Montana St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +1.0 140
Results Rating -0.4 166
Consistency 0.11 13
Pace 65.2 266
Improvement -0.5 203

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 147 C+ C- C+ D- D
Defense C 158 C+ C- C- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 354 C- 56% 245 -5.9 350
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 184 B 43% 51 +2.5 59
Three Pointers 46% 70 B 37% 52 +5.0 33
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 316 B- +2.7 92
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 121
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 259 C+ 1.08 110 C- 0.30 208
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 119
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 135
Turnovers C+ 15.7% 112
Freethrows D- 0.25 339 C 73% 179 D- 0.18 327
Total Offense C +0.6 147

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 32% 354 D+ 12.5% 277
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 10% 358 C+ 4.6% 159
Three Pointers F+ 73% 349 C+ 0.8% 164
Total F 43% 357 C+ 5.2% 142


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 21 B- 55% 96 +2.6 266
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 181 D 42% 320 +0.8 250
Three Pointers 34% 347 B- 32% 96 -4.2 23
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 C+ -1.3 127
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 150
Second Chance C 29.6% 156 D+ 1.09 276 C- 0.32 223
Turnovers from Steals C 9.3% 190
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 311
Turnovers C- 15.6% 248
Freethrows B 0.26 56 D- 76% 337 B- 0.20 90
Total Defense C +0.4 158

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 30 D+ 8.2% 290
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 244 D 2.5% 315
Three Pointers B 79% 47 B- 1.4% 67
Total B+ 47% 27 D+ 4.7% 248

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 317 17.0 129
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 219 0.16 151
Consistency 0.10 20 0.10 38
Improvement +1.2 130 -1.7 273

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 142 141 140
Results Rating Rank 166 164 162
Conference Record 12 - 6 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 38 - 68 - 10
Quad 47 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 67 @Colorado L 78 - 84 16% -1  39% 0 - 1 B- +6 B+ +8 A D- C+ C- -2 C+ C- C-
 Sun, Nov 9 254 Denver L 73 - 75 81% +2  67% 0 - 2 D -10 D -6 D- B+ C+ D+ -5 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 60 @Stanford L 68 - 77 14% -4  17% 0 - 3 C+ +4 D -6 B- D+ D A +10 A+ C- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 64 @Boise St. L 58 - 62 15% -2  30% 0 - 4 B- +8 D- -6 C- F C+ A+ +14 A+ A+ D-
 Fri, Nov 21 252 @Long Beach St. W 78 - 72 62% +3  88% 1 - 4 C+ +4 C+ +3 C- C+ A- C+ +1 C C+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 40 @Utah St. L 81 - 84 OT 8% -3  8% 1 - 5 B+ +13 B- +4 C+ C- C A +10 A- A D+
 Wed, Dec 3 114 St. Thomas W 82 - 74 53% +1  57% 2 - 5 B +8 B+ +8 C+ C+ A+ C +0 D- A A+
 Sat, Dec 6 312 @Oral Roberts L 68 - 72 76% +6  81% 2 - 6 D -10 D+ -4 B- F+ F D- -7 B D C
 Sat, Dec 13 148 @Oregon St. L 57 - 67 40% -4  4% 2 - 7 D+ -6 F -11 F B D B +4 A+ F C
