Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.6 277
Results Rating -7.1 282
Consistency 0.11 10
Pace 77.2 17
Improvement +0.6 161

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C- 236 D- C- B- B+ D
Defense D 299 D+ D- C C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 D 53% 304 -3.6 309
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 83 D- 32% 335 +0.6 145
Three Pointers 38% 231 D+ 32% 260 -2.2 255
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 301 D -4.3 322
1st FG Attempt D- 0.92 329
Second Chance D 26.0% 302 B- 1.10 83 C- 0.29 236
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.3% 274
Other Turnovers A 4.8% 4
Turnovers B- 15.2% 88
Freethrows B 0.34 65 B+ 77% 26 B+ 0.26 36
Total Offense C- -2.4 236

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 174 D 13.2% 312
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 137 C 5.2% 204
Three Pointers C- 81% 252 C- 1.1% 259
Total C 54% 200 D+ 6.5% 284


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 109 C- 60% 226 +2.3 260
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 359 F+ 45% 350 -2.0 34
Three Pointers 45% 51 C+ 33% 137 +1.8 276
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 352 C- +0.9 218
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 256
Second Chance D 33.9% 314 D 1.12 307 D- 0.38 330
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 152
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 256
Turnovers C 16.6% 180
Freethrows C- 0.32 239 C 72% 174 C- 0.23 235
Total Defense D -4.2 299

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 59% 350 D+ 9.1% 241
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 296 F+ 0.7% 359
Three Pointers C- 85% 207 C- 0.7% 193
Total D- 64% 337 D+ 4.2% 298

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 71 16.4 27
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 93 0.19 243
Consistency 0.13 248 0.11 65
Improvement +1.0 139 -0.3 204

