Wichita St.
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#66
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Pace69.5#184
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#37
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.0% 2.1% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 4.8% 5.0% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.4% 31.5% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.8% 25.8% 9.7%
Average Seed 9.1 9.1 10.0
.500 or above 84.0% 85.5% 60.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.5% 70.6% 52.9%
Conference Champion 7.4% 7.6% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.6% 2.8%
First Four7.6% 7.8% 4.8%
First Round26.4% 27.5% 9.3%
Second Round12.3% 12.9% 3.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.8% 4.0% 0.9%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 24 - 46 - 10
Quad 35 - 211 - 12
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 198   Nebraska Omaha W 68-54 88%     1 - 0 +8.9 -7.3 +16.6
  Nov 09, 2019 268   Texas Southern W 69-63 93%     2 - 0 -2.5 -15.5 +12.4
  Nov 16, 2019 265   Tennessee Martin W 83-67 94%    
  Nov 19, 2019 192   Gardner-Webb W 74-61 88%    
  Nov 23, 2019 176   Oral Roberts W 83-71 87%    
  Nov 26, 2019 63   South Carolina L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 05, 2019 294   Central Arkansas W 84-65 95%    
  Dec 08, 2019 46   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-69 30%    
  Dec 14, 2019 30   Oklahoma L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 21, 2019 42   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-68 50%    
  Dec 29, 2019 282   Abilene Christian W 73-56 94%    
  Jan 01, 2020 219   East Carolina W 75-61 90%    
  Jan 04, 2020 51   Mississippi W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 09, 2020 20   Memphis L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 12, 2020 95   @ Connecticut L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 15, 2020 93   @ Temple L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 18, 2020 32   Houston L 66-67 44%    
  Jan 21, 2020 136   @ South Florida W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 25, 2020 122   Central Florida W 69-61 76%    
  Feb 01, 2020 124   @ Tulsa W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 06, 2020 24   Cincinnati L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 09, 2020 32   @ Houston L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 13, 2020 122   @ Central Florida W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 16, 2020 226   Tulane W 79-65 89%    
  Feb 20, 2020 136   South Florida W 70-61 78%    
  Feb 23, 2020 24   @ Cincinnati L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 27, 2020 93   Temple W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 01, 2020 97   @ SMU L 66-67 49%    
  Mar 05, 2020 20   @ Memphis L 72-81 22%    
  Mar 08, 2020 124   Tulsa W 71-62 76%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 3.3 1.1 0.2 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.9 5.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.1 3.1 0.4 11.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.0 0.4 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.6 2.6 0.5 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.4 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.8 5.8 8.0 10.1 12.1 13.2 12.6 11.3 8.2 6.2 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 89.5% 1.5    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 66.4% 2.3    1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 32.6% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 8.6% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.7% 100.0% 37.3% 62.7% 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.6% 100.0% 27.5% 72.5% 5.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.5% 95.7% 27.1% 68.5% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 94.1%
14-4 6.2% 86.9% 19.4% 67.5% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.8 83.7%
13-5 8.2% 70.6% 15.3% 55.3% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.3 2.4 65.3%
12-6 11.3% 51.3% 11.0% 40.3% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.1 0.7 0.0 5.5 45.3%
11-7 12.6% 32.3% 7.1% 25.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.0 0.8 0.0 8.5 27.1%
10-8 13.2% 17.8% 4.5% 13.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 10.9 13.9%
9-9 12.1% 7.8% 2.3% 5.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 11.2 5.6%
8-10 10.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.9 0.9%
7-11 8.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.1%
6-12 5.8% 0.8% 0.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 30.4% 7.4% 23.0% 9.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.2 2.5 4.6 5.0 8.0 3.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 69.6 24.8%