 Tue, Dec 16 220 @Cal Poly W 83 - 80 55% +3  67% 3 - 7 C+ +3 B- +4 F+ A A C -1 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 1 156 Northern Colorado W 89 - 75 64% +6  90% 4 - 7 1 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 B+ A+ B B- +2 A F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 317 Northern Arizona W 77 - 68 89% +7  78% 5 - 7 2 - 0 C- -4 C +1 B- C- A- D+ -4 D+ C- F+
 Thu, Jan 8 178 @Eastern Washington W 68 - 64 47% -0  41% 6 - 7 3 - 0 B- +6 D+ -3 C D+ F A +10 A+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 10 159 @Idaho L 89 - 92 41% +9  90% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C +0 A+ +18 A+ C D- F -18 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 199 Montana W 76 - 67 72% +0  51% 7 - 8 4 - 1 C+ +4 C- -2 C- D+ C+ B+ +6 B A C+
 Mon, Jan 19 156 @Northern Colorado W 73 - 68 41% +4  71% 8 - 8 5 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 B+ F B- B+ +6 A F B-
 Thu, Jan 22 265 Idaho St. W 74 - 62 82% +5  85% 9 - 8 6 - 1 C+ +3 C +1 D+ B+ A B +4 B F+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 210 Weber St. W 91 - 88 74% +2  63% 10 - 8 7 - 1 C- -3 A- +10 A+ B D+ F -12 F B F
 Thu, Jan 29 275 @Sacramento St. L 80 - 83 67% -3  22% 10 - 9 7 - 2 D+ -7 C -0 C- D+ D+ D -6 F A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 158 @Portland St. L 54 - 63 41% -3  23% 10 - 10 7 - 3 D+ -6 D- -8 F B- D- C+ +1 F A A
 Thu, Feb 5 159 Idaho W 73 - 66 64% +9  89% 11 - 10 8 - 3 C+ +4 D -6 F C+ B A +10 B- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 178 Eastern Washington L 71 - 72 69% -2  25% 11 - 11 8 - 4 D+ -5 D+ -3 C- F A+ C- -2 B F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 199 @Montana W 82 - 71 50% +3  66% 12 - 11 9 - 4 B+ +12 A +13 A F A+ C -1 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 19 210 @Weber St. L 79 - 82 OT 53% +0  40% 12 - 12 9 - 5 C- -3 C- -2 B- F C- C -1 C C- F+
 Sat, Feb 21 265 @Idaho St. L 76 - 91 64% -14  11% 12 - 13 9 - 6 F+ -18 D -6 D+ F B+ F -11 F F C+
 Thu, Feb 26 158 Portland St. W 84 - 69 64% +11  98% 13 - 13 10 - 6 B+ +12 A- +11 A+ A+ B+ C+ +1 B- F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 275 Sacramento St. W 82 - 61 84% +9  96% 14 - 13 11 - 6 B +11 B- +5 B+ A+ D- A- +7 A- A F
 Mon, Mar 2 317 @Northern Arizona W 76 - 65 77% +11  97% 15 - 13 12 - 6 C+ +4 B +6 C+ B- A C -0 C- D D
 Sun, Mar 8 159 Idaho L 74 - 78 53% +1  54% 15 - 14 C- -4 C+ +2 B- C- A+ D -6 F B+ F+
Totals 15 - 14 12 - 6 +1 C +1 C- B- D C +0 B C D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- B B B- 30% 37% 46% D C+ D+ C+ C- C+ D- C D- C B- D B- C+ 45% 20% 34% D+ C+ C D+ C- C- B D- B-
1.10 56% 43% 37% +3 -1 1.05 28% 1.1 .30 16% .25 73% .18 1.08 55% 42% 32% -1 +1 1.00 30% 1.1 .32 16% .26 76% .19
Nov
3		 Colorado B+ B A+ C+ A+ 40% 27% 33% C A D F D- C+ C- B C C- D+ F A+ B- 58% 20% 22% F+ C+ D B- C- C- F A F
1.13 62% 64% 35% +9 -1 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 16% .29 76% .22 1.22 65% 56% 20% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.9 .32 13% .65 69% .45
Nov
9		 Denver D B B+ F D- 34% 17% 49% C- D- D A+ B+ C+ F C+ F D+ F+ C+ F F 59% 27% 14% F F F F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.14 67% 44% 27% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.7 .48 12% .12 71% .09 1.17 66% 38% 57% +9 +1 1.22 38% 1.3 .50 22% .20 60% .12
Nov
12		 Stanford D D A+ C- B 30% 28% 42% D B- F A+ D+ D F F F A C A+ A+ A+ 48% 17% 35% B- A+ A+ F C- B- C- D+ D+
0.91 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 17% 1.5 .25 21% .22 54% .12 1.03 58% 22% 26% -7 +1 0.91 25% 1.4 .36 16% .34 76% .26
