Idaho
Big Sky
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.4 182
Results Rating -1.7 190
Consistency 0.15 168
Pace 68.1 187
Improvement +0.0 188

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 177 C C- C+ D+ C+
Defense C- 206 C B- D D- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 263 D+ 54% 288 -3.2 294
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 288 D- 32% 340 -2.9 312
Three Pointers 48% 37 B 37% 72 +5.8 26
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 119 C -0.7 194
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 177
Second Chance C- 29.1% 217 C- 1.01 218 C- 0.29 219
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 232
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 76
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 142
Freethrows D+ 0.28 250 C- 72% 218 D+ 0.20 246
Total Offense C -0.4 177

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 26% 364 C- 11.9% 240
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 8% 361 D 7.3% 312
Three Pointers C- 83% 219 C- 1.0% 233
Total D 48% 323 C- 5.9% 221


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 227 C 58% 172 -0.8 140
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 31 D 42% 313 +3.4 359
Three Pointers 36% 323 C 34% 205 -2.4 74
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.9 48 C- +1.1 223
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 184
Second Chance B 26.0% 38 C- 1.07 249 B- 0.28 85
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 305
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 219
Turnovers D 14.8% 296
Freethrows D 0.35 316 D 74% 302 D- 0.26 326
Total Defense C- -0.9 206

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 189 D- 6.0% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 69 D- 1.9% 332
Three Pointers B+ 77% 33 B- 1.5% 67
Total B 49% 56 D- 3.3% 341

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 233 17.0 128
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 325 0.19 245
Consistency 0.10 47 0.13 251
Improvement -0.7 229 +0.7 155

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 193 183 165
Results Rating Rank 219 196 132
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 9% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 n/a
.500 or above 69% 100% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round6% 9% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 37 - 87 - 11
Quad 48 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 132 @Washington St. W 83 - 81 28% +9  98% 1 - 0 B- +7 B +6 A D+ C- C+ +1 A- B F
 Wed, Nov 12 229 @San Diego L 74 - 78 49% -5  2% 1 - 1 D+ -5 C -0 C- C- F D -5 F D+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 133 @UC San Diego L 67 - 75 28% +3  62% 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -4 D- C C C+ +0 C B+ C-
 Wed, Nov 26 170 Cal St. Northridge W 78 - 64 48% +4  61% 2 - 2 B+ +13 C- -1 F A+ C+ A+ +13 A+ B D
 Fri, Nov 28 112 Sam Houston St. L 68 - 94 32% -4  41% 2 - 3 F -23 C- -0 B- C- B F -25 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 294 North Dakota W 90 - 58 81% +15  86% 3 - 3 A +21 B+ +8 A B+ C- A+ +14 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 215 @South Dakota St. W 84 - 81 45% -1  34% 4 - 3 C+ +3 A- +9 B+ C- B- D- -7 D+ A F
 Wed, Dec 10 89 @Notre Dame L 65 - 80 16% -5  4% 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +0 B- F+ A+ D- -7 D- C D+
