Vermont
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.3 220
Expected Predictive Rating -3.6 220
Pace 63.3 323
Improvement -3.1 310

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 184 B- D- C+ C- C+
Defense D+ 254 D+ B- F+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 287 B- 62% 85 -0.6 200
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 295 B- 41% 91 -0.9 228
Three Pointers 48% 44 C 34% 168 +3.8 63
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 170 B- +2.0 106
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 110
Second Chance D- 24.1% 336 D+ 0.96 286 D- 0.23 337
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 130
Freethrows D+ 0.28 266 C+ 74% 145 C- 0.20 244
Total Offense C -0.8 184

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 337 C 11.3% 206
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 255 C+ 4.2% 122
Three Pointers C+ 86% 155 C+ 0.8% 166
Total D+ 52% 265 C+ 5.1% 117

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 254 C- 60% 237 -0.6 152
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 92 B- 36% 97 +0.5 226
Three Pointers 41% 194 D- 38% 333 +2.1 285
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 93 D+ +2.5 280
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 245
Second Chance B 26.8% 57 C- 1.05 219 B- 0.28 84
Turnovers F+ 13.1% 350
Freethrows C- 0.32 243 C- 73% 239 C- 0.24 245
Total Defense D+ -2.5 254

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 52 C- 10.2% 197
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 85 C- 4.0% 236
Three Pointers C- 85% 155 D+ 0.4% 166
Total C+ 52% 116 C- 4.8% 241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 322 17.3 185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 363 0.14 74
Improvement -4.6 #346 +1.5 #99

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38% 41% 36%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 31% 59% 9%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four11% 7% 14%
First Round33% 37% 29%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 419 - 619 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 271 @Brown W 89 - 84 2OT 50% -3  26% 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +4 D D+ A+ D+ -3 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 283 @Northeastern W 85 - 74 53% +0  37% 2 - 0 B- +7 B- +5 A+ F D+ C+ +2 B F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 216 @Buffalo L 90 - 94 37% -0  40% 2 - 1 C- -4 B+ +8 A D C+ F -12 F A+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 95 Liberty L 73 - 79 20% -10  1% 2 - 2 C -1 C +0 B- D+ B- C -1 D- B D+
 Tue, Nov 25 113 Rhode Island L 65 - 80 26% -7  11% 2 - 3 D- -12 C- -1 C- B+ C- F -12 D D- D
 Wed, Nov 26 246 Princeton W 79 - 74 55% +7  69% 3 - 3 C +0 B+ +9 B B B- D- -8 F D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 81 Yale L 74 - 77 24% -3  19% 3 - 4 C +1 B +5 A D D- D -5 B A F
 Wed, Dec 3 158 @Oregon St. L 58 - 80 28% -16  0% 3 - 5 F -19 F+ -8 D+ F C F -13 F A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 276 @Pepperdine W 65 - 56 52% +1  35% 4 - 5 B- +5 D+ -4 B- F D+ A +11 B+ A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 14 164 Merrimack W 66 - 59 50% +7  98% 5 - 5 C+ +4 B- +4 C F+ A+ C+ +1 B D+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 189 Siena W 83 - 69 56% +12  93% 6 - 5 B +9 B- +5 B+ C A B +4 B+ A- F+
