Preseason Rankings
Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#65
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.4#229
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#67
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#66
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.2% 2.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 6.3% 6.6% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 12.2% 12.8% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.3% 33.6% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.3% 30.6% 6.0%
Average Seed 7.4 7.4 9.4
.500 or above 63.1% 65.2% 24.5%
.500 or above in Conference 47.0% 48.5% 18.8%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 7.7% 23.6%
First Four3.8% 3.9% 2.1%
First Round30.4% 31.7% 6.3%
Second Round17.7% 18.5% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen7.2% 7.5% 0.7%
Elite Eight3.1% 3.2% 0.3%
Final Four1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 25 - 47 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 13
Quad 44 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 265   The Citadel W 83-66 95%    
  Nov 11, 2022 87   @ South Carolina L 71-72 46%    
  Nov 15, 2022 345   South Carolina Upstate W 83-58 99%    
  Nov 18, 2022 250   Bellarmine W 74-58 91%    
  Nov 21, 2022 297   Loyola Maryland W 76-56 95%    
  Nov 25, 2022 29   Iowa L 74-78 37%    
  Nov 29, 2022 66   Penn St. W 65-62 61%    
  Dec 02, 2022 67   Wake Forest W 76-73 61%    
  Dec 07, 2022 118   Towson W 72-64 75%    
  Dec 10, 2022 54   Loyola Chicago L 65-66 47%    
  Dec 17, 2022 88   Richmond W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 21, 2022 97   @ Georgia Tech L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 30, 2022 69   North Carolina St. W 74-70 61%    
  Jan 04, 2023 34   @ Virginia Tech L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 07, 2023 109   @ Pittsburgh W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 11, 2023 73   Louisville W 71-67 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 7   Duke L 70-76 33%    
  Jan 17, 2023 67   @ Wake Forest L 73-76 42%    
  Jan 21, 2023 34   Virginia Tech L 66-67 50%    
  Jan 24, 2023 97   Georgia Tech W 73-67 68%    
  Jan 28, 2023 42   @ Florida St. L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 31, 2023 86   @ Boston College L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 04, 2023 32   Miami (FL) L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 11, 2023 2   @ North Carolina L 68-81 15%    
  Feb 15, 2023 42   Florida St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 18, 2023 73   @ Louisville L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 22, 2023 52   Syracuse W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 69   @ North Carolina St. L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 28, 2023 20   @ Virginia L 56-64 26%    
  Mar 04, 2023 40   Notre Dame W 70-69 51%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.4 0.9 0.1 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.1 14th
15th 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.4 15th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.2 4.8 6.2 7.7 8.7 9.5 9.6 9.5 8.8 7.8 6.5 5.2 3.8 2.7 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 97.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 81.3% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
17-3 58.7% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
16-4 31.1% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 34.1% 65.9% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 29.8% 70.2% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.9% 100.0% 19.7% 80.3% 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.6% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 3.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.7% 99.8% 12.1% 87.7% 4.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 3.8% 97.5% 10.5% 87.0% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.2%
14-6 5.2% 93.6% 9.5% 84.1% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 92.9%
13-7 6.5% 83.8% 7.2% 76.6% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.1 82.5%
12-8 7.8% 65.3% 5.8% 59.5% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 63.2%
11-9 8.8% 44.6% 3.6% 40.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 42.5%
10-10 9.5% 24.5% 3.5% 21.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 21.7%
9-11 9.6% 8.1% 3.0% 5.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 5.2%
8-12 9.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.2 1.0%
7-13 8.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.6
6-14 7.7% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.6
5-15 6.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-16 4.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-17 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-18 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-19 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 32.3% 4.2% 28.1% 7.4 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 67.7 29.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 91.1 8.9