UNC Greensboro
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#89
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#119
Pace68.2#216
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#121
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 22.8% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% 3.6% 1.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.5 12.3
.500 or above 92.2% 93.4% 71.8%
.500 or above in Conference 92.3% 93.1% 79.4%
Conference Champion 22.4% 23.0% 11.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 1.0%
First Round21.3% 22.0% 11.0%
Second Round6.4% 6.7% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Home) - 94.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 33 - 6
Quad 35 - 38 - 9
Quad 413 - 121 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 323   N.C. A&T W 83-50 95%     1 - 0 +19.4 +6.3 +13.3
  Nov 08, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 62-74 7%     1 - 1 +10.0 +2.7 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2019 299   Tennessee Tech W 77-60 94%    
  Nov 15, 2019 258   Montana St. W 82-68 90%    
  Nov 18, 2019 187   Appalachian St. W 79-69 82%    
  Nov 24, 2019 319   VMI W 81-62 95%    
  Nov 30, 2019 57   @ Georgetown L 73-79 29%    
  Dec 04, 2019 333   Kennesaw St. W 79-59 97%    
  Dec 07, 2019 132   @ Radford W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 15, 2019 35   North Carolina St. L 74-77 39%    
  Dec 18, 2019 83   @ Vermont L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 21, 2019 137   Northern Kentucky W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 01, 2020 234   Mercer W 81-68 87%    
  Jan 04, 2020 108   @ Wofford L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 08, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 56   @ Furman L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 15, 2020 307   @ The Citadel W 86-74 85%    
  Jan 18, 2020 244   Chattanooga W 73-60 87%    
  Jan 25, 2020 192   @ Samford W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 29, 2020 182   @ Western Carolina W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 01, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 05, 2020 307   The Citadel W 89-71 93%    
  Feb 09, 2020 192   Samford W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 12, 2020 182   Western Carolina W 79-69 80%    
  Feb 15, 2020 234   @ Mercer W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 19, 2020 108   Wofford W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 22, 2020 319   @ VMI W 78-65 86%    
  Feb 26, 2020 56   Furman L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 244   @ Chattanooga W 70-63 73%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.4 6.9 3.5 1.1 22.4 1st
2nd 0.4 2.3 6.6 8.5 4.9 0.7 23.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.6 7.9 7.0 2.4 0.2 22.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.2 4.1 5.8 3.5 0.7 0.0 15.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.1 8.6 5th
6th 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 2.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.8 6.0 8.2 11.1 13.9 15.2 14.3 11.4 7.6 3.5 1.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 100.0% 3.5    3.3 0.2
16-2 91.0% 6.9    5.2 1.6 0.0
15-3 55.9% 6.4    3.3 2.8 0.4
14-4 24.2% 3.5    1.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.4% 22.4 14.3 6.5 1.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 87.5% 59.8% 27.7% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 68.9%
17-1 3.5% 74.0% 55.9% 18.1% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.9 41.0%
16-2 7.6% 54.4% 41.9% 12.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.5 0.3 3.5 21.6%
15-3 11.4% 38.2% 33.6% 4.6% 11.8 0.1 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.1 7.0%
14-4 14.3% 25.4% 23.4% 2.0% 12.2 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 10.7 2.6%
13-5 15.2% 18.0% 17.8% 0.2% 12.7 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.2%
12-6 13.9% 11.9% 11.7% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 12.3 0.2%
11-7 11.1% 9.8% 9.8% 13.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 10.0
10-8 8.2% 6.6% 6.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.7
9-9 6.0% 4.5% 4.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.7
8-10 3.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
7-11 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.2% 19.4% 2.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 4.1 7.4 4.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 77.9 3.4%