Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#85
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.5#198
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#63
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 14.5% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.7% 3.9% 0.5%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 11.0
.500 or above 84.8% 86.2% 63.0%
.500 or above in Conference 73.0% 74.1% 55.3%
Conference Champion 13.6% 14.1% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.7% 3.9%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 0.2%
First Round13.0% 13.6% 4.1%
Second Round4.3% 4.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 94.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 311 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 285   Maine W 76-59 94%    
  Nov 08, 2025 95   South Florida W 73-72 53%    
  Nov 12, 2025 303   American W 76-58 95%    
  Nov 15, 2025 195   Old Dominion W 77-65 85%    
  Nov 19, 2025 304   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-69 94%    
  Nov 23, 2025 93   McNeese St. W 69-68 53%    
  Nov 24, 2025 151   Middle Tennessee W 75-69 71%    
  Nov 25, 2025 129   Murray St. W 71-67 65%    
  Dec 02, 2025 353   @ Army W 80-63 92%    
  Dec 06, 2025 226   William & Mary W 85-72 87%    
  Dec 10, 2025 236   Delaware W 84-70 88%    
  Dec 13, 2025 5   Florida L 68-83 10%    
  Dec 31, 2025 131   @ Richmond W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 03, 2026 187   La Salle W 79-68 83%    
  Jan 06, 2026 65   @ Dayton L 67-73 32%    
  Jan 10, 2026 94   Loyola Chicago W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 14, 2026 145   Davidson W 75-66 76%    
  Jan 19, 2026 101   @ George Mason L 66-68 45%    
  Jan 24, 2026 131   Richmond W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 27, 2026 70   @ Saint Louis L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 31, 2026 163   Fordham W 80-70 80%    
  Feb 04, 2026 110   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 07, 2026 116   @ Duquesne W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 10, 2026 143   Rhode Island W 80-71 76%    
  Feb 13, 2026 101   George Mason W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 17, 2026 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 24, 2026 187   @ La Salle W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 27, 2026 65   Dayton W 71-70 51%    
  Mar 04, 2026 124   St. Bonaventure W 71-64 73%    
  Mar 07, 2026 94   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-71 44%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.3 3.8 2.8 1.2 0.3 13.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 4.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 4.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 3.1 0.9 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.4 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.1 5.0 6.9 8.8 10.5 11.7 11.6 11.8 9.7 7.7 5.4 3.1 1.2 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.8% 1.2    1.2 0.1
16-2 92.2% 2.8    2.4 0.4 0.0
15-3 69.9% 3.8    2.5 1.1 0.1
14-4 42.8% 3.3    1.4 1.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 17.6% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 8.3 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 97.9% 61.5% 36.3% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.5%
17-1 1.2% 88.4% 49.9% 38.5% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 76.8%
16-2 3.1% 61.0% 34.1% 26.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.2 40.8%
15-3 5.4% 46.8% 29.3% 17.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.1 2.9 24.8%
14-4 7.7% 30.2% 22.6% 7.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.4 9.8%
13-5 9.7% 22.5% 20.2% 2.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.2 7.5 2.9%
12-6 11.8% 12.4% 11.7% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.8%
11-7 11.6% 7.9% 7.8% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 10.7 0.1%
10-8 11.7% 4.6% 4.6% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.1
9-9 10.5% 3.5% 3.5% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.2
8-10 8.8% 1.5% 1.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-11 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
6-12 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 4.9
5-13 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.8% 10.6% 3.3% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.5 6.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.2 3.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.8 16.5 16.5 32.9 34.1