Nov
15		 Boise St. D- D+ D+ A- C+ 25% 36% 40% F C- B- F F C+ D- F F A+ A- A+ B+ A+ 27% 16% 58% B+ A+ A+ B- A+ D- D F F
0.92 54% 37% 38% +1 -3 0.98 24% 0.3 .08 14% .20 55% .11 0.98 50% 14% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 13% .40 91% .36
Nov
21		 Long Beach St. C+ A D D+ C 32% 32% 36% F C- D- A+ C+ A- D C- D C+ D C+ D+ D+ 28% 46% 26% A+ C D A C+ D+ C- D D+
1.13 71% 35% 32% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 13% .32 74% .23 1.04 67% 36% 36% +2 -4 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 16% .29 76% .22
Nov
29		 Utah St. B- F+ A C+ B- 22% 22% 55% D C+ C+ F+ C- C C- A+ B A A+ F C- A+ 54% 7% 39% F+ A- A+ F+ A D+ F+ B- D
1.05 46% 46% 34% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .29 21% .29 89% .26 1.08 43% 75% 36% -4 +3 1.00 24% 1.3 .32 13% .39 69% .27
Dec
3		 St. Thomas B+ F C A+ B- 27% 17% 56% D C+ D+ A- C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C F B- B- D- 38% 6% 56% C- D- B- A+ A A+ C- C C
1.21 46% 38% 41% +2 0 1.06 26% 1.3 .34 10% .48 76% .36 1.09 89% 33% 32% +10 +2 1.26 19% 0.4 .07 21% .30 69% .20
Dec
6		 Oral Roberts D+ A- A D+ B- 37% 12% 51% C- B- A- F F+ F F+ C D- D- B- C- A+ B+ 51% 21% 28% D+ B F A D C F F F
1.06 67% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 40% 0.6 .26 22% .26 69% .18 1.12 50% 40% 23% -8 +1 0.87 41% 0.8 .32 19% .50 92% .46
Dec
13		 Oregon St. F F A+ F F 37% 18% 45% C- F D+ A+ B D D F F B B D A+ A+ 40% 18% 43% C- A+ A+ F F C F D- F
0.89 28% 56% 27% -12 0 0.78 28% 1.4 .38 17% .28 60% .17 1.04 50% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.78 18% 2.8 .50 17% .53 82% .43
Dec
16		 Cal Poly B- A+ F F F 30% 14% 55% C- F+ C A+ A A A+ D- A- C A+ C- A+ A+ 45% 6% 49% D+ A+ F F F F F A F
1.16 76% 25% 23% -6 0 0.91 32% 1.5 .48 11% .39 68% .27 1.11 41% 33% 25% -15 +2 0.78 40% 1.6 .64 15% .51 71% .36
Jan
1		 Northern Colorado B+ C+ A+ D B+ 39% 18% 43% C- B+ D A+ A+ B D- D F+ B- C+ A+ C+ A 40% 19% 40% C A F+ F F B- C+ F D+
1.24 59% 70% 29% +3 0 1.09 22% 2.4 .53 10% .28 72% .20 1.04 57% 20% 33% -4 0 0.94 32% 1.5 .47 18% .22 92% .20
Jan
3		 Northern Arizona C F A+ A B- 29% 13% 58% D+ B- C C- C- A- D A+ B- D+ C D+ F D- 37% 42% 21% A+ D+ D+ C+ C- F+ A- B B+
1.22 46% 67% 42% +8 0 1.18 33% 1.1 .37 13% .25 93% .24 1.08 58% 41% 45% +5 -3 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 13% .20 64% .13
Jan
8		 Eastern Washington D+ C B- B+ B- 31% 28% 41% F C A- F D+ F A+ B+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 48% 20% 32% D A+ D- A+ A D- C F F
1.05 58% 45% 38% +4 -2 1.08 41% 0.8 .33 26% .44 81% .36 0.99 38% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.7 .26 15% .31 94% .29
Jan
10		 Idaho A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 28% 26% C+ A+ B+ F C D- B- A B+ F F+ C- F F 44% 14% 42% D- F D A+ B+ F A- F B
1.30 65% 57% 54% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.9 .28 18% .37 81% .30 1.35 65% 38% 44% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.7 .22 7% .22 79% .17
Jan
17		 Montana C- F+ D+ A+ C+ 30% 38% 32% F C- D+ C D+ C+ A- B+ A B+ A+ F D+ A 58% 4% 38% F B A+ B- A C+ B F C-
1.07 50% 35% 41% 0 -3 0.96 27% 1.0 .27 14% .36 77% .28 0.94 45% 100% 37% -4 +4 1.02 10% 1.0 .10 21% .25 93% .23
Jan
19		 Northern Colorado C+ F+ C A+ B+ 40% 10% 50% B B+ F F F B- B- C B- B+ A+ B+ C+ A+ 51% 16% 33% D- A F B- F B- A+ A+ A+
