South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#232
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#212
Pace68.4#188
Improvement-0.8#362

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#307
First Shot-3.8#298
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#225
Layup/Dunks-4.6#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#112
Freethrows-2.1#302
Improvement-0.6#360

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#156
First Shot+1.8#118
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#253
Layups/Dunks-1.0#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#269
Freethrows+4.8#10
Improvement-0.3#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 81.3% 75.5% 83.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 28.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 11
Quad 21 - 62 - 17
Quad 32 - 54 - 22
Quad 44 - 18 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 347   South Carolina St. W 80-77 88%     1 - 0 -13.2 -3.5 -9.7
  Nov 11, 2022 76   Clemson W 60-58 23%     2 - 0 +6.2 -11.6 +17.8
  Nov 17, 2022 72   Colorado St. L 53-85 15%     2 - 1 -24.4 -16.1 -7.7
  Nov 18, 2022 116   Davidson L 60-69 24%     2 - 2 -5.2 -11.4 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2022 86   Furman L 60-79 18%     2 - 3 -12.8 -9.6 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2022 349   South Carolina Upstate W 68-53 88%     3 - 3 -1.2 -3.5 +4.9
  Nov 30, 2022 194   @ George Washington L 55-79 31%     3 - 4 -22.4 -15.6 -8.7
  Dec 03, 2022 178   @ Georgetown L 68-74 28%    
  Dec 11, 2022 322   Presbyterian W 67-57 81%    
  Dec 14, 2022 45   @ UAB L 68-85 6%    
  Dec 17, 2022 207   East Carolina L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 22, 2022 129   Western Kentucky L 67-70 38%    
  Dec 30, 2022 263   Eastern Michigan W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 03, 2023 88   @ Vanderbilt L 61-74 12%    
  Jan 07, 2023 5   Tennessee L 53-72 4%    
  Jan 10, 2023 17   @ Kentucky L 57-79 2%    
  Jan 14, 2023 56   Texas A&M L 64-74 18%    
  Jan 17, 2023 64   Mississippi L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 21, 2023 29   Auburn L 58-72 11%    
  Jan 25, 2023 67   @ Florida L 64-79 9%    
  Jan 28, 2023 123   @ Georgia L 59-69 19%    
  Jan 31, 2023 28   Mississippi St. L 53-67 11%    
  Feb 04, 2023 15   Arkansas L 60-77 6%    
  Feb 07, 2023 48   @ Missouri L 68-85 7%    
  Feb 11, 2023 64   @ Mississippi L 58-73 9%    
  Feb 14, 2023 88   Vanderbilt L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 18, 2023 62   @ LSU L 60-75 9%    
  Feb 22, 2023 13   Alabama L 62-79 6%    
  Feb 25, 2023 5   @ Tennessee L 50-75 1%    
  Feb 28, 2023 28   @ Mississippi St. L 50-70 4%    
  Mar 04, 2023 123   Georgia L 62-66 36%    
Projected Record 8 - 23 2 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.6 4.2 7.2 4.7 1.1 0.0 17.8 13th
14th 14.7 24.8 19.7 8.6 1.6 0.1 69.5 14th
Total 14.7 25.3 24.0 17.1 9.9 5.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.3% 0.3
7-11 1.0% 1.0
6-12 2.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
3-15 17.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.1
2-16 24.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.0
1-17 25.3% 25.3
0-18 14.7% 14.7
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%