 Sat, Dec 20 252 Iona L 78 - 83 68% -0  41% 6 - 6 D- -13 C +1 C- D- A+ F -15 D F F
 Tue, Dec 30 246 @Princeton L 69 - 75 OT 43% -4  10% 6 - 7 D+ -8 D -4 D- B D+ D+ -3 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 338 @New Hampshire W 80 - 61 70% +9  87% 7 - 7 1 - 0 B +10 A- +10 A- B- B B- +2 D C B+
 Thu, Jan 8 360 Binghamton W 60 - 59 93% -1  32% 8 - 7 2 - 0 F -19 F -16 D- F C- C- -2 D+ A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 344 Maine W 67 - 62 87% -1  30% 9 - 7 3 - 0 D -11 D+ -3 B- F A D- -7 A- C+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 326 @Albany L 68 - 75 66% -3  36% 9 - 8 3 - 1 F+ -15 F+ -10 C- F F D -5 D- A F
 Thu, Jan 22 314 @Umass Lowell W 77 - 68 62% +5  82% 10 - 8 4 - 1 C+ +3 C +1 B- F B+ B- +2 B D C
 Sat, Jan 24 351 @Bryant W 62 - 52 76% +8  98% 11 - 8 5 - 1 C -1 C+ +2 D C- B C+ +1 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 241 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 64 - 55 66% +2  66% 12 - 8 6 - 1 C +2 F+ -9 C F C- A+ +11 A+ C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 308 NJIT L 77 - 79 79% -9  1% 12 - 9 6 - 2 D- -14 C- -1 D C+ B+ F -12 F+ D- F
 Thu, Feb 5 344 @Maine L 70 - 76 73% -9  3% 12 - 10 6 - 3 F+ -16 C+ +2 C- A F F -18 F C D-
 Sat, Feb 7 338 New Hampshire W 80 - 57 86% +18  94% 13 - 10 7 - 3 B +8 C+ +2 A F D+ A- +7 B A- C
 Thu, Feb 12 360 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 83% +2  77% 14 - 10 8 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -4 C+ F D+ C- -2 F C C-
 Sat, Feb 14 351 Bryant W 90 - 63 89% +15  86% 15 - 10 9 - 3 B +10 A +12 A+ C- D+ C+ +0 D- A- F+
 Thu, Feb 19 241 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 72 43%
 Sat, Feb 21 308 @NJIT W 72 - 70 59%
 Thu, Feb 26 314 Umass Lowell W 79 - 70 80%
 Tue, Mar 3 326 Albany W 76 - 66 83%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 4 -3 C -1 A B- C+ D+ -3 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C B- B- C B- 35% 28% 48% C+ B- D- D+ D- C+ D+ C+ C- D+ C- B- D- D+ 36% 23% 41% B- D+ B C- B- F+ C- C- C-
1.08 62% 41% 34% +2 0 1.07 24% 1.0 .23 16% .28 74% .20 1.12 60% 36% 38% +3 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .28 13% .32 73% .20
Nov
9		 Brown B- D- C+ D D 33% 21% 45% C- D D C+ D+ A+ D+ A+ B- D+ B- C+ F F 44% 15% 42% D+ F A- A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.09 50% 43% 30% -4 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .31 86% .27 1.03 52% 33% 42% +2 +1 1.08 22% 0.7 .16 16% .35 54% .19
Nov
15		 Northeastern B- D+ F A+ A 55% 6% 39% A A+ F D- F D+ F A+ F C+ B- A+ F B- 46% 27% 27% B+ B D F F A- F F F
1.22 57% 33% 60% +15 +3 1.37 22% 0.8 .19 19% .21 83% .18 1.06 55% 15% 46% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.4 .42 21% .38 76% .29
Nov
18		 Buffalo B+ B- A A+ A 43% 8% 49% B+ A F A+ D C+ A A A+ F F F F F 41% 16% 43% C- F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.23 64% 50% 48% +14 +2 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 16% .36 82% .30 1.29 70% 50% 43% +13 +1 1.29 19% 0.5 .10 12% .58 84% .48
Nov
24		 Liberty C B- A C B- 34% 20% 46% C B- F+ A D+ B- B- C+ B- C D- B F D- 50% 6% 44% C- D- A F B D+ D- A+ B-
