IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.7	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#148

Pace	70.8	#124
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#249

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.8	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	15.8%	9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.1	14.8	15.5

.500 or above	29.4%	78.9%	29.4%
.500 or above in Conference	55.3%	84.2%	55.3%
Conference Champion	10.5%	31.6%	10.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.3%	2.6%	11.3%

First Four	5.0%	5.3%	5.0%
First Round	8.4%	13.2%	8.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 8	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	55-87	0.1%
Nov 10, 2025	362	New Haven	W	78-68	82%
Nov 13, 2025	254	@ Columbia	L	76-82	30%
Nov 16, 2025	66	@ Wake Forest	L	63-82	4%
Nov 19, 2025	113	@ Bradley	L	64-78	10%
Nov 22, 2025	303	@ St. Peter's	L	66-69	39%
Dec 06, 2025	186	@ Massachusetts	L	72-81	22%
Dec 13, 2025	218	@ Quinnipiac	L	74-81	26%
Dec 16, 2025	234	Sacred Heart	L	77-78	49%
Dec 21, 2025	253	@ Boston University	L	65-71	31%
Dec 29, 2025	30	@ Iowa	L	66-90	2%
Jan 03, 2026	304	Albany	W	75-72	60%
Jan 08, 2026	277	@ Bryant	L	76-81	34%
Jan 10, 2026	340	@ Binghamton	L	70-71	49%
Jan 15, 2026	332	NJIT	W	73-68	67%
Jan 22, 2026	187	Vermont	L	66-69	40%
Jan 24, 2026	296	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	77-80	39%
Jan 29, 2026	358	@ New Hampshire	W	74-71	59%
Jan 31, 2026	300	@ Maine	L	67-70	39%
Feb 05, 2026	332	@ NJIT	L	70-71	48%
Feb 07, 2026	304	@ Albany	L	72-75	40%
Feb 12, 2026	277	Bryant	W	79-78	54%
Feb 19, 2026	358	New Hampshire	W	77-68	77%
Feb 21, 2026	340	Binghamton	W	73-67	68%
Feb 26, 2026	187	@ Vermont	L	63-72	24%
Feb 28, 2026	296	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	80-77	59%
Mar 03, 2026	300	@ Maine	L	67-70	39%
Projected Record						11 - 16	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.4	2.9	3.0	1.9	0.8	0.2		10.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	3.0	4.6	3.0	0.9	0.2				12.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.3	5.2	2.1	0.3	0.0					12.9	3rd
4th							0.0	1.0	5.0	5.2	1.5	0.1	0.0						12.9	4th
5th						0.0	1.1	4.7	5.1	1.3	0.1								12.3	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	4.6	4.9	1.2	0.0									11.8	6th
7th				0.1	1.3	4.1	4.1	1.1	0.0										10.8	7th
8th		0.0	0.3	1.8	3.5	3.1	0.8	0.0											9.5	8th
9th	0.2	0.9	1.7	2.2	1.5	0.4	0.0												6.9	9th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.0	4.1	6.4	8.7	10.6	11.8	12.3	11.5	10.1	8.2	6.2	4.0	2.0	0.8	0.2			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
14-2	92.3%	1.9		1.7	0.2
13-3	76.4%	3.0		2.1	0.9	0.1
12-4	46.7%	2.9		1.3	1.3	0.3	0.0
11-5	16.5%	1.4		0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.5%	10.5		6.3	3.2	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		57.6%	57.6%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-1	0.8%		46.3%	46.3%		14.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4
14-2	2.0%		38.1%	38.1%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	1.3
13-3	4.0%		35.2%	35.2%		17.1														0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	2.6
12-4	6.2%		25.5%	25.5%		17.4														0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	4.7
11-5	8.2%		18.4%	18.4%		18.4															0.1	0.5	1.2	6.7
10-6	10.1%		13.0%	13.0%		18.0															0.0	0.2	1.2	8.8
9-7	11.5%		9.1%	9.1%		17.5																0.1	1.1	10.5
8-8	12.3%		6.1%	6.1%		16.7																0.0	0.8	11.5
7-9	11.8%		4.5%	4.5%		16.3																0.0	0.5	11.2
6-10	10.6%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.3	10.3
5-11	8.7%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.6
4-12	6.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
3-13	4.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
2-14	2.0%																							2.0
1-15	0.9%																							0.9
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		9.9%	9.9%	0.0%	17.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.5	7.1	90.1		0.0%