America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
154 Umass Lowell 27.7%   15   3 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 +0.3      +2.2 116 -1.9 232 73.1 74 -1.4 191 0.0 1
176 Bryant 21.2%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 13 11 - 5 -0.8      -0.1 175 -0.7 193 82.6 5 -4.3 235 0.0 1
183 Vermont 19.7%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 13 10 - 6 -1.1      -3.1 258 +2.0 106 60.5 352 -3.2 221 0.0 1
211 Maine 14.9%   4 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 12 10 - 6 -2.4      -4.7 307 +2.3 100 66.2 264 -1.1 185 0.0 1
237 Albany 9.7%   4 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 14 9 - 7 -4.1      -1.4 212 -2.6 261 76.8 28 -2.5 205 0.0 1
296 Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.1%   3 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.9      -1.1 204 -5.8 337 80.0 12 -11.2 327 0.0 1
322 Binghamton 1.9%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 10 -9.0      -4.4 292 -4.6 316 64.6 299 -8.4 299 0.0 1
347 NJIT 0.5%   1 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 23 4 - 12 -12.3      -7.1 350 -5.2 326 64.8 294 -16.6 356 0.0 1
350 New Hampshire 0.4%   0 - 10 0 - 0 5 - 24 4 - 12 -12.6      -9.3 362 -3.3 284 71.4 114 -20.5 364 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Umass Lowell 2.4 38.1 23.2 15.5 10.8 6.7 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
Bryant 2.8 27.7 22.7 18.3 13.8 9.2 5.1 2.3 0.9 0.2
Vermont 2.9 26.2 22.1 18.2 14.3 9.5 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.2
Maine 3.4 17.9 18.4 18.1 16.8 13.6 8.6 4.4 1.8 0.5
Albany 4.1 11.0 13.7 15.6 17.0 16.9 12.9 7.6 3.9 1.4
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.4 3.4 5.9 9.0 13.1 17.4 20.6 16.2 9.7 4.7
Binghamton 6.3 1.2 2.8 4.8 8.2 13.2 19.2 23.1 17.3 10.3
NJIT 7.5 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.7 11.4 19.7 28.5 29.8
New Hampshire 7.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 5.1 10.2 19.0 28.3 33.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.7 6.5 9.7 13.5 16.3 16.8 14.4 9.8 5.0 1.3
Bryant 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.3 8.7 12.6 15.8 16.8 15.4 10.9 6.5 2.7 0.7
Vermont 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 5.7 9.4 13.0 15.7 16.2 14.7 11.0 5.8 2.5 0.5
Maine 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.0 5.2 8.7 12.1 14.8 16.2 14.4 11.1 7.4 3.7 1.3 0.3
Albany 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.5 8.6 11.8 14.3 15.0 14.3 11.4 7.7 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7 - 9 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.2 7.7 11.5 14.9 15.5 14.6 11.9 8.0 5.0 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 10 0.3 1.6 4.7 8.8 13.2 16.0 16.2 13.9 10.8 7.2 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
NJIT 4 - 12 1.9 6.8 13.1 17.6 18.5 16.0 11.7 7.0 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 4 - 12 2.3 8.2 14.3 18.5 18.1 15.5 10.6 6.5 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Umass Lowell 38.1% 26.1 9.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Bryant 27.7% 17.6 7.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Vermont 26.2% 16.4 7.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Maine 17.9% 10.5 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
Albany 11.0% 5.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.4% 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 1.2% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Umass Lowell 27.7% 27.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.6 7.6 9.2 4.7 72.3 0.0%
Bryant 21.2% 21.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 7.8 6.2 78.8 0.0%
Vermont 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.7 7.3 5.4 80.3 0.0%
Maine 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 5.6 5.0 85.1 0.0%
Albany 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.5 3.7 90.3 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.6 95.9 0.0%
Binghamton 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 98.1 0.0%
NJIT 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Umass Lowell 27.7% 1.6% 27.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 21.2% 2.6% 20.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 19.7% 2.1% 18.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 14.9% 2.2% 13.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 9.7% 1.7% 8.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.1% 2.9% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 92.7% 0.9 7.3 92.7
2nd Round 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0