Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#160
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#170
Pace62.7#341
Improvement+2.8#27

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#172
First Shot+0.8#156
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#247
Layup/Dunks-2.0#248
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#38
Freethrows-0.8#228
Improvement+1.0#87

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#167
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks+0.9#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#107
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement+1.7#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.0% 17.6% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 64.9% 73.5% 49.9%
.500 or above in Conference 73.9% 77.4% 67.8%
Conference Champion 19.5% 22.1% 14.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.4% 6.0%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round15.7% 17.4% 12.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Home) - 63.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 411 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 257 @San Diego W 71-68 58%     1 - 0 +0.6 +3.5 -2.5
  Sun, Nov 9 55 @San Diego St. L 57-73 11%     1 - 1 -2.8 -2.2 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 15 115 @Seattle L 74-83 27%     1 - 2 -2.7 +14.5 -18.3
  Tue, Nov 18 71 @Santa Clara L 55-64 15%     1 - 3 +1.9 -8.6 +9.6
  Wed, Nov 26 127 Sam Houston St. L 81-84 39%     1 - 4 -0.5 +5.5 -5.9
  Fri, Nov 28 253 Cal St. Northridge W 82-50 69%     2 - 4 +26.8 +0.0 +24.4
  Wed, Dec 3 343 @UMKC W 68-59 79%     3 - 4 +0.2 +4.5 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 295 Denver W 93-79 83%     4 - 4 +3.8 +13.6 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 87 @Utah Valley L 69-73 19%     4 - 5 +5.1 +3.6 +1.5
  Sun, Dec 21 173 UC Davis W 70-66 63%    
  Thu, Jan 1 276 Sacramento St. W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 3 176 Portland St. W 70-66 64%    
  Thu, Jan 8 161 @Northern Colorado L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 258 @Northern Arizona W 69-67 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 177 @Idaho L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 236 Eastern Washington W 77-70 74%    
  Thu, Jan 22 165 @Montana St. L 66-69 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 202 @Montana L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 215 @Weber St. W 72-71 51%    
  Mon, Feb 2 176 @Portland St. L 67-69 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 258 Northern Arizona W 72-64 77%    
  Sat, Feb 7 161 Northern Colorado W 72-69 60%    
  Thu, Feb 12 236 @Eastern Washington W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 177 @Idaho L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Feb 19 202 Montana W 76-71 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 165 Montana St. W 69-66 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 215 Weber St. W 74-68 71%    
  Mon, Mar 2 276 @Sacramento St. W 74-71 60%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.1 5.4 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 19.5 1st
2nd 0.6 4.1 6.3 4.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.9 6.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 5.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.3 2.6 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.6 7.2 9.8 11.9 13.4 14.0 12.2 9.7 6.7 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
16-2 99.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
15-3 94.3% 3.5    3.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 80.6% 5.4    3.9 1.4 0.1
13-5 52.4% 5.1    2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0
12-6 21.5% 2.6    0.6 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 3.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.5% 19.5 12.4 5.1 1.5 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 53.8% 53.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 59.3% 59.3% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.8% 45.7% 45.7% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.7% 36.3% 36.3% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 2.4
14-4 6.7% 31.1% 31.1% 13.6 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.6
13-5 9.7% 26.3% 26.3% 13.8 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.1
12-6 12.2% 21.1% 21.1% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.0 9.6
11-7 14.0% 17.2% 17.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.1 11.6
10-8 13.4% 12.3% 12.3% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.2 11.7
9-9 11.9% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.0 0.7 0.4 10.8
8-10 9.8% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.2
7-11 7.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.9
6-12 4.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.2 4.4
5-13 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.3 5.6 4.7 1.6 84.0 0.0%