Maine
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.7#352
Expected Predictive Rating-22.7#358
Pace64.1#304
Improvement-0.7#234

Offense
Total Offense-12.3#358
First Shot-8.7#353
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#345
Layup/Dunks-2.7#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.6#355
Freethrows-1.2#255
Improvement-0.8#265

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#288
First Shot-3.6#281
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#168
Layups/Dunks-1.6#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#234
Freethrows-0.5#221
Improvement+0.1#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 75.1% 66.4% 78.0%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 43 - 134 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 27   @ Virginia Tech L 47-82 1%     0 - 1 -18.8 -15.5 -4.4
  Nov 15, 2021 75   @ Colorado L 46-90 2%     0 - 2 -34.1 -22.8 -11.8
  Nov 23, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. L 56-64 56%     0 - 3 -25.2 -21.2 -4.8
  Nov 27, 2021 213   @ Bradley L 39-71 7%     0 - 4 -31.2 -29.1 -4.2
  Dec 04, 2021 333   @ Columbia L 61-68 25%    
  Dec 11, 2021 294   @ Quinnipiac L 61-72 15%    
  Dec 21, 2021 232   Merrimack L 51-60 19%    
  Dec 29, 2021 87   @ Rutgers L 48-73 1%    
  Jan 02, 2022 254   @ NJIT L 53-67 10%    
  Jan 05, 2022 265   Hartford L 60-67 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 219   @ Stony Brook L 55-71 7%    
  Jan 12, 2022 195   @ New Hampshire L 51-68 6%    
  Jan 16, 2022 323   Binghamton L 61-64 39%    
  Jan 19, 2022 209   @ Umass Lowell L 56-73 7%    
  Jan 22, 2022 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60-71 18%    
  Jan 25, 2022 195   New Hampshire L 54-65 16%    
  Jan 29, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 47-70 2%    
  Feb 02, 2022 209   Umass Lowell L 59-70 17%    
  Feb 05, 2022 323   @ Binghamton L 58-67 21%    
  Feb 09, 2022 298   @ Albany L 56-67 16%    
  Feb 13, 2022 219   Stony Brook L 58-68 19%    
  Feb 16, 2022 265   @ Hartford L 57-70 13%    
  Feb 20, 2022 254   NJIT L 56-64 25%    
  Feb 23, 2022 298   Albany L 59-64 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57-74 7%    
  Mar 01, 2022 104   Vermont L 50-67 6%    
Projected Record 3 - 23 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 4th
5th 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.5 1.4 0.4 4.0 7th
8th 0.3 1.6 3.4 2.6 0.7 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 6.1 6.4 4.5 1.0 0.0 20.4 9th
10th 9.5 19.3 17.7 12.3 4.2 0.7 0.1 63.8 10th
Total 9.5 19.5 19.8 18.7 12.2 9.2 5.3 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 25.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.2
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 0.6% 0.6
8-10 1.6% 1.6
7-11 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.9
6-12 5.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.2
5-13 9.2% 9.2
4-14 12.2% 12.2
3-15 18.7% 18.7
2-16 19.8% 19.8
1-17 19.5% 19.5
0-18 9.5% 9.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.3%