1.11 48% 40% 42% +2 +2 1.10 15% 0.8 .12 11% .36 76% .27 1.04 46% 33% 33% -7 +1 0.91 44% 1.0 .44 18% .06 33% .02
Jan
22		 Idaho St. C F B- A D+ 35% 22% 43% D+ D+ B B B+ A F F F B C+ B A A- 44% 7% 49% F B C+ F F+ D- D+ A+ B-
1.18 44% 45% 41% +1 0 1.04 34% 1.2 .40 10% .18 70% .12 0.99 55% 33% 27% -7 +2 0.93 31% 1.3 .41 14% .34 61% .21
Jan
24		 Weber St. A- B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 18% 47% C- A+ A- D B D+ B A+ A+ F A- F F F 61% 4% 35% F F A- C- B F B- F+ C
1.29 67% 56% 46% +14 0 1.31 38% 1.0 .38 17% .36 90% .32 1.25 48% 50% 58% +7 +4 1.24 25% 1.0 .25 11% .30 79% .24
Jan
29		 Sacramento St. C F A+ A+ C+ 26% 20% 54% F C- C D- D+ D+ C D C- D D+ F F F 41% 30% 30% C F A+ A+ A+ C A+ C- A+
1.11 29% 55% 41% +2 -1 1.04 34% 1.0 .34 18% .32 68% .22 1.16 59% 63% 50% +15 -1 1.30 11% 0.7 .07 15% .23 79% .18
Jan
31		 Portland St. D- F A F F+ 24% 37% 39% F F A- D B- D- F A+ D C+ D- F F F 44% 23% 33% B- F F+ A+ A A B+ B- B+
0.88 45% 47% 17% -10 -3 0.76 36% 0.9 .33 21% .27 85% .23 1.03 63% 50% 43% +9 0 1.21 37% 0.5 .17 23% .25 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Idaho D C+ D- F F+ 35% 44% 21% F F F A+ C+ B A+ A+ A+ A B F A+ B 57% 16% 28% F B- A A+ A+ B+ A+ F A
1.00 59% 33% 20% -6 -3 0.83 13% 2.3 .30 12% .47 87% .41 0.91 52% 56% 25% -5 +2 0.97 21% 0.6 .12 19% .15 89% .14
Feb
7		 Eastern Washington D+ F A+ A- C 36% 18% 46% D+ C- F F F A+ C+ D- C- C- A- B- F B+ 54% 22% 24% D- B F+ F F D+ A+ F A-
1.09 44% 56% 39% +2 0 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 8% .33 70% .23 1.11 48% 36% 42% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 17% .20 82% .17
Feb
14		 Montana A A+ C A+ A+ 21% 43% 36% F A F F F A+ B+ D- C+ C D- B+ B B- 37% 12% 51% D C+ C+ B- B- F C- F D-
1.24 82% 39% 47% +13 -4 1.19 18% 0.8 .15 8% .34 67% .23 1.08 67% 33% 32% +1 +1 1.06 20% 1.0 .20 15% .30 88% .27
Feb
19		 Weber St. C- A+ B F+ B 34% 26% 40% F+ B- F F F C- D+ B+ C C D+ D- A C- 46% 30% 25% A C F+ B C- F+ B- C- B-
1.09 83% 43% 29% +7 -1 1.13 19% 0.8 .16 16% .30 78% .23 1.13 62% 41% 29% 0 -1 1.02 37% 0.9 .33 12% .30 74% .22
Feb
21		 Idaho St. D D+ D A- C- 37% 27% 37% D- D+ F D+ F B+ A C+ A F F A+ D+ F 49% 9% 42% F F D+ F F C+ B- F D+
1.05 56% 38% 39% +2 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 11% .42 78% .33 1.26 81% 20% 36% +11 +2 1.28 35% 1.7 .60 18% .29 88% .25
Feb
26		 Portland St. A- B- C A+ A+ 31% 16% 53% C A+ F A+ A+ B+ F C F C+ A+ A- F B 50% 15% 35% D- B- D+ F F B+ B+ A+ A
1.19 60% 38% 50% +13 0 1.29 14% 3.3 .45 16% .25 73% .19 0.98 29% 29% 53% -6 +2 0.94 32% 1.7 .55 21% .25 57% .14
Feb
28		 Sacramento St. B- A+ F+ B A- 28% 12% 60% D+ B+ A A+ A+ D- F F F A- A+ C+ D+ A 42% 22% 36% D- A- A+ F A F A- A+ A+
1.24 79% 33% 37% +8 0 1.18 45% 1.4 .61 20% .22 42% .09 0.92 30% 33% 35% -12 0 0.78 10% 1.8 .18 5% .27 65% .17
Mar
2		 Northern Arizona B A B B- B 23% 15% 62% D- C+ D- A+ B- A D- F F C A+ F C C- 35% 25% 39% B- C- D+ D D D A+ F A-
1.25 73% 43% 38% +8 0 1.17 27% 1.6 .43 11% .24 62% .15 1.07 39% 69% 35% +2 -1 1.04 26% 1.1 .29 15% .15 75% .12
Mar
8		 Idaho C+ F C- A+ B- 35% 28% 37% C- B- D B- C- A+ F F F D F F A+ F 45% 24% 31% C+ F A+ F B+ F+ C- B+ C
1.10 45% 38% 48% +3 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 9% .15 56% .08 1.16 78% 50% 25% +8 0 1.18 15% 1.5 .22 12% .30 67% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%