Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#242
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#343
Pace72.4#104
Improvement-1.5#291

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#144
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks+2.6#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#237
Freethrows-1.4#269
Improvement+1.0#98

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#334
First Shot-5.5#338
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#175
Layups/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#283
Freethrows-1.1#252
Improvement-2.5#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.2% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 3.7% 7.4% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.8% 45.3% 34.2%
Conference Champion 4.4% 6.3% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 18.7% 14.0% 20.9%
First Four3.3% 3.3% 3.2%
First Round3.5% 5.0% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Neutral) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 93 - 16
Quad 47 - 610 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 30 @UCLA L 74-80 3%     0 - 1 +10.9 +7.8 +3.2
  Wed, Nov 5 133 @Loyola Marymount L 62-70 19%     0 - 2 -3.3 -5.9 +2.7
  Sat, Nov 8 62 @Colorado L 97-102 OT 7%     0 - 3 +6.8 +17.0 -9.6
  Wed, Nov 12 118 @Seattle L 67-94 16%     0 - 4 -20.8 -4.8 -14.7
  Sun, Nov 23 281 @Central Arkansas L 65-92 46%     0 - 5 -30.5 -9.0 -20.8
  Tue, Nov 25 146 @North Texas L 71-79 OT 21%     0 - 6 -4.2 +0.6 -4.4
  Wed, Dec 3 312 @Denver L 89-93 56%     0 - 7 -9.9 +8.2 -18.1
  Sat, Dec 6 347 UMKC W 90-66 84%     1 - 7 +9.1 +5.7 +1.4
  Fri, Dec 12 126 California Baptist L 83-88 36%     1 - 8 -5.7 +9.0 -14.7
  Wed, Dec 17 155 Washington St. L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Dec 20 120 @Utah L 76-87 16%    
  Mon, Dec 22 9 @BYU L 66-93 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 174 @Idaho L 75-82 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 173 Montana St. L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 Montana W 82-81 55%    
  Thu, Jan 15 212 @Weber St. L 78-82 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 162 @Idaho St. L 71-78 24%    
  Thu, Jan 22 178 Portland St. L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 279 Sacramento St. W 84-79 67%    
  Thu, Jan 29 271 @Northern Arizona L 75-77 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 154 @Northern Colorado L 76-84 24%    
  Thu, Feb 5 202 @Montana L 79-84 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 173 @Montana St. L 71-78 28%    
  Thu, Feb 12 162 Idaho St. L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 212 Weber St. W 81-79 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 279 @Sacramento St. L 81-82 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 178 @Portland St. L 73-79 29%    
  Thu, Feb 26 154 Northern Colorado L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 271 Northern Arizona W 78-74 65%    
  Mon, Mar 2 174 Idaho L 78-79 48%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.4 2.7 4.5 1.4 0.1 9.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.1 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.9 3.0 0.3 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.1 4.1 0.4 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.8 4.4 0.8 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 5.2 3.7 0.8 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 3.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 11.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.8 6.6 9.8 12.1 13.7 13.7 11.9 10.0 6.8 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 94.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-4 77.7% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 56.7% 1.5    0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 22.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
11-7 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 22.7% 22.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 34.0% 34.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
14-4 1.2% 22.0% 22.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.6% 15.1% 15.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.2
12-6 4.7% 14.5% 14.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 4.0
11-7 6.8% 10.6% 10.6% 15.9 0.1 0.7 6.1
10-8 10.0% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.8 9.3
9-9 11.9% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.7 11.2
8-10 13.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 13.2
7-11 13.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.5
6-12 12.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.9
5-13 9.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.8
4-14 6.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 3.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.8 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%