New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.4 #316
Expected Predictive Rating -9.1 #315
Pace 68.4 #196
Improvement +3.2 #55

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #343 D D D+ D- B-
Defense #245 C C D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #149 1.01 #337 -2.2 #264
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #289 0.65 #325 -2.7 #308
Three Pointers 45% #102 0.92 #305 -0.3 #193
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #324 -5.2 #324
Freethrows 0.25 #325 69% #280 0.17 #334
Second Chance 26.0% #302 0.97 #266 0.25 #309
Turnovers 18.3% #299
Total Offense -7.3 #343

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #30 1.17 #189 -3.7 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #125 0.76 #183 -0.6 #230
Three Pointers 33% #352 0.98 #123 +4.5 #23
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #172 +0.2 #172
Freethrows 0.33 #280 75% #316 0.25 #301
Second Chance 31.0% #201 1.01 #130 0.31 #169
Turnovers 14.5% #299
Total Defense -2.1 #245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #87 0.5% #214
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.4% #340 -1.0% #162
Possession Length 17.9 #233 17.0 #120
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #211 0.14 #83
Improvement +2.8 #54 +0.4 #160

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 9.0% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.6% 12.6% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 75.2% 87.8% 62.9%
Conference Champion 2.5% 4.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four7.2% 7.9% 6.5%
First Round3.9% 4.5% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Away) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 411 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 32 @Clemson L 38 - 88 2% -26  0 - 1 -33 -24 F D- D+ -9 C B F
 Sun, Nov 9 173 @Harvard L 75 - 86 15% +6  0 - 2 -9 +3 B- D- F+ -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 85 @George Mason L 44 - 61 5% -7  0 - 3 -7 -22 F C+ F +14 A+ C B+
 Tue, Nov 18 70 @Providence L 66 - 98 4% -13  0 - 4 -21 -5 F A F -16 F A D-
 Wed, Nov 26 273 Brown L 47 - 59 50% -5  0 - 5 -21 -23 F D- F +1 D A- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 269 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 27% -0  0 - 6 -7 -2 F+ F A -5 D C C+
 Wed, Dec 3 235 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 22% +2  0 - 7 -2 -5 F+ F+ C +3 C A- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 287 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 53% -6  1 - 7 -4 -1 C C- C- -4 A- F D+
 Wed, Dec 17 336 Stonehill W 59 - 58 68% +1  2 - 7 -13 -14 F D- D +1 C+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 23 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1% -3  2 - 8 +5 +11 A+ F+ A- -5 B+ B F
 Tue, Dec 30 13 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1% -10  2 - 9 -9 -6 D+ C- F -4 A+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 201 Vermont L 61 - 80 35% -9  2 - 10 0 - 1 -24 -10 C- D+ F -17 D- F D
 Thu, Jan 8 332 @NJIT L 76 - 80 43% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -12 -0 C D- F -11 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 260 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 75 26% +3  2 - 12 0 - 3 -4 +8 B B D- -11 F A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 337 @Maine W 65 - 48 46% +12  3 - 12 1 - 3 +9 -1 C F A- +11 A+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 362 Binghamton W 88 - 82 3OT 82% -6  4 - 12 2 - 3 -13 -9 F D C- -5 C- F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 317 Albany W 80 - 72 62% +3  5 - 12 3 - 3 -4 +7 A C- F+ -11 F D+ A
 Thu, Jan 29 321 Umass Lowell W 66 - 61 63% +3  6 - 12 4 - 3 -8 -12 F F D+ +4 B C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 349 @Bryant L 66 - 67 49%
 Sat, Feb 7 201 @Vermont L 63 - 73 18%
 Thu, Feb 12 332 NJIT W 72 - 68 66%
 Sat, Feb 14 260 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 71 47%
 Thu, Feb 19 321 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 74 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 337 Maine W 66 - 61 67%
 Thu, Feb 26 362 @Binghamton W 71 - 67 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 317 @Albany L 69 - 72 39%
 Tue, Mar 3 349 Bryant W 69 - 63 71%
Totals 11 - 16 9 - 7 -9 -7 D D D+ -2 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 2.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 6.9 6.1 1.4 0.1 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.7 11.8 9.5 1.9 0.0 25.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 10.9 8.5 1.3 0.0 22.0 4th
5th 0.3 6.1 7.8 1.0 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 6.1 1.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.8 3.5 1.4 5.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 0.3 2.2 7.2 15.0 22.5 23.0 17.9 8.9 2.6 0.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 86.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
12-4 43.4% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.1
11-5 9.8% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
10-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.4% 22.2% 22.2% 15.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-4 2.6% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.1
11-5 8.9% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 7.8
10-6 17.9% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8 16.0
9-7 23.0% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 1.8 21.2
8-8 22.5% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.5 21.0
7-9 15.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.8 14.3
6-10 7.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 7.0
5-11 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 2.2
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 16.0 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.3%