America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
107 Vermont 43.4%   15   4 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 9 14 - 4 +4.3      -0.8 200 +5.1 52 65.2 278 +4.4 119 0.0 1
194 New Hampshire 13.1%   2 - 2 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 7 -1.4      +0.3 165 -1.8 237 59.9 349 +0.5 168 0.0 1
210 Umass Lowell 11.0%   3 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 12 11 - 7 -2.1      -1.4 212 -0.7 199 71.4 120 +5.7 96 0.0 1
211 Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.6%   3 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 13 11 - 7 -2.1      +0.9 141 -3.1 276 68.8 198 +0.7 166 0.0 1
237 Stony Brook 7.0%   1 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 16 9 - 9 -3.8      -1.9 232 -1.9 238 66.0 260 -6.7 270 0.0 1
254 NJIT 4.9%   2 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 15 9 - 9 -5.0      -5.9 328 +0.9 139 68.8 199 -5.1 246 0.0 1
259 Hartford 4.4%   0 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 19 9 - 9 -5.3      -0.7 194 -4.7 305 67.0 238 -14.3 338 0.0 1
285 Albany 3.1%   1 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 20 8 - 10 -7.0      -6.1 332 -0.9 207 70.1 161 -11.3 316 0.0 1
319 Binghamton 1.8%   1 - 3 0 - 0 8 - 18 6 - 12 -9.2      -4.1 286 -5.1 316 65.3 276 -9.5 305 0.0 1
352 Maine 0.0%   0 - 4 0 - 0 3 - 23 3 - 15 -15.8      -12.2 358 -3.5 284 63.6 311 -22.7 358 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Vermont 1.7 63.3 19.3 8.8 4.1 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
New Hampshire 3.7 15.9 21.0 17.1 13.8 10.9 8.7 6.4 4.0 1.8 0.4
Umass Lowell 4.0 11.3 18.6 17.3 15.5 11.3 10.0 7.1 5.3 3.1 0.5
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.0 12.2 16.3 18.3 14.4 13.0 10.2 7.4 4.8 2.8 0.6
Stony Brook 4.8 6.4 12.3 14.1 13.4 14.8 13.4 11.1 8.5 4.6 1.5
NJIT 5.4 4.1 8.5 11.4 14.0 13.2 12.7 12.5 13.2 8.8 1.7
Hartford 5.5 3.9 8.4 9.1 12.5 14.0 15.0 13.9 12.7 8.2 2.4
Albany 6.4 2.4 4.4 6.5 9.2 10.8 13.3 17.0 17.1 14.5 4.8
Binghamton 7.2 0.8 2.3 4.0 5.6 7.6 11.4 14.8 18.6 24.1 10.8
Maine 9.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.9 3.5 7.9 21.2 63.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vermont 14 - 4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.5 3.5 5.7 9.2 13.2 16.5 17.8 17.3 10.0 4.2
New Hampshire 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 4.9 7.4 10.1 12.5 13.6 13.3 11.7 9.2 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.4
Umass Lowell 11 - 7 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.4 3.6 6.8 8.4 11.3 13.4 13.4 13.1 10.7 7.6 4.2 1.9 1.3 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 7 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.0 4.1 6.5 9.2 11.9 12.6 14.5 13.2 10.0 7.1 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.2
Stony Brook 9 - 9 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.4 6.8 9.2 12.4 13.5 12.7 12.2 10.5 7.7 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.1
NJIT 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.9 7.2 9.6 10.8 12.4 12.7 12.1 12.0 7.2 5.4 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Hartford 9 - 9 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.4 3.9 6.8 9.2 11.6 13.4 14.0 12.4 9.2 7.6 4.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
Albany 8 - 10 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.7 6.8 10.9 13.6 13.0 12.9 12.4 9.0 5.9 4.6 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 12 0.7 2.3 4.6 8.6 10.8 14.1 14.2 12.4 10.4 8.3 5.8 4.0 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1
Maine 3 - 15 9.8 18.7 20.0 18.1 13.6 8.9 5.3 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 63.3% 50.4 10.6 2.1 0.2 0.0
New Hampshire 15.9% 9.5 5.0 1.3 0.2 0.0
Umass Lowell 11.3% 7.0 3.4 0.8 0.2
Maryland Baltimore Co. 12.2% 7.1 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0
Stony Brook 6.4% 3.3 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
NJIT 4.1% 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Hartford 3.9% 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.1
Albany 2.4% 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.1
Binghamton 0.8% 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maine 0.1% 0.1


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 43.4% 43.2% 0.2% 15   0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.5 11.2 13.8 9.0 1.8 56.7 0.3%
New Hampshire 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.6 4.7 4.9 86.9 0.0%
Umass Lowell 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 0.2 0.8 2.7 3.9 3.5 89.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.4 4.6 88.4 0.0%
Stony Brook 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.8 93.0 0.0%
NJIT 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.3 95.1 0.0%
Hartford 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.2 0.9 3.3 95.7 0.0%
Albany 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.6 96.9 0.0%
Binghamton 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5 98.2 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 43.4% 0.5% 43.1% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 13.1% 1.9% 12.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 11.0% 1.1% 10.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.6% 1.8% 10.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 7.0% 2.0% 6.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 4.9% 1.9% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 4.4% 2.1% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 3.1% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.8% 1.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 93.0% 0.9 7.0 93.0 0.1
2nd Round 9.4% 0.1 90.6 9.4
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0