Idaho
Big Sky
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.6 169
Results Rating -1.0 178
Consistency 0.15 176
Pace 67.9 194
Improvement +1.8 128

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C 178 C C- C+ D+ C+
Defense C 171 C B- D D B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 D+ 54% 275 -3.0 291
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 277 D- 32% 334 -2.6 301
Three Pointers 48% 40 B- 36% 97 +5.1 30
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 135 C- -0.8 201
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 181
Second Chance C- 28.7% 229 C- 1.01 212 C- 0.29 225
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 223
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 80
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 143
Freethrows D+ 0.28 250 C- 72% 219 D+ 0.20 250
Total Offense C -0.5 178

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 26% 364 C- 12.0% 243
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 7% 362 D 7.2% 312
Three Pointers C- 82% 224 C 1.0% 211
Total D- 47% 328 C- 5.9% 219


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 216 C+ 57% 139 -1.0 135
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 31 D+ 41% 295 +3.2 358
Three Pointers 36% 329 C- 35% 215 -2.4 72
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 50 C- +0.6 201
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 162
Second Chance B+ 25.8% 31 C 1.05 207 B- 0.27 72
Turnovers from Steals D 7.4% 320
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 176
Turnovers D 14.6% 307
Freethrows D 0.34 299 D+ 74% 284 D 0.25 307
Total Defense C +0.0 171

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 196 D 6.8% 335
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 66 D- 1.9% 328
Three Pointers B 78% 40 B- 1.4% 78
Total B 50% 62 D 3.6% 332

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 242 16.9 110
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 342 0.18 236
Consistency 0.11 57 0.15 332
Improvement -0.9 242 +2.7 61

