Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#119
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#97
Pace71.8#102
Improvement-0.2#222

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#107
First Shot+2.9#90
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#241
Layup/Dunks+3.8#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-1.5#277
Improvement-0.1#222

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#129
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#67
Layups/Dunks+1.3#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#280
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement-0.1#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 10.4% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.4 12.2 13.5
.500 or above 80.3% 84.7% 61.4%
.500 or above in Conference 72.8% 75.5% 61.3%
Conference Champion 7.7% 8.5% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round8.9% 9.8% 5.0%
Second Round1.8% 2.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 81.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 43 - 7
Quad 35 - 48 - 10
Quad 49 - 116 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2022 26   @ Texas Tech L 55-64 12%     0 - 1 +7.1 -5.7 +12.4
  Nov 17, 2022 122   @ Louisiana L 88-94 39%     0 - 2 +0.4 +13.7 -12.9
  Nov 21, 2022 316   Louisiana Monroe W 79-58 92%     1 - 2 +8.8 -2.1 +10.2
  Nov 23, 2022 344   @ Alabama A&M W 80-75 89%     2 - 2 -4.8 -3.1 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2022 125   @ Samford W 79-76 40%     3 - 2 +9.1 +0.1 +8.8
  Dec 02, 2022 214   Southern W 78-69 81%    
  Dec 10, 2022 146   @ Wyoming L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 14, 2022 168   Stephen F. Austin W 76-69 73%    
  Dec 17, 2022 189   @ UTEP W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 29, 2022 307   Texas San Antonio W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 31, 2022 124   @ Charlotte L 62-65 41%    
  Jan 05, 2023 278   @ Rice W 79-73 72%    
  Jan 07, 2023 189   UTEP W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 11, 2023 82   @ North Texas L 58-64 30%    
  Jan 14, 2023 45   UAB L 80-83 38%    
  Jan 19, 2023 129   Western Kentucky W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 127   Middle Tennessee W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 26, 2023 45   @ UAB L 77-86 20%    
  Jan 28, 2023 307   @ Texas San Antonio W 76-67 79%    
  Feb 02, 2023 278   Rice W 82-70 86%    
  Feb 09, 2023 241   @ Florida International W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 11, 2023 68   @ Florida Atlantic L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 16, 2023 82   North Texas W 62-61 50%    
  Feb 18, 2023 124   Charlotte W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 23, 2023 129   @ Western Kentucky L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 25, 2023 127   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-70 42%    
  Mar 02, 2023 241   Florida International W 82-71 83%    
  Mar 04, 2023 68   Florida Atlantic L 72-73 46%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.6 3.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.4 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.4 3.7 0.8 0.1 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 6.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.0 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.2 4.0 1.7 0.2 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.8 4.7 7.2 9.9 11.7 13.0 13.0 11.3 9.3 6.5 4.3 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 95.7% 0.9    0.8 0.1
17-3 81.9% 2.0    1.5 0.5 0.0
16-4 54.2% 2.3    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
15-5 24.8% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.7% 7.7 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 82.8% 37.3% 45.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.6%
18-2 1.0% 67.4% 27.0% 40.4% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 55.4%
17-3 2.4% 45.9% 25.1% 20.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 27.7%
16-4 4.3% 28.2% 19.9% 8.2% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 10.3%
15-5 6.5% 18.3% 16.6% 1.7% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.3 2.1%
14-6 9.3% 12.4% 11.9% 0.6% 12.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.2 0.7%
13-7 11.3% 9.3% 9.3% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.3
12-8 13.0% 6.9% 6.9% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.1
11-9 13.0% 6.4% 6.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.2
10-10 11.7% 4.4% 4.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.2
9-11 9.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.6
8-12 7.2% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.0
7-13 4.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.6
6-14 2.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-15 1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.5% 7.9% 1.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.6 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 90.6 1.7%