Albany
America East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#336
Expected Predictive Rating-12.2#339
Pace67.4#201
Improvement-0.1#195

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#311
First Shot-2.9#277
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#295
Layup/Dunks-3.1#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#86
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement-0.3#247

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#336
First Shot-6.0#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#189
Layups/Dunks-7.7#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#48
Freethrows-2.4#331
Improvement+0.2#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 91.9% 81.5% 94.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 45 - 106 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 141   @ Towson L 62-67 9%     0 - 1 -0.6 -5.7 +4.8
  Nov 12, 2022 151   @ Siena L 62-75 10%     0 - 2 -9.4 -5.5 -4.6
  Nov 17, 2022 162   @ Saint Joseph's L 79-99 11%     0 - 3 -17.0 +1.0 -16.1
  Nov 21, 2022 315   Austin Peay L 59-74 41%     0 - 4 -23.2 -10.7 -14.1
  Nov 22, 2022 330   Presbyterian W 68-65 47%     1 - 4 -7.0 -6.4 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2022 52   Florida Atlantic L 56-73 6%     1 - 5 -9.9 -9.7 -1.5
  Nov 29, 2022 236   @ American L 62-88 18%     1 - 6 -27.1 -1.1 -30.6
  Dec 05, 2022 143   @ Massachusetts L 73-87 9%     1 - 7 -9.7 -5.1 -3.0
  Dec 10, 2022 25   @ Providence L 55-93 2%     1 - 8 -22.3 -13.8 -6.8
  Dec 14, 2022 363   LIU Brooklyn W 76-59 83%     2 - 8 -4.0 -13.4 +7.6
  Dec 18, 2022 220   @ Loyola Chicago L 56-68 15%     2 - 9 -11.8 -9.2 -4.2
  Dec 20, 2022 271   @ Northern Illinois W 83-78 23%     3 - 9 +2.0 +4.2 -2.4
  Dec 28, 2022 16   @ Virginia L 46-66 1%     3 - 10 -3.1 -11.9 +6.0
  Dec 31, 2022 272   New Hampshire L 51-67 42%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -24.5 -16.6 -10.5
  Jan 05, 2023 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 83-92 15%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -8.6 +4.1 -12.4
  Jan 08, 2023 177   Umass Lowell W 89-63 23%     4 - 12 1 - 2 +23.0 +21.5 +3.4
  Jan 11, 2023 195   @ Bryant L 69-86 13%     4 - 13 1 - 3 -15.6 -2.0 -14.6
  Jan 14, 2023 320   @ NJIT L 67-74 33%     4 - 14 1 - 4 -13.3 -6.2 -7.2
  Jan 19, 2023 324   Binghamton L 54-65 55%     4 - 15 1 - 5 -23.0 -19.7 -4.3
  Jan 25, 2023 272   @ New Hampshire L 65-84 23%     4 - 16 1 - 6 -22.0 -6.6 -15.8
  Jan 28, 2023 288   Maine L 68-72 45%     4 - 17 1 - 7 -13.5 -2.3 -11.6
  Feb 01, 2023 177   @ Umass Lowell L 50-66 11%     4 - 18 1 - 8 -13.5 -18.5 +4.0
  Feb 04, 2023 146   Vermont L 63-72 20%    
  Feb 08, 2023 195   Bryant L 75-82 28%    
  Feb 11, 2023 324   @ Binghamton L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 15, 2023 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 18, 2023 288   @ Maine L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 25, 2023 320   NJIT W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 28, 2023 146   @ Vermont L 60-75 8%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.4 2.1 1.4 0.1 3.9 7th
8th 2.3 8.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 9.7 26.2 29.1 12.9 1.6 0.0 79.6 9th
Total 9.7 26.2 31.4 21.3 8.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
7-9 0.4% 0.4
6-10 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-11 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
4-12 21.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.3
3-13 31.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 31.4
2-14 26.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.1
1-15 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
0-16
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0