 4.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-6 6.9% 99.8% 7.2% 92.6% 5.2 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 10.2% 97.1% 5.5% 91.5% 6.7 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.1 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 96.9%
12-8 11.1% 89.0% 2.2% 86.8% 7.9 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 1.2 88.8%
11-9 12.1% 74.8% 1.6% 73.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 0.4 3.0 74.4%
10-10 12.0% 51.1% 1.0% 50.0% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.8 0.6 5.9 50.6%
9-11 10.9% 24.9% 0.8% 24.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.3 8.2 24.3%
8-12 9.9% 5.8% 0.1% 5.7% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.3 5.7%
7-13 7.3% 1.9% 1.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.1 1.9%
6-14 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 4.9
5-15 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 3.1
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 54.1% 3.1% 51.1% 7.2 1.0 1.6 3.1 4.6 5.4 6.2 6.3 6.9 5.5 5.8 6.0 1.6 45.9 52.7%