Bryant
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.8 #347
Expected Predictive Rating -11.2 #335
Pace 63.6 #317
Improvement -3.0 #306

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #346 D- D+ F+ D+ B-
Defense #308 C- D+ D- C F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #309 1.03 #322 -5.2 #341
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #327 0.64 #333 -3.6 #343
Three Pointers 53% #9 0.85 #349 +1.9 #110
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #350 -7.0 #353
Freethrows 0.27 #308 75% #91 0.20 #265
Second Chance 26.9% #286 0.99 #234 0.27 #279
Turnovers 21.2% #352
Total Offense -7.3 #346

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #6 1.13 #134 -4.4 #324
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #327 0.65 #24 +2.7 #13
Three Pointers 37% #289 1.11 #308 +0.4 #164
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #222 -1.3 #223
Freethrows 0.29 #151 73% #206 0.21 #153
Second Chance 35.8% #338 0.98 #105 0.35 #273
Turnovers 13.3% #345
Total Defense -4.6 #308

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #104 2.6% #356
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -14.1% #360 0.1% #188
Possession Length 19.3 #345 16.8 #113
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #341 0.21 #305
Improvement -0.4 #201 -2.6 #315

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.7% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 21.4% 32.5% 9.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 3.4% 11.5%
First Four3.6% 4.6% 2.5%
First Round1.6% 1.9% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 175 @Siena L 66 - 82 11% -10  0 - 1 -14 -3 B- B F -12 B- F F
 Fri, Nov 7 116 @Georgia Tech L 45 - 74 6% -19  0 - 2 -23 -25 F F F +4 C A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 228 Dartmouth W 82 - 75 31% +1  1 - 2 +0 +1 C+ F B+ -1 C+ A- F+
 Sun, Nov 16 159 @Valparaiso L 50 - 68 9% -4  1 - 3 -15 -14 F B- D- -3 B+ D- F+
 Wed, Nov 19 59 @Virginia Tech L 61 - 78 2% -5  1 - 4 -5 -5 C F+ C- -0 B- F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 7 @Connecticut L 49 - 72 0% -14  1 - 5 +1 -7 D+ C- F +7 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Nov 29 165 @Harvard L 53 - 56 9% -2  1 - 6 -0 -8 F C C +7 B+ B+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 329 Stonehill W 77 - 65 56% +4  2 - 6 -1 +14 B- A+ D- -13 D- C F
 Fri, Dec 5 281 @Brown L 56 - 75 22% -12  2 - 7 -23 -12 D+ F D- -12 F+ C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 233 @Iona L 63 - 69 16% -5  2 - 8 -7 -5 B- F+ F -2 B- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 160 Marist L 74 - 82 21% -6  2 - 9 -11 +6 A+ F D- -18 F C- D
 Mon, Dec 22 98 @High Point L 47 - 93 4% -27  2 - 10 -38 -21 F D F -21 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 346 @Maine W 56 - 51 38% +5  3 - 10 1 - 0 -4 -15 F F+ F +12 A+ D C+
 Thu, Jan 8 314 Umass Lowell L 63 - 77 51% -6  3 - 11 1 - 1 -26 -10 F+ D- C -17 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 317 @Albany L 46 - 71 30% -13  3 - 12 1 - 2 -32 -19 F D C- -18 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 262 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79 - 74 OT 38% +1  4 - 12 2 - 2 -4 +3 B+ B+ F -7 D- B+ C-
 Mon, Jan 19 323 @NJIT L 55 - 79 32% -9  4 - 13 2 - 3 -31 -13 F F F -21 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 212 Vermont L 52 - 62 29% -8  4 - 14 2 - 4 -16 -8 F A- D -11 B F+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 361 @Binghamton L 60 - 63 55% -2  4 - 15 2 - 5 -16 -8 F F A- -9 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 320 New Hampshire W 92 - 84 54% +1  5 - 15 3 - 5 -5 +10 C A+ C- -15 D C- F
 Thu, Feb 5 317 Albany W 69 - 68 53%
 Sat, Feb 7 346 Maine W 64 - 61 61%
 Thu, Feb 12 314 @Umass Lowell L 68 - 74 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 212 @Vermont L 61 - 73 13%
 Thu, Feb 19 361 Binghamton W 71 - 64 76%
 Thu, Feb 26 262 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64 - 73 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 323 NJIT W 69 - 68 55%
 Tue, Mar 3 320 @New Hampshire L 66 - 71 32%
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 10 -12 -7 D- D+ F+ -5 C- D+ D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 1.3 6.7 2.7 0.1 10.7 4th
5th 0.9 8.7 6.2 0.4 16.2 5th
6th 0.6 7.4 11.8 1.3 21.2 6th
7th 0.3 6.4 13.9 3.4 24.0 7th
8th 0.5 5.7 10.9 4.4 0.1 21.6 8th
9th 0.7 1.3 0.3 2.3 9th
Total 1.2 7.3 18.2 26.6 25.3 14.8 5.4 1.1 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 12.5% 0.0    0.0
10-6 5.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
10-6 1.1% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.1 1.0
9-7 5.4% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.4 5.0
8-8 14.8% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.9 13.9
7-9 25.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 1.1 24.2
6-10 26.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.6 26.0
5-11 18.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 17.8
4-12 7.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.3
3-13 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 16.0 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%