Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.5 340
Expected Predictive Rating -14.0 351
Pace 63.5 320
Improvement -0.8 222

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ #358 D F+ F+ D+ C-
Defense C- #225 C D- B- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 185 56% 232 -0.9 219
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 145 37% 216 +0.4 157
Three Pointers 39% 216 29% 345 -3.8 310
1st FG Attempt 0.93 315 -4.4 315
Second Chance 19.6% 363 1.03 166 0.20 357
Turnovers 21.0% 352
Freethrows 0.31 157 64% 363 0.20 254
Total Offense -9.9 358

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 60 62% 286 -4.5 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 174 36% 116 +0.3 164
Three Pointers 36% 322 32% 98 +3.6 49
1st FG Attempt 1.03 201 -0.6 199
Second Chance 38.3% 362 1.04 196 0.40 344
Turnovers 18.3% 101
Freethrows 0.32 230 71% 85 0.23 207
Total Defense -1.6 225

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.2 221 +0.3 230
Shot Type Accuracy -4.1 317 +0.3 197
Possession Length 18.2 263 17.6 243
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 203 0.17 165
Improvement +1.9 #88 -2.7 #313

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.0% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 27.7% 47.6% 15.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 0.6% 4.3%
First Four4.1% 5.0% 3.5%
First Round1.7% 2.1% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 38.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 70 - 9
Quad 48 - 148 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 83 @George Washington L 47 - 67 4% -7  1% 0 - 1 D -10 F -24 F F F A+ +13 A D A+
 Sat, Nov 8 213 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 14% -6  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F -15 F F+ C B- +4 B B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 121 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 6% -11  0% 0 - 3 D+ -6 D- -8 B+ F F C +0 D- F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 194 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 27% +2  50% 0 - 4 D- -11 F -12 C- F B- C+ +1 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 184 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 11% -3  12% 0 - 5 D+ -5 C +0 D A- F D -7 C+ F C
 Sun, Nov 23 277 Brown L 53 - 58 43% -8  0% 0 - 6 F+ -15 F -19 C- F F B +4 A- F A-
 Fri, Nov 28 253 @American L 61 - 74 19% -12  0% 0 - 7 F+ -15 F -12 B- F F D+ -4 D B+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 260 Longwood L 61 - 65 28% -3  7% 0 - 8 D -10 F -10 F A- D- C +0 F B- A+
 Sun, Nov 30 181 Siena L 60 - 64 17% -8  0% 0 - 9 D+ -5 D- -7 C+ D+ D+ C+ +1 C- B+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 200 @Ohio L 57 - 79 13% -12  5% 0 - 10 F -22 F -15 F D+ F D- -8 C- F C
 Sat, Dec 6 86 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 4% -21  0% 0 - 11 F -23 F -13 D C+ F D- -9 C+ F A
 Wed, Dec 10 283 @Boston University W 69 - 59 23% +7  95% 1 - 11 B- +6 D+ -3 A F F A +11 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 13 346 Canisius L 43 - 70 64% -16  12% 1 - 12 F -42 F -34 F F+ F F+ -11 F F B
 Sun, Dec 21 215 @Drexel L 56 - 74 14% -9  18% 1 - 13 F -18 D+ -4 D A- F F -18 F D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 3 344 Bryant L 51 - 56 63% -5  7% 1 - 14 0 - 1 F -20 F -29 F D F A- +9 A- C- B-
 Thu, Jan 8 261 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 20% -6  18% 1 - 15 0 - 2 D -10 F+ -10 F C+ C- C -1 C B- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 315 @NJIT W 74 - 70 31% +3  68% 2 - 15 1 - 2 C- -2 B- +4 A+ D- F D -6 C+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 15 222 @Vermont L 62 - 67 15% +1  58% 2 - 16 1 - 3 D+ -5 D- -6 F D- A+ C +0 C- C+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 327 New Hampshire L 48 - 65 57% -12  0% 2 - 17 1 - 4 F -30 F -27 F F F D+ -5 D C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 326 Albany W 52 - 49 56% -4  13% 3 - 17 2 - 4 D -10 F -18 F F B A- +9 A+ D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 361 Binghamton W 79 - 63 78% +7  94% 4 - 17 3 - 4 C- -4 B- +5 A D C D -6 F D+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 319 @Umass Lowell L 77 - 91 32% -11  11% 4 - 18 3 - 5 F -21 D+ -3 C+ F B+ F -18 F F A
