New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#272
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#255
Pace61.7#331
Improvement+1.3#38

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#301
First Shot-3.9#302
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#204
Layup/Dunks-7.6#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#54
Freethrows-1.2#271
Improvement+0.2#156

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#232
First Shot+0.2#165
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#328
Layups/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#82
Freethrows-0.7#246
Improvement+1.2#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 40.2% 69.7% 30.9%
.500 or above in Conference 91.8% 98.9% 89.6%
Conference Champion 7.6% 17.3% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.5%
First Round1.5% 2.1% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Away) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 7
Quad 49 - 612 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 232   Fairfield W 83-71 53%     1 - 0 +5.6 +16.6 -9.8
  Nov 15, 2022 132   @ Fordham L 61-79 16%     1 - 1 -13.3 -9.9 -2.4
  Nov 20, 2022 276   Boston University L 57-64 61%     1 - 2 -15.6 -14.0 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2022 191   @ George Washington L 54-75 24%     1 - 3 -19.4 -12.5 -10.2
  Nov 30, 2022 323   Sacred Heart L 61-66 72%     1 - 4 -16.9 -15.1 -2.0
  Dec 03, 2022 346   @ Columbia L 52-56 64%     1 - 5 -13.3 -20.2 +6.6
  Dec 06, 2022 144   @ Boston College W 74-71 OT 17%     2 - 5 +7.3 +5.2 +2.1
  Dec 10, 2022 72   @ St. John's L 51-64 8%     2 - 6 -2.7 -15.9 +13.2
  Dec 19, 2022 326   Holy Cross W 78-60 73%     3 - 6 +5.9 +8.7 -1.0
  Dec 21, 2022 207   @ Brown L 51-67 26%     3 - 7 -15.1 -16.2 +0.5
  Dec 31, 2022 336   @ Albany W 67-51 58%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +8.1 +0.2 +10.5
  Jan 05, 2023 324   @ Binghamton L 50-68 53%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -24.5 -20.0 -6.8
  Jan 08, 2023 146   Vermont W 67-60 34%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +5.5 +0.2 +5.9
  Jan 11, 2023 288   @ Maine W 71-58 43%     6 - 8 3 - 1 +9.0 +1.8 +8.2
  Jan 14, 2023 195   Bryant L 81-87 43%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -10.1 +7.3 -17.6
  Jan 21, 2023 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-80 28%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -10.6 -1.7 -9.8
  Jan 25, 2023 336   Albany W 84-65 77%     7 - 10 4 - 3 +5.6 +5.5 +0.5
  Jan 28, 2023 177   Umass Lowell W 69-65 39%     8 - 10 5 - 3 +1.0 -5.1 +6.2
  Feb 01, 2023 320   @ NJIT W 74-67 OT 52%     9 - 10 6 - 3 +0.7 -8.9 +8.8
  Feb 04, 2023 195   @ Bryant L 70-77 24%    
  Feb 08, 2023 324   Binghamton W 68-62 73%    
  Feb 15, 2023 146   @ Vermont L 58-68 18%    
  Feb 18, 2023 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 22, 2023 288   Maine W 66-62 65%    
  Feb 25, 2023 177   @ Umass Lowell L 62-70 21%    
  Feb 28, 2023 320   NJIT W 66-60 72%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 4.0 2.3 0.3 7.6 1st
2nd 1.6 12.6 7.5 0.7 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 11.8 10.4 0.4 23.1 3rd
4th 0.1 5.5 14.6 1.0 21.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 11.2 3.2 0.0 15.7 5th
6th 0.2 4.4 3.2 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.6 1.3 0.1 2.0 7th
8th 0.2 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.1 7.1 20.4 31.2 25.1 11.8 2.9 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-4 77.5% 2.3    1.3 0.9 0.0
11-5 33.5% 4.0    0.8 2.1 1.0 0.1
10-6 4.2% 1.1    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 2.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.3% 7.6% 7.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 2.9% 5.8% 5.8% 15.4 0.1 0.1 2.7
11-5 11.8% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 11.4
10-6 25.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 24.4
9-7 31.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 30.7
8-8 20.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 20.1
7-9 7.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.0
6-10 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 7.6% 14.8 1.8 5.3 0.6
Lose Out 1.1% 0.2% 16.0 0.2