Idaho
Big Sky
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.8#351
Expected Predictive Rating-18.3#349
Pace75.0#53
Improvement-1.5#285

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#345
First Shot-5.8#326
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#262
Layup/Dunks-4.3#315
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#233
Freethrows+2.2#52
Improvement-2.1#335

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#346
First Shot-5.0#320
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#315
Layups/Dunks-7.2#346
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#9
Freethrows-1.0#244
Improvement+0.6#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 69.3% 47.9% 71.7%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 10.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 100 - 14
Quad 43 - 124 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 297   Long Beach St. L 89-95 OT 33%     0 - 1 -16.3 -5.9 -9.3
  Nov 15, 2021 129   @ Fresno St. L 62-69 4%     0 - 2 -1.6 -3.4 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2021 60   Washington St. L 61-109 5%     0 - 3 -43.3 -12.7 -29.1
  Nov 22, 2021 152   Utah Valley L 45-83 8%     0 - 4 -37.2 -31.0 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2021 316   Cal Poly L 63-67 28%     0 - 5 -12.8 -11.2 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2021 182   @ North Dakota St. L 73-90 7%     0 - 6 -15.0 -4.5 -9.2
  Dec 04, 2021 140   Southern Utah L 69-83 10%    
  Dec 08, 2021 70   South Dakota St. L 74-93 4%    
  Dec 11, 2021 206   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 61-77 7%    
  Dec 22, 2021 139   @ UC Riverside L 58-78 3%    
  Dec 30, 2021 317   @ Northern Arizona L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 01, 2022 269   @ Portland St. L 67-79 15%    
  Jan 06, 2022 181   Montana St. L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 08, 2022 203   @ Eastern Washington L 70-86 7%    
  Jan 13, 2022 97   @ Weber St. L 64-87 2%    
  Jan 15, 2022 311   @ Idaho St. L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 20, 2022 175   Northern Colorado L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 22, 2022 295   Sacramento St. L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 27, 2022 207   @ Montana L 64-80 8%    
  Jan 29, 2022 181   @ Montana St. L 67-84 6%    
  Feb 03, 2022 140   @ Southern Utah L 66-86 4%    
  Feb 10, 2022 311   Idaho St. L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 12, 2022 97   Weber St. L 67-84 6%    
  Feb 17, 2022 207   Montana L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 19, 2022 203   Eastern Washington L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 24, 2022 295   @ Sacramento St. L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 26, 2022 175   @ Northern Colorado L 67-84 7%    
  Mar 03, 2022 269   Portland St. L 70-76 31%    
  Mar 05, 2022 317   Northern Arizona L 72-75 40%    
Projected Record 3 - 26 3 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.1 5.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.8 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 5.7 7.3 5.3 1.6 0.3 21.8 10th
11th 6.6 14.3 16.5 13.2 5.6 1.8 0.1 58.1 11th
Total 6.6 14.4 18.1 19.2 14.7 11.7 7.0 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.4% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 0.4% 0.4
9-11 1.0% 1.0
8-12 2.4% 2.4
7-13 4.1% 4.1
6-14 7.0% 7.0
5-15 11.7% 11.7
4-16 14.7% 14.7
3-17 19.2% 19.2
2-18 18.1% 18.1
1-19 14.4% 14.4
0-20 6.6% 6.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.8%