Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#255
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#297
Pace73.0#82
Improvement-0.4#321

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#237
First Shot-2.8#265
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#143
Layup/Dunks+0.6#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#252
Freethrows+2.0#65
Improvement-0.2#257

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot-4.6#304
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#46
Layups/Dunks+0.6#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#293
Freethrows-1.7#286
Improvement-0.3#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 7.9% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 31.9% 37.8% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.9% 63.4% 51.2%
Conference Champion 9.2% 10.5% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 4.9% 8.6%
First Four4.4% 4.8% 3.5%
First Round4.9% 5.7% 2.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 71.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 103   @ Santa Clara L 72-84 13%     0 - 1 -4.3 -7.4 +4.9
  Nov 11, 2022 65   Yale L 60-74 12%     0 - 2 -5.8 -4.7 -1.2
  Nov 13, 2022 143   @ Hawaii L 51-71 19%     0 - 3 -15.3 -13.8 -3.1
  Nov 14, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 60-52 90%     1 - 3 -10.8 -16.5 +6.3
  Nov 21, 2022 51   Washington St. L 56-82 15%     1 - 4 -19.5 -10.1 -11.3
  Nov 25, 2022 343   Stony Brook W 81-52 78%     2 - 4 +16.3 +9.9 +9.2
  Nov 27, 2022 241   @ Florida International L 79-90 36%     2 - 5 -12.0 -3.1 -7.7
  Dec 03, 2022 303   North Dakota St. W 78-72 72%    
  Dec 07, 2022 231   @ California L 63-67 35%    
  Dec 10, 2022 141   @ South Dakota St. L 70-80 18%    
  Dec 13, 2022 26   @ Texas Tech L 58-79 3%    
  Dec 17, 2022 161   UC Davis L 76-78 42%    
  Dec 29, 2022 224   @ Montana L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 31, 2022 175   @ Montana St. L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 05, 2023 192   Portland St. L 78-79 48%    
  Jan 07, 2023 260   Sacramento St. W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 335   Idaho W 78-68 82%    
  Jan 16, 2023 224   Montana W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 19, 2023 254   @ Northern Colorado L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 21, 2023 304   @ Northern Arizona W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 26, 2023 300   Idaho St. W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 28, 2023 251   Weber St. W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 02, 2023 260   @ Sacramento St. L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 04, 2023 192   @ Portland St. L 75-82 28%    
  Feb 11, 2023 335   @ Idaho W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 16, 2023 304   Northern Arizona W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 18, 2023 254   Northern Colorado W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 23, 2023 251   @ Weber St. L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 25, 2023 300   @ Idaho St. L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 27, 2023 175   Montana St. L 71-73 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 1st
2nd 0.4 2.4 4.4 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 6.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.8 3.6 0.5 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.0 3.7 0.5 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.8 7.7 10.4 12.7 13.3 13.0 11.6 9.0 6.4 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.3% 0.8    0.8 0.0
15-3 91.0% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 71.0% 2.6    1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 39.4% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 12.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 52.8% 52.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 33.3% 33.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.9% 29.5% 29.5% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.3
14-4 3.7% 23.5% 23.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.8
13-5 6.4% 16.9% 16.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.3
12-6 9.0% 12.7% 12.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 7.8
11-7 11.6% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.6
10-8 13.0% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 12.3
9-9 13.3% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 12.7
8-10 12.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.3
7-11 10.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.3
6-12 7.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-13 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.8 93.0 0.0%