Robert Morris
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#212
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#229
Pace66.1#268
Improvement+7.6#1

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#161
Layup/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#32
Freethrows-3.5#348
Improvement+5.3#3

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#223
First Shot-2.4#243
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-5.5#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#74
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+2.3#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 18.7% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 64.1% 71.1% 44.6%
.500 or above in Conference 97.0% 98.5% 92.9%
Conference Champion 36.9% 43.0% 20.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.2% 9.3% 9.1%
First Round13.3% 14.6% 9.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 415 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 158   @ Marshall L 60-67 26%     0 - 1 -3.5 -8.4 +4.7
  Nov 09, 2019 55   @ Notre Dame L 57-92 8%     0 - 2 -22.9 -12.1 -9.9
  Nov 12, 2019 77   Pittsburgh L 57-71 24%     0 - 3 -9.9 -4.9 -7.0
  Nov 15, 2019 349   Howard W 85-65 91%     1 - 3 +2.1 +6.6 -3.1
  Nov 16, 2019 125   @ Toledo L 56-70 21%     1 - 4 -8.7 -10.5 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2019 238   @ Illinois-Chicago L 62-72 43%     1 - 5 -11.4 -10.2 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 62-66 5%     1 - 6 +11.2 -5.0 +16.2
  Nov 30, 2019 308   @ Cleveland St. L 59-70 62%     1 - 7 -17.3 -15.0 -2.4
  Dec 04, 2019 237   @ Youngstown St. L 70-81 43%     1 - 8 -12.3 -9.4 -2.2
  Dec 07, 2019 303   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 64-59 59%     2 - 8 -0.5 -3.3 +3.1
  Dec 17, 2019 166   Central Michigan W 83-79 49%     3 - 8 +1.1 +1.6 -0.7
  Dec 21, 2019 135   @ UNLV L 69-81 23%     3 - 9 -7.2 +7.5 -16.6
  Jan 02, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 89-78 87%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -4.1 +2.6 -7.5
  Jan 04, 2020 282   @ Merrimack W 69-58 53%     5 - 9 2 - 0 +7.2 -1.1 +8.8
  Jan 09, 2020 305   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-52 79%     6 - 9 3 - 0 +14.3 +4.3 +11.6
  Jan 11, 2020 322   Wagner W 94-62 82%     7 - 9 4 - 0 +19.1 +15.5 +4.1
  Jan 18, 2020 282   Merrimack W 66-59 73%    
  Jan 20, 2020 202   Sacred Heart W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 23, 2020 305   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 25, 2020 247   @ LIU Brooklyn L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 30, 2020 233   Bryant W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 01, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 78-60 95%    
  Feb 06, 2020 322   @ Wagner W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 202   @ Sacred Heart L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 13, 2020 287   @ Mount St. Mary's W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-66 80%    
  Feb 18, 2020 186   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 21, 2020 287   Mount St. Mary's W 67-60 74%    
  Feb 23, 2020 312   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 29, 2020 186   St. Francis (PA) W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 6.9 11.5 9.6 5.3 1.8 0.3 36.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 8.1 9.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.6 7.0 1.8 0.1 15.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 5.3 1.3 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 3.4 1.3 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.9 8.7 13.7 17.9 18.5 15.7 10.3 5.3 1.8 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.8    1.8
16-2 99.7% 5.3    5.1 0.2
15-3 93.7% 9.6    8.1 1.5 0.0
14-4 73.3% 11.5    6.9 4.1 0.6
13-5 37.2% 6.9    1.8 3.5 1.4 0.2
12-6 8.4% 1.5    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 36.9% 36.9 24.0 9.7 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 39.3% 39.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.8% 36.6% 36.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.1
16-2 5.3% 30.1% 30.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 3.7
15-3 10.3% 28.3% 28.3% 15.7 0.0 0.8 2.1 7.4
14-4 15.7% 23.3% 23.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 3.2 12.0
13-5 18.5% 17.4% 17.4% 15.9 0.2 3.0 15.3
12-6 17.9% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.1 2.5 15.4
11-7 13.7% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5 12.1
10-8 8.7% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 8.0
9-9 4.9% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.4 4.6
8-10 2.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.1 2.0
7-11 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6 14.4 82.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 14.0 3.8 22.6 47.2 26.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%