Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.6 261
Expected Predictive Rating -5.6 254
Pace 66.0 249
Improvement +1.4 129

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #244 C- F+ C+ D+ C-
Defense D+ #263 D+ C F+ A C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 59% 160 -0.8 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 140 37% 196 +0.7 139
Three Pointers 41% 188 32% 256 -1.2 226
1st FG Attempt 0.99 218 -1.4 212
Second Chance 21.1% 356 0.99 235 0.21 352
Turnovers 16.0% 124
Freethrows 0.27 288 74% 140 0.20 260
Total Offense -2.7 244

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 69 60% 240 -3.4 296
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 183 41% 293 -0.3 204
Three Pointers 37% 305 37% 300 +0.8 148
1st FG Attempt 1.09 292 -2.9 277
Second Chance 29.4% 133 1.06 244 0.31 186
Turnovers 13.1% 349
Freethrows 0.22 13 68% 22 0.15 10
Total Defense -2.9 263

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 239 +0.3 231
Shot Type Accuracy -1.2 213 +2.9 293
Possession Length 17.5 203 18.0 296
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 195 0.13 51
Improvement +0.1 #171 +1.3 #113

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.0% 25.8% 21.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 98.6% 99.7% 96.7%
.500 or above in Conference 99.8% 100.0% 99.5%
Conference Champion 48.6% 59.0% 32.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four15.4% 14.8% 16.2%
First Round16.5% 18.5% 13.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Away) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 418 - 618 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 97 @Dayton L 71 - 77 10% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +2 B +6 C+ B+ C D+ -4 D D- D-
 Tue, Nov 11 352 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 69% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 A+ F F D -6 D+ F+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 332 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 79% -1  38% 2 - 1 D- -13 F -18 F B+ F B +5 B B- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 83 @George Washington L 52 - 89 8% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -27 F -22 F F D D+ -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 360 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 88% +8  97% 3 - 2 C- -4 D -4 C F C C+ +1 C+ C F
 Wed, Dec 3 75 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 7% -11  0% 3 - 3 C +2 A+ +14 B B A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 325 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 56% +1  53% 4 - 3 C -0 C+ +2 B F D+ C -1 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 211 Buffalo L 79 - 83 51% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +2 B- C C+ F -12 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 12 339 Army L 60 - 63 80% -5  12% 4 - 5 F+ -17 F -20 F+ F B C+ +2 B B D
 Sun, Dec 21 66 @South Florida L 69 - 94 7% -15  1% 4 - 6 D- -14 D -5 D D+ D+ D- -8 F D F+
 Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 85% +18  98% 5 - 6 A- +17 B+ +8 D+ A+ B+ A- +9 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 340 Maine W 69 - 62 80% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D+ -8 D+ -4 D+ F A+ C- -3 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 327 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 77% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 D- -12 B- +4 A- F A+ F -16 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 344 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 63% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 D- -14 D+ -3 B- F D- F -11 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 361 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 78% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +4 B- +4 C+ D- A- C+ +2 C- C F
 Thu, Jan 22 315 NJIT W 87 - 74 74% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C +1 B+ +7 B D A+ D -7 F+ D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 319 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 75% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +10 C +1 C- D- C- A +10 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 222 @Vermont L 55 - 64 30% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -9 F -16 F D- B- B +6 C A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 326 @Albany W 68 - 65 56% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -4 D -4 B- F C+ C+ +0 C+ F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 361 Binghamton W 79 - 62 90% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -3 C- -1 D F A+ C -0 C- A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 340 @Maine W 68 - 65 61%
 Sat, Feb 14 327 @New Hampshire W 72 - 70 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 222 Vermont W 71 - 70 53%
 Sat, Feb 21 326 Albany W 76 - 68 77%
 Thu, Feb 26 344 Bryant W 73 - 64 81%
 Sat, Feb 28 319 @Umass Lowell W 75 - 74 55%
