Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#211
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#162
Pace68.8#202
Improvement+2.8#25

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#145
First Shot+2.9#99
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#293
Layup/Dunks-3.1#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#52
Freethrows+1.8#77
Improvement+4.4#2

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#271
First Shot-2.7#270
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#193
Layups/Dunks-5.2#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#93
Freethrows+1.3#109
Improvement-1.6#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 11.5% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 71.5% 74.5% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.5% 79.1% 65.3%
Conference Champion 12.4% 13.2% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.2% 2.0%
First Four1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
First Round10.3% 10.8% 6.3%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 88.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 64 - 8
Quad 414 - 518 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 116   @ Massachusetts L 60-77 21%     0 - 1 -10.8 -17.5 +7.4
  Nov 19, 2021 302   Western Carolina W 91-75 71%     1 - 1 +8.2 +8.6 -1.1
  Nov 20, 2021 210   @ Longwood L 55-82 38%     1 - 2 -26.1 -13.5 -14.4
  Nov 23, 2021 320   American W 98-67 82%     2 - 2 +19.1 +20.7 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2021 200   @ Pittsburgh W 87-77 37%     3 - 2 +11.2 +16.1 -4.9
  Dec 01, 2021 333   Columbia W 80-67 89%    
  Dec 05, 2021 161   @ Delaware L 71-77 30%    
  Dec 08, 2021 128   @ Georgetown L 71-79 24%    
  Dec 13, 2021 151   @ Princeton L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 16, 2021 167   UNC Greensboro W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 22, 2021 299   @ Mount St. Mary's W 66-64 59%    
  Dec 29, 2021 248   Radford W 70-64 69%    
  Jan 02, 2022 195   @ New Hampshire L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 06, 2022 219   @ Stony Brook L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 08, 2022 209   Umass Lowell W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 12, 2022 254   @ NJIT L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 104   Vermont L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 19, 2022 298   Albany W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 22, 2022 352   @ Maine W 71-60 82%    
  Jan 26, 2022 254   NJIT W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 29, 2022 323   @ Binghamton W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 02, 2022 298   @ Albany W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 05, 2022 195   New Hampshire W 69-67 60%    
  Feb 09, 2022 265   Hartford W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 12, 2022 209   @ Umass Lowell L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 16, 2022 219   Stony Brook W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 19, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 62-71 21%    
  Feb 23, 2022 265   @ Hartford W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 26, 2022 352   Maine W 74-57 93%    
  Mar 01, 2022 323   Binghamton W 76-66 82%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 2.1 3.3 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.2 12.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 4.8 5.8 3.8 1.3 0.2 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.2 6.3 2.1 0.3 17.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.9 5.2 1.8 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 5.7 4.4 0.9 0.1 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.2 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.1 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 2.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.6 6.5 8.5 11.9 12.9 13.8 13.5 10.0 7.4 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
16-2 92.2% 2.0    1.7 0.3
15-3 73.3% 3.6    2.5 1.1
14-4 43.7% 3.3    1.6 1.5 0.2
13-5 21.0% 2.1    0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1
12-6 3.9% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.4% 12.4 7.2 4.1 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 28.6% 28.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 39.4% 39.4% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
16-2 2.2% 34.2% 34.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.4
15-3 4.9% 36.0% 36.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 3.1
14-4 7.4% 23.7% 23.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 5.7
13-5 10.0% 17.7% 17.7% 15.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 8.3
12-6 13.5% 11.6% 11.6% 15.4 0.1 0.7 0.8 11.9
11-7 13.8% 9.4% 9.4% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 12.5
10-8 12.9% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.2 0.7 12.0
9-9 11.9% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.1 0.4 11.4
8-10 8.5% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.2
7-11 6.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
6-12 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.5
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.0 4.1 89.0 0.0%