America East
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
146 Vermont 42.3%   15   11 - 10 6 - 2 17 - 12 12 - 4 +1.2      +0.3 163 +1.0 141 63.8 297 +0.6 157 +2.0 1
177 Umass Lowell 25.2%   16 - 6 6 - 4 21 - 8 10 - 6 -0.2      -0.3 185 +0.1 171 70.9 106 +0.3 162 -3.7 5
195 Bryant 16.8%   12 - 8 5 - 4 16 - 11 9 - 7 -1.3      +2.2 111 -3.5 280 80.0 6 +0.7 151 -4.8 6
217 Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.4%   14 - 9 5 - 4 18 - 12 9 - 7 -2.3      +3.3 81 -5.5 324 69.6 134 -1.6 202 -3.3 4
272 New Hampshire 2.2%   9 - 10 6 - 3 12 - 14 9 - 7 -5.8      -4.2 301 -1.6 232 61.7 331 -4.7 255 -1.0 2
288 Maine 1.4%   7 - 13 3 - 6 10 - 17 6 - 10 -6.8      -3.3 277 -3.5 279 65.9 249 -6.5 282 -8.6 8
320 NJIT 0.3%   5 - 15 3 - 5 8 - 20 6 - 10 -9.0      -5.9 329 -3.1 266 66.0 245 -10.8 331 -8.6 7
324 Binghamton 0.3%   7 - 13 5 - 4 10 - 17 8 - 8 -9.2      -4.3 303 -5.0 317 66.2 238 -7.9 298 -2.4 3
336 Albany 0.1%   4 - 18 1 - 8 6 - 23 3 - 13 -10.7      -4.5 311 -6.2 336 67.4 201 -12.2 339 -16.7 9






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.2 86.0 9.1 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 2.8 13.5 34.0 25.0 15.9 8.5 2.7 0.4 0.0
Bryant 3.3 9.5 25.4 22.3 18.7 14.8 6.8 2.2 0.4 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.3 7.8 28.7 22.3 17.4 13.7 7.5 2.3 0.4 0.0
New Hampshire 3.5 7.6 22.3 23.1 21.1 15.7 7.9 2.0 0.2
Maine 6.6 0.1 0.8 2.3 4.6 9.8 19.9 37.2 23.1 2.2
NJIT 7.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.4 5.4 12.8 30.0 42.7 5.2
Binghamton 5.3 0.8 4.3 8.6 13.7 21.6 31.8 15.2 4.0 0.1
Albany 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.9 15.7 79.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 8.7 20.1 30.6 27.3 10.4
Umass Lowell 10 - 6 0.2 1.9 10.5 27.5 34.4 20.6 5.1
Bryant 9 - 7 0.2 2.1 7.7 17.8 27.6 26.4 14.2 3.8
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 0.2 1.7 7.3 17.4 26.9 26.8 15.6 4.0
New Hampshire 9 - 7 1.1 7.1 20.4 31.2 25.1 11.8 2.9 0.3
Maine 6 - 10 1.5 8.6 20.3 28.0 23.8 13.0 4.2 0.6
NJIT 6 - 10 5.4 17.9 27.3 25.5 15.5 6.4 1.7 0.3 0.0
Binghamton 8 - 8 3.3 14.9 28.3 29.5 17.2 5.7 0.9 0.1
Albany 3 - 13 9.7 26.2 31.4 21.3 8.7 2.3 0.4 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 86.0% 68.6 13.5 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 13.5% 4.4 6.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
Bryant 9.5% 2.6 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.8% 1.9 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 7.6% 2.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Maine 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 0.8% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Albany


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 42.3% 42.3% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.8 7.5 18.9 13.4 1.7 57.7 0.0%
Umass Lowell 25.2% 25.2% 0.0% 0.0 1.1 9.1 12.6 2.4 74.8 0.0%
Bryant 16.8% 16.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 5.7 8.4 1.9 83.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 5.3 4.9 88.6 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.9 97.8 0.0%
Maine 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%
NJIT 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
Binghamton 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%
Albany 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 42.3% 0.5% 42.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 25.2% 0.3% 25.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 16.8% 0.4% 16.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.4% 1.6% 10.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.9% 1.0 3.1 96.9
2nd Round 5.8% 0.1 94.2 5.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0