1.08 59% 50% 35% +3 0 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 16% .27 73% .20 1.17 69% 33% 43% +12 +3 1.31 10% 1.3 .14 12% .30 50% .15
Nov
25		 Rhode Island C- B A+ F C- 29% 9% 62% C+ C- D+ A+ B+ C- A+ C- A F F+ A+ C D+ 52% 5% 43% F D F B+ D- D F B F
1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32 1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49
Nov
26		 Princeton B+ C A+ D- B+ 38% 21% 40% C- B C A B B- F+ D+ F+ D- F C C- F 21% 25% 55% A F A F D+ F A+ A+ A+
1.24 60% 73% 29% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .39 13% .23 69% .16 1.16 91% 38% 34% +7 -2 1.13 19% 1.6 .30 8% .20 33% .07
Nov
30		 Yale B A+ A B- A+ 28% 14% 58% C+ A C+ F D D- A+ B+ A+ D D+ C B B 44% 25% 31% B- B A+ D+ A F D C D
1.19 83% 50% 36% +11 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33 1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29
Dec
3		 Oregon St. F+ B F C C 33% 29% 38% F D+ C+ F F C F B F+ F D- D- F F 22% 22% 56% A- F B- A+ A- D- A+ F A-
0.93 63% 21% 33% -4 -1 0.92 34% 0.5 .16 14% .24 77% .19 1.29 64% 45% 50% +16 -1 1.32 23% 1.0 .23 14% .24 92% .23
Dec
6		 Pepperdine D+ B+ F B B- 38% 6% 56% B- B- F F F D+ D- F F+ A C+ A+ B A- 28% 15% 58% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 67% 0% 37% +3 +2 1.13 23% 0.6 .13 18% .21 64% .14 0.90 55% 17% 30% -7 0 0.88 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 85% .34
Dec
14		 Merrimack B- A+ A F C- 38% 19% 43% C+ C D- D F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A F A- B+ 48% 11% 41% D B D C D+ C- C+ D C
1.13 69% 50% 17% -5 0 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 12% .47 83% .39 1.01 43% 60% 28% -9 +2 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 15% .32 81% .26
Dec
17		 Siena B- A+ A F+ B 40% 15% 45% B B+ F A+ C A B A+ A- B A+ B- C- B+ 31% 39% 31% A B+ B A+ A- F+ A- F B-
1.19 76% 50% 29% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 11% .32 80% .26 0.99 44% 39% 33% -4 -3 0.88 27% 0.7 .20 13% .21 85% .18
Dec
20		 Iona C A+ D- D- C 32% 22% 46% D C- F C+ D- A+ D F+ D- F F D- A F 35% 35% 29% A+ D A- F F F F C- F
1.15 74% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .22 64% .14 1.22 78% 44% 27% +6 -2 1.10 19% 2.2 .41 9% .39 71% .27
Dec
30		 Princeton D F+ D- F+ F 46% 12% 42% B+ D- C+ A- B D+ D+ A+ C+ D+ F A+ F F 25% 17% 58% B- F A- A+ A+ C- D+ F F+
1.03 50% 33% 27% -9 +2 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 15% .28 81% .23 1.11 67% 13% 46% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.6 .12 16% .34 84% .28
Jan
3		 New Hampshire A- B A+ B+ A 38% 21% 40% C- A- D+ A B- B F A+ F B- A+ D F F+ 32% 21% 47% A- D B- D+ C B+ A- F B-
1.25 65% 55% 38% +9 0 1.19 28% 1.3 .34 12% .16 89% .14 0.95 40% 40% 41% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.0 .23 22% .20 80% .16
Jan
8		 Binghamton F B- F C D- 50% 18% 32% C+ D- F F F C- A+ F C+ C- A+ F C+ F+ 24% 39% 37% A+ D+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
0.98 64% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .45 54% .24 0.96 42% 55% 32% +1 -3 0.98 15% 0.0 .00 11% .26 64% .17
Jan
15		 Maine D+ C B+ B- B- 38% 19% 43% C B- F A+ F A D- C+ D D- A A+ A- A 45% 16% 39% D- A- A- F C+ F F F F