 Thu, Feb 5 222 Vermont W 76 - 70 31% +9  97% 5 - 18 4 - 5 C -0 B- +5 A+ D- F D+ -5 C+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 344 @Bryant L 67 - 73 40% -2  26% 5 - 19 4 - 6 F+ -15 F+ -9 C- F D- D -6 D+ F C+
 Thu, Feb 12 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 68 39%
 Sat, Feb 14 315 NJIT W 66 - 65 53%
 Sat, Feb 21 327 @New Hampshire L 63 - 67 36%
 Thu, Feb 26 326 @Albany L 64 - 68 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 361 @Binghamton W 66 - 64 58%
 Tue, Mar 3 319 Umass Lowell W 70 - 69 54%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 9 -12 F+ -10 D F+ F+ C- -2 C D- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ C- C- F+ D 38% 22% 39% C- D F C F+ F+ C+ F D+ C- D+ C+ B- C 43% 21% 36% C- C F C D- B- C- B- C
0.94 56% 37% 29% -4 0 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 21% .31 64% .20 1.11 62% 36% 32% 0 0 1.03 38% 1.0 .40 18% .32 71% .22
Nov
3		 George Washington F F A+ F F 38% 17% 46% C+ F F F F F D- A+ C- A+ F A- A+ A+ 54% 7% 39% D A F B D A+ C- A C+
0.70 33% 50% 23% -15 0 0.73 14% 0.4 .06 22% .23 83% .19 1.00 72% 33% 11% -6 +3 0.96 47% 1.0 .47 24% .33 65% .22
Nov
8		 Stony Brook F A- F F F 46% 23% 31% C+ F F A+ F+ C A+ F B B- D B- A+ B 47% 21% 32% C- B B A B+ F F A- F+
0.86 68% 9% 20% -8 0 0.85 14% 1.2 .16 16% .42 60% .25 1.02 60% 36% 24% -4 +1 0.94 24% 0.7 .17 11% .37 65% .24
Nov
10		 Rutgers D- D- B+ A+ A 23% 32% 45% F B+ F D- F F B- F D C D- A- D- D- 43% 25% 33% F+ D- F C F A+ F A+ F
0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15 1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36
Nov
16		 Quinnipiac F D A C C- 45% 19% 36% C+ C- F F F B- A- D B C+ A A+ A+ A+ 44% 26% 30% C- A+ F C+ F C F B- F
0.92 52% 44% 35% -1 +1 1.02 24% 0.2 .05 16% .36 67% .24 1.00 45% 23% 20% -16 0 0.70 44% 1.0 .44 17% .54 68% .36
Nov
19		 Merrimack C B+ D- F D- 47% 18% 35% B D B+ B+ A- F A+ C- A+ D F+ F A+ C+ 40% 14% 47% C C+ F F F C F A+ F
1.05 63% 33% 17% -8 +1 0.88 47% 1.1 .53 27% .67 70% .47 1.16 65% 50% 20% -5 +1 0.93 32% 1.5 .48 16% .60 65% .38
Nov
23		 Brown F A+ C- F C+ 23% 34% 43% F C- F F F F F F F B C- A A+ B+ 39% 28% 33% A A- D+ F F A- F+ D F
0.80 80% 40% 26% +1 -3 0.98 19% 0.7 .13 24% .22 55% .12 0.88 56% 23% 20% -12 -1 0.76 31% 1.3 .41 24% .32 75% .24
Nov
28		 American F A- A D B 41% 26% 33% D+ B- F+ F F F A+ F B D+ D C D- D- 33% 17% 50% B- D A- B- B+ F F A F
0.92 69% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 24% 0.7 .17 27% .60 52% .31 1.11 63% 38% 38% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 12% .41 67% .27
Nov
29		 Longwood F F A+ D- F 40% 17% 43% C- F C- A+ A- D- D- F F C F F F F 37% 37% 26% A F D- A B- A+ F A+ D-
0.95 47% 50% 30% -5 +1 0.94 28% 1.3 .36 22% .30 47% .14 1.01 71% 50% 40% +12 -2 1.21 37% 0.7 .26 30% .47 62% .29
Nov
30		 Siena D- C- D A+ B- 33% 29% 38% D C+ F+ A- D+ D+ B- F F+ C+ F C- A+ D+ 37% 39% 24% A- C- D+ A+ B+ C F A F
1.00 57% 33% 44% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.1 .27 18% .30 47% .14 1.06 73% 44% 20% +3 -2 1.02 33% 0.7 .22 17% .48 67% .32
Dec
3		 Ohio F C+ F F F 46% 21% 33% C+ F D C- D+ F F D F D- C+ F C+ C 49% 16% 35% F C- F A F C A+ F A+
0.87 59% 10% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.0 .29 24% .20 70% .14 1.21 56% 56% 32% 0 +1 1.05 53% 0.8 .39 17% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Miami (OH) F D+ F C+ D 40% 22% 38% C D F+ A+ C+ F D+ F F+ D- B- A F C+ 39% 14% 47% D+ C+ F F F A A F+ A-
0.86 56% 30% 35% -2 0 0.98 21% 1.3 .27 28% .25 62% .16 1.31 60% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 50% 1.5 .74 21% .23 85% .20
Dec
10		 Boston University D+ C+ A- A+ A 43% 29% 29% D+ A D- F F F C+ A B A A+ F A+ A+ 27% 4% 69% D A+ F C F A D- A C-
