Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#275
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.4#352
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#233
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#303
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 25.5% 38.3% 16.3%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 44.1% 28.2%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 7.9% 16.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.7% 2.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 42.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 286   @ Western Michigan L 67-69 42%    
  Nov 11, 2025 161   Winthrop L 72-75 40%    
  Nov 14, 2025 153   @ Jacksonville St. L 60-69 19%    
  Nov 20, 2025 339   @ Western Illinois W 65-63 56%    
  Nov 22, 2025 315   North Dakota W 72-69 59%    
  Nov 23, 2025 109   @ Illinois St. L 61-74 12%    
  Nov 30, 2025 325   Alabama A&M W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 03, 2025 336   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 06, 2025 161   @ Winthrop L 69-78 23%    
  Dec 13, 2025 80   @ Grand Canyon L 63-79 8%    
  Dec 18, 2025 201   @ Appalachian St. L 57-64 28%    
  Dec 20, 2025 200   @ Old Dominion L 63-70 28%    
  Dec 22, 2025 111   @ Saint Joseph's L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 01, 2026 249   Georgia Southern W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 03, 2026 284   Georgia St. W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 08, 2026 200   Old Dominion L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 10, 2026 201   Appalachian St. L 60-61 47%    
  Jan 14, 2026 187   @ Marshall L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 17, 2026 249   @ Georgia Southern L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 22, 2026 193   Texas St. L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 24, 2026 281   Southern Miss W 72-68 61%    
  Jan 29, 2026 163   @ South Alabama L 58-67 24%    
  Jan 31, 2026 348   @ Louisiana Monroe W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 04, 2026 140   Arkansas St. L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 12, 2026 234   @ Louisiana L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 18, 2026 129   James Madison L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 21, 2026 187   Marshall L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 24, 2026 284   @ Georgia St. L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 27, 2026 129   @ James Madison L 61-72 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 3.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 2.3 0.3 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.4 1.2 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.6 1.7 0.1 10.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 12th
13th 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.5 13th
14th 0.5 1.6 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.6 14th
Total 0.5 1.9 3.9 6.1 8.6 9.9 11.3 11.7 11.2 9.6 8.3 6.5 4.5 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 65.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 36.4% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.1% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 46.3% 46.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 30.2% 30.2% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.8% 26.2% 26.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.8% 19.7% 19.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 2.9% 12.9% 12.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
12-6 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.2
11-7 6.5% 2.5% 2.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3
10-8 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.2
9-9 9.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
8-10 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 19.2 0.0 11.2
7-11 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 11.3% 11.3
5-13 9.9% 9.9
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%