IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oakland
Horizon
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.4	#201
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.9	#347
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#183

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#238

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.6%	27.4%	13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	13.1	14.1

.500 or above	45.7%	80.8%	45.4%
.500 or above in Conference	73.0%	90.8%	72.8%
Conference Champion	17.6%	35.7%	17.5%
Last Place in Conference	2.2%	0.0%	2.2%

First Four	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%
First Round	13.5%	26.6%	13.4%
Second Round	0.7%	5.0%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 4	0 - 4
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 11
Quad 4	12 - 5	15 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	6	@ Michigan	L	58-83	1%
Nov 07, 2025	2	@ Purdue	L	53-82	0.5%
Nov 12, 2025	1	@ Houston	L	46-76	0.3%
Nov 17, 2025	74	@ Central Florida	L	66-79	12%
Nov 21, 2025	292	@ Eastern Michigan	W	70-68	57%
Nov 24, 2025	211	Lamar	W	64-63	52%
Nov 25, 2025	183	@ Montana	L	66-70	38%
Dec 03, 2025	193	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	72-69	60%
Dec 06, 2025	196	Toledo	W	73-70	59%
Dec 13, 2025	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	61-70	22%
Dec 17, 2025	266	@ Northern Kentucky	W	66-65	51%
Dec 20, 2025	21	Michigan St.	L	58-76	6%
Dec 29, 2025	206	@ Wright St.	L	68-71	41%
Jan 01, 2026	184	@ Youngstown St.	L	67-71	38%
Jan 04, 2026	203	Robert Morris	W	69-66	60%
Jan 09, 2026	223	Cleveland St.	W	67-63	63%
Jan 11, 2026	206	Wright St.	W	71-68	61%
Jan 15, 2026	216	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	68-70	42%
Jan 18, 2026	306	@ Green Bay	W	72-69	59%
Jan 21, 2026	359	IU Indianapolis	W	74-59	91%
Jan 24, 2026	310	@ Detroit Mercy	W	68-65	60%
Jan 28, 2026	193	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	69-72	40%
Feb 01, 2026	266	Northern Kentucky	W	68-62	70%
Feb 04, 2026	223	@ Cleveland St.	L	64-66	43%
Feb 12, 2026	184	Youngstown St.	W	70-68	58%
Feb 15, 2026	203	@ Robert Morris	L	66-69	40%
Feb 20, 2026	306	Green Bay	W	75-66	75%
Feb 22, 2026	216	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	71-67	62%
Feb 25, 2026	359	@ IU Indianapolis	W	71-62	78%
Feb 28, 2026	310	Detroit Mercy	W	71-62	76%
Projected Record						14 - 16	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.3	1.6	3.6	4.2	4.0	2.4	1.2	0.3		17.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.6	2.6	4.8	3.8	1.9	0.3	0.0				14.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.7	3.1	4.6	3.1	0.8	0.1						12.4	3rd
4th										0.1	0.8	3.3	4.9	2.2	0.4	0.0							11.7	4th
5th									0.1	0.8	3.3	4.4	1.7	0.2	0.0								10.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	2.8	3.8	1.6	0.2	0.0									9.2	6th
7th							0.1	0.7	2.3	3.3	1.6	0.1	0.0										8.0	7th
8th						0.1	0.7	2.2	2.6	1.1	0.1												6.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.6	1.8	1.7	0.6	0.1													5.1	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	0.8	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.0														3.5	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0																1.1	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.2	2.1	3.6	4.9	6.1	8.1	9.7	10.1	10.7	9.9	9.8	8.2	6.2	4.3	2.4	1.2	0.3			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	1.2		1.1	0.0
18-2	99.1%	2.4		2.3	0.1
17-3	92.5%	4.0		3.4	0.6	0.0
16-4	68.0%	4.2		2.7	1.4	0.1
15-5	44.1%	3.6		1.6	1.6	0.4	0.0	0.0
14-6	15.8%	1.6		0.3	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	17.6%	17.6		11.8	4.5	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		78.2%	78.2%		11.4							0.0				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.1
19-1	1.2%		55.6%	55.6%		12.3											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.5
18-2	2.4%		48.7%	48.7%		12.7												0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0		1.2
17-3	4.3%		37.8%	37.8%		13.2												0.0	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1		2.7
16-4	6.2%		30.8%	30.8%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.2	0.0	4.3
15-5	8.2%		24.4%	24.4%		14.3												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1	6.2
14-6	9.8%		17.6%	17.6%		15.2													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.2	8.1
13-7	9.9%		14.2%	14.2%		16.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	8.5
12-8	10.7%		11.4%	11.4%		16.5														0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	9.5
11-9	10.1%		7.7%	7.7%		17.9															0.0	0.2	0.6	9.4
10-10	9.7%		4.1%	4.1%		18.3															0.0	0.1	0.4	9.3
9-11	8.1%		3.0%	3.0%		16.4																0.0	0.2	7.9
8-12	6.1%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
7-13	4.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
6-14	3.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
5-15	2.1%																							2.1
4-16	1.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		13.6%	13.6%	0.0%	14.7							0.0				0.0	0.3	1.5	2.7	3.7	3.2	2.7	86.4		0.0%