New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#195
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#168
Pace59.6#348
Improvement-0.7#233

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#164
First Shot+1.2#143
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks-2.1#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#49
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement-0.7#257

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#238
First Shot-4.9#312
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#30
Layups/Dunks-0.5#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows-1.5#273
Improvement+0.1#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% 13.5% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 73.0% 74.8% 49.0%
.500 or above in Conference 79.8% 80.8% 66.4%
Conference Champion 14.0% 14.6% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 2.7%
First Four2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
First Round12.0% 12.5% 6.5%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 92.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 413 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 62   @ Marquette L 70-75 13%     0 - 1 +5.6 +3.3 +2.4
  Nov 18, 2021 54   @ Providence L 58-69 12%     0 - 2 +0.4 +4.2 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2021 294   Quinnipiac W 84-69 80%     1 - 2 +4.7 +9.8 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2021 343   @ Holy Cross W 70-55 80%     2 - 2 +4.8 +0.6 +6.1
  Dec 04, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 75-59 93%    
  Dec 08, 2021 236   @ Bryant L 70-71 48%    
  Dec 11, 2021 194   @ Duquesne L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 21, 2021 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-65 16%    
  Dec 29, 2021 230   @ Dartmouth L 61-62 46%    
  Jan 02, 2022 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 05, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 57-66 22%    
  Jan 08, 2022 298   Albany W 69-60 78%    
  Jan 12, 2022 352   Maine W 68-51 94%    
  Jan 15, 2022 219   @ Stony Brook L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 19, 2022 265   @ Hartford W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 22, 2022 209   Umass Lowell W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 25, 2022 352   @ Maine W 65-54 84%    
  Jan 29, 2022 219   Stony Brook W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 02, 2022 265   Hartford W 70-63 74%    
  Feb 05, 2022 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67-69 40%    
  Feb 09, 2022 254   NJIT W 67-60 71%    
  Feb 12, 2022 323   @ Binghamton W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 16, 2022 104   Vermont L 60-63 40%    
  Feb 19, 2022 298   @ Albany W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 23, 2022 254   @ NJIT W 64-63 52%    
  Feb 26, 2022 323   Binghamton W 71-60 83%    
  Mar 01, 2022 209   @ Umass Lowell L 66-68 41%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.5 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.1 14.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 5.3 7.1 4.8 1.3 0.2 20.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.7 7.0 2.7 0.3 18.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.7 5.2 1.4 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.9 3.8 0.9 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.2 0.3 4.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 3.3 5.0 8.6 10.0 12.4 13.3 14.1 11.9 8.6 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 92.5% 2.6    2.2 0.5
15-3 76.6% 4.2    3.1 1.0 0.0
14-4 41.0% 3.5    1.6 1.7 0.2
13-5 18.1% 2.2    0.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
12-6 2.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.0% 14.0 8.5 4.5 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 13.9% 13.9% 9.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 49.8% 49.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5
16-2 2.9% 33.3% 33.3% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.9
15-3 5.4% 31.5% 31.5% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 3.7
14-4 8.6% 22.6% 22.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.3 6.7
13-5 11.9% 20.3% 20.3% 15.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.7 9.5
12-6 14.1% 14.9% 14.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.9 12.0
11-7 13.3% 9.2% 9.2% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 12.1
10-8 12.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.7 0.3 0.7 11.4
9-9 10.0% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.0 0.6 9.3
8-10 8.6% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.4 8.2
7-11 5.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 3.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 1.9% 1.9
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 4.9 5.0 87.0 0.0%