Tulane
American Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#107
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#151
Pace69.5#155
Improvement-0.5#330

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#72
First Shot+5.7#45
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#284
Layup/Dunks+5.6#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement-0.2#250

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#171
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#152
Layups/Dunks+4.2#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#328
Freethrows+1.3#107
Improvement-0.3#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 13.5
.500 or above 80.0% 85.0% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.7% 52.1% 37.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 5.3% 9.1%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
First Round2.8% 3.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 12
Quad 48 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 279   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-67 89%     1 - 0 +13.1 +1.9 +10.0
  Nov 11, 2022 354   McNeese St. W 75-58 97%     2 - 0 -0.5 -12.0 +10.7
  Nov 16, 2022 306   Charleston Southern W 99-79 92%     3 - 0 +8.8 +12.4 -4.8
  Nov 21, 2022 69   Nevada L 66-75 37%     3 - 1 -1.1 -3.2 +2.0
  Nov 22, 2022 180   Rhode Island W 78-75 68%     4 - 1 +2.5 +10.4 -7.8
  Nov 23, 2022 129   Western Kentucky L 65-71 56%     4 - 2 -3.2 -4.4 +0.9
  Nov 28, 2022 316   Louisiana Monroe W 75-60 93%     5 - 2 +2.8 -0.4 +3.8
  Dec 03, 2022 177   Fordham W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 06, 2022 111   Bryant W 84-81 63%    
  Dec 10, 2022 190   Buffalo W 81-76 69%    
  Dec 17, 2022 158   George Mason W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 21, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 85-59 99%    
  Dec 29, 2022 89   @ Cincinnati L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 01, 2023 30   Memphis L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 04, 2023 169   Tulsa W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 07, 2023 96   @ Temple L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 11, 2023 155   @ SMU W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 14, 2023 75   Central Florida W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 17, 2023 1   Houston L 58-72 10%    
  Jan 21, 2023 169   @ Tulsa W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 25, 2023 95   @ Wichita St. L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 01, 2023 155   SMU W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 04, 2023 30   @ Memphis L 67-78 15%    
  Feb 07, 2023 89   Cincinnati W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 11, 2023 207   East Carolina W 78-69 79%    
  Feb 18, 2023 187   @ South Florida W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 22, 2023 1   @ Houston L 55-75 4%    
  Feb 26, 2023 95   Wichita St. W 69-67 58%    
  Mar 01, 2023 207   @ East Carolina W 75-72 62%    
  Mar 05, 2023 96   Temple W 72-70 58%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.5 3.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.0 4.0 0.8 0.1 13.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 6.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 13.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 6.7 4.0 0.6 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.8 4.5 0.7 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.2 0.6 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.0 6.9 10.0 13.1 14.4 14.2 12.1 9.9 6.4 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 76.1% 0.1    0.1 0.1
15-3 30.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 9.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 73.9% 9.1% 64.8% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 71.3%
15-3 0.6% 42.9% 9.8% 33.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 36.7%
14-4 1.8% 25.3% 8.5% 16.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 18.3%
13-5 3.6% 12.0% 5.4% 6.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.1 7.0%
12-6 6.4% 5.2% 4.3% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.0 1.0%
11-7 9.9% 3.4% 3.3% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.1%
10-8 12.1% 2.2% 2.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.8
9-9 14.2% 2.2% 2.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9
8-10 14.4% 1.6% 1.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.2
7-11 13.1% 1.7% 1.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.9
6-12 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.9
5-13 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.8
4-14 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 2.2% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 96.9 1.0%