Vermont
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -4.1 233
Results Rating -3.6 227
Consistency 0.14 106
Pace 63.3 321
Improvement -3.8 321

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 219 C+ D- C+ D+ C+
Defense C- 239 C- B- F+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 286 B- 61% 97 -0.9 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 295 C+ 39% 125 -1.2 246
Three Pointers 48% 44 C 33% 209 +3.2 78
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 167 C+ +0.8 135
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 141
Second Chance D- 23.9% 338 C- 0.98 251 D- 0.24 334
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 190
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 78
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 129
Freethrows D+ 0.28 274 C+ 73% 167 D+ 0.20 255
Total Offense C- -1.9 219

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 330 C 11.2% 194
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 264 C+ 4.2% 120
Three Pointers C+ 86% 157 C+ 0.7% 146
Total C- 52% 255 B- 5.0% 106

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 244 C- 60% 232 -0.4 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 84 B 35% 66 +0.2 209
Three Pointers 40% 213 D- 38% 325 +1.7 268
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 92 D+ +2.0 258
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 230
Second Chance B 27.1% 69 C 1.02 154 B- 0.28 77
Turnovers from Steals F 5.2% 363
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 129
Turnovers F+ 12.8% 355
Freethrows C- 0.32 251 C- 73% 252 C- 0.24 259
Total Defense C- -2.2 239

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 58 C 10.6% 187
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 93 C- 4.1% 216
Three Pointers C- 85% 202 D+ 0.4% 299
Total C+ 52% 115 C- 5.0% 223

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 324 17.2 162
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 363 0.14 74
Consistency 0.10 23 0.10 45
Improvement -6.0 361 +2.2 72

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 251 231 206
Results Rating Rank 246 225 176
Conference Record 11 - 5 12 - 4 12 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33% 34% 30%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 15% 19% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four9% 7% 18%
First Round29% 31% 22%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Albany (Home) - 81.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 50 - 6
Quad 419 - 620 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 267 @Brown W 89 - 84 2OT 46% -3  26% 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +4 D D+ A+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 288 @Northeastern W 85 - 74 52% +0  37% 2 - 0 B- +7 B +6 A+ F D+ C+ +1 B- F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 208 @Buffalo L 90 - 94 33% -0  40% 2 - 1 C- -4 B+ +8 A D+ B- F -12 F A+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 111 Liberty L 73 - 79 24% -10  1% 2 - 2 C- -3 C- -1 C+ D+ B- C- -2 D- B- D+
 Tue, Nov 25 131 Rhode Island L 65 - 80 28% -7  11% 2 - 3 D- -13 C- -1 C- B C- F -13 D- D- D
 Wed, Nov 26 255 Princeton W 79 - 74 54% +7  69% 3 - 3 C -0 B+ +8 B B B- D- -7 F C- F
 Sun, Nov 30 87 Yale L 74 - 77 23% -3  19% 3 - 4 C +1 B +6 A D D- D -5 B- A F
 Wed, Dec 3 156 @Oregon St. L 58 - 80 25% -16  0% 3 - 5 F -19 F+ -8 D+ F C F -13 F A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 280 @Pepperdine W 65 - 56 49% +1  35% 4 - 5 B- +5 D -5 B- F D+ A +11 B+ A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 14 165 Merrimack W 66 - 59 47% +7  98% 5 - 5 C+ +4 C+ +3 C- F+ A+ B- +2 B D+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 189 Siena W 83 - 69 53% +12  93% 6 - 5 B +9 B- +5 B+ C A B +4 A- A- F+