 Sun, Dec 21 230 @Cal Poly W 83 - 80 OT 49% +7  87% 5 - 4 C+ +2 D- -7 F+ D D+ A +9 A A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 23 329 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 63 - 64 73% -2  20% 5 - 5 D -9 F -12 F F+ C+ B- +3 F B- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 174 Eastern Washington W 84 - 81 60% +2  57% 6 - 5 1 - 0 C -1 B- +5 B B+ D D -6 A F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 204 Montana L 73 - 79 65% -9  2% 6 - 6 1 - 1 D -11 D+ -4 F A- A- D- -8 C- B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 143 Montana St. W 92 - 89 52% -9  4% 7 - 6 2 - 1 C +1 A+ +18 A+ F+ A+ F -17 F C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 15 266 @Idaho St. L 68 - 76 56% +2  70% 7 - 7 2 - 2 D -11 D- -8 F A B- D+ -3 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 211 @Weber St. W 75 - 67 44% +9  96% 8 - 7 3 - 2 B +8 F+ -9 F+ B- F A+ +17 A+ D A+
 Thu, Jan 22 271 Sacramento St. W 86 - 76 77% +7  94% 9 - 7 4 - 2 C +1 C+ +2 A F C C- -2 A F D
 Sat, Jan 24 153 Portland St. L 66 - 69 55% -5  10% 9 - 8 4 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -4 C+ F C- C- -2 F A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 150 @Northern Colorado L 83 - 91 32% -2  28% 9 - 9 4 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 D+ F A D -6 D B D
 Sat, Jan 31 317 @Northern Arizona W 79 - 62 69% +15  99% 10 - 9 5 - 4 B +10 C+ +3 B+ F B A +9 C+ C+ C
 Thu, Feb 5 143 @Montana St. L 66 - 73 30% -9  3% 10 - 10 5 - 5 C- -3 F+ -10 C- F F+ A- +7 A+ C D-
 Sat, Feb 7 204 @Montana L 68 - 73 42% +2  60% 10 - 11 5 - 6 C- -4 D- -8 D+ F D+ B- +3 D+ C C+
 Thu, Feb 12 211 Weber St. L 72 - 83 66% -15  0% 10 - 12 5 - 7 F+ -17 C- -2 C- F A+ F -15 D- D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 266 Idaho St. W 99 - 69 76% +25  99% 11 - 12 6 - 7 A +21 A +13 A+ A D A- +7 A+ C- F+
 Thu, Feb 19 153 @Portland St. L 67 - 77 32% -9  7% 11 - 13 6 - 8 D+ -7 C- -1 C D+ C- D -6 C F F
 Sat, Feb 21 271 @Sacramento St. W 86 - 80 57% +3  86% 12 - 13 7 - 8 C+ +3 B- +4 C B+ F C -1 D+ A+ F+
 Thu, Feb 26 317 Northern Arizona W 78 - 58 85% +10  90% 13 - 13 8 - 8 B- +7 B- +6 B B B+ B +5 A- C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 28 150 Northern Colorado L 67 - 76 54% +1  50% 13 - 14 8 - 9 D -11 D- -7 F C B+ D+ -4 D- A+ D
 Mon, Mar 2 174 @Eastern Washington W 85 - 81 37% +3  69% 14 - 14 9 - 9 B- +6 A +12 C- A+ B- D -6 D+ F C+
 Sat, Mar 7 271 Sacramento St. W 83 - 78 68%
Totals 15 - 14 9 - 9 -1 C +0 A+ C C+ C- -1 B C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D- B C 36% 28% 48% C+ C C- C- C- C+ D+ C- D+ C- C D C C- 37% 27% 36% B C B C- B- D D D D-
1.08 54% 32% 37% -1 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 16% .28 72% .20 1.10 58% 42% 34% +1 -1 1.03 26% 1.1 .28 15% .35 74% .21
Nov
3		 Washington St. B C- A+ A A- 35% 12% 54% B+ A D- B D+ C- B- C- C+ C+ B- F A+ A 37% 16% 47% C- A- A+ F B F F C+ F
1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23 1.13 58% 75% 25% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38
Nov
12		 San Diego C C+ C- D- D+ 50% 11% 39% A- C- A+ F C- F A+ B A+ D A- F F F 25% 27% 48% A- F C+ F+ D+ B- B- A+ B+
1.10 64% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.07 51% 0.6 .32 24% .49 76% .37 1.16 50% 54% 52% +15 -2 1.29 28% 1.1 .31 19% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 UC San Diego D+ F F B- D- 24% 14% 62% C D- C- B- C C A C A- C+ D- A- B+ C 50% 15% 35% D+ C A+ F B+ C- F F F
