America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
212 Vermont 39.9%   16   12 - 9 6 - 2 -3.0      -0.7 186 -2.3 250 62.4 336 -2.7 206 -3.9 3
262 Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.2%   11 - 8 6 - 2 -5.6      -2.6 240 -3.0 268 66.0 254 -5.5 254 -3.7 2
314 Umass Lowell 8.2%   6 - 14 4 - 4 -9.2      -4.9 304 -4.3 302 72.5 83 -10.4 327 -9.8 5
317 Albany 6.6%   4 - 16 3 - 5 -9.6      -4.8 303 -4.7 311 66.2 249 -12.6 343 -13.4 8
320 New Hampshire 7.0%   6 - 13 4 - 4 -9.8      -6.9 337 -3.0 263 68.7 178 -10.0 325 -9.5 4
323 NJIT 7.8%   10 - 12 6 - 2 -10.1      -6.9 340 -3.2 274 70.3 139 -5.3 251 -1.9 1
346 Maine 3.5%   4 - 18 3 - 5 -11.7      -10.6 361 -1.1 214 63.2 322 -14.9 352 -12.9 7
347 Bryant 3.6%   5 - 15 3 - 5 -11.8      -7.3 346 -4.6 308 63.6 317 -11.2 335 -12.2 6
361 Binghamton 0.3%   2 - 18 1 - 7 -16.2      -8.6 354 -7.6 356 64.7 289 -20.5 362 -20.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 31 317 Albany 65 262 Maryland Baltimore Co. 68   
Sat, Jan 31 347 Bryant 92 320 New Hampshire 84   
Sat, Jan 31 323 NJIT 79 212 Vermont 77   
Sat, Jan 31 346 Maine 77 314 Umass Lowell 91   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 5 323 NJIT 76 314 Umass Lowell 74 58%   
Thu, Feb 5 347 Bryant 69 317 Albany 68 53%   
Thu, Feb 5 346 Maine 61 212 Vermont 67 71%   
Thu, Feb 5 361 Binghamton 63 262 Maryland Baltimore Co. 77 89%   
Sat, Feb 7 317 Albany 76 314 Umass Lowell 73 60%   
Sat, Feb 7 347 Bryant 64 346 Maine 61 61%   
Sat, Feb 7 320 New Hampshire 65 212 Vermont 74 82%   
Sat, Feb 7 361 Binghamton 66 323 NJIT 75 80%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.5 66.5 24.4 7.1 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.9 40.0 37.4 16.7 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 4.5 1.7 7.1 18.6 27.6 21.0 13.1 7.3 3.3 0.2
Albany 5.7 0.4 1.6 6.2 14.8 20.3 22.3 18.7 14.4 1.3
New Hampshire 4.6 1.6 6.1 16.0 26.8 22.0 14.7 8.5 4.0 0.3
NJIT 2.7 16.2 27.4 34.3 13.6 5.7 2.1 0.7 0.1
Maine 6.3 0.2 1.0 4.2 9.4 16.0 19.9 23.3 23.4 2.7
Bryant 6.2 0.1 0.7 3.4 10.7 16.2 21.2 24.0 21.6 2.3
Binghamton 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 4.3 13.4 80.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 9.3 20.8 29.6 26.2 10.7
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 16 - 11 0.0 0.5 2.6 8.7 19.4 26.0 24.2 14.4 4.2
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 10 - 18 0.3 2.9 9.9 20.1 25.9 23.3 13.0 4.0 0.5
Albany 7 - 9 8 - 20 0.8 4.3 12.9 22.6 26.3 20.7 9.3 2.8 0.5
New Hampshire 8 - 8 10 - 17 0.6 3.9 11.2 21.6 26.5 20.9 11.2 3.6 0.6
NJIT 10 - 6 14 - 16 0.5 3.7 11.2 21.0 25.0 22.2 11.3 4.4 0.7
Maine 6 - 10 7 - 23 2.0 8.5 18.6 25.3 23.4 14.3 6.0 1.6 0.3
Bryant 6 - 10 8 - 20 1.2 7.3 18.2 26.6 25.3 14.8 5.4 1.1 0.1
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 10.1 26.2 29.0 20.7 10.2 3.1 0.6 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 66.5% 47.0 16.2 2.9 0.3 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 40.0% 22.8 14.0 2.9 0.3 0.0
Umass Lowell 1.7% 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
Albany 0.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 1.6% 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
NJIT 16.2% 6.9 6.6 2.5 0.2 0.0
Maine 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Bryant 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 39.9% 39.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.5 3.6 13.4 22.4 60.1 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.2% 23.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.6 20.0 76.8 0.0%
Umass Lowell 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 8.2 91.8 0.0%
Albany 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 6.6 93.4 0.0%
New Hampshire 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 6.9 93.1 0.0%
NJIT 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.1 7.7 92.2 0.0%
Maine 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 3.5 96.5 0.0%
Bryant 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 3.6 96.4 0.0%
Binghamton 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 69.4% 0.7 30.6 69.4
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 39.9% 9.5% 35.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.2% 13.3% 16.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 8.2% 8.0% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 6.6% 6.5% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 7.0% 6.6% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 7.8% 6.8% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 3.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%