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 277 276 276
Results Rating Rank 282 280 279
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 122 - 19
Quad 45 - 27 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 11 140 UC Santa Barbara L 87 - 92 33% -6  10% 0 - 1 D+ -7 B- +5 B+ C+ C F -11 D+ C- F
 Fri, Nov 14 176 @UC Davis L 73 - 77 21% +2  54% 0 - 2 C- -2 D+ -3 F+ C+ C C+ +1 B+ D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 266 Presbyterian W 64 - 62 58% -4  11% 1 - 2 D+ -7 F -11 F A F B +5 A B+ D
 Tue, Nov 18 28 @UCLA L 48 - 79 2% -19  0% 1 - 3 D- -13 F -21 F C C+ A +9 A- F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 72 @California L 67 - 91 6% -18  4% 1 - 4 D- -13 D -6 F B- B D -5 F B- B-
 Sat, Nov 29 119 @Pacific L 54 - 68 13% -6  7% 1 - 5 D -8 F -18 F C- C- A +10 B- B+ B
 Tue, Dec 2 46 @Baylor L 88 - 110 3% -7  33% 1 - 6 D+ -7 A- +10 F A+ C F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Dec 20 122 @California Baptist L 67 - 74 13% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -1 C -0 F A+ D+ C -1 A F B
 Mon, Dec 22 182 @Cal St. Northridge L 88 - 100 22% -4  18% 1 - 8 D -10 C+ +2 D- D- A+ F -10 F A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 1 264 @Idaho St. L 84 - 97 35% -10  3% 1 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -16 D -6 F B C- D- -8 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 211 @Weber St. L 82 - 95 25% -10  1% 1 - 10 0 - 2 D- -13 D+ -3 C D F+ F+ -8 D F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 150 @Portland St. L 69 - 96 17% -14  13% 1 - 11 0 - 3 F -24 D+ -3 F F A+ F -20 F B+ F+
 Thu, Jan 15 318 Northern Arizona W 83 - 69 72% +1  43% 2 - 11 1 - 3 C +1 C+ +3 D- A+ A+ C -1 D B- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 147 Northern Colorado W 93 - 89 OT 34% -7  7% 3 - 11 2 - 3 C +2 B- +4 C B- B C- -3 D+ B C+
 Thu, Jan 22 169 @Idaho L 76 - 86 20% -7  3% 3 - 12 2 - 4 D+ -8 C +0 F A B D- -7 F B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 175 @Eastern Washington L 67 - 75 20% -7  1% 3 - 13 2 - 5 D+ -6 D -5 F D+ D C- -2 A- F D-
 Thu, Jan 29 141 Montana St. W 83 - 80 33% +3  68% 4 - 13 3 - 5 C +1 B- +4 A+ F C D+ -4 C+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 204 Montana W 86 - 79 45% +8  86% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C+ +2 B +7 A+ F B- D -5 B F B
 Mon, Feb 2 211 Weber St. W 104 - 90 46% +12  88% 6 - 13 5 - 5 B +8 A +13 A+ F+ D D -6 C F D
 Sat, Feb 7 150 Portland St. L 73 - 74 35% +1  53% 6 - 14 5 - 6 C- -4 C+ +2 D D- A+ D -6 A+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 12 147 @Northern Colorado L 79 - 95 17% -10  0% 6 - 15 5 - 7 D- -12 D -5 F+ D- B D -6 F B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 318 @Northern Arizona L 74 - 79 50% -10  0% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D- -12 F+ -8 F+ D+ D D+ -3 F A C
 Thu, Feb 19 175 Eastern Washington L 94 - 102 40% -13  0% 6 - 17 5 - 9 D- -12 A- +10 B B A+ F -22 F F D
 Sat, Feb 21 169 Idaho L 80 - 86 38% -3  6% 6 - 18 5 - 10 D -10 C- -0 C- F A- F+ -9 D+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 26 204 @Montana L 73 - 81 24% -8  0% 6 - 19 5 - 11 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C A D+ -4 D- C- D
 Sat, Feb 28 141 @Montana St. L 61 - 82 16% -9  0% 6 - 20 5 - 12 F+ -17 F+ -9 F F A+ F+ -9 F+ F A-
 Mon, Mar 2 264 Idaho St. W 83 - 65 58% +13  90% 7 - 20 6 - 12 B +9 C +1 A- F B- A- +8 A B+ C
 Sat, Mar 7 169 Idaho L 45 - 68 28% -13  1% 7 - 21 F -24 F -30 F F B- B+ +6 A+ F C+
Totals 7 - 21 6 - 12 -7 C- -2 C+ D D D -4 D+ B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D D- D+ D 35% 47% 38% D D- D B- C- B- B B+ B+ D C- F+ C+ C- 41% 13% 45% D- D+ D D D- C C- C C-
