Robert Morris
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#283
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#295
Pace64.0#314
Improvement+1.6#31

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#296
First Shot-5.5#310
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#113
Layup/Dunks-7.2#346
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#38
Freethrows-3.8#329
Improvement+0.6#85

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#239
First Shot-3.5#275
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#102
Layups/Dunks-3.9#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#81
Freethrows-0.6#214
Improvement+1.0#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 11.6% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 29.2% 46.3% 23.4%
.500 or above in Conference 65.7% 74.1% 62.9%
Conference Champion 10.8% 15.2% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.7% 2.9%
First Four6.7% 7.4% 6.4%
First Round5.7% 7.9% 5.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Away) - 25.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 412 - 913 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 233   @ Marshall L 60-67 29%     0 - 1 -8.0 -11.0 +2.8
  Nov 09, 2019 52   @ Notre Dame L 57-92 5%     0 - 2 -22.5 -10.0 -11.6
  Nov 12, 2019 95   Pittsburgh L 57-71 20%     0 - 3 -12.0 -6.0 -8.0
  Nov 15, 2019 347   Howard W 85-65 78%     1 - 3 +5.0 +7.1 -0.7
  Nov 16, 2019 87   @ Toledo L 56-70 8%     1 - 4 -5.0 -9.1 +3.0
  Nov 21, 2019 209   @ Illinois-Chicago L 61-68 25%    
  Nov 23, 2019 26   @ Marquette L 57-79 2%    
  Nov 30, 2019 344   @ Cleveland St. W 70-66 65%    
  Dec 04, 2019 249   @ Youngstown St. L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 07, 2019 288   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 64-67 40%    
  Dec 17, 2019 132   Central Michigan L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 21, 2019 149   @ UNLV L 59-69 18%    
  Jan 02, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 73-64 78%    
  Jan 04, 2020 291   @ Merrimack L 61-64 40%    
  Jan 09, 2020 301   St. Francis Brooklyn W 70-65 66%    
  Jan 11, 2020 331   Wagner W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 18, 2020 291   Merrimack W 64-61 62%    
  Jan 20, 2020 260   Sacred Heart W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 23, 2020 301   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 25, 2020 250   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 30, 2020 259   Bryant W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 01, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 76-61 90%    
  Feb 06, 2020 331   @ Wagner W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 260   @ Sacred Heart L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 13, 2020 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-64 39%    
  Feb 15, 2020 271   Fairleigh Dickinson W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 18, 2020 243   @ St. Francis (PA) L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 21, 2020 282   Mount St. Mary's W 64-61 61%    
  Feb 23, 2020 271   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 243   St. Francis (PA) W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 3.3 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.5 4.4 1.4 0.2 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.6 1.1 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.4 1.5 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.6 1.7 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 5.0 2.2 0.2 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 2.4 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.8 0.3 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.2 6.1 9.1 11.2 12.7 12.9 12.2 10.4 7.8 5.2 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 96.9% 1.3    1.2 0.1
15-3 88.2% 2.4    1.8 0.6 0.0
14-4 64.6% 3.3    1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 30.7% 2.4    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.6% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.2 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 58.5% 58.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 35.2% 35.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.4% 31.3% 31.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.9
15-3 2.8% 28.2% 28.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.0
14-4 5.2% 21.8% 21.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.0
13-5 7.8% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.1 1.4 6.4
12-6 10.4% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4 8.9
11-7 12.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 1.2 10.9
10-8 12.9% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.9 12.0
9-9 12.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.7 12.0
8-10 11.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 10.8
7-11 9.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.9
6-12 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.9 91.2 0.0%