Preseason Rankings
America East
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
205 Vermont 29.8%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 11 11 - 5 -2.6      -2.9 258 +0.4 150 59.1 359 0.0 1 0.0 1
250 Bryant 19.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 10 - 6 -4.8      -2.1 235 -2.6 264 79.5 7 0.0 1 0.0 1
290 Maine 11.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 7 -7.2      -6.5 343 -0.7 188 65.3 254 0.0 1 0.0 1
295 Umass Lowell 11.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -7.4      -2.2 237 -5.3 332 70.8 103 0.0 1 0.0 1
302 Albany 9.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 8 - 8 -8.0      -3.3 271 -4.7 318 68.4 172 0.0 1 0.0 1
304 Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 14 8 - 8 -8.0      -0.9 193 -7.1 354 74.3 44 0.0 1 0.0 1
331 Binghamton 5.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -10.1      -5.8 328 -4.2 308 64.7 278 0.0 1 0.0 1
356 New Hampshire 2.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 20 5 - 11 -13.4      -7.3 354 -6.1 348 68.7 155 0.0 1 0.0 1
357 NJIT 1.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 22 5 - 11 -14.2      -9.4 359 -4.8 321 66.0 234 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.5 40.2 21.5 13.8 9.1 6.5 4.3 2.6 1.5 0.6
Bryant 3.3 25.5 19.8 16.1 12.7 9.4 7.1 4.8 3.1 1.4
Maine 4.1 15.0 15.4 14.9 14.3 12.2 10.5 8.3 6.0 3.3
Umass Lowell 4.5 11.5 13.2 13.9 13.5 13.3 12.2 10.3 7.7 4.5
Albany 4.5 11.0 12.5 14.1 13.8 13.3 12.2 10.5 7.8 4.8
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.6 10.7 12.5 13.6 13.5 13.2 12.6 10.5 8.4 5.0
Binghamton 5.4 5.9 8.4 10.3 11.7 13.2 14.2 14.2 12.8 9.3
New Hampshire 6.7 1.9 3.2 4.8 7.1 9.5 12.8 16.2 20.9 23.6
NJIT 7.0 1.3 2.4 3.9 5.8 8.6 11.4 15.9 22.0 28.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.8 4.7 6.5 9.1 11.7 13.5 14.2 13.5 10.9 7.0 3.0
Bryant 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.3 5.3 7.3 9.9 11.8 13.4 13.0 11.8 9.9 6.5 3.5 1.1
Maine 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.0 6.3 7.8 10.7 11.8 12.6 12.2 10.8 8.6 5.9 3.5 1.5 0.4
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.4 5.4 7.6 9.8 11.5 12.1 12.1 11.4 9.2 6.9 4.5 2.7 1.0 0.2
Albany 8 - 8 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.2 5.4 7.9 9.9 11.5 12.5 12.5 10.8 9.3 6.6 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.2
Maryland Baltimore Co. 8 - 8 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.6 5.6 7.8 10.4 11.4 12.5 12.0 10.7 9.0 6.6 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.2
Binghamton 7 - 9 0.4 1.7 3.6 6.1 8.8 10.6 12.6 12.4 11.7 10.3 8.2 6.1 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
New Hampshire 5 - 11 1.9 5.6 9.2 12.0 13.7 13.6 12.0 10.6 8.0 5.6 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
NJIT 5 - 11 2.5 7.1 11.0 13.6 14.5 13.6 11.7 9.0 6.8 4.5 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 40.2% 29.5 8.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Bryant 25.5% 17.1 6.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maine 15.0% 9.2 4.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 11.5% 7.0 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Albany 11.0% 6.5 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.7% 6.4 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 5.9% 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 1.9% 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
NJIT 1.3% 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 29.8% 29.8% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.3 5.9 8.3 12.8 70.2 0.0%
Bryant 19.5% 19.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.5 10.9 80.5 0.0%
Maine 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 8.3 88.5 0.0%
Umass Lowell 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 7.6 89.0 0.0%
Albany 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.2 7.3 90.3 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 6.9 90.9 0.0%
Binghamton 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.8 94.3 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 97.9 0.0%
NJIT 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.7 98.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 29.8% 7.8% 28.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 19.5% 7.2% 17.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 11.5% 5.8% 9.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 11.0% 5.2% 9.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 9.7% 5.4% 7.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.1% 4.8% 7.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 5.7% 3.7% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.1% 1.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 1.7% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 81.1% 0.9 18.9 73.9 7.3
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0