America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
222 Vermont 39.1%   16   13 - 10 7 - 3 -3.3      -0.6 177 -2.7 257 62.7 331 -3.6 224 -5.8 3
261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.8%   12 - 8 7 - 2 -5.6      -2.7 245 -2.9 263 66.0 248 -5.6 255 -3.8 2
315 NJIT 9.5%   12 - 12 8 - 2 -9.3      -6.7 339 -2.6 254 70.0 140 -5.1 247 -1.6 1
318 Umass Lowell 7.5%   7 - 15 5 - 5 -9.8      -4.9 302 -5.0 311 72.5 78 -10.1 323 -9.3 4
325 Albany 5.9%   5 - 17 4 - 6 -10.2      -4.6 294 -5.5 325 65.8 255 -12.3 342 -12.9 8
327 New Hampshire 6.4%   6 - 14 4 - 5 -10.5      -7.5 347 -3.0 266 68.7 179 -10.3 325 -10.0 5
340 Maine 4.4%   5 - 19 4 - 6 -11.6      -9.9 359 -1.6 225 63.5 320 -14.0 351 -11.8 6
344 Bryant 3.3%   6 - 16 4 - 6 -12.0      -7.4 345 -4.7 310 63.5 319 -11.8 338 -12.8 7
361 Binghamton 0.2%   2 - 20 1 - 9 -16.6      -8.9 353 -7.8 356 64.7 287 -21.0 364 -20.8 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 7 344 Bryant 73 340 Maine 67   
Sat, Feb 7 325 Albany 79 318 Umass Lowell 89   
Sat, Feb 7 361 Binghamton 64 315 NJIT 73   
Sat, Feb 7 327 New Hampshire 57 222 Vermont 80   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 12 315 NJIT 70 327 New Hampshire 71 57%   
Thu, Feb 12 344 Bryant 69 318 Umass Lowell 74 69%   
Thu, Feb 12 340 Maine 65 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 68 61%   
Thu, Feb 12 361 Binghamton 64 222 Vermont 74 83%   
Sat, Feb 14 340 Maine 67 315 NJIT 66 53%   
Sat, Feb 14 327 New Hampshire 70 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 72 57%   
Sat, Feb 14 344 Bryant 62 222 Vermont 74 86%   
Sat, Feb 14 361 Binghamton 69 325 Albany 72 63%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.7 49.3 33.1 15.5 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.8 47.5 28.9 18.7 3.9 0.9 0.1 0.1
NJIT 2.1 33.7 31.4 29.2 4.8 0.9 0.1
Umass Lowell 4.4 0.7 4.5 14.7 42.1 22.2 10.0 4.2 1.5 0.0
Albany 6.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 11.6 22.5 26.5 21.1 14.6 0.6
New Hampshire 5.0 0.4 2.9 10.1 29.0 25.0 15.9 9.5 6.9 0.2
Maine 5.9 0.0 0.5 3.2 14.3 21.0 23.8 20.7 16.0 0.5
Bryant 6.5 0.0 0.1 1.2 7.6 14.4 22.5 28.7 24.5 1.0
Binghamton 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 6.6 90.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 11 - 5 17 - 12 0.0 0.5 3.7 14.4 31.3 33.7 16.4
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 16 - 11 0.1 2.1 7.4 17.7 26.5 26.0 15.6 4.6
NJIT 11 - 5 15 - 15 2.7 11.5 23.8 28.9 21.5 9.6 1.9
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 10 - 18 0.8 6.2 19.1 31.3 27.3 13.3 2.1
Albany 7 - 9 8 - 20 2.7 14.0 27.8 30.9 18.3 5.8 0.7
New Hampshire 8 - 8 10 - 17 0.9 5.2 14.6 24.1 26.4 19.1 8.1 1.6
Maine 7 - 9 8 - 22 3.2 14.2 26.9 28.4 19.2 6.8 1.4
Bryant 6 - 10 8 - 20 4.7 22.3 34.1 25.7 11.0 2.1 0.3
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 14.0 30.4 29.8 18.2 6.4 1.2 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 49.3% 28.3 16.7 4.1 0.2 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 47.5% 27.7 15.5 4.1 0.2 0.0
NJIT 33.7% 16.9 12.5 4.0 0.2 0.0
Umass Lowell 0.7% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Albany 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maine 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Bryant 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 39.1% 39.1% 0.0% 16   0.1 3.2 10.8 24.9 61.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.4 21.1 76.2 0.0%
NJIT 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.2 9.3 90.5 0.0%
Umass Lowell 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 7.5 92.5 0.0%
Albany 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 5.9 94.1 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.1 6.4 93.6 0.0%
Maine 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 4.4 95.6 0.0%
Bryant 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 3.3 96.7 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.9 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 67.4% 0.7 32.6 67.4
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 39.1% 11.6% 33.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.8% 15.2% 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 9.5% 7.9% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 7.5% 7.3% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.9% 5.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 4.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 3.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%