 Tue, Mar 3 315 @NJIT W 72 - 71 52%
Totals 16 - 11 11 - 5 -6 C- -3 C- F+ C+ D+ -3 D+ C F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C- D+ C- 37% 22% 41% C- C- F C- F+ C+ D+ C+ D+ D+ C- D+ D D+ 43% 20% 37% C- D+ C+ C- C F+ A- A- A
1.05 59% 37% 32% -1 0 0.99 21% 1.0 .21 16% .27 74% .20 1.13 60% 41% 37% +3 0 1.09 29% 1.1 .31 13% .22 68% .18
Nov
8		 Dayton B D C B+ C+ 28% 26% 46% D+ C+ B B B+ C F A+ F+ D+ F D+ B+ F+ 39% 24% 37% A D B+ F D- D- C D D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +2 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. D+ A A A A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F C D D+ D A A+ F C- 45% 22% 33% F D+ D- D- F+ F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +14 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F+ F C+ A+ B+ F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% C- B B+ D+ B- C+ C A B-
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F C- F D B- F C- D+ D- A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A- A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B F B+ C 47% 13% 40% B- C D F F C F D F C+ C- B+ B C 35% 52% 13% A+ C+ C C- C F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A+ B- A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B A+ C- A C+ F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D- F A+ F D+ F A+ A- A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C+ B- B A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F D+ F D+ D+ A- C C C- A+ B C 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F B+ D F D+ A- C
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 30% 23% 47% D- B- D A- C C+ F A+ F+ F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% D+ F D A C+ D+ B- F D
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B D- F F+ 28% 25% 47% D- F+ F F F B F+ F F C+ A+ A+ D A- 55% 4% 40% F B B B B D F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -3 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- B D+ D+ D- A- D+ D- C- A+ F F+ 54% 4% 42% D- F B+ F D F+ A+ C+ A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +4 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. B+ F C A+ D- 43% 10% 47% B D+ C- A+ A+ B+ C F F A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% F+ C A+ F A- D- A- B- A-
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ F F F A+ A B A C- A F A+ B 42% 25% 33% C B- D- F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire B- C+ A- A+ A 43% 21% 36% C A- F F F A+ F+ B+ D F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F D F D- B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D+ B D- B+ B 31% 14% 55% D+ B- F F+ F D- B+ A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F F F D F C B A B+
1.08 63% 29% 39% +5 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton B- B B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F C+ D+ A C- D+ 41% 29% 31% B C- C D+ C F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B+ A+ A F A- 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ D F+ A- D F+ 42% 26% 32% D+ F+ F B+ D+ F+ F+ A+ B-
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C C+ C- C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C+ D- C- A- A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C- A- B+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% D+ F F A+ D- B- B C- B- B A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C+ C A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C+ A+ B+ A+ C+ C A B- C+ 39% 14% 47% D+ C+ D- F F C+ A- A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D D- F F A+ C- B- C- C A F A D+ 28% 32% 40% A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F B+ F B-
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 7.0 20.5 16.0 4.7 48.6 1st
2nd 0.3 6.6 15.6 5.9 0.2 28.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.4 9.9 3.7 0.1 18.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.4 0.4 3.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.2 1.7 7.1 17.3 26.3 26.5 16.2 4.7 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 4.7    4.7
13-3 98.9% 16.0    13.9 2.1
12-4 77.5% 20.5    8.7 10.3 1.5
11-5 26.6% 7.0    1.0 3.4 2.5 0.1
10-6 2.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 48.6% 48.6 28.2 15.9 4.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 4.7% 36.8% 36.8% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 3.0
13-3 16.2% 31.8% 31.8% 15.9 0.0 0.6 4.5 11.0
12-4 26.5% 25.9% 25.9% 16.0 0.3 6.6 19.6
11-5 26.3% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.7 20.5
10-6 17.3% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 3.1 14.2
9-7 7.1% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1 6.0
8-8 1.7% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.2 1.5
7-9 0.2% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 24.0% 24.0% 0.0% 15.9 76.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 14.9 1.2 20.8 60.7 17.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%