America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
181 Vermont 46.7%   16   7 - 7 1 - 0 19 - 10 13 - 3 -1.3      +2.1 113 -3.5 287 61.9 350 -1.6 195 +6.6 1
261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 18.8%   5 - 6 0 - 0 15 - 12 10 - 6 -5.8      -2.0 221 -3.8 300 67.9 225 -6.4 263 0.0 5
302 Umass Lowell 10.8%   3 - 10 1 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 7 -7.9      -2.8 245 -5.1 331 72.3 90 -9.9 318 +2.4 3
311 Bryant 9.3%   3 - 10 1 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 7 -8.5      -6.9 339 -1.6 221 66.2 267 -8.2 292 +6.5 2
322 Albany 5.8%   1 - 12 0 - 1 9 - 19 8 - 8 -9.8      -3.4 265 -6.5 343 68.4 213 -12.2 331 -20.1 7
341 New Hampshire 3.2%   2 - 10 0 - 1 9 - 18 7 - 9 -11.6      -8.8 355 -2.8 260 68.7 202 -11.8 327 -19.5 6
342 Maine 3.0%   1 - 14 0 - 1 7 - 23 6 - 10 -11.7      -11.1 362 -0.6 192 64.0 314 -18.9 357 -26.7 8
354 NJIT 1.9%   5 - 10 1 - 0 10 - 20 6 - 10 -13.2      -10.0 360 -3.2 276 70.4 152 -8.1 290 +1.7 4
362 Binghamton 0.5%   1 - 12 0 - 1 5 - 23 4 - 12 -16.5      -7.3 341 -9.2 362 65.1 292 -22.8 363 -31.4 9




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 31 354 NJIT 61 215 Penn 80   
Sat, Jan 3 311 Bryant 56 342 Maine 51   
Sat, Jan 3 362 Binghamton 65 354 NJIT 73   
Sat, Jan 3 341 New Hampshire 61 181 Vermont 80   
Sat, Jan 3 322 Albany 71 302 Umass Lowell 83   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Jan 8 311 Bryant 74 302 Umass Lowell 71 59%   
Thu, Jan 8 354 NJIT 69 341 New Hampshire 67 55%   
Thu, Jan 8 342 Maine 62 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 71 80%   
Thu, Jan 8 362 Binghamton 62 181 Vermont 80 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.4 72.5 17.7 6.2 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.9 20.4 30.1 19.3 12.6 8.0 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.3
Umass Lowell 3.7 9.8 20.4 21.1 17.2 13.3 8.8 5.7 2.9 0.9
Bryant 3.7 9.9 20.6 21.8 17.9 12.3 8.7 5.4 2.7 0.7
Albany 4.9 3.2 9.2 14.2 16.4 17.1 15.8 12.1 8.3 3.6
New Hampshire 5.8 1.0 5.1 9.1 12.4 14.8 16.9 17.0 15.3 8.4
Maine 5.9 1.1 4.3 8.5 12.0 14.8 17.3 18.0 15.6 8.4
NJIT 6.0 1.0 4.0 7.5 10.8 14.3 17.7 19.7 18.1 6.8
Binghamton 8.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.7 6.7 12.0 22.7 51.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.9 6.2 11.3 16.9 21.5 20.6 13.7 5.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.6 6.6 10.4 13.6 16.1 16.0 14.4 9.4 5.4 1.8 0.3
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.7 7.1 11.5 14.9 16.4 16.2 12.6 8.5 4.6 1.9 0.4 0.1
Bryant 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.4 6.8 10.8 15.1 17.1 16.4 13.3 8.5 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
Albany 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.5 5.3 9.3 13.6 16.6 16.8 14.1 10.2 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
New Hampshire 7 - 9 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.6 10.0 14.2 16.8 15.9 13.8 10.0 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maine 6 - 10 0.1 0.6 2.6 5.8 10.0 15.1 16.8 16.6 13.6 9.6 5.4 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
NJIT 6 - 10 0.3 2.0 6.2 11.5 15.9 18.6 16.3 12.7 8.3 4.6 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 4 - 12 3.2 10.4 17.3 20.0 18.8 13.6 8.6 4.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 72.5% 59.0 11.4 1.9 0.2 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 20.4% 12.0 6.8 1.4 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 9.8% 5.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
Bryant 9.9% 5.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0
Albany 3.2% 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
Maine 1.1% 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
NJIT 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 46.7% 46.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.7 3.1 8.4 17.4 17.0 53.3 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 15.7 81.2 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.5 89.2 0.0%
Bryant 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.0 90.7 0.0%
Albany 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 5.8 94.2 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 3.2 96.8 0.0%
Maine 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 3.0 97.0 0.0%
NJIT 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.9 98.1 0.0%
Binghamton 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 46.7% 6.1% 44.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 18.8% 10.7% 13.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.8% 9.5% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 9.3% 8.0% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.8% 5.7% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 3.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 1.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 75.1% 0.8 24.9 75.1
2nd Round 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0