Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
168 Montana St. 16.7%   15   3 - 7 0 - 0 14 - 14 11 - 7 -0.6      -1.0 191 +0.4 148 65.2 295 -3.7 225 0.0 1
171 Northern Colorado 16.0%   6 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 7 -0.7      +0.7 145 -1.4 211 70.8 143 +1.8 143 0.0 1
173 Portland St. 15.2%   3 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 13 10 - 8 -1.0      -4.1 282 +3.1 83 70.2 162 -3.2 219 0.0 1
175 Idaho St. 15.0%   4 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 14 10 - 8 -1.1      +0.7 144 -1.8 230 62.2 350 -2.0 193 0.0 1
177 Idaho 14.2%   5 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 13 10 - 8 -1.2      +0.5 150 -1.7 221 65.4 286 +0.3 160 0.0 1
209 Montana 8.0%   3 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 9 -3.2      -0.6 179 -2.6 259 73.2 81 -4.4 238 0.0 1
223 Weber St. 6.4%   4 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 10 -3.8      -0.8 184 -3.1 281 70.6 148 -6.3 257 0.0 1
258 Eastern Washington 3.5%   1 - 11 0 - 0 8 - 22 7 - 11 -5.4      +0.4 152 -5.9 343 72.2 105 -14.0 343 0.0 1
276 Sacramento St. 2.8%   1 - 8 0 - 0 8 - 19 7 - 11 -6.2      -3.9 276 -2.4 245 76.3 36 -10.2 318 0.0 1
289 Northern Arizona 2.2%   3 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 6 - 12 -6.7      -4.6 293 -2.2 239 66.6 256 -6.6 263 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 173 Portland St. 61 194 Tulane 63   
Sat, Dec 20 251 Utah Tech 82 223 Weber St. 80   
Sat, Dec 20 290 Denver 86 171 Northern Colorado 79   
Sat, Dec 20 258 Eastern Washington 77 111 Utah 101   
Sat, Dec 20 134 California Baptist 74 276 Sacramento St. 67   
Sat, Dec 20 13 Louisville 94 209 Montana 54   
Sun, Dec 21 175 Idaho St. 83 176 UC Davis 93   
Sun, Dec 21 257 Cal Poly 80 177 Idaho 83   
Sun, Dec 21 289 Northern Arizona 66 162 Incarnate Word 90   
Mon, Dec 22 212 Cal St. Northridge 100 276 Sacramento St. 88   
Mon, Dec 22 11 BYU 109 258 Eastern Washington 81   
Tue, Dec 23 305 Cal St. Bakersfield 64 177 Idaho 63   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 28 73 Colorado 85 171 Northern Colorado 73 86%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Montana St. 3.7 23.1 17.5 14.2 11.8 10.1 8.1 6.0 4.5 3.0 1.5
Northern Colorado 3.7 22.5 17.1 14.2 12.4 10.0 8.0 6.4 4.6 3.1 1.8
Portland St. 4.0 20.3 16.3 13.8 11.7 10.2 8.6 7.1 5.6 4.1 2.5
Idaho St. 4.0 19.1 16.4 13.8 12.3 11.0 8.7 7.3 5.3 3.9 2.1
Idaho 4.0 18.9 16.1 14.0 12.6 10.6 9.0 7.2 5.6 3.7 2.2
Montana 5.3 9.1 10.4 11.0 11.7 11.4 11.3 10.9 10.0 8.3 6.0
Weber St. 5.7 6.6 8.5 9.4 10.9 11.6 12.3 11.8 11.6 10.0 7.3
Eastern Washington 6.6 3.4 4.9 6.5 8.1 9.7 11.3 13.4 14.4 15.0 13.5
Sacramento St. 7.1 2.3 3.7 5.2 6.7 8.2 10.2 12.3 14.6 17.5 19.3
Northern Arizona 7.4 1.7 3.0 4.2 5.9 7.7 9.3 11.8 15.1 18.7 22.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Montana St. 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.7 5.9 8.8 11.8 13.2 13.8 13.2 10.9 7.6 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.1
Northern Colorado 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.6 6.1 9.0 11.6 13.5 14.5 12.8 10.4 7.4 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
Portland St. 10 - 8 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.6 7.2 9.7 11.6 13.4 13.4 12.2 9.8 6.8 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
Idaho St. 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.4 7.3 9.9 12.4 13.6 14.0 12.0 9.6 6.4 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
Idaho 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.4 7.1 10.3 12.5 13.7 13.7 12.2 9.3 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
Montana 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.4 6.0 8.9 10.9 13.5 13.3 12.8 10.6 7.8 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Weber St. 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.2 7.2 10.2 12.6 14.3 13.7 11.7 9.3 6.7 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Eastern Washington 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.3 7.8 10.6 13.3 14.5 13.6 11.5 9.0 5.9 3.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Sacramento St. 7 - 11 0.2 1.2 3.3 6.5 9.8 12.6 13.8 13.9 12.3 10.0 7.1 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 6 - 12 0.3 1.4 4.0 7.7 10.9 13.6 14.3 13.8 11.3 9.2 6.2 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana St. 23.1% 14.9 6.0 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Northern Colorado 22.5% 14.4 5.9 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Portland St. 20.3% 12.7 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Idaho St. 19.1% 12.1 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Idaho 18.9% 11.9 5.0 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Montana 9.1% 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Weber St. 6.6% 3.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 3.4% 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sacramento St. 2.3% 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.7% 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 4.7 5.8 3.6 83.3 0.0%
Northern Colorado 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.4 6.1 4.8 1.1 84.0 0.0%
Portland St. 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 5.4 2.6 84.8 0.0%
Idaho St. 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.8 5.8 2.4 85.0 0.0%
Idaho 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.1 5.0 1.4 85.8 0.0%
Montana 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.2 2.7 92.0 0.0%
Weber St. 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.2 93.6 0.0%
Eastern Washington 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.2 96.5 0.0%
Sacramento St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 97.2 0.0%
Northern Arizona 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 97.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 16.7% 2.1% 16.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 16.0% 0.3% 15.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 15.2% 1.2% 14.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 15.0% 1.1% 14.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 14.2% 0.5% 14.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 8.0% 1.6% 7.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 6.4% 1.9% 5.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 3.5% 3.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 2.8% 2.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 2.2% 1.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.4% 0.9 5.6 94.4
2nd Round 3.0% 0.0 97.1 3.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0