Idaho
Big Sky
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#177
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#152
Pace66.0#278
Improvement+0.6#142

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+3.0#96
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#251
Layup/Dunks-3.8#308
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.0#8
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+2.2#31

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#272
First Shot-5.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#59
Layups/Dunks-1.0#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
Freethrows-1.2#257
Improvement-1.6#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 14.9% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 67.0% 77.2% 55.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.7% 75.4% 65.3%
Conference Champion 18.3% 21.4% 14.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.9% 7.0%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.7%
First Round12.7% 14.8% 10.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Away) - 53.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 411 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 169 @Washington St. W 83-81 36%     1 - 0 +4.4 +7.3 -3.0
  Wed, Nov 12 257 @San Diego L 74-78 54%     1 - 1 -6.4 +2.3 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 15 101 @UC San Diego L 67-75 20%     1 - 2 -0.3 -3.7 +3.4
  Wed, Nov 26 253 Cal St. Northridge W 78-64 65%     2 - 2 +8.8 -1.6 +9.7
  Fri, Nov 28 127 Sam Houston St. L 68-94 36%     2 - 3 -23.5 +1.9 -28.0
  Wed, Dec 3 337 North Dakota W 90-58 88%     3 - 3 +18.2 +12.4 +6.1
  Sat, Dec 6 159 @South Dakota St. W 84-81 34%     4 - 3 +5.9 +15.3 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 59 @Notre Dame L 65-80 11%     4 - 4 -2.6 +5.7 -10.0
  Sun, Dec 21 249 @Cal Poly W 83-82 54%    
  Tue, Dec 23 303 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 240 Eastern Washington W 82-76 71%    
  Thu, Jan 8 202 Montana W 80-75 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 165 Montana St. W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Jan 14 160 Idaho St. W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 213 @Weber St. L 75-76 47%    
  Thu, Jan 22 275 Sacramento St. W 81-73 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 176 Portland St. W 73-70 61%    
  Thu, Jan 29 161 @Northern Colorado L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 258 @Northern Arizona W 73-72 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 165 @Montana St. L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 202 @Montana L 77-78 45%    
  Thu, Feb 12 213 Weber St. W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 14 160 Idaho St. W 71-69 57%    
  Thu, Feb 19 176 @Portland St. L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 275 @Sacramento St. W 78-76 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 258 Northern Arizona W 76-69 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 161 Northern Colorado W 76-74 57%    
  Mon, Mar 2 240 @Eastern Washington W 79-78 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.6 5.0 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 18.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.7 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.9 5.9 2.9 0.5 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 5.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.7 2.8 0.3 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.4 2.9 0.4 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.3 7.8 10.4 12.2 13.3 12.8 11.5 9.0 6.2 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
16-2 99.0% 1.6    1.6 0.0
15-3 93.7% 3.3    2.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 79.8% 5.0    3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 51.2% 4.6    2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0
12-6 22.5% 2.6    0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.3% 18.3 11.7 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 37.5% 37.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 54.4% 54.4% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 38.6% 38.6% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.5% 32.5% 32.5% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4
14-4 6.2% 29.3% 29.3% 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.4
13-5 9.0% 23.0% 23.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 6.9
12-6 11.5% 17.7% 17.7% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.0 9.5
11-7 12.8% 13.7% 13.7% 14.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 11.1
10-8 13.3% 11.0% 11.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 11.8
9-9 12.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 11.3
8-10 10.4% 4.0% 4.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.0
7-11 7.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.6
6-12 5.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.2
5-13 3.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 4.6 4.1 1.2 87.1 0.0%