America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
230 Vermont 35.9%   16   16 - 11 10 - 4 -3.8      -1.5 211 -2.3 242 63.5 316 -3.7 232 -5.2 3
234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 34.2%   16 - 8 11 - 2 -4.0      -2.3 235 -1.8 230 66.2 245 -3.9 236 -1.2 1
311 Umass Lowell 9.4%   10 - 15 8 - 5 -8.9      -4.0 274 -5.0 311 72.5 77 -9.6 319 -8.6 4
315 Albany 6.5%   7 - 18 6 - 7 -9.6      -4.0 275 -5.6 323 64.9 278 -11.2 332 -11.1 5
316 NJIT 8.5%   14 - 14 10 - 4 -9.6      -6.7 334 -2.9 262 69.3 155 -6.0 260 -4.6 2
343 Maine 2.5%   6 - 21 5 - 8 -12.6      -11.2 360 -1.3 215 63.7 312 -14.3 350 -12.8 6
346 New Hampshire 1.8%   6 - 18 4 - 9 -12.9      -9.2 354 -3.7 287 68.7 172 -13.2 345 -14.4 7
354 Bryant 1.2%   6 - 19 4 - 9 -14.4      -7.5 342 -6.9 347 63.3 321 -13.7 347 -15.1 8
358 Binghamton 0.1%   3 - 23 2 - 12 -16.3      -7.8 345 -8.5 358 64.6 282 -20.0 360 -19.1 9


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 26 311 Umass Lowell 70 230 Vermont 78 78%   
Thu, Feb 26 343 Maine 63 315 Albany 69 72%   
Thu, Feb 26 358 Binghamton 69 346 New Hampshire 70 52%   
Thu, Feb 26 354 Bryant 63 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 76 89%   
Sat, Feb 28 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. 76 311 Umass Lowell 74 57%   
Sat, Feb 28 346 New Hampshire 67 315 Albany 74 73%   
Sat, Feb 28 354 Bryant 69 316 NJIT 70 57%   
Sat, Feb 28 358 Binghamton 65 343 Maine 66 53%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.0 14.1 74.5 10.5 1.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.0 98.3 1.0 0.7
Umass Lowell 3.8 0.1 4.9 10.1 82.5 2.4
Albany 5.0 18.0 71.0 8.7 2.4
NJIT 2.5 11.7 32.7 54.4 1.2
Maine 5.9 3.6 21.2 59.3 15.1 0.8
New Hampshire 6.7 8.8 32.7 37.9 20.7
Bryant 7.3 1.0 17.4 30.0 51.7
Binghamton 8.9 14.6 85.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 4.9 33.5 61.6
Maryland Baltimore Co. 13 - 3 18 - 9 2.2 20.2 46.7 31.0
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 11 - 17 21.9 43.5 29.0 5.6
Albany 8 - 8 9 - 19 7.2 32.7 48.4 11.7
NJIT 11 - 5 15 - 15 26.3 50.4 23.3
Maine 6 - 10 7 - 23 19.0 41.3 31.7 7.9
New Hampshire 5 - 11 7 - 20 12.9 39.3 37.6 10.2
Bryant 5 - 11 7 - 21 34.8 45.0 18.4 1.8
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 28.1 47.9 24.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 14.1% 0.7 6.9 6.4 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 98.3% 81.5 10.3 6.5 0.1
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.0 0.1
Albany
NJIT 11.7% 0.3 4.8 6.5 0.1
Maine
New Hampshire
Bryant
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 35.9% 35.9% 0.0% 16   0.9 11.9 23.2 64.1 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 34.2% 34.2% 0.0% 0.6 7.2 26.3 65.9 0.0%
Umass Lowell 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 9.4 90.6 0.0%
Albany 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 6.5 93.6 0.0%
NJIT 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.1 8.4 91.5 0.0%
Maine 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5 97.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Bryant 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2 98.9 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.8% 0.7 28.2 71.8
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 35.9% 10.0% 31.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 34.2% 15.2% 27.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 9.4% 9.2% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 6.5% 6.4% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 8.5% 7.4% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 2.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 1.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%