Charlotte
Conference USA
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#124
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#84
Pace57.6#360
Improvement-0.2#224

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#171
First Shot+1.4#131
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#264
Layup/Dunks+2.9#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#190
Freethrows-1.3#262
Improvement-0.2#293

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#81
First Shot+0.0#175
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#25
Layups/Dunks+2.3#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#343
Freethrows+4.1#13
Improvement+0.0#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 8.6% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.5 12.3 13.1
.500 or above 89.6% 93.0% 78.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.6% 73.2% 61.9%
Conference Champion 5.6% 6.3% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
First Round7.3% 8.1% 4.8%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Home) - 77.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 35 - 49 - 10
Quad 411 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 313   Coppin St. W 82-59 91%     1 - 0 +11.0 +1.2 +9.8
  Nov 14, 2022 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-47 96%     2 - 0 +16.1 +5.1 +11.9
  Nov 17, 2022 61   Boise St. W 54-42 31%     3 - 0 +20.4 -3.5 +25.2
  Nov 18, 2022 169   Tulsa W 68-65 63%     4 - 0 +2.9 +6.5 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2022 99   Massachusetts L 54-60 43%     4 - 1 -1.0 -7.7 +5.8
  Nov 23, 2022 197   @ Detroit Mercy L 49-70 57%     4 - 2 -19.6 -18.4 -5.4
  Nov 26, 2022 322   Presbyterian W 69-42 93%     5 - 2 +13.7 +7.1 +12.8
  Nov 29, 2022 116   @ Davidson W 68-66 OT 37%     6 - 2 +8.8 +0.4 +8.5
  Dec 02, 2022 204   Appalachian St. W 64-56 77%    
  Dec 10, 2022 197   Detroit Mercy W 69-61 76%    
  Dec 17, 2022 329   @ Monmouth W 68-57 86%    
  Dec 22, 2022 45   @ UAB L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 29, 2022 127   Middle Tennessee W 61-58 62%    
  Dec 31, 2022 119   Louisiana Tech W 65-62 59%    
  Jan 05, 2023 241   @ Florida International W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 07, 2023 68   @ Florida Atlantic L 59-67 24%    
  Jan 14, 2023 307   Texas San Antonio W 70-55 91%    
  Jan 16, 2023 189   UTEP W 63-56 74%    
  Jan 19, 2023 127   @ Middle Tennessee L 58-61 41%    
  Jan 21, 2023 129   @ Western Kentucky L 62-65 41%    
  Jan 26, 2023 278   @ Rice W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 02, 2023 241   Florida International W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 04, 2023 68   Florida Atlantic L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 09, 2023 189   @ UTEP W 60-59 54%    
  Feb 11, 2023 82   @ North Texas L 51-57 29%    
  Feb 16, 2023 129   Western Kentucky W 65-62 62%    
  Feb 18, 2023 119   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 23, 2023 82   North Texas L 53-54 48%    
  Feb 25, 2023 278   Rice W 73-61 86%    
  Mar 02, 2023 307   @ Texas San Antonio W 67-58 78%    
  Mar 04, 2023 45   UAB L 68-72 36%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.7 5.2 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.5 3.9 0.9 0.1 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.3 6.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 2.7 1.0 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.3 8.1 10.5 12.8 13.9 13.4 11.3 8.5 5.4 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 97.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 82.8% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 55.4% 1.8    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 23.8% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 76.4% 26.4% 50.0% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 67.9%
18-2 0.5% 69.5% 24.6% 44.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 59.6%
17-3 1.6% 43.5% 22.0% 21.6% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 27.7%
16-4 3.2% 27.4% 19.1% 8.3% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 10.2%
15-5 5.4% 15.8% 13.6% 2.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.5 2.5%
14-6 8.5% 11.8% 11.3% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 7.5 0.6%
13-7 11.3% 8.4% 8.4% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 10.3
12-8 13.4% 6.7% 6.6% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.5 0.0%
11-9 13.9% 5.7% 5.7% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 13.1
10-10 12.8% 4.3% 4.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.2
9-11 10.5% 3.7% 3.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.1
8-12 8.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.9
7-13 5.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 5.3
6-14 3.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-16 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.8% 6.7% 1.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 92.2 1.2%