Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
140 Montana St. 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 +1.0      +0.6 147 +0.4 158 65.2 266 -0.4 166 +1.2 2
156 Northern Colorado 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 8 +0.4      +1.5 128 -1.1 208 70.8 115 0.0 156 -1.5 6
158 Portland St. 0.0%   17 - 11 13 - 5 +0.3      -4.2 282 +4.4 59 69.4 150 +0.8 144 +2.9 1
159 Idaho 100.0%   15   18 - 14 9 - 9 +0.3      -0.5 180 +0.8 143 68.2 185 -0.2 160 -2.8 7
178 Eastern Washington 0.0%   13 - 19 11 - 7 -1.1      +2.1 118 -3.1 270 69.0 160 -2.8 212 +0.1 3
199 Montana 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 8 -2.0      -2.2 226 +0.2 169 72.7 67 -1.0 178 -1.2 5
210 Weber St. 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 -2.7      +1.1 140 -3.9 290 70.6 118 -3.0 217 -1.1 4
265 Idaho St. 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 13 -5.7      -0.4 176 -5.2 316 64.4 289 -5.9 253 -7.9 9
275 Sacramento St. 0.0%   7 - 21 6 - 12 -6.5      -2.3 236 -4.2 297 77.1 15 -7.1 279 -6.2 8
317 Northern Arizona 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 -9.7      -2.3 235 -7.3 349 61.8 341 -8.6 301 -9.0 10


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Mar 9 178 Eastern Washington 84 210 Weber St. 79   
Mon, Mar 9 199 Montana 95 156 Northern Colorado 89   
Tue, Mar 10 178 Eastern Washington 68 159 Idaho 81   
Tue, Mar 10 199 Montana 75 158 Portland St. 72   
Wed, Mar 11 159 Idaho 77 199 Montana 66   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Portland St. 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 2.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 3.0 100.0
Montana 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 4.0 100.0
Weber St. 4.0 100.0
Idaho 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 9.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Portland St. 13 - 5 17 - 11 100.0
Montana St. 12 - 6 15 - 14 100.0
Eastern Washington 11 - 7 13 - 19 100.0
Montana 10 - 8 15 - 15 100.0
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 17 - 12 100.0
Weber St. 10 - 8 14 - 16 100.0
Idaho 9 - 9 18 - 14 100.0
Sacramento St. 6 - 12 7 - 21 100.0
Idaho St. 5 - 13 10 - 20 100.0
Northern Arizona 4 - 14 7 - 22 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Portland St. 100.0% 100.0
Montana St.
Eastern Washington
Montana
Northern Colorado
Weber St.
Idaho
Sacramento St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.7 33.0 65.6 0.8
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%