America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
211 Vermont 39.8%   16   12 - 9 6 - 2 -3.0      -0.7 185 -2.3 251 62.4 337 -2.7 206 -3.9 3
261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.6%   11 - 8 6 - 2 -5.6      -2.6 242 -3.0 268 66.0 255 -5.5 252 -3.7 2
314 Umass Lowell 8.6%   6 - 14 4 - 4 -9.2      -4.9 304 -4.4 304 72.5 83 -10.4 329 -9.8 5
316 Albany 7.4%   4 - 16 3 - 5 -9.5      -4.8 302 -4.7 311 66.2 250 -12.6 343 -13.4 8
320 New Hampshire 6.8%   6 - 13 4 - 4 -9.8      -6.8 339 -3.0 270 68.7 178 -10.0 327 -9.5 4
324 NJIT 7.0%   10 - 12 6 - 2 -10.1      -6.9 343 -3.2 275 70.3 141 -5.4 248 -1.9 1
346 Maine 3.2%   4 - 18 3 - 5 -11.7      -10.6 361 -1.1 213 63.2 322 -14.8 352 -12.9 7
347 Bryant 3.6%   5 - 15 3 - 5 -11.8      -7.2 344 -4.5 308 63.6 317 -11.2 333 -12.2 6
361 Binghamton 0.2%   2 - 18 1 - 7 -16.1      -8.5 354 -7.6 356 64.7 291 -20.5 362 -20.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Jan 29 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 55 211 Vermont 64   
Thu, Jan 29 320 New Hampshire 66 314 Umass Lowell 61   
Thu, Jan 29 324 NJIT 77 316 Albany 68   
Thu, Jan 29 361 Binghamton 63 347 Bryant 60   
Sat, Jan 31 316 Albany 65 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 68   
Sat, Jan 31 347 Bryant 92 320 New Hampshire 84   
Sat, Jan 31 324 NJIT 79 211 Vermont 77   
Sat, Jan 31 346 Maine 77 314 Umass Lowell 91   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 5 324 NJIT 76 314 Umass Lowell 74 58%   
Thu, Feb 5 347 Bryant 69 316 Albany 68 53%   
Thu, Feb 5 346 Maine 61 211 Vermont 67 71%   
Thu, Feb 5 361 Binghamton 63 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 77 89%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.4 67.1 23.8 7.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.9 39.7 38.1 15.6 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 4.5 1.8 7.0 18.1 28.5 20.6 13.3 7.3 3.2 0.2
Albany 5.7 0.3 1.8 6.5 15.2 19.8 22.4 19.4 13.2 1.5
New Hampshire 4.6 1.3 6.0 15.7 26.8 22.4 14.9 8.9 3.7 0.3
NJIT 2.7 16.0 27.6 34.4 14.1 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
Maine 6.3 0.1 0.9 4.2 9.8 14.6 19.8 23.0 24.8 2.7
Bryant 6.2 0.1 0.8 3.7 10.2 16.1 22.0 23.1 21.7 2.3
Binghamton 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.2 12.8 80.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 0.0 0.5 3.2 9.4 19.5 30.2 26.5 10.7
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 16 - 11 0.0 0.6 3.0 8.5 18.4 26.7 24.2 15.1 3.6
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 10 - 18 0.3 2.7 10.5 19.5 26.5 23.0 12.7 4.1 0.6
Albany 7 - 9 8 - 20 0.6 4.3 12.6 23.0 26.4 20.2 9.6 3.0 0.3
New Hampshire 8 - 8 10 - 17 0.6 3.6 11.6 21.7 26.7 21.0 10.9 3.5 0.4
NJIT 10 - 6 14 - 16 0.5 3.2 11.5 21.3 24.8 22.1 11.8 4.0 0.7
Maine 6 - 10 7 - 23 2.0 9.0 19.7 24.7 23.0 13.8 6.0 1.6 0.2
Bryant 6 - 10 8 - 20 1.0 7.1 18.0 27.6 24.5 15.0 5.5 1.1 0.1
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 9.8 25.1 29.3 22.1 9.4 3.5 0.8 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 67.1% 47.4 16.5 2.8 0.3 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 39.7% 22.4 14.4 2.7 0.3 0.0
Umass Lowell 1.8% 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Albany 0.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 1.3% 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
NJIT 16.0% 6.8 6.7 2.2 0.2 0.0
Maine 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bryant 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 39.8% 39.8% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.6 4.0 12.2 22.9 60.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.6% 23.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 2.7 20.4 76.4 0.0%
Umass Lowell 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 8.5 91.4 0.0%
Albany 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 7.4 92.7 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 0.1 6.7 93.2 0.0%
NJIT 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 6.9 93.0 0.0%
Maine 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 3.2 96.8 0.0%
Bryant 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 3.6 96.4 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.2% 0.7 28.8 71.2
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 39.8% 9.0% 35.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.6% 13.5% 17.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 8.6% 8.1% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 7.4% 7.4% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.8% 6.5% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 7.0% 6.1% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 3.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%