America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
218 Vermont 37.9%   16   15 - 10 9 - 3 -3.3      -0.7 182 -2.5 254 63.3 325 -3.6 223 -5.3 3
238 Maryland Baltimore Co. 29.8%   14 - 8 9 - 2 -4.3      -2.0 225 -2.4 246 66.4 241 -4.6 242 -2.2 2
305 NJIT 11.9%   14 - 12 10 - 2 -8.6      -6.5 335 -2.1 239 69.9 139 -4.2 234 -0.2 1
315 Umass Lowell 7.8%   8 - 15 6 - 5 -9.4      -4.3 285 -5.0 314 72.4 76 -9.9 320 -9.0 4
324 Albany 5.2%   6 - 17 5 - 6 -10.4      -4.8 298 -5.7 325 66.1 251 -11.7 336 -12.1 5
337 New Hampshire 3.4%   6 - 16 4 - 7 -11.8      -7.8 346 -4.0 294 68.7 177 -11.9 338 -12.4 6
345 Maine 2.3%   5 - 21 4 - 8 -12.6      -10.7 360 -1.8 229 63.7 312 -15.2 353 -14.0 8
351 Bryant 1.6%   6 - 18 4 - 8 -13.4      -7.5 344 -5.9 328 63.5 316 -12.6 342 -13.6 7
361 Binghamton 0.0%   2 - 22 1 - 11 -16.5      -9.0 353 -7.5 353 64.7 285 -21.7 364 -22.3 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 12 361 Binghamton 65 218 Vermont 73   
Thu, Feb 12 305 NJIT 76 337 New Hampshire 70   
Thu, Feb 12 345 Maine 62 238 Maryland Baltimore Co. 78   
Thu, Feb 12 351 Bryant 69 315 Umass Lowell 88   
Sat, Feb 14 345 Maine 58 305 NJIT 67   
Sat, Feb 14 361 Binghamton 74 324 Albany 77   
Sat, Feb 14 351 Bryant 63 218 Vermont 90   
Sat, Feb 14 337 New Hampshire 63 238 Maryland Baltimore Co. 85   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 19 238 Maryland Baltimore Co. 72 218 Vermont 70 57%   
Thu, Feb 19 305 NJIT 74 324 Albany 69 68%   
Thu, Feb 19 337 New Hampshire 72 315 Umass Lowell 77 70%   
Thu, Feb 19 361 Binghamton 65 351 Bryant 71 72%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.1 30.2 35.5 32.8 1.4 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.6 58.7 26.9 14.1 0.4
NJIT 1.7 45.8 33.9 20.3 0.1
Umass Lowell 4.1 0.1 1.4 7.2 78.1 11.0 2.0 0.3 0.0
Albany 5.3 0.0 0.6 19.1 47.7 22.1 7.9 2.6
New Hampshire 5.8 0.0 14.1 30.2 29.3 15.5 10.7 0.1
Maine 6.6 4.6 15.6 24.3 30.6 24.7 0.2
Bryant 6.7 1.5 11.7 26.6 34.7 25.3 0.4
Binghamton 8.9 0.2 1.4 4.6 93.9

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 1.1 9.3 31.0 40.6 17.9
Maryland Baltimore Co. 12 - 4 17 - 10 0.3 3.9 15.9 32.4 33.1 14.5
NJIT 12 - 4 16 - 14 5.5 22.4 36.5 27.7 8.0
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 11 - 17 1.7 11.8 30.2 34.9 18.3 3.1
Albany 7 - 9 8 - 20 5.6 24.4 37.9 24.4 6.8 0.9
New Hampshire 7 - 9 9 - 18 3.2 15.6 31.1 31.0 15.7 3.3
Maine 6 - 10 7 - 23 11.9 31.9 34.7 17.7 3.9
Bryant 6 - 10 8 - 20 10.5 36.0 36.8 14.8 1.9
Binghamton 2 - 14 3 - 25 19.5 38.8 30.2 10.2 1.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 30.2% 12.1 13.0 5.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 58.7% 34.9 18.6 5.1 0.0
NJIT 45.8% 23.4 17.2 5.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Albany
New Hampshire
Maine
Bryant
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 37.9% 37.9% 0.0% 16   0.1 2.2 11.4 24.3 62.1 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 29.8% 29.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 5.8 23.3 70.2 0.0%
NJIT 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.4 11.5 88.1 0.0%
Umass Lowell 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 7.8 92.2 0.0%
Albany 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 5.2 94.8 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Maine 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3 97.7 0.0%
Bryant 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6 98.4 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.2% 0.7 28.8 71.2
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 37.9% 10.7% 32.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 29.8% 14.3% 23.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 11.9% 9.5% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 7.8% 7.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 2.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 1.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%