Binghamton
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#323
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#307
Pace66.3#253
Improvement-0.8#241

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#286
First Shot-6.8#334
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#50
Layup/Dunks-3.6#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#277
Freethrows-4.0#350
Improvement+0.3#135

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#318
First Shot-8.0#351
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#34
Layups/Dunks-6.3#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#116
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement-1.1#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.9 15.8
.500 or above 6.9% 16.2% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 18.9% 28.7% 16.6%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 17.9% 11.6% 19.4%
First Four0.9% 1.3% 0.8%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 9
Quad 47 - 98 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 185   Cornell L 69-76 31%     0 - 1 -11.2 -15.4 +5.0
  Nov 14, 2021 309   @ Sacred Heart W 72-60 35%     1 - 1 +6.8 -2.2 +9.6
  Nov 17, 2021 333   @ Columbia L 77-85 OT 48%     1 - 2 -16.7 -5.7 -10.6
  Nov 20, 2021 26   @ Connecticut L 63-87 2%     1 - 3 -7.8 -0.7 -7.7
  Dec 01, 2021 220   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-80 19%    
  Dec 04, 2021 144   @ Boston University L 61-75 9%    
  Dec 08, 2021 255   Marist L 65-66 45%    
  Dec 21, 2021 180   Niagara L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 02, 2022 209   Umass Lowell L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 06, 2022 298   @ Albany L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 08, 2022 254   NJIT L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 12, 2022 265   Hartford L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 16, 2022 352   @ Maine W 64-61 61%    
  Jan 19, 2022 219   Stony Brook L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 254   @ NJIT L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 26, 2022 265   @ Hartford L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 29, 2022 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 219   @ Stony Brook L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 352   Maine W 67-58 79%    
  Feb 09, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 56-73 8%    
  Feb 12, 2022 195   New Hampshire L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 16, 2022 298   Albany W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 19, 2022 209   @ Umass Lowell L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 23, 2022 104   Vermont L 59-70 18%    
  Feb 26, 2022 195   @ New Hampshire L 60-71 17%    
  Mar 01, 2022 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-76 18%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 3.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 3.2 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 6.0 2.8 0.3 14.0 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 6.6 7.5 2.8 0.4 19.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 6.3 8.5 6.6 3.0 0.3 26.6 9th
10th 0.6 2.1 3.3 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.1 10th
Total 0.6 2.2 5.0 9.6 12.1 14.4 14.9 12.0 10.4 7.4 5.4 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 63.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 41.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 24.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 24.4% 24.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.9% 7.1% 7.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 1.6% 7.2% 7.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 3.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.2 3.0
10-8 5.4% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.3 5.2
9-9 7.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 7.2
8-10 10.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.2
7-11 12.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.8
6-12 14.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.8
5-13 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 12.1% 12.1
3-15 9.6% 9.6
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.1 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%