NJIT
America East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#320
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#331
Pace66.0#245
Improvement+1.0#59

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#329
First Shot-5.1#324
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#251
Layup/Dunks-3.1#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
Freethrows-1.7#303
Improvement+0.4#102

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#266
First Shot-2.8#265
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#204
Layups/Dunks-3.8#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#215
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement+0.6#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.4% 24.9% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 4.6% 15.8%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 81 - 10
Quad 47 - 108 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 263   @ St. Peter's L 59-73 27%     0 - 1 -16.7 -9.9 -7.5
  Nov 11, 2022 156   @ California Baptist L 43-59 13%     0 - 2 -12.7 -15.8 -1.1
  Nov 13, 2022 216   @ San Diego L 64-74 19%     0 - 3 -9.5 -7.5 -3.0
  Nov 19, 2022 236   American L 53-58 41%     0 - 4 -11.5 -18.0 +5.9
  Nov 22, 2022 323   @ Sacred Heart W 85-75 40%     1 - 4 +3.6 +7.3 -3.9
  Nov 27, 2022 284   Wagner L 57-62 51%     1 - 5 -14.3 -9.0 -6.1
  Nov 30, 2022 56   @ Cincinnati L 60-86 4%     1 - 6 -14.0 -3.9 -11.4
  Dec 03, 2022 295   Bucknell L 63-79 54%     1 - 7 -25.9 -14.5 -11.6
  Dec 07, 2022 237   @ Army L 62-63 23%     1 - 8 -2.1 -8.4 +6.2
  Dec 11, 2022 307   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-73 36%     1 - 9 -7.3 -9.0 +1.8
  Dec 18, 2022 239   Niagara W 62-53 41%     2 - 9 +2.3 -11.5 +14.1
  Dec 22, 2022 129   @ South Florida L 73-92 10%     2 - 10 -14.0 +3.3 -17.3
  Dec 31, 2022 177   Umass Lowell L 64-67 28%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -6.0 -7.1 +1.0
  Jan 08, 2023 288   @ Maine W 91-83 OT 32%     3 - 11 1 - 1 +4.0 +8.4 -5.1
  Jan 11, 2023 324   Binghamton L 71-72 OT 61%     3 - 12 1 - 2 -13.0 -8.3 -4.7
  Jan 14, 2023 336   Albany W 74-67 67%     4 - 12 2 - 2 -6.4 -4.9 -1.4
  Jan 19, 2023 195   @ Bryant L 75-87 17%     4 - 13 2 - 3 -10.6 -1.1 -9.3
  Jan 22, 2023 146   @ Vermont L 69-85 12%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -12.0 +3.6 -16.9
  Jan 25, 2023 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-65 35%     5 - 14 3 - 4 -1.0 -8.4 +7.5
  Feb 01, 2023 272   New Hampshire L 67-74 OT 48%     5 - 15 3 - 5 -15.5 -16.3 +1.6
  Feb 04, 2023 177   @ Umass Lowell L 63-74 13%    
  Feb 08, 2023 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-77 18%    
  Feb 11, 2023 288   Maine W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 15, 2023 324   @ Binghamton L 66-68 40%    
  Feb 18, 2023 146   Vermont L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 22, 2023 195   Bryant L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 25, 2023 336   @ Albany L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 28, 2023 272   @ New Hampshire L 60-66 28%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 0.5 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 3.2 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 8.3 1.2 12.8 6th
7th 0.9 8.4 15.8 4.8 0.1 30.0 7th
8th 2.9 14.8 18.4 6.4 0.2 42.7 8th
9th 2.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.2 9th
Total 5.4 17.9 27.3 25.5 15.5 6.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 44.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 11.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
9-7 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
8-8 6.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
7-9 15.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.4
6-10 25.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 25.4
5-11 27.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 27.2
4-12 17.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.9
3-13 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.4% 0.1% 16.0 0.1