0.96 25% 29% 35% -8 0 0.86 26% 1.1 .29 16% .34 70% .24 1.07 67% 29% 29% 0 +2 1.06 13% 1.5 .19 16% .48 79% .37
Nov
26		 Cal St. Northridge C- C F F F 26% 7% 67% B- F C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 36% 24% 40% A A+ A D B D F D+ F
1.06 57% 25% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.6 .47 15% .43 81% .35 0.87 70% 23% 14% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.1 .28 15% .40 68% .27
Nov
28		 Sam Houston St. C- A A+ D B- 22% 10% 67% C+ B- D B- C- B D F F F C D+ F F 30% 26% 44% A F F F F F A+ B+ A+
1.07 73% 60% 30% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.48 59% 40% 56% +15 -1 1.30 43% 1.3 .57 9% .16 67% .10
Dec
3		 North Dakota B+ B+ F A+ A 30% 7% 63% C A B B B+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ D- B- C+ D 34% 19% 47% B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ B-
1.30 69% 0% 48% +14 +1 1.33 39% 1.2 .48 20% .43 92% .40 0.84 63% 33% 32% -1 0 1.00 19% 0.0 .00 24% .38 55% .21
Dec
6		 South Dakota St. A- D+ A+ A A 27% 22% 51% D B+ D+ B- C- B- A+ D+ A+ D- D- B- D- D 40% 34% 26% A D+ A+ A A F F C- F
1.22 54% 64% 40% +9 -1 1.18 23% 1.1 .27 13% .49 72% .35 1.18 65% 35% 38% +4 -2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 7% .52 73% .38
Dec
10		 Notre Dame C D F A+ B- 33% 25% 41% C- B- D F F+ A+ F A+ F+ D- F B+ F F 29% 48% 23% A+ D- C- B- C D+ A+ C A+
1.04 53% 15% 48% +1 -1 1.02 20% 0.7 .14 10% .18 90% .16 1.27 80% 32% 67% +15 -4 1.23 35% 0.9 .32 14% .19 70% .13
Dec
21		 Cal Poly D- F F A+ D 19% 26% 54% F F+ F+ B D D+ A+ C+ A+ A D+ F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% C+ A A A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.00 36% 20% 42% -2 -2 0.93 24% 1.2 .28 17% .41 75% .30 0.96 61% 50% 21% -10 +1 0.85 23% 0.5 .11 17% .57 79% .45
Dec
23		 Cal St. Bakersfield F D F+ F F 31% 24% 45% D- F F+ D+ F+ C+ F A D- B- D- F C- F 27% 33% 40% B- F A F B- B- A+ A+ A+
0.96 53% 33% 27% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.0 .29 17% .28 80% .22 0.98 64% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.1 .26 20% .15 38% .06
Jan
3		 Eastern Washington B- F A+ A B 31% 13% 56% C- B B+ C B+ D A+ D+ A+ D B A- C- A- 32% 36% 32% A+ A F A F B+ F A- F
1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37 1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31
Jan
8		 Montana D+ F D F F 52% 12% 36% A F A- C+ A- A- A+ D- A+ D- D+ F B D 33% 22% 45% B C- A F B D+ F F F
1.04 46% 33% 17% -16 +2 0.74 38% 1.1 .40 11% .47 66% .31 1.13 63% 64% 32% +6 -1 1.12 14% 1.3 .18 19% .39 86% .33
Jan
10		 Montana St. A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% B- A+ C+ F F+ A+ D B- D+ F D- F F F 46% 28% 26% D F D- A C+ B- F F F
1.35 65% 38% 44% +9 +1 1.24 32% 0.7 .22 7% .22 79% .17 1.30 65% 57% 54% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.9 .28 18% .37 81% .30
Jan
15		 Idaho St. D- B B+ F F 38% 13% 49% B- F D- A+ A B- A+ F A+ D+ A+ F F F 39% 25% 36% A- F A+ A+ A+ F+ F D- F
1.02 65% 50% 14% -11 +1 0.82 23% 2.0 .46 13% .54 65% .35 1.14 41% 64% 50% +9 -1 1.18 23% 0.6 .13 13% .43 80% .35
Jan
17		 Weber St. F+ D A+ F F 44% 13% 44% B- F+ F A+ B- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 16% 40% C A+ D+ D D A+ F C F
0.98 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28 0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47
Jan
22		 Sacramento St. C+ A- F A+ A 37% 8% 56% C+ A F+ F F C D- A+ C C- C+ A- A+ A+ 52% 31% 17% D+ A F D+ F D A- F C-
