America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
229 Vermont 35.1%   16   16 - 11 10 - 4 -3.8      -1.5 214 -2.3 243 63.4 316 -3.7 232 -5.2 3
234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 34.8%   16 - 8 11 - 2 -4.1      -2.3 234 -1.8 230 66.2 244 -3.9 235 -1.1 1
311 Umass Lowell 9.1%   10 - 15 8 - 5 -8.8      -3.9 275 -4.9 312 72.4 76 -9.5 318 -8.6 4
315 Albany 6.6%   7 - 18 6 - 7 -9.5      -4.0 277 -5.5 323 64.9 277 -11.1 329 -11.1 5
318 NJIT 8.5%   14 - 14 10 - 4 -9.6      -6.7 332 -2.9 259 69.2 158 -5.9 258 -4.6 2
343 Maine 2.5%   6 - 21 5 - 8 -12.5      -11.2 360 -1.3 212 63.8 312 -14.2 350 -12.8 6
346 New Hampshire 2.2%   6 - 18 4 - 9 -12.8      -9.1 352 -3.7 285 68.7 173 -13.2 345 -14.3 7
354 Bryant 1.1%   6 - 19 4 - 9 -14.3      -7.5 343 -6.8 347 63.3 320 -13.7 347 -15.1 8
359 Binghamton 0.1%   3 - 23 2 - 12 -16.2      -7.8 346 -8.4 359 64.6 283 -20.0 360 -19.0 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 19 318 NJIT 63 315 Albany 81   
Thu, Feb 19 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 75 229 Vermont 62   
Thu, Feb 19 359 Binghamton 79 354 Bryant 67   
Thu, Feb 19 346 New Hampshire 56 311 Umass Lowell 78   
Sat, Feb 21 315 Albany 62 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 66   
Sat, Feb 21 318 NJIT 64 229 Vermont 70   
Sat, Feb 21 343 Maine 61 346 New Hampshire 58   
Sat, Feb 21 359 Binghamton 79 311 Umass Lowell 92   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 26 311 Umass Lowell 70 229 Vermont 78 78%   
Thu, Feb 26 343 Maine 63 315 Albany 69 72%   
Thu, Feb 26 359 Binghamton 69 346 New Hampshire 70 51%   
Thu, Feb 26 354 Bryant 63 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 76 89%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.0 14.4 74.3 10.4 0.9
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.0 98.2 1.1 0.8
Umass Lowell 3.8 0.1 4.7 9.9 82.8 2.4
Albany 4.9 18.1 71.1 8.8 2.0
NJIT 2.4 12.5 32.0 54.4 1.1
Maine 5.9 3.7 21.2 59.4 15.1 0.7
New Hampshire 6.7 8.7 31.7 38.9 20.8
Bryant 7.3 0.9 17.4 29.6 52.0
Binghamton 8.8 15.0 85.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 4.8 32.8 62.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 13 - 3 18 - 9 2.2 20.9 45.8 31.1
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 11 - 17 22.3 43.7 28.4 5.6
Albany 8 - 8 9 - 19 6.9 33.2 48.8 11.2
NJIT 11 - 5 15 - 15 25.9 50.5 23.6
Maine 6 - 10 7 - 23 18.5 41.6 32.1 7.7
New Hampshire 5 - 11 7 - 20 13.1 39.7 37.0 10.3
Bryant 5 - 11 7 - 21 34.9 45.1 18.1 1.9
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 27.2 48.4 24.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 14.4% 0.6 6.9 6.9 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 98.2% 80.8 10.3 6.9 0.1
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.0 0.1
Albany
NJIT 12.5% 0.5 5.0 6.9 0.1
Maine
New Hampshire
Bryant
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 35.1% 35.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 1.0 11.9 22.3 64.9 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 7.5 26.6 65.2 0.0%
Umass Lowell 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 9.1 90.9 0.0%
Albany 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 6.6 93.4 0.0%
NJIT 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.1 8.4 91.5 0.0%
Maine 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5 97.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 2.2 97.8 0.0%
Bryant 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.4% 0.7 28.6 71.4
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 35.1% 9.5% 30.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 34.8% 15.6% 27.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 9.1% 9.0% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 6.6% 6.6% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 8.5% 7.6% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 2.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 1.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%