1.05 53% 32% 32% -4 -1 0.92 26% 1.1 .29 15% .34 77% .26 1.15 60% 45% 33% +1 +1 1.06 34% 1.1 .38 17% .32 72% .24
Nov
11
UC Santa Barbara B- C- A+ A+ A- 40% 27% 33% D+ B+ D+ A+ C+ C B- F C- F B B F C- 44% 17% 39% D D+ B- F+ C- F F+ C+ F+
1.19 57% 57% 41% +8 -1 1.17 24% 1.4 .32 16% .37 65% .24 1.25 54% 33% 48% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.2 .34 11% .38 76% .29
Nov
14
UC Davis D+ D- C- D- F+ 52% 22% 26% C F+ C B C+ C B A A- C+ C- F A+ A 41% 8% 51% F B+ C+ F D- C F D+ F
1.01 50% 36% 31% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.1 .34 19% .36 81% .29 1.06 60% 50% 24% -6 +2 0.94 26% 1.3 .34 18% .45 78% .35
Nov
16
Presbyterian F D A+ F F 61% 16% 23% B+ F B- A+ A F A+ B A+ B C A A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A D A+ B+ D D- A- C-
0.96 52% 57% 10% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.3 .43 26% .51 72% .36 0.93 57% 29% 16% -13 +1 0.80 35% 0.7 .25 17% .38 62% .23
Nov
18
UCLA F F F F F 26% 28% 47% D F C C C C+ A+ F A+ A C C- A A 42% 24% 34% D- A- C F F A+ F A+ D-
0.68 42% 23% 9% -26 -2 0.47 28% 0.9 .26 18% .52 63% .33 1.12 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 21% .43 67% .29
Nov
21
California D F F F+ F 35% 24% 41% D+ F A- D- B- B A+ A+ A+ D D F D- F 32% 11% 58% F F C- A B- B- B- A+ A+
0.89 26% 23% 27% -19 -1 0.63 36% 0.9 .32 15% .47 80% .37 1.21 67% 83% 39% +12 +1 1.28 29% 0.9 .26 16% .30 53% .16
Nov
29
Pacific F D+ F F F 34% 29% 38% C F D- A C- C- F A+ D- A A- B- D B- 36% 15% 49% D+ B- C A+ B+ B A+ C A+
0.76 53% 13% 19% -18 -1 0.64 18% 1.3 .23 16% .20 92% .18 0.96 47% 38% 38% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .27 23% .15 75% .11
Dec
2
Baylor A- A+ F+ D- F+ 8% 45% 47% F F A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 33% 35% 33% C+ F F F F B- F C- F
1.16 75% 30% 29% -6 -5 0.80 45% 1.4 .62 17% .48 87% .41 1.45 100% 65% 25% +19 -2 1.35 61% 1.4 .82 16% .58 76% .44
Dec
20
California Baptist C F A+ F F+ 22% 35% 44% F F A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F C A+ F B A+ 61% 9% 30% F A F+ F F B F C+ F
0.99 17% 58% 21% -11 -3 0.75 38% 1.4 .51 16% .11 83% .09 1.10 33% 50% 31% -16 +3 0.77 43% 1.3 .55 19% .55 70% .38
Dec
22
Cal St. Northridge C+ F+ B D D 32% 32% 35% F D- F A+ D- A+ A- A+ A+ F D F D- F 50% 9% 41% F+ F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.08 48% 43% 30% -4 -2 0.91 15% 1.5 .23 10% .37 89% .33 1.23 62% 80% 38% +8 +2 1.22 25% 0.7 .17 13% .43 77% .33
Jan
1
Idaho St. D F A D- F 37% 31% 31% F F D+ A+ B C- A+ D A+ D- A- D F F 37% 12% 51% C- F A- F C F F+ B- D-
1.04 35% 53% 29% -6 -1 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .54 73% .39 1.20 48% 43% 48% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.2 .32 12% .38 70% .27
Jan
3
Weber St. D+ A+ F B+ B 21% 37% 42% F C C F D F+ A- F C+ F+ A- C- F D- 49% 16% 35% C- D D+ F F C- F D- F
1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24 1.23 48% 38% 50% +3 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40
Jan
10
Portland St. D+ C C+ F D- 29% 38% 33% F F F F F A+ B+ B+ A F F F F F 50% 9% 41% F F F A+ B+ F+ C- F D-
0.95 56% 38% 17% -9 -3 0.78 17% 0.6 .10 7% .42 79% .33 1.33 70% 60% 45% +15 +2 1.37 42% 0.5 .23 15% .33 80% .26
Jan
15
Northern Arizona C+ F C- A+ D- 37% 21% 42% D D- D- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ C B F C- D+ 48% 17% 35% F D F A+ B- B+ C+ F C-
1.25 37% 36% 45% -1 0 1.00 27% 2.0 .55 11% .34 90% .30 1.04 52% 63% 35% +2 +1 1.08 32% 0.6 .21 20% .24 77% .19
Jan
17
Northern Colorado B- A D C- B- 26% 27% 47% F C B- C+ B- B A+ D+ A+ C- F C- A- D+ 41% 16% 43% D+ D+ B B- B C+ B F C+
1.16 69% 35% 31% 0 -2 0.98 30% 1.2 .34 10% .47 74% .35 1.11 77% 40% 30% +5 +1 1.14 24% 1.0 .24 17% .20 85% .17
Jan
22
