Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#298
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#316
Pace73.4#76
Improvement+3.0#34

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#263
First Shot-3.1#266
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#199
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#224
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement-0.2#194

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#304
First Shot-3.2#288
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#244
Layups/Dunks-3.0#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#206
Freethrows+0.2#160
Improvement+3.2#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 13.3% 10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 18.8% 29.7% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 69.9% 75.4% 66.6%
Conference Champion 11.1% 13.9% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 3.1% 5.0%
First Four9.4% 10.0% 9.0%
First Round6.6% 8.2% 5.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 412 - 912 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 7 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -38.9 -16.5 -18.4
  Mon, Nov 10 334 New Haven L 67-73 73%     0 - 2 -19.7 -8.8 -11.0
  Thu, Nov 13 129 @Columbia L 72-86 13%     0 - 3 -9.2 +2.0 -11.3
  Sun, Nov 16 50 @Wake Forest L 75-109 4%     0 - 4 -20.7 +3.2 -21.3
  Wed, Nov 19 107 @Bradley L 77-87 10%     0 - 5 -2.9 +11.6 -14.9
  Sat, Nov 22 295 @St. Peter's L 66-68 38%     0 - 6 -6.2 -8.2 +2.1
  Wed, Nov 26 336 @Stonehill W 75-64 52%     1 - 6 +3.2 +3.3 +0.1
  Sat, Dec 6 163 @Massachusetts L 60-80 17%     1 - 7 -17.3 -14.6 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 13 157 @Quinnipiac L 71-75 16%     1 - 8 -1.0 -3.8 +3.1
  Tue, Dec 16 235 Sacred Heart W 87-82 50%     2 - 8 -2.4 +4.9 -7.5
  Sun, Dec 21 291 @Boston University L 73-76 37%    
  Mon, Dec 29 18 @Iowa L 58-85 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 307 Albany W 78-74 64%    
  Thu, Jan 8 300 @Bryant L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 363 @Binghamton W 77-72 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 352 NJIT W 77-69 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 179 Vermont L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-77 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 337 @New Hampshire W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 338 @Maine W 69-68 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 352 @NJIT W 74-72 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 307 @Albany L 75-77 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 300 Bryant W 75-72 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 337 New Hampshire W 76-70 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 363 Binghamton W 80-69 84%    
  Thu, Feb 26 179 @Vermont L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-74 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 338 @Maine W 69-68 52%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.4 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 5.0 6.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 6.0 7.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 17.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 6.2 6.8 1.7 0.1 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.9 6.1 1.4 0.1 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.0 1.3 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 5.3 8.4 12.0 14.9 15.5 14.2 11.1 7.5 4.3 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 94.4% 1.7    1.5 0.2
13-3 75.1% 3.3    2.2 1.0 0.1
12-4 45.5% 3.4    1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0
11-5 15.9% 1.8    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 6.1 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 58.3% 58.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 35.2% 35.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.9% 32.1% 32.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3
13-3 4.3% 25.7% 25.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2
12-4 7.5% 21.7% 21.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 5.9
11-5 11.1% 17.8% 17.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0 9.2
10-6 14.2% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9 12.3
9-7 15.5% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 1.5 14.0
8-8 14.9% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.2 13.6
7-9 12.0% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.7 11.4
6-10 8.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.4 8.0
5-11 5.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.2
4-12 2.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.9 88.6 0.0%