1.11 61% 50% 58% +15 -1 1.31 24% 0.4 .10 22% .31 80% .25 0.95 42% 50% 23% -15 +1 0.73 44% 1.0 .44 24% .34 63% .21
Dec
13		 Canisius F F D- F F 40% 21% 40% C- F D- F F+ F C- F F F+ A+ F F F 38% 22% 40% C- F F D+ F B D- B D+
0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14 1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22
Dec
21		 Drexel D+ A+ F F D- 50% 21% 29% B D C+ A+ A- F D- D+ D- F F B- F F 29% 14% 57% C- F D- C D+ B+ A A A
0.98 71% 22% 8% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.3 .44 23% .25 73% .18 1.29 83% 33% 54% +24 0 1.50 35% 0.9 .30 23% .16 57% .09
Jan
3		 Bryant F F D+ F F 46% 20% 35% D+ F C- F+ D F A+ F B A- B+ C+ A+ A 40% 19% 42% B- A- F A C- B- F A D
0.74 38% 33% 13% -21 +1 0.61 33% 0.8 .27 22% .45 54% .24 0.82 47% 33% 20% -14 0 0.75 37% 0.8 .28 23% .34 67% .23
Jan
8		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F A+ F F 42% 25% 33% D+ F D A+ C+ C- D+ F D- C D A+ F C+ 51% 29% 20% C- C F A+ B- D- F C F
0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11 1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30
Jan
10		 NJIT B- A B+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 46% F A+ F A+ D- F A+ C- A D B B- D- C 40% 38% 23% B+ C+ C D+ C- F F F F
1.15 70% 42% 47% +13 -2 1.24 19% 1.4 .27 20% .47 71% .33 1.09 47% 33% 36% -5 -2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 9% .45 85% .38
Jan
15		 Vermont D- F F F F 45% 16% 39% B+ F F A+ D- A+ A C- A- C C- D C- C- 38% 19% 43% C C- A+ F C+ D C+ C+ C+
1.00 45% 25% 26% -12 +1 0.80 13% 1.4 .18 3% .42 72% .30 1.08 61% 44% 35% +3 0 1.09 14% 1.5 .21 13% .26 71% .19
Jan
19		 New Hampshire F F B F F 48% 18% 35% B- F F A+ F F A+ A A+ D+ C- F+ B D 53% 14% 33% D- D F+ A+ C+ F C- A+ B
0.75 47% 43% 7% -18 +1 0.68 3% 2.0 .07 20% .45 83% .37 1.02 56% 43% 29% -3 +2 1.00 31% 0.7 .23 14% .27 53% .15
Jan
22		 Albany F B F F F 47% 21% 33% C F F F F B B D B- A- D+ C A+ A+ 40% 11% 49% D- A+ D- C D+ B- B+ B- B
0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26 0.86 61% 40% 14% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Binghamton B- A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% D A F A+ D C F A+ D- D F A- B+ F 51% 23% 26% D+ F C+ F D+ A C+ F D+
1.28 76% 30% 50% +15 0 1.32 20% 1.4 .28 11% .22 83% .18 1.02 77% 30% 27% +5 +1 1.14 19% 1.0 .19 26% .35 88% .31
Jan
31		 Umass Lowell D+ B+ F F+ C 61% 9% 30% A C+ F F F B+ C+ C- C+ F D F F+ F 66% 8% 26% F F F F+ F A B- F F+
1.08 68% 20% 29% +2 +3 1.13 3% 0.0 .00 10% .30 74% .22 1.28 61% 75% 38% +6 +4 1.22 63% 1.2 .74 25% .28 93% .26
Feb
5		 Vermont B- B A- A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C+ A+ F A D- F A+ F B- D+ B- F B- B- 36% 9% 56% D- C+ F F F A+ F A- F
1.21 65% 44% 53% +15 0 1.33 16% 1.3 .20 17% .44 61% .27 1.11 56% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 38% 1.4 .53 22% .43 67% .29
Feb
7		 Bryant F+ C- A+ F C- 36% 18% 47% D C- F A+ F D- A+ F A+ D B- A+ D C- 50% 11% 39% F+ D+ F+ D F C+ F D- F
0.99 56% 63% 29% 0 0 1.02 9% 1.7 .16 16% .53 60% .32 1.08 50% 20% 35% -5 +2 0.95 33% 1.1 .37 22% .49 81% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.9 0.7 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 8.6 4.9 0.2 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 10.9 8.8 0.4 21.0 5th
6th 0.4 8.7 13.3 1.4 23.8 6th
7th 0.1 4.6 12.6 3.1 0.0 20.4 7th
8th 2.8 8.9 3.8 0.2 15.6 8th
9th 0.4 0.1 0.5 9th
Total 3.3 14.0 26.0 28.9 19.1 7.4 1.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 1.3% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.1 1.2
9-7 7.4% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.5 6.9
8-8 19.1% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 1.0 18.1
7-9 28.9% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 1.2 27.7
6-10 26.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.9 25.0
5-11 14.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.7
4-12 3.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 2.8%