Idaho C D+ F F F 52% 31% 17% C+ F A A- A B F+ A+ C+ D- F A+ F F 37% 8% 56% D- F B- B+ B+ C+ C+ F D
1.06 53% 28% 10% -12 0 0.78 35% 1.2 .42 13% .27 100% .27 1.20 68% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 26% 0.9 .23 17% .27 88% .23
Jan
24
Eastern Washington D C- F D F 41% 18% 41% C- F F A+ D+ D A+ A+ A+ C- C- A+ A A+ 44% 14% 42% F+ A- D+ F F D- D+ F D-
1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45 1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27
Jan
29
Montana St. B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 30% 30% D- A+ F F F C D+ B- C- D+ A+ F F C+ 26% 20% 54% C- C+ F+ B D+ B F+ B+ D-
1.16 59% 63% 50% +15 -1 1.30 11% 0.7 .07 15% .23 79% .18 1.11 29% 55% 41% +2 -1 1.04 34% 1.0 .34 18% .32 68% .22
Jan
31
Montana B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C A+ D- F F B- A+ C A D A+ F D- A 59% 4% 37% F B F F F B F C F
1.19 79% 9% 48% +10 0 1.23 24% 0.5 .12 14% .39 71% .27 1.09 45% 50% 39% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.6 .56 22% .37 76% .28
Feb
2
Weber St. A A F+ A+ A+ 42% 21% 38% C- A+ D+ F F+ D A+ B+ A+ D D+ F+ A C+ 47% 12% 42% D C C+ F F D C+ D C
1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44 1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24
Feb
7
Portland St. C+ F F A+ D+ 33% 26% 41% D D F+ D+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ C- A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ F F F F+ F F F
1.07 40% 17% 42% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.0 .21 12% .50 83% .41 1.08 42% 38% 21% -15 +1 0.75 44% 1.2 .51 15% .45 77% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12
Northern Colorado D F C F+ F+ 39% 17% 44% C- F+ F C+ D- B A+ A A+ D F F D+ F 45% 6% 48% F F B- A B+ C+ B D+ B-
0.99 43% 40% 27% -10 +1 0.83 17% 1.1 .20 10% .43 84% .36 1.20 79% 50% 37% +12 +2 1.31 24% 0.9 .21 18% .20 77% .15
Feb
14
Northern Arizona F+ B+ B F F 45% 14% 41% C+ F+ D+ C- D+ D A+ B+ A+ D+ F F A- F 39% 9% 52% F F D+ A+ A C F B F
1.04 68% 43% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.1 .34 18% .45 77% .34 1.11 72% 100% 29% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.5 .13 17% .56 64% .36
Feb
19
Eastern Washington A- A A+ F B+ 44% 27% 29% D- B C A B A+ A+ C- A+ F F+ F F F 43% 8% 49% F F F F F D F A+ D
1.29 70% 57% 27% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.4 .45 10% .47 74% .35 1.40 68% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.4 .62 16% .44 59% .26
Feb
21
Idaho C- A+ F D+ C 29% 33% 37% D- C- F F F A- A+ A+ A+ F+ A- A+ F D+ 35% 10% 54% D D+ F C- F A+ F D+ F
1.09 73% 29% 32% 0 -2 0.98 14% 0.4 .06 11% .51 85% .43 1.17 47% 20% 42% +1 +1 1.06 44% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35
Feb
26
Montana D+ D F F F 48% 19% 33% B F D+ A- C A C A C+ D+ F B D+ D- 33% 12% 55% D+ D- A F C- D D- D D-
1.01 54% 9% 26% -11 +1 0.81 26% 1.2 .30 11% .28 78% .22 1.12 75% 33% 37% +7 +1 1.18 14% 1.8 .24 18% .34 80% .27
Feb
28
Montana St. F+ F D- B- F 42% 22% 36% C- F F A+ F A+ C+ F D+ F+ F A- D+ D- 28% 12% 60% F F+ F F F A- B- A+ A+
0.92 30% 33% 35% -12 0 0.78 10% 1.8 .18 5% .27 65% .17 1.24 79% 33% 37% +8 0 1.18 45% 1.4 .61 20% .22 42% .09
Mar
2
Idaho St. C A+ D- A A 46% 21% 33% C A- F F F B- B C+ B+ A- C- F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% D A A C B+ C D- B- D
1.19 75% 36% 41% +11 0 1.25 15% 0.8 .12 13% .38 78% .30 0.93 58% 50% 21% -10 +2 0.85 26% 1.0 .26 17% .36 71% .26
Mar
7
Idaho F F F F F 38% 34% 28% D F F F F B- D+ C D+ B+ A- A A+ A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ F+ D- F C+ F+ D F+
0.65 32% 24% 21% -20 -2 0.58 16% 0.3 .05 13% .32 74% .23 0.98 47% 25% 25% -13 0 0.77 34% 1.1 .39 17% .35 75% .26




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%