Vermont
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#187
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#148
Pace59.1#360
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#169
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.2% 40.3% 29.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 78.0% 89.8% 71.3%
.500 or above in Conference 90.1% 94.6% 87.6%
Conference Champion 46.1% 55.9% 40.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.6% 1.9%
First Four7.6% 5.6% 8.8%
First Round32.5% 40.4% 28.0%
Second Round1.5% 2.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Away) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 43 - 5
Quad 415 - 618 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2025 173   @ Brown L 61-65 36%    
  Nov 15, 2025 237   @ Northeastern L 65-66 47%    
  Nov 18, 2025 323   @ Buffalo W 71-67 65%    
  Nov 24, 2025 88   Liberty L 60-68 24%    
  Nov 30, 2025 92   Yale L 64-68 35%    
  Dec 03, 2025 125   @ Oregon St. L 59-66 27%    
  Dec 06, 2025 248   @ Pepperdine L 66-67 50%    
  Dec 14, 2025 260   Merrimack W 63-57 71%    
  Dec 17, 2025 182   Siena W 67-64 60%    
  Dec 20, 2025 213   Iona W 68-64 63%    
  Dec 30, 2025 175   @ Princeton L 62-66 38%    
  Jan 03, 2026 358   @ New Hampshire W 69-60 77%    
  Jan 08, 2026 340   Binghamton W 69-57 84%    
  Jan 15, 2026 300   Maine W 66-57 76%    
  Jan 19, 2026 304   @ Albany W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 22, 2026 309   @ Umass Lowell W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 24, 2026 277   @ Bryant W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 29, 2026 296   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 31, 2026 332   NJIT W 69-58 83%    
  Feb 05, 2026 300   @ Maine W 63-60 59%    
  Feb 07, 2026 358   New Hampshire W 72-57 89%    
  Feb 12, 2026 340   @ Binghamton W 66-60 68%    
  Feb 14, 2026 277   Bryant W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 19, 2026 296   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 21, 2026 332   @ NJIT W 66-61 66%    
  Feb 26, 2026 309   Umass Lowell W 72-63 76%    
  Mar 03, 2026 304   Albany W 70-61 77%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.9 7.7 11.9 11.4 8.2 3.5 46.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.6 7.3 6.0 2.2 0.4 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.8 1.4 0.1 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.2 6.1 8.7 10.5 13.1 14.1 14.1 11.9 8.2 3.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.5    3.5
15-1 100.0% 8.2    8.1 0.1
14-2 96.5% 11.4    10.4 1.1 0.0
13-3 84.3% 11.9    8.8 2.9 0.1
12-4 54.2% 7.7    3.8 3.1 0.7 0.0
11-5 22.5% 2.9    0.6 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 46.1% 46.1 35.2 8.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.5% 70.9% 70.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-1 8.2% 61.9% 61.9% 13.7 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.2 3.1
14-2 11.9% 52.8% 52.8% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.0 0.9 5.6
13-3 14.1% 44.4% 44.4% 16.1 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 2.1 7.9
12-4 14.1% 35.1% 35.1% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.8 9.2
11-5 13.1% 26.9% 26.9% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.7 9.6
10-6 10.5% 20.1% 20.1% 18.4 0.1 0.5 2.0 8.4
9-7 8.7% 14.8% 14.8% 18.4 0.0 0.1 1.4 7.4
8-8 6.1% 11.3% 11.3% 16.9 0.0 0.7 5.4
7-9 4.2% 7.5% 7.5% 16.5 0.3 3.9
6-10 2.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.2 2.6
5-11 1.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-12 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 33.2% 33.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.2 6.6 9.2 13.3 66.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.5 8.7 4.3 17.4 8.7 26.1 30.4 4.3