1.20 68% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 26% 0.9 .23 17% .27 88% .23 1.06 53% 28% 10% -12 0 0.78 35% 1.2 .42 13% .27 100% .27
Jan
24		 Portland St. D+ C F C- C 47% 11% 42% A- C+ D+ F F C- A+ F+ B+ C- B F F F+ 66% 12% 22% F F A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ C C+
0.98 57% 20% 32% -4 +2 0.98 26% 0.7 .17 19% .46 68% .31 1.03 52% 50% 55% +4 +3 1.16 13% 0.0 .00 15% .28 69% .19
Jan
29		 Northern Colorado C+ F B- B+ D+ 38% 13% 50% C+ D+ D F F A A- A+ A+ D D A F D 50% 19% 31% D+ D A D- B D F B+ F
1.09 38% 43% 36% -6 +1 0.93 21% 0.8 .17 8% .40 86% .34 1.20 65% 30% 44% +7 +1 1.17 19% 1.2 .22 14% .51 70% .35
Jan
31		 Northern Arizona C+ A+ B- B- B+ 43% 13% 44% C+ B+ F D- F B F B+ F A B- F+ B C+ 40% 27% 33% C+ C+ B D C+ C F+ B+ D+
1.21 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 18% 1.0 .18 14% .16 78% .12 0.95 53% 46% 31% -1 -1 0.98 20% 1.1 .23 17% .33 61% .20
Feb
5		 Montana St. F+ D+ A+ F D+ 57% 16% 28% B+ C- F F F F+ F A+ F+ A- C- A- A+ A+ 35% 44% 21% A+ A+ A+ F C D- F F F
0.91 52% 56% 25% -5 +2 0.97 21% 0.6 .12 19% .15 89% .14 1.00 59% 33% 20% -6 -3 0.83 13% 2.3 .30 12% .47 87% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Montana D- F+ F B+ D 35% 18% 47% C+ D+ D F F D+ F F F B- B F F D 31% 20% 49% B D+ B+ F C C+ D- A+ C+
0.94 50% 20% 37% -4 0 0.95 25% 0.6 .16 17% .20 58% .12 1.01 53% 50% 42% +7 -1 1.14 17% 1.4 .23 21% .35 60% .21
Feb
12		 Weber St. C- C+ F C D+ 42% 6% 52% A- C- F+ F F A+ D B C- F D B+ F F 44% 34% 22% A+ D- B F D+ F C- F F
1.12 64% 0% 33% 0 +2 1.06 22% 0.6 .14 8% .29 76% .22 1.29 64% 29% 55% +6 -1 1.12 28% 1.2 .34 9% .34 90% .31
Feb
14		 Idaho St. A A A+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 46% B+ A+ B A A D D+ F F+ A- A+ C A A+ 30% 23% 46% A A+ A- F C- F+ C+ F D
1.36 71% 60% 48% +17 +2 1.41 34% 1.3 .45 17% .30 67% .20 0.95 35% 38% 27% -12 -1 0.77 26% 1.3 .33 14% .29 89% .26
Feb
19		 Portland St. C- D+ F A- C 37% 22% 41% C- C C D- D+ C- F B- F D B C+ F D 28% 34% 38% A+ C B- F F F F+ B- D
0.98 53% 18% 38% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 19% .23 77% .18 1.12 50% 35% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.5 .43 15% .36 67% .24
Feb
21		 Sacramento St. B- F F A+ C 35% 10% 54% C C A D+ B+ F A+ B- A+ C F B+ B- D 29% 33% 37% A- D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.17 47% 20% 42% +1 +1 1.06 44% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35 1.09 73% 29% 32% 0 -2 0.98 14% 0.4 .06 11% .51 85% .43
Feb
26		 Northern Arizona B- F F A+ B+ 40% 17% 43% C- B C- A+ B B+ F F F B A+ C D B+ 35% 33% 33% A- A- A- F C+ F+ D+ F+ D
1.29 47% 25% 60% +10 +1 1.23 32% 1.4 .45 13% .21 55% .11 0.96 41% 38% 38% -4 -2 0.90 17% 1.3 .23 13% .28 73% .21
Feb
28		 Northern Colorado D- F+ F F F 52% 5% 43% A F A F C B+ C- F D D+ A+ F F F+ 41% 22% 37% B- D- A A+ A+ D F F F
1.00 48% 0% 21% -16 +3 0.77 36% 0.8 .30 9% .31 68% .21 1.13 45% 64% 50% +9 0 1.20 19% 0.0 .00 15% .33 89% .30
Mar
2		 Eastern Washington A F+ C A- D+ 47% 15% 38% B- C- A A+ A+ B- D+ F D- D D+ F A+ D 39% 24% 37% C+ D+ F+ F F C+ F C+ F
1.27 50% 43% 39% 0 +1 1.04 44% 1.7 .74 15% .30 65% .19 1.21 63% 70% 27% +5 0 1.12 38% 1.7 .63 19% .54 72% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 6.0% 6.0% 14.5 0.3 2.3 3.3 0.1 94.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 14.5 94.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.0% 100.0% 14.5 4.8 38.4 55.0 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.6%
Lose Out 31.2%