 Sat, Dec 20 244 Iona L 78 - 83 64% -0  41% 6 - 6 D- -13 C+ +2 C- D- A+ F -15 D F F
 Tue, Dec 30 255 @Princeton L 69 - 75 OT 42% -4  10% 6 - 7 D+ -8 D -5 F+ B D+ C- -3 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 346 @New Hampshire W 80 - 61 72% +9  87% 7 - 7 1 - 0 B +9 A- +10 A- B- B C+ +1 D- C B+
 Thu, Jan 8 358 Binghamton W 60 - 59 91% -1  32% 8 - 7 2 - 0 F -18 F -17 D- F D+ C -1 C- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 339 Maine W 67 - 62 84% -1  30% 9 - 7 3 - 0 D -10 C- -2 B- F A+ D- -7 A- C F
 Mon, Jan 19 322 @Albany L 68 - 75 62% -3  36% 9 - 8 3 - 1 D- -14 F -10 D+ F F D+ -4 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 306 @Umass Lowell W 77 - 68 56% +5  82% 10 - 8 4 - 1 C+ +3 C +2 B F B+ B- +2 B+ D C+
 Sat, Jan 24 353 @Bryant W 62 - 52 76% +8  98% 11 - 8 5 - 1 C -1 C +1 D- D+ B C+ +0 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 64 - 55 62% +2  66% 12 - 8 6 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -8 C F C- A +11 A+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 315 NJIT L 77 - 79 79% -9  1% 12 - 9 6 - 2 F+ -15 C- -2 D C B+ F -12 F+ D- F
 Thu, Feb 5 339 @Maine L 70 - 76 68% -9  3% 12 - 10 6 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 C- A F+ F -18 F C- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 346 New Hampshire W 80 - 57 87% +18  94% 13 - 10 7 - 3 B- +7 C+ +2 A F D+ B+ +6 B A- C+
 Thu, Feb 12 358 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 81% +2  77% 14 - 10 8 - 3 D+ -5 D -4 C+ F D C -0 D- C C-
 Sat, Feb 14 353 Bryant W 90 - 63 89% +15  86% 15 - 10 9 - 3 B +10 A- +11 A+ C- D+ C +0 D- A- F+
 Thu, Feb 19 234 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 75 39% -10  2% 15 - 11 9 - 4 D- -14 F -11 F F B+ D+ -4 B D+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 315 @NJIT W 70 - 64 60% -1  54% 16 - 11 10 - 4 C -1 C +0 B D- C C -0 D+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 306 Umass Lowell W 66 - 64 77% -1  38% 17 - 11 11 - 4 D -10 F -10 F C+ C- C+ +1 B- A F
 Tue, Mar 3 322 Albany W 75 - 66 81%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 4 -4 C- -2 A- C+ C+ C- -2 C C+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C+ C C+ 35% 28% 48% C+ C+ D- C- D- C+ D+ C+ D+ C- C- B D- D+ 37% 23% 40% B- C- B C B- F+ C- C- C-
1.06 61% 39% 33% +1 0 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 16% .28 73% .20 1.12 60% 35% 38% +2 0 1.05 27% 1.0 .28 13% .32 73% .20
Nov
9		 Brown B- D- C+ D D 33% 21% 45% C- D D C+ D+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C- B- C+ F F 44% 15% 42% D+ F A- A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.09 50% 43% 30% -4 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .31 86% .27 1.03 52% 33% 42% +2 +1 1.08 22% 0.7 .16 16% .35 54% .19
Nov
15		 Northeastern B D+ F A+ A 55% 6% 39% A A+ F F+ F D+ F A+ F C+ B- A+ F B- 46% 27% 27% B B- D F F A- F F F
1.22 57% 33% 60% +14 +3 1.37 22% 0.8 .19 19% .21 83% .18 1.06 55% 15% 46% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.4 .42 21% .38 76% .29
Nov
18		 Buffalo B+ C+ A A+ A 43% 8% 49% B+ A F A+ D+ B- A A- A+ F F F F F 41% 16% 43% C- F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.23 64% 50% 48% +14 +2 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 16% .36 82% .30 1.29 70% 50% 43% +13 +1 1.29 19% 0.5 .10 12% .58 84% .48
Nov
24		 Liberty C- B- A C B- 34% 20% 46% C C+ F+ A D+ B- B- C B- C- D- B F D- 50% 6% 44% C- D- A F B- D+ D A+ B
1.08 59% 50% 35% +3 0 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 16% .27 73% .20 1.17 69% 33% 43% +12 +3 1.31 10% 1.3 .14 12% .30 50% .15
Nov
25		 Rhode Island C- B A+ F D+ 29% 9% 62% C+ C- D+ A+ B C- A+ C- A F F+ A+ C D 52% 5% 43% F D- F A- D- D F B F
1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32 1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49
Nov
26		 Princeton B+ C A+ D- B 38% 21% 40% D+ B C A B B- F+ C- F+ D- F C C- F 21% 25% 55% A F A F C- F A+ A+ A+
1.24 60% 73% 29% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .39 13% .23 69% .16 1.16 91% 38% 34% +7 -2 1.13 19% 1.6 .30 8% .20 33% .07
Nov
30		 Yale B A+ A B- A+ 28% 14% 58% C+ A C+ F D D- A+ B+ A+ D D+ C B B- 44% 25% 31% B- B- A+ D+ A F D C D
1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33 1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29
Dec
3		 Oregon St. F+ B F C C- 33% 29% 38% F D+ B- F F C F B D- F D- F+ F F 22% 22% 56% A- F B A+ A- D- A+ F A-
0.93 63% 21% 33% -4 -1 0.92 34% 0.5 .16 14% .24 77% .19 1.29 64% 45% 50% +16 -1 1.32 23% 1.0 .23 14% .24 92% .23
Dec
6		 Pepperdine D B+ F B B- 38% 6% 56% B- B- F F F D+ D- F F+ A C+ A+ B A- 28% 15% 58% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 67% 0% 37% +3 +2 1.13 23% 0.6 .13 18% .21 64% .14 0.90 55% 17% 30% -7 0 0.88 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 85% .34
Dec
14		 Merrimack C+ A+ A F C- 38% 19% 43% C+ C- D- D- F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A F A- B+ 48% 11% 41% D B D C D+ C B- D+ C+
1.13 69% 50% 17% -5 0 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 12% .47 83% .39 1.01 43% 60% 28% -9 +2 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 15% .32 81% .26
Dec
17		 Siena B- A+ A+ F+ B 40% 15% 45% B B+ F A+ C A B A A- B A+ B- C- B+ 31% 39% 31% A A- B- A+ A- F+ A F B
1.19 76% 50% 29% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 11% .32 80% .26 0.99 44% 39% 33% -4 -3 0.88 27% 0.7 .20 13% .21 85% .18
Dec
20		 Iona C+ A+ F+ D- C 32% 22% 46% D+ C- F C+ D- A+ D F+ D- F F D- A F 35% 35% 29% A+ D A- F F F F C- F
1.15 74% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .22 64% .14 1.22 78% 44% 27% +6 -2 1.10 19% 2.2 .41 9% .39 71% .27
Dec
30		 Princeton D F+ D- F+ F 46% 12% 42% B+ F+ C+ A- B D+ D+ A+ C+ C- F A+ F F 25% 17% 58% B- F A- A+ A+ C- D+ F F+
1.03 50% 33% 27% -9 +2 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 15% .28 81% .23 1.11 67% 13% 46% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.6 .12 16% .34 84% .28
Jan
3		 New Hampshire A- B A+ B+ A 38% 21% 40% C- A- C- A B- B F A+ F C+ A+ D F F+ 32% 21% 47% A- D- B- D C B+ B+ F C+
1.25 65% 55% 38% +9 0 1.19 28% 1.3 .34 12% .16 89% .14 0.95 40% 40% 41% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.0 .23 22% .20 80% .16
Jan
8		 Binghamton F B- F C F+ 50% 18% 32% C+ D- F F+ F D+ A+ F C+ C A+ F C+ D 24% 39% 37% A+ C- B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
0.98 64% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .45 54% .24 0.96 42% 55% 32% +1 -3 0.98 15% 0.0 .00 11% .26 64% .17
Jan
15		 Maine C- C B+ B- B- 38% 19% 43% C B- F A+ F A+ D- C+ D D- A A+ A A 45% 16% 39% D- A- B+ F C F F F F
1.08 61% 44% 35% +3 0 1.09 14% 1.5 .21 13% .26 71% .19 1.00 45% 25% 26% -12 +1 0.80 13% 1.4 .18 3% .42 72% .30
Jan
19		 Albany F B- F C D+ 41% 14% 45% C+ D+ F D+ F F D+ D+ D D+ C B+ F D- 38% 18% 44% C D- A+ B+ A+ F F F F
1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20 1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30