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 178 171 156
Results Rating Rank 187 178 150
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25% 47% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round25% 47% 0%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 39 - 89 - 12
Quad 48 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 132 @Washington St. W 83 - 81 30% +9  98% 1 - 0 B- +7 B +6 A D+ C- C+ +1 A- B F
 Wed, Nov 12 228 @San Diego L 74 - 78 51% -5  2% 1 - 1 C- -5 C +0 C- C- F D -5 F D+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 130 @UC San Diego L 67 - 75 30% +3  62% 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -3 D- C C+ C+ +0 C B+ C-
 Wed, Nov 26 182 Cal St. Northridge W 78 - 64 53% +4  61% 2 - 2 B+ +13 C- -1 F A+ C+ A+ +13 A+ B- D
 Fri, Nov 28 113 Sam Houston St. L 68 - 94 36% -4  41% 2 - 3 F -23 C- -1 B- D+ B F -25 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 281 North Dakota W 90 - 58 82% +15  86% 3 - 3 A +22 B+ +9 A B+ C- A+ +14 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 216 @South Dakota St. W 84 - 81 48% -1  34% 4 - 3 C+ +3 B+ +9 B+ C- B- D- -6 D+ A F
 Wed, Dec 10 90 @Notre Dame L 65 - 80 18% -5  4% 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +0 B- D- A+ D- -8 D- C D+
 Sun, Dec 21 222 @Cal Poly W 83 - 80 OT 50% +7  87% 5 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F+ D D+ A +9 A A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 23 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 63 - 64 78% -2  20% 5 - 5 D -10 F -12 F F+ C B- +3 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 175 Eastern Washington W 84 - 81 63% +2  57% 6 - 5 1 - 0 C -1 B- +5 B B+ D D -6 A F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 204 Montana L 73 - 79 68% -9  2% 6 - 6 1 - 1 D -11 D+ -4 F A- A- D- -8 C- B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 141 Montana St. W 92 - 89 56% -9  4% 7 - 6 2 - 1 C +1 A+ +18 A+ F+ A+ F -17 F C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 15 264 @Idaho St. L 68 - 76 58% +2  70% 7 - 7 2 - 2 D -11 D- -8 F A C+ D+ -3 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 211 @Weber St. W 75 - 67 47% +9  96% 8 - 7 3 - 2 B +8 F+ -9 F+ B- F A+ +17 A+ D A+
 Thu, Jan 22 277 Sacramento St. W 86 - 76 80% +7  94% 9 - 7 4 - 2 C +0 C+ +3 A F C C- -3 A- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 150 Portland St. L 66 - 69 58% -5  10% 9 - 8 4 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -4 C+ F C- C- -2 F A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 147 @Northern Colorado L 83 - 91 34% -2  28% 9 - 9 4 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 D+ F A D -6 D B+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 318 @Northern Arizona W 79 - 62 72% +15  99% 10 - 9 5 - 4 B +10 C+ +3 B+ F B A- +8 C+ C+ C
 Thu, Feb 5 141 @Montana St. L 66 - 73 33% -9  3% 10 - 10 5 - 5 C- -3 F+ -10 C- F F+ A- +7 A+ C D-
 Sat, Feb 7 204 @Montana L 68 - 73 45% +2  60% 10 - 11 5 - 6 C- -4 D- -8 D+ F D+ B- +3 D+ C C+
 Thu, Feb 12 211 Weber St. L 72 - 83 69% -15  0% 10 - 12 5 - 7 F+ -17 C- -2 C- F A+ F -15 D- D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 264 Idaho St. W 99 - 69 78% +25  99% 11 - 12 6 - 7 A +21 A +13 A+ A D B+ +7 A+ C D-
 Thu, Feb 19 150 @Portland St. L 67 - 77 35% -9  7% 11 - 13 6 - 8 D+ -7 C- -1 C D+ C- D -6 C F F+
 Sat, Feb 21 277 @Sacramento St. W 86 - 80 62% +3  86% 12 - 13 7 - 8 C+ +2 B- +4 C B+ F C- -2 D+ A+ F+
 Thu, Feb 26 318 Northern Arizona W 78 - 58 87% +10  90% 13 - 13 8 - 8 B- +7 B +6 B+ B B+ B +5 B+ C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 28 147 Northern Colorado L 67 - 76 57% +1  50% 13 - 14 8 - 9 D -11 D- -7 F C A- D+ -4 D- A+ D
 Mon, Mar 2 175 @Eastern Washington W 85 - 81 40% +3  69% 14 - 14 9 - 9 B- +6 A +12 C- A+ B- D -6 D+ F C+
 Sat, Mar 7 277 Sacramento St. W 68 - 45 72% +13  86% 15 - 14 A- +16 F -11 F C C- A+ +27 A+ A+ D
 Sun, Mar 8 141 Montana St. W 78 - 74 44% -1  34% 16 - 14 C+ +5 B +6 A F+ A- C -1 C B F
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 -1 C -1 C+ C- C+ C +0 B- C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D- B- C- 36% 29% 48% C+ C C- C- C- C+ D+ C- D+ C C+ D+ C- C- 38% 27% 36% B C B+ C B- D D D+ D
1.08 54% 32% 36% -1 0 1.01 29% 1.0 .29 16% .28 72% .20 1.09 57% 41% 35% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .27 15% .34 74% .21
Nov
3
Washington St. B C- A+ A A- 35% 12% 54% B+ A D- B D+ C- B- C- C+ C+ B- F A+ A 37% 16% 47% C- A- A+ F B F F C+ F
1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23 1.13 58% 75% 25% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38
Nov
12
San Diego C C+ C- D- D+ 50% 11% 39% A- C- A+ F C- F A+ B- A+ D A- F F F 25% 27% 48% A- F C+ F+ D+ B- B- A+ B+
1.10 64% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.07 51% 0.6 .32 24% .49 76% .37 1.16 50% 54% 52% +15 -2 1.29 28% 1.1 .31 19% .20 64% .13
Nov
15
UC San Diego D+ F F B- D- 24% 14% 62% C D- C- C+ C C+ A C- A- C+ D- A- B+ C 50% 15% 35% D+ C A+ F B+ C- F F F
0.96 25% 29% 35% -8 0 0.86 26% 1.1 .29 16% .34 70% .24 1.07 67% 29% 29% 0 +2 1.06 13% 1.5 .19 16% .48 79% .37
Nov
26
Cal St. Northridge C- C F F F 26% 7% 67% B- F C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 36% 24% 40% A A+ A D B- D F C- F
1.06 57% 25% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.6 .47 15% .43 81% .35 0.87 70% 23% 14% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.1 .28 15% .40 68% .27
Nov
28
Sam Houston St. C- A A+ D B- 22% 10% 67% C+ B- D B- D+ B D F F F C D+ F F 30% 26% 44% A F F F F F A+ B+ A+
1.07 73% 60% 30% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.48 59% 40% 56% +15 -1 1.30 43% 1.3 .57 9% .16 67% .10
Dec
3
North Dakota B+ A- F A+ A+ 30% 7% 63% C A B B B+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ D- B- C+ D 34% 19% 47% B+ D+ A A+ A+ A+ D- A+ B-
1.30 69% 0% 48% +14 +1 1.33 39% 1.2 .48 20% .43 92% .40 0.84 63% 33% 32% -1 0 1.00 19% 0.0 .00 24% .38 55% .21
Dec
6
South Dakota St. B+ D+ A+ A A 27% 22% 51% D B+ D+ B- C- B- A+ D+ A+ D- D- B- D- D 40% 34% 26% A D+ A+ A A F F C- F
1.22 54% 64% 40% +9 -1 1.18 23% 1.1 .27 13% .49 72% .35 1.18 65% 35% 38% +4 -2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 7% .52 73% .38
Dec
10
Notre Dame C D+ F A+ B- 33% 25% 41% C- B- D F D- A+ F A+ F D- F B+ F F 29% 48% 23% A+ D- D+ B- C D+ A+ C A+
1.04 53% 15% 48% +1 -1 1.02 20% 0.7 .14 10% .18 90% .16 1.27 80% 32% 67% +15 -4 1.23 35% 0.9 .32 14% .19 70% .13
Dec
21
Cal Poly D- F F A+ D 19% 26% 54% F F+ F+ B D D+ A+ B- A+ A D+ F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% C+ A A A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.00 36% 20% 42% -2 -2 0.93 24% 1.2 .28 17% .41 75% .30 0.96 61% 50% 21% -10 +1 0.85 23% 0.5 .11 17% .57 79% .45
Dec
23
Cal St. Bakersfield F D F+ F F 31% 24% 45% D- F F+ D+ F+ C F A D- B- D- F C- F 27% 33% 40% B- F A F B- C+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 53% 33% 27% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.0 .29 17% .28 80% .22 0.98 64% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.1 .26 20% .15 38% .06
Jan
3
Eastern Washington B- F A+ A B 31% 13% 56% C- B B+ C B+ D A+ D+ A+ D B A- C- A- 32% 36% 32% A+ A F A F B+ F A- F
1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37 1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31
Jan
8
Montana D+ F D F F 52% 12% 36% A F A- C+ A- A- A+ D- A+ D- D+ F B D+ 33% 22% 45% B C- A F B D+ F F F
1.04 46% 33% 17% -16 +2 0.74 38% 1.1 .40 11% .47 66% .31 1.13 63% 64% 32% +6 -1 1.12 14% 1.3 .18 19% .39 86% .33
Jan
10
Montana St. A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% B- A+ B- F F+ A+ D B- D+ F D- F F F 46% 28% 26% D F D- A C+ B- F F F
1.35 65% 38% 44% +9 +1 1.24 32% 0.7 .22 7% .22 79% .17 1.30 65% 57% 54% