Maine
America East
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#265
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#265
Pace65.0#296
Improvement+0.3#158

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#273
First Shot-1.9#226
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#269
Layup/Dunks-0.2#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows-2.9#323
Improvement-0.6#256

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#235
First Shot-0.6#191
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#280
Layups/Dunks+0.9#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#258
Freethrows+1.4#97
Improvement+0.8#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 30.7% 39.0% 18.3%
.500 or above in Conference 42.8% 47.2% 36.1%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.5% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 7.0% 11.9%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 410 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 119   @ Charlotte L 52-69 14%     0 - 1 -10.9 -10.8 -1.4
  Nov 12, 2023 296   Merrimack L 65-71 68%     0 - 2 -16.3 -5.3 -11.2
  Nov 16, 2023 338   Northwestern St. W 78-65 72%     1 - 2 +1.5 +1.0 +0.9
  Nov 17, 2023 294   Presbyterian W 80-66 56%     2 - 2 +6.8 +11.4 -3.5
  Nov 18, 2023 298   @ North Florida L 58-67 46%     2 - 3 -13.6 -8.7 -6.5
  Nov 22, 2023 164   @ South Florida W 70-59 21%     3 - 3 +14.1 +1.5 +12.7
  Nov 25, 2023 249   @ Columbia L 56-75 36%     3 - 4 -20.7 -17.5 -2.8
  Nov 29, 2023 335   @ Holy Cross W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 03, 2023 221   Brown W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 06, 2023 307   @ Boston University L 64-65 48%    
  Dec 09, 2023 337   Central Connecticut St. W 70-61 79%    
  Dec 18, 2023 86   @ Central Florida L 63-78 9%    
  Dec 21, 2023 219   @ Florida International L 68-74 30%    
  Dec 29, 2023 125   @ Minnesota L 62-73 15%    
  Jan 06, 2024 101   @ Vermont L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 11, 2024 237   New Hampshire W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 18, 2024 285   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-79 42%    
  Jan 20, 2024 352   @ NJIT W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 25, 2024 268   Albany W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 27, 2024 261   Binghamton W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 01, 2024 104   @ Umass Lowell L 63-76 13%    
  Feb 03, 2024 205   Bryant L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 10, 2024 237   @ New Hampshire L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 15, 2024 205   @ Bryant L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 17, 2024 101   Vermont L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 22, 2024 285   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-76 64%    
  Feb 24, 2024 352   NJIT W 75-64 84%    
  Feb 29, 2024 261   @ Binghamton L 67-70 38%    
  Mar 02, 2024 268   @ Albany L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 05, 2024 104   Umass Lowell L 66-73 26%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 4.0 4.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.2 6.2 1.8 0.2 16.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 6.5 6.0 1.6 0.1 15.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.9 5.9 1.5 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.4 5.3 1.0 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.1 7.6 11.7 14.5 15.2 14.5 12.1 7.7 4.7 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 83.4% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-3 65.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 30.9% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 7.9% 7.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 11.7% 11.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 0.8% 11.1% 11.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-4 2.5% 13.7% 13.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.2
11-5 4.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6
10-6 7.7% 2.8% 2.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.5
9-7 12.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.9
8-8 14.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 14.3
7-9 15.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 15.0
6-10 14.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.4
5-11 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-12 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-13 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-14 2.3% 2.3
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 98.4 0.0%