America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
188 Vermont 43.0%   16   6 - 7 0 - 0 18 - 11 12 - 4 -1.9      +1.8 123 -3.7 293 62.1 348 -1.9 198 0.0 1
263 Maryland Baltimore Co. 19.0%   5 - 6 0 - 0 15 - 12 10 - 6 -5.8      -2.1 227 -3.7 294 67.8 231 -6.3 263 0.0 1
305 Umass Lowell 10.0%   2 - 10 0 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 7 -8.4      -3.2 259 -5.2 333 73.0 81 -11.3 326 0.0 1
312 Bryant 8.6%   2 - 10 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 8 -8.9      -6.0 323 -2.9 270 65.7 282 -10.1 320 0.0 1
314 Albany 7.9%   1 - 11 0 - 0 9 - 19 8 - 8 -9.3      -3.1 257 -6.1 343 68.4 214 -10.8 322 0.0 1
333 New Hampshire 5.0%   2 - 9 0 - 0 9 - 18 7 - 9 -10.8      -8.6 356 -2.2 241 68.7 203 -10.8 321 0.0 1
336 Maine 4.2%   1 - 13 0 - 0 8 - 22 7 - 9 -11.4      -10.0 359 -1.4 212 63.4 329 -17.6 351 0.0 1
356 NJIT 1.7%   4 - 10 0 - 0 10 - 20 6 - 10 -13.7      -10.6 363 -3.1 279 71.1 129 -8.7 298 0.0 1
361 Binghamton 0.7%   1 - 11 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 12 -15.8      -7.4 341 -8.5 359 66.1 270 -21.3 363 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 30 237 Princeton 75 188 Vermont 69   
Tue, Dec 30 26 Nebraska 86 333 New Hampshire 55   
Tue, Dec 30 85 South Carolina 96 314 Albany 67   
Wed, Dec 31 356 NJIT 61 218 Penn 80   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 3 314 Albany 76 305 Umass Lowell 80 65%   
Sat, Jan 3 312 Bryant 63 336 Maine 64 52%   
Sat, Jan 3 333 New Hampshire 66 188 Vermont 72 72%   
Sat, Jan 3 361 Binghamton 70 356 NJIT 69 54%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.6 65.4 19.2 8.3 3.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.9 23.6 27.8 18.4 12.3 7.6 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.5
Umass Lowell 4.2 8.8 16.1 17.0 16.2 14.0 11.4 8.7 5.2 2.6
Bryant 4.3 8.5 15.3 17.3 16.3 13.9 11.2 8.9 5.9 2.7
Albany 4.5 6.7 13.7 16.5 15.9 15.3 12.7 9.5 6.5 3.2
New Hampshire 5.3 3.8 8.5 11.5 13.4 14.7 15.5 14.5 11.4 6.7
Maine 5.3 3.3 8.1 11.5 14.0 15.1 15.3 14.9 11.2 6.6
NJIT 6.7 0.7 2.5 4.9 8.0 10.3 14.1 17.8 22.6 19.1
Binghamton 7.5 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.4 9.6 14.8 23.2 38.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.9 8.8 14.0 18.3 19.5 17.1 10.1 3.2
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.5 6.7 10.3 14.0 16.1 16.3 13.6 9.7 5.0 2.0 0.3
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.0 5.9 10.2 13.2 15.2 15.6 13.6 10.3 6.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0
Bryant 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.5 6.6 9.8 13.3 15.6 15.2 13.7 9.9 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
Albany 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.1 7.3 10.8 14.7 15.7 15.2 12.6 8.8 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
New Hampshire 7 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.0 7.5 11.3 14.5 16.0 14.6 11.8 9.1 5.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
Maine 7 - 9 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.9 7.6 11.4 14.6 16.2 15.3 12.1 8.4 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
NJIT 6 - 10 0.4 2.0 5.6 10.6 15.0 17.0 16.4 13.3 9.3 5.9 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 4 - 12 1.5 6.3 11.9 16.5 18.4 16.5 12.0 8.6 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 65.4% 51.5 11.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 23.6% 14.6 7.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 8.8% 4.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0
Bryant 8.5% 4.6 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Albany 6.7% 3.2 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 3.8% 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine 3.3% 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
NJIT 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 43.0% 43.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.4 1.9 6.1 15.4 19.2 57.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 19.0% 19.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 15.9 81.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.8 90.0 0.0%
Bryant 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 8.4 91.4 0.0%
Albany 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.7 92.2 0.0%
New Hampshire 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 5.0 95.0 0.0%
Maine 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 4.2 95.9 0.0%
NJIT 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Binghamton 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 43.0% 8.0% 39.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 19.0% 11.3% 13.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.0% 9.0% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 8.6% 7.9% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 7.9% 7.4% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 5.0% 4.8% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 4.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 1.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 72.2% 0.7 27.8 72.2
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0