Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#203
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#159
Pace77.6#29
Improvement+3.6#14

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#187
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#119
Layup/Dunks-2.5#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#139
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+0.2#151

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#206
Layups/Dunks+0.7#167
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#119
Freethrows-1.8#291
Improvement+3.4#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 10.9% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 59.3% 71.5% 48.5%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 84.5% 63.1%
Conference Champion 7.9% 12.7% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.3% 1.6%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round7.8% 10.7% 5.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 47.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 92   @ Nevada L 76-91 16%     0 - 1 -6.1 -0.9 -3.9
  Nov 12, 2021 212   @ UC Davis L 76-84 40%     0 - 2 -7.1 -6.1 +0.1
  Nov 19, 2021 271   @ Cal St. Northridge W 67-64 OT 55%     1 - 2 +0.0 -8.7 +8.6
  Nov 20, 2021 138   Texas St. L 74-81 35%     1 - 3 -5.0 -0.2 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2021 60   @ Washington St. W 76-71 12%     2 - 3 +15.7 +2.2 +13.2
  Dec 02, 2021 140   Southern Utah L 77-78 47%    
  Dec 04, 2021 335   @ Nebraska Omaha W 79-72 75%    
  Dec 08, 2021 75   @ Colorado L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 11, 2021 330   @ North Dakota W 80-74 71%    
  Dec 22, 2021 17   @ Texas Tech L 63-82 3%    
  Dec 30, 2021 269   @ Portland St. W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 01, 2022 317   @ Northern Arizona W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 06, 2022 207   Montana W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 08, 2022 351   Idaho W 86-70 93%    
  Jan 13, 2022 311   @ Idaho St. W 71-68 63%    
  Jan 15, 2022 97   @ Weber St. L 72-82 18%    
  Jan 20, 2022 295   Sacramento St. W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 175   Northern Colorado W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 27, 2022 181   @ Montana St. L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 207   @ Montana L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 05, 2022 140   @ Southern Utah L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 10, 2022 97   Weber St. L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 12, 2022 311   Idaho St. W 74-65 80%    
  Feb 17, 2022 181   Montana St. W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 351   @ Idaho W 83-73 81%    
  Feb 24, 2022 175   @ Northern Colorado L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 295   @ Sacramento St. W 76-74 59%    
  Mar 03, 2022 317   Northern Arizona W 80-70 81%    
  Mar 05, 2022 269   Portland St. W 78-71 73%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.5 5.8 4.3 1.3 0.2 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.9 4.0 0.9 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.1 2.4 0.4 12.8 6th
7th 0.2 0.8 3.2 3.9 1.7 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.7 7.6 9.4 11.5 12.6 12.5 11.9 9.2 7.1 4.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 94.4% 1.1    1.1 0.0
17-3 73.7% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.0
16-4 51.3% 2.3    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
15-5 24.6% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 34.4% 34.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 44.6% 44.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.2% 28.5% 28.5% 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
17-3 2.4% 28.1% 28.1% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.4% 20.3% 20.3% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.5
15-5 7.1% 17.0% 17.0% 14.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 5.9
14-6 9.2% 14.0% 14.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 7.9
13-7 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 15.1 0.2 0.8 0.4 10.5
12-8 12.5% 6.4% 6.4% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 11.7
11-9 12.6% 5.2% 5.2% 15.6 0.3 0.4 12.0
10-10 11.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.0
9-11 9.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.3
8-12 7.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.6
7-13 4.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.6
6-14 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-15 1.5% 1.5
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.9 2.2 91.8 0.0%