1.08 61% 44% 35% +3 0 1.09 14% 1.5 .21 13% .26 71% .19 1.00 45% 25% 26% -12 +1 0.80 13% 1.4 .18 3% .42 72% .30
Jan
19		 Albany F+ B- F C D+ 41% 14% 45% B- C- F D+ F F D D+ D- D C B+ F F+ 38% 18% 44% C D- A+ B A F F F F
1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20 1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30
Jan
22		 Umass Lowell C C- A+ B B 46% 18% 37% C B- F+ F F B+ F A+ F B- B A+ D C+ 23% 35% 42% A+ B C+ F D C B- F D+
1.14 58% 60% 38% +6 +1 1.16 24% 0.5 .12 10% .13 88% .12 1.01 50% 28% 36% -4 -3 0.88 31% 1.3 .38 21% .28 80% .22
Jan
24		 Bryant C+ D+ D+ C D+ 28% 23% 50% F D A F C- B A+ B- A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 26% 44% A+ A+ D- F F F F F+ F
1.17 55% 33% 35% -1 -1 0.98 46% 0.7 .31 11% .43 75% .32 0.98 58% 20% 6% -23 -1 0.54 31% 1.3 .40 15% .49 82% .40
Jan
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F A+ B- C 27% 13% 60% C- C F F F C- A+ F A A+ C A+ A+ A+ 26% 21% 53% B- A+ A F C+ F F B F+
1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24 0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 NJIT C- C- B F F+ 45% 9% 45% A- D C- B+ C+ B+ B+ D B- F B- F F+ F+ 47% 23% 30% F+ F+ F+ D+ D- F C F D
1.11 56% 40% 24% -8 +2 0.91 32% 1.2 .37 12% .41 68% .28 1.14 52% 50% 38% +1 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 13% .31 79% .25
Feb
5		 Maine C+ D+ A+ C- C- 36% 9% 56% B C- C A+ A F A+ D A F D- F+ F F 40% 21% 40% C- F B F C D- F B F
1.11 56% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 38% 1.4 .53 22% .43 67% .29 1.21 65% 44% 53% +15 0 1.33 16% 1.3 .20 17% .44 61% .27
Feb
7		 New Hampshire C+ B- D A+ A 30% 6% 65% B A D+ F F D+ F A- F A- A+ C+ B A 57% 6% 36% F B A+ B A- C F B F
1.18 63% 33% 43% +10 +1 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 16% .19 82% .16 0.84 41% 33% 29% -13 +3 0.83 17% 0.8 .14 19% .40 64% .26
Feb
12		 Binghamton D+ A+ A+ F B- 43% 21% 36% D+ C+ D- F F D+ C- D- D+ C- D- B F F 33% 37% 31% A+ F B F C C- A- A+ A+
1.11 85% 60% 18% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.9 .22 14% .32 67% .21 0.99 63% 33% 47% +6 -2 1.08 16% 1.0 .16 20% .30 63% .19
Feb
14		 Bryant A A- D+ A+ A+ 52% 20% 28% C A+ F A+ C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ F+ C- F+ 33% 14% 53% C+ D- A B+ A- F+ C F D+
1.35 67% 33% 62% +15 +1 1.35 24% 1.3 .32 15% .44 84% .37 0.94 53% 43% 33% -2 +1 1.00 20% 0.9 .17 18% .26 86% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 12.0 18.5 30.9 1st
2nd 0.1 9.5 25.5 35.1 2nd
3rd 0.5 8.2 21.2 2.7 32.7 3rd
4th 0.6 0.8 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.2 9.1 31.0 40.2 18.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 18.5    10.9 7.6
12-4 29.9% 12.0    1.2 5.7 5.2
11-5 1.1% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 30.9% 30.9 12.0 13.4 5.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 18.5% 45.2% 45.2% 14.9 0.1 1.6 5.5 1.2 10.1
12-4 40.2% 39.1% 39.1% 15.7 0.2 4.4 11.1 24.5
11-5 31.0% 34.6% 34.6% 15.9 0.0 1.5 9.2 20.3
10-6 9.1% 29.5% 29.5% 15.9 0.2 2.5 6.4
9-7 1.2% 28.4% 28.4% 16.0 0.3 0.8
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 37.9% 37.9% 0.0% 15.6 62.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.4% 100.0% 14.9 0.8 19.3 65.4 14.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.7%
Lose Out 0.3%