Jan
22		 Umass Lowell C C- A+ B B 46% 18% 37% C B F+ F F B+ F A+ F B- B A+ D B- 23% 35% 42% A+ B+ C+ F D C+ B- F D+
1.14 58% 60% 38% +6 +1 1.16 24% 0.5 .12 10% .13 88% .12 1.01 50% 28% 36% -4 -3 0.88 31% 1.3 .38 21% .28 80% .22
Jan
24		 Bryant C D+ D C D 28% 23% 50% F D- A F D+ B A+ C+ A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 26% 44% A+ A+ D F F F F F+ F
1.17 55% 33% 35% -1 -1 0.98 46% 0.7 .31 11% .43 75% .32 0.98 58% 20% 6% -23 -1 0.54 31% 1.3 .40 15% .49 82% .40
Jan
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F A+ B- C 27% 13% 60% C- C F F F C- A+ F A A C A+ A+ A+ 26% 21% 53% B- A+ A+ F B- F F B F+
1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24 0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 NJIT C- C- B F F+ 45% 9% 45% A- D C- B C B+ B+ D+ B- F B- F F+ F+ 47% 23% 30% F+ F+ F+ D D- F C F D
1.11 56% 40% 24% -8 +2 0.91 32% 1.2 .37 12% .41 68% .28 1.14 52% 50% 38% +1 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 13% .31 79% .25
Feb
5		 Maine C+ D+ A+ C- C- 36% 9% 56% B C- C+ A+ A F+ A+ D+ A F D- D- F F 40% 21% 40% C- F B- F C- D- F B F
1.11 56% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 38% 1.4 .53 22% .43 67% .29 1.21 65% 44% 53% +15 0 1.33 16% 1.3 .20 17% .44 61% .27
Feb
7		 New Hampshire C+ B- D- A+ A 30% 6% 65% B A C- F F D+ F A- F B+ A+ C+ B A- 57% 6% 36% F B A B- A- C+ F B F
1.18 63% 33% 43% +10 +1 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 16% .19 82% .16 0.84 41% 33% 29% -13 +3 0.83 17% 0.8 .14 19% .40 64% .26
Feb
12		 Binghamton D A+ A+ F B- 43% 21% 36% D+ C+ D- F F D C D- D+ C D B+ F F 33% 37% 31% A+ D- B F C C- B+ A+ A
1.11 85% 60% 18% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.9 .22 14% .32 67% .21 0.99 63% 33% 47% +6 -2 1.08 16% 1.0 .16 20% .30 63% .19
Feb
14		 Bryant A- A- D A+ A+ 52% 20% 28% C A+ F A+ C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C C+ F+ C- F+ 33% 14% 53% C+ D- A B+ A- F+ C+ F D+
1.35 67% 33% 62% +15 +1 1.35 24% 1.3 .32 15% .44 84% .37 0.94 53% 43% 33% -2 +1 1.00 20% 0.9 .17 18% .26 86% .22
Feb
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F F F C+ F 34% 17% 48% C- F F C- F B+ F+ A+ D D+ D+ A+ F B- 27% 27% 47% B+ B D C- D+ F+ F D- F
0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13 1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34
Feb
21		 NJIT C A+ A+ F B 47% 13% 40% B B F A D- C B F D C A B F D+ 42% 31% 27% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F+
1.10 73% 67% 21% +3 +2 1.11 22% 1.3 .28 14% .39 57% .22 1.01 45% 33% 46% -2 -1 0.96 15% 0.4 .06 9% .33 84% .28
Feb
26		 Umass Lowell F F+ F F+ F 44% 8% 48% B F C B C+ C- C+ C+ C+ C+ D+ C+ A+ B- 45% 27% 29% B- B- D- A+ A F D A C
1.01 50% 0% 29% -10 +2 0.86 32% 1.3 .39 14% .29 75% .21 0.98 59% 38% 21% -5 0 0.92 36% 0.6 .21 14% .36 55% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 15.3 15.3 1st
2nd 14.4 65.7 80.1 2nd
3rd 4.6 4.6 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 19.0 81.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 18.9% 15.3    6.3 9.0
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 15.3% 15.3 6.3 9.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 81.0% 34.3% 34.3% 15.6 0.4 9.0 18.4 53.3
11-5 19.0% 30.1% 30.1% 15.9 0.0 0.5 5.2 13.3
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 33.5% 33.5% 0.0% 15.7 66.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 27.7% 100.0% 15.6 1.4 32.4 66.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 19.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.1%
Lose Out 4.4%