UNC Asheville
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#277
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#174
Pace68.0#233
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#224
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.3% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 48.6% 67.0% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 58.5% 67.9% 54.2%
Conference Champion 4.2% 6.1% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.8% 5.6%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.9%
First Round3.7% 5.2% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 413 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 28   @ Tennessee L 63-78 3%     0 - 1 +0.4 -5.8 +6.6
  Nov 09, 2019 306   @ The Citadel W 91-76 49%     1 - 1 +9.2 +5.0 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2019 100   @ Wake Forest L 79-98 11%     1 - 2 -11.4 +5.0 -15.3
  Dec 03, 2019 233   @ Charlotte L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 07, 2019 183   @ Western Carolina L 72-80 23%    
  Dec 11, 2019 326   @ South Carolina St. W 74-72 56%    
  Dec 14, 2019 264   Tennessee Martin W 79-77 58%    
  Dec 17, 2019 328   Stetson W 79-71 76%    
  Dec 21, 2019 245   Chattanooga W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 02, 2020 336   @ Presbyterian W 74-71 58%    
  Jan 08, 2020 287   Campbell W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 11, 2020 294   @ Charleston Southern L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 16, 2020 322   High Point W 71-63 75%    
  Jan 18, 2020 249   Hampton W 79-77 55%    
  Jan 20, 2020 238   @ Longwood L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 23, 2020 133   Radford L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 25, 2020 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 30, 2020 193   Gardner-Webb L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 144   @ Winthrop L 68-78 17%    
  Feb 06, 2020 342   South Carolina Upstate W 77-67 79%    
  Feb 10, 2020 249   @ Hampton L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 13, 2020 238   Longwood W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 294   Charleston Southern W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 20, 2020 133   @ Radford L 64-75 18%    
  Feb 22, 2020 336   Presbyterian W 77-68 76%    
  Feb 27, 2020 322   @ High Point W 68-66 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 287   @ Campbell L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.1 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.8 3.1 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.9 5.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.0 5.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 14.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.9 5.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.4 1.5 0.1 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.9 1.3 0.1 10.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.5 11th
Total 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.1 5.6 7.9 10.1 11.9 12.9 12.4 11.4 8.5 6.6 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 93.5% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 69.8% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
14-4 30.8% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.1
13-5 8.5% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 27.3% 27.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 46.0% 46.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.9% 19.7% 19.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.5
14-4 3.7% 16.6% 16.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.1
13-5 6.6% 13.0% 13.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 5.7
12-6 8.5% 9.7% 9.7% 15.8 0.2 0.7 7.7
11-7 11.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 10.9
10-8 12.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.0
9-9 12.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.5
8-10 11.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-11 10.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-12 7.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.0 95.3 0.0%