Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#110
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#134
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#88
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 7.5% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.7 10.7 11.5
.500 or above 69.3% 71.7% 40.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 61.4% 39.1%
Conference Champion 7.6% 8.0% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 4.4% 12.5%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.1%
First Round6.7% 7.1% 2.2%
Second Round1.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 92.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 8
Quad 36 - 49 - 12
Quad 48 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 308   Lafayette W 75-60 92%    
  Nov 08, 2025 225   Drexel W 69-58 84%    
  Nov 12, 2025 76   @ Virginia Tech L 66-72 28%    
  Nov 19, 2025 278   @ Penn W 76-69 75%    
  Nov 20, 2025 86   @ UNLV L 66-71 31%    
  Nov 30, 2025 179   Princeton W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 09, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 80-57 97%    
  Dec 11, 2025 64   @ Syracuse L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 18, 2025 341   Delaware St. W 82-64 94%    
  Dec 22, 2025 274   Coastal Carolina W 74-61 87%    
  Dec 31, 2025 70   @ Saint Louis L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 03, 2026 145   Davidson W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 07, 2026 116   Duquesne W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 11, 2026 131   @ Richmond L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 14, 2026 124   St. Bonaventure W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 19, 2026 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 24, 2026 65   Dayton L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 27, 2026 94   @ Loyola Chicago L 67-72 36%    
  Jan 31, 2026 187   @ La Salle W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 04, 2026 85   George Washington W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 07, 2026 101   @ George Mason L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 10, 2026 163   Fordham W 78-70 73%    
  Feb 18, 2026 124   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 21, 2026 94   Loyola Chicago W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 25, 2026 101   George Mason W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 28, 2026 143   @ Rhode Island W 74-73 50%    
  Mar 04, 2026 145   @ Davidson W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 07, 2026 187   La Salle W 76-67 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.2 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 4.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.3 2.3 3.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.6 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.4 0.4 5.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.2 0.7 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 3.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 4.0 5.6 7.8 8.9 10.1 11.3 10.9 10.8 9.2 7.2 4.9 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.9% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 89.6% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
15-3 70.3% 2.3    1.4 0.8 0.1
14-4 37.4% 1.8    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.2% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
12-6 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 80.1% 19.9% 60.1% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.1%
17-1 0.6% 68.1% 40.9% 27.2% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 46.0%
16-2 1.5% 57.8% 33.7% 24.1% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 36.4%
15-3 3.2% 35.9% 23.9% 12.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 2.1 15.7%
14-4 4.9% 26.8% 23.0% 3.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.6 4.9%
13-5 7.2% 14.2% 13.0% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.1 1.4%
12-6 9.2% 8.8% 8.5% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 8.4 0.4%
11-7 10.8% 5.6% 5.5% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.2 0.1%
10-8 10.9% 3.2% 3.2% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.6
9-9 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.0
8-10 10.1% 1.3% 1.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.0
7-11 8.9% 0.7% 0.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9
6-12 7.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
5-13 5.6% 5.6
4-14 4.0% 4.0
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.1% 5.8% 1.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 3.2 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 92.9 1.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0