Western Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#237
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#104
Pace70.9#148
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 2.1% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.3 13.8
.500 or above 18.2% 42.8% 16.8%
.500 or above in Conference 17.5% 32.0% 16.7%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.8% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 32.4% 18.5% 33.2%
First Four0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 5.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 34 - 85 - 16
Quad 46 - 311 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 307   McNeese St. W 75-65 78%     1 - 0 -2.2 -3.9 +1.9
  Nov 09, 2019 275   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 115-110 3OT 45%     2 - 0 +2.2 +0.6 -0.1
  Nov 12, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 91-81 95%     3 - 0 -13.3 +1.9 -15.6
  Nov 15, 2019 50   @ Mississippi L 65-82 5%    
  Nov 22, 2019 46   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-80 6%    
  Nov 25, 2019 137   Yale L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 03, 2019 169   Oakland L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 07, 2019 220   Youngstown St. W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 14, 2019 271   @ Manhattan L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 29, 2019 1   @ Michigan St. L 61-89 1%    
  Jan 04, 2020 153   Ohio L 73-74 44%    
  Jan 07, 2020 130   @ Akron L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 11, 2020 96   @ Toledo L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 14, 2020 101   Bowling Green L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 119   Kent St. L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 21, 2020 121   @ Buffalo L 75-85 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 170   @ Northern Illinois L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 01, 2020 125   Central Michigan L 80-83 39%    
  Feb 04, 2020 155   @ Miami (OH) L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 99   Ball St. L 72-78 32%    
  Feb 11, 2020 153   @ Ohio L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 15, 2020 221   @ Eastern Michigan L 64-68 38%    
  Feb 18, 2020 130   Akron L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 96   Toledo L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 25, 2020 99   @ Ball St. L 69-81 17%    
  Feb 29, 2020 170   Northern Illinois L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 03, 2020 221   Eastern Michigan W 67-65 58%    
  Mar 06, 2020 125   @ Central Michigan L 77-86 22%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.0 1.0 0.1 6.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 3.6 1.4 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 4.2 2.5 0.3 8.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 4.9 4.0 0.7 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.9 5.0 1.1 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.5 6.6 5.1 1.6 0.1 18.1 11th
12th 1.2 3.6 6.6 6.4 3.8 1.3 0.1 22.9 12th
Total 1.2 3.7 7.7 10.2 12.8 13.8 12.9 11.2 8.9 6.5 4.6 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 82.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 67.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1
13-5 27.9% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 75.0% 75.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 32.9% 32.9% 12.0 0.1 0.1
14-4 0.4% 14.7% 11.2% 3.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.0%
13-5 0.9% 15.7% 15.7% 12.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 1.7% 8.9% 8.9% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
11-7 3.1% 6.0% 6.0% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-8 4.6% 3.0% 3.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
9-9 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
8-10 8.9% 0.9% 0.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
7-11 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 12.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 13.8
4-14 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 12.8
3-15 10.2% 10.2
2-16 7.7% 7.7
1-17 3.7% 3.7
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%