Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
141 Montana St. 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 +0.9      +0.5 152 +0.4 155 65.2 267 -0.5 165 +1.2 2
147 Northern Colorado 17.8%   17 - 11 10 - 8 +0.6      +1.1 137 -0.4 192 70.8 113 +0.5 148 -1.6 6
150 Portland St. 29.6%   15   17 - 10 13 - 5 +0.5      -4.0 278 +4.5 59 69.3 154 +1.4 137 +2.8 1
169 Idaho 25.4%   16 - 14 9 - 9 -0.6      -0.5 178 0.0 171 67.9 194 -1.0 178 -2.8 7
175 Eastern Washington 13.6%   12 - 18 11 - 7 -0.9      +2.3 112 -3.2 269 68.9 163 -3.0 219 0.0 3
204 Montana 6.8%   13 - 14 10 - 8 -2.3      -2.6 240 +0.3 160 72.0 87 -1.7 194 -1.2 5
211 Weber St. 6.9%   14 - 15 10 - 8 -2.7      +1.0 138 -3.7 287 70.6 116 -2.6 211 -1.2 4
264 Idaho St. 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 13 -5.7      -0.5 179 -5.2 315 64.5 287 -5.9 252 -8.0 9
277 Sacramento St. 0.0%   7 - 21 6 - 12 -6.6      -2.4 236 -4.2 299 77.2 17 -7.1 282 -6.3 8
318 Northern Arizona 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 -9.7      -2.4 234 -7.3 348 61.9 341 -8.7 302 -9.1 10


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Mar 7 169 Idaho 68 277 Sacramento St. 45   
Sat, Mar 7 264 Idaho St. 73 318 Northern Arizona 65   
Sun, Mar 8 169 Idaho 78 141 Montana St. 74   
Sun, Mar 8 264 Idaho St. 78 150 Portland St. 85   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Mar 9 175 Eastern Washington 82 211 Weber St. 80 57%   
Mon, Mar 9 204 Montana 75 147 Northern Colorado 78 61%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Portland St. 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 2.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 3.0 100.0
Montana 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 4.0 100.0
Weber St. 4.0 100.0
Idaho 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 9.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Portland St. 13 - 5 17 - 10 100.0
Montana St. 12 - 6 15 - 14 100.0
Eastern Washington 11 - 7 13 - 18 100.0
Montana 10 - 8 13 - 15 100.0
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 18 - 11 100.0
Weber St. 10 - 8 14 - 16 100.0
Idaho 9 - 9 16 - 14 100.0
Sacramento St. 6 - 12 7 - 21 100.0
Idaho St. 5 - 13 10 - 20 100.0
Northern Arizona 4 - 14 7 - 22 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Portland St. 100.0% 100.0
Montana St.
Eastern Washington
Montana
Northern Colorado
Weber St.
Idaho
Sacramento St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 1.0 9.5 7.0 0.3 82.2 0.0%
Portland St. 29.6% 29.6% 0.0% 15   0.4 7.6 18.0 3.6 70.4 0.0%
Idaho 25.4% 25.4% 0.0% 0.3 7.3 17.3 0.5 74.6 0.0%
Eastern Washington 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 0.0 13.5 86.5 0.0%
Montana 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 0.7 5.9 0.2 93.3 0.0%
Weber St. 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.2 6.0 0.7 93.1 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.0% 1.0 4.0 96.0
2nd Round 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 17.8% 0.0% 17.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 29.6% 0.0% 29.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 25.4% 0.0% 25.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 13.6% 12.5% 9.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 6.8% 0.0% 6.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 6.9% 0.0% 6.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%