Maine
America East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#288
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#282
Pace65.9#249
Improvement-1.2#317

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#277
First Shot+0.4#167
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#360
Layup/Dunks-0.9#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#104
Freethrows-3.0#353
Improvement-1.4#338

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#279
First Shot-3.2#280
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#213
Layups/Dunks-3.8#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#152
Freethrows+0.1#182
Improvement+0.2#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.7% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 1.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 30.4% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 3.0% 10.7%
First Four1.3% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 48 - 610 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 94   @ Nebraska L 66-79 9%     0 - 1 -5.1 -0.1 -5.0
  Nov 14, 2022 144   @ Boston College W 69-64 15%     1 - 1 +9.3 +4.9 +4.7
  Nov 18, 2022 346   Columbia W 93-70 78%     2 - 1 +8.2 +20.2 -10.6
  Nov 23, 2022 329   @ Central Connecticut St. W 66-58 52%     3 - 1 +0.8 -5.8 +7.1
  Nov 27, 2022 207   @ Brown L 63-70 23%     3 - 2 -6.1 -4.1 -2.3
  Nov 30, 2022 132   @ Fordham L 67-72 14%     3 - 3 -0.3 +2.8 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2022 316   Marist L 61-62 56%     3 - 4 -9.3 -6.1 -3.3
  Dec 11, 2022 337   @ Merrimack W 50-47 55%     4 - 4 -5.0 -16.3 +11.6
  Dec 19, 2022 108   @ Akron L 55-87 11%     4 - 5 -25.6 -15.3 -9.6
  Dec 21, 2022 29   @ Ohio St. L 61-95 3%     4 - 6 -18.6 -6.0 -13.3
  Dec 28, 2022 157   Harvard L 73-74 OT 33%     4 - 7 -3.3 +3.8 -7.1
  Jan 05, 2023 177   @ Umass Lowell L 70-72 19%     4 - 8 0 - 1 +0.5 +1.5 -1.1
  Jan 08, 2023 320   NJIT L 83-91 OT 68%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -19.7 -1.2 -17.8
  Jan 11, 2023 272   New Hampshire L 58-71 57%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -21.5 -13.1 -9.4
  Jan 14, 2023 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-85 25%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -7.6 -0.8 -6.7
  Jan 19, 2023 146   @ Vermont L 45-66 16%     4 - 12 0 - 5 -17.0 -18.7 -1.5
  Jan 22, 2023 324   Binghamton W 78-57 69%     5 - 12 1 - 5 +9.0 +3.1 +7.1
  Jan 25, 2023 177   Umass Lowell W 75-70 36%     6 - 12 2 - 5 +2.0 +2.3 -0.2
  Jan 28, 2023 336   @ Albany W 72-68 55%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -3.9 +2.2 -5.7
  Feb 01, 2023 195   @ Bryant L 53-71 22%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -16.6 -20.7 +3.7
  Feb 04, 2023 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 08, 2023 146   Vermont L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 11, 2023 320   @ NJIT L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 18, 2023 336   Albany W 73-66 74%    
  Feb 22, 2023 272   @ New Hampshire L 62-66 35%    
  Feb 25, 2023 324   @ Binghamton L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 28, 2023 195   Bryant L 76-79 41%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.4 0.4 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.2 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 1.7 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.8 6.7 0.3 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.9 12.8 3.1 0.0 19.9 6th
7th 0.8 9.0 19.3 7.9 0.2 37.2 7th
8th 0.7 6.6 10.9 4.7 0.2 23.1 8th
9th 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 1.5 8.6 20.3 28.0 23.8 13.0 4.2 0.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 7.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.6% 9.7% 9.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
9-7 4.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0
8-8 13.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.7
7-9 23.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 23.4
6-10 28.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 27.7
5-11 20.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 20.1
4-12 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-13 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 9.7% 15.5 4.4 5.3
Lose Out 1.5% 0.3% 16.0 0.3