Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#275
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#218
Pace66.6#256
Improvement+1.5#80

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#196
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#303
Layup/Dunks+1.6#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#193
Freethrows-2.0#300
Improvement+2.8#15

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#331
First Shot-6.0#347
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#111
Layups/Dunks-5.2#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#344
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#253
Freethrows+4.3#10
Improvement-1.3#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.7% 17.8% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 76.6% 81.3% 59.7%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 81.6% 72.8%
Conference Champion 20.5% 22.0% 15.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.8% 4.6%
First Four8.8% 8.9% 8.8%
First Round12.1% 13.2% 8.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 78.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 416 - 716 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 70 @Dayton L 71-77 7%     0 - 1 +4.9 +8.7 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 11 360 @Morgan St. W 81-79 72%     1 - 1 -10.0 -0.2 -9.9
  Sun, Nov 16 299 Wagner W 71-70 OT 67%     2 - 1 -9.7 -11.4 +1.6
  Wed, Nov 19 80 @George Washington L 52-89 7%     2 - 2 -26.7 -19.8 -6.3
  Sat, Nov 29 351 Delaware St. W 71-57 82%     3 - 2 -1.9 -1.8 +0.7
  Wed, Dec 3 91 @Georgetown L 81-90 9%     3 - 3 -0.2 +15.0 -15.7
  Sat, Dec 6 300 @Bucknell W 73-66 45%     4 - 3 +2.3 +5.6 -2.7
  Tue, Dec 9 209 Buffalo L 79-83 51%     4 - 4 -10.2 +5.0 -15.5
  Fri, Dec 12 340 Army W 78-70 78%    
  Sun, Dec 21 84 @South Florida L 71-87 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 78-69 79%    
  Thu, Jan 8 316 Maine W 70-64 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 New Hampshire W 76-68 76%    
  Thu, Jan 15 289 @Bryant L 69-71 43%    
  Mon, Jan 19 353 @Binghamton W 73-69 66%    
  Thu, Jan 22 347 NJIT W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 24 315 Umass Lowell W 79-73 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 189 @Vermont L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 327 @Albany W 75-74 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 353 Binghamton W 76-66 82%    
  Thu, Feb 12 316 @Maine L 66-67 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 335 @New Hampshire W 73-71 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 189 Vermont L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 327 Albany W 78-71 72%    
  Thu, Feb 26 289 Bryant W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 @Umass Lowell L 76-77 49%    
  Tue, Mar 3 347 @NJIT W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.7 5.6 3.6 1.4 0.3 20.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 6.3 8.4 5.1 1.5 0.2 23.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 6.2 6.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.2 5.6 1.3 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.5 3.4 4.4 1.0 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.4 1.0 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 0.8 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.4 5.9 8.5 12.0 14.5 15.0 14.3 11.2 7.2 3.8 1.4 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.0
14-2 95.8% 3.6    3.2 0.4
13-3 78.4% 5.6    4.1 1.5 0.0
12-4 51.4% 5.7    2.8 2.5 0.5 0.0
11-5 22.2% 3.2    0.8 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.3% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 12.5 6.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 60.5% 60.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
15-1 1.4% 44.7% 44.7% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7
14-2 3.8% 41.0% 41.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 2.2
13-3 7.2% 30.2% 30.2% 15.6 0.1 0.7 1.4 5.0
12-4 11.2% 25.8% 25.8% 15.8 0.0 0.6 2.3 8.3
11-5 14.3% 20.5% 20.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.7 11.4
10-6 15.0% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 0.1 2.5 12.5
9-7 14.5% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6 12.9
8-8 12.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1 10.9
7-9 8.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.7 7.8
6-10 5.9% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.6
5-11 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 3.3
4-12 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-13 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 2.8 13.3 83.3 0.0%