IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland
Big Ten
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.7	#40
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.6	#64
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.3	#56

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.4	#18

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.3%	1.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	3.5%	3.6%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	12.3%	12.3%	1.8%
Top 6 Seed	24.6%	24.6%	5.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	52.4%	52.6%	18.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	51.4%	51.5%	18.3%
Average Seed	6.6	6.6	7.8

.500 or above	68.7%	68.9%	27.5%
.500 or above in Conference	51.1%	51.2%	20.2%
Conference Champion	2.4%	2.4%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	3.9%	14.8%

First Four	5.3%	5.3%	3.7%
First Round	49.7%	49.9%	16.5%
Second Round	33.2%	33.3%	9.2%
Sweet Sixteen	13.7%	13.7%	1.8%
Elite Eight	5.4%	5.4%	1.8%
Final Four	2.2%	2.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Neutral) - 99.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	3 - 3	5 - 11
Quad 2	5 - 2	10 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 0	13 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	361	Coppin St.	W	84-56	99.6%
Nov 07, 2025	68	Georgetown	W	76-69	74%
Nov 11, 2025	323	Alcorn St.	W	81-56	99%
Nov 15, 2025	43	@ Marquette	L	71-73	41%
Nov 19, 2025	270	Mount St. Mary's	W	82-60	97%
Nov 24, 2025	86	UNLV	W	73-67	71%
Nov 25, 2025	18	Gonzaga	L	76-80	36%
Dec 02, 2025	335	Wagner	W	74-48	99%
Dec 06, 2025	34	@ Iowa	L	75-79	37%
Dec 13, 2025	6	Michigan	L	73-77	36%
Dec 20, 2025	44	@ Virginia	L	64-66	41%
Dec 28, 2025	195	Old Dominion	W	80-62	94%
Jan 02, 2026	28	Oregon	W	73-72	54%
Jan 07, 2026	33	Indiana	W	74-72	57%
Jan 10, 2026	13	@ UCLA	L	65-73	25%
Jan 13, 2026	29	@ USC	L	72-77	35%
Jan 18, 2026	90	Penn St.	W	80-70	79%
Jan 21, 2026	15	@ Illinois	L	75-83	25%
Jan 24, 2026	21	@ Michigan St.	L	68-74	31%
Feb 01, 2026	2	Purdue	L	68-76	25%
Feb 05, 2026	27	Ohio St.	W	74-73	53%
Feb 08, 2026	87	@ Minnesota	W	69-65	62%
Feb 11, 2026	34	Iowa	W	78-76	57%
Feb 15, 2026	82	@ Rutgers	W	74-71	60%
Feb 18, 2026	72	@ Northwestern	W	70-68	56%
Feb 21, 2026	48	Washington	W	76-72	64%
Feb 25, 2026	59	@ Nebraska	W	74-73	50%
Mar 01, 2026	82	Rutgers	W	77-68	77%
Mar 04, 2026	26	@ Wisconsin	L	71-76	32%
Mar 08, 2026	15	Illinois	L	78-80	44%
Projected Record						17 - 13	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.1	0.4	0.1				3.4	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.7	1.9	1.7	0.5	0.0	0.0				4.9	3rd
4th												0.0	0.5	2.0	2.1	0.7	0.1						5.5	4th
5th												0.4	2.0	2.5	0.8	0.1	0.0						5.8	5th
6th											0.1	1.7	3.2	1.3	0.2	0.0							6.5	6th
7th										0.0	1.1	3.4	2.4	0.3	0.0								7.3	7th
8th									0.0	0.6	2.9	3.3	0.7	0.0									7.5	8th
9th									0.2	2.0	3.7	1.5	0.1										7.5	9th
10th								0.1	1.2	3.8	2.2	0.3											7.5	10th
11th							0.0	0.5	3.1	2.9	0.6	0.0											7.2	11th
12th							0.2	2.1	3.4	1.0	0.1												6.9	12th
13th						0.1	1.2	3.0	1.7	0.1													6.2	13th
14th					0.1	0.8	2.6	2.2	0.4	0.0													6.1	14th
15th				0.0	0.5	1.9	2.2	0.7	0.0														5.4	15th
16th			0.0	0.5	1.3	1.7	0.8	0.1															4.4	16th
17th		0.0	0.3	1.1	1.4	0.5	0.1																3.5	17th
18th	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0																2.1	18th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.3	3.6	5.1	7.2	8.7	10.0	10.5	10.7	10.6	9.0	7.0	5.4	3.9	2.3	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	80.8%	0.5		0.4	0.1
17-3	62.0%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0
16-4	26.2%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	6.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	0.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.2	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	21.0%	79.0%	1.2		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.7%		100.0%	19.2%	80.8%	1.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.2%		100.0%	15.8%	84.2%	2.2		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0														100.0%
16-4	2.3%		100.0%	11.5%	88.5%	2.9		0.3	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	3.9%		100.0%	10.5%	89.5%	3.7		0.2	0.6	1.1	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0											100.0%
14-6	5.4%		99.7%	5.6%	94.2%	4.6		0.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.7%
13-7	7.0%		99.4%	3.6%	95.8%	5.7		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.6	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.0		99.4%
12-8	9.0%		96.7%	2.0%	94.7%	6.8			0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.9	2.1	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.0						0.3		96.7%
11-9	10.6%		88.8%	1.1%	87.6%	7.8				0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.1	2.3	1.6	1.1	0.4	0.0					1.2		88.6%
10-10	10.7%		71.5%	1.1%	70.4%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	1.6	1.8	1.0	0.0					3.0		71.2%
9-11	10.5%		40.9%	0.4%	40.5%	9.6					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.1	0.1					6.2		40.6%
8-12	10.0%		14.2%	0.1%	14.0%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.1					8.6		14.1%
7-13	8.7%		2.6%	0.2%	2.5%	10.9											0.0	0.1	0.0					8.5		2.5%
6-14	7.2%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0												0.0						7.2		0.1%
5-15	5.1%																							5.1
4-16	3.6%																							3.6
3-17	2.3%																							2.3
2-18	1.0%																							1.0
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		52.4%	2.1%	50.3%	6.6		1.3	2.3	3.8	4.9	5.7	6.6	6.8	6.7	5.6	5.2	3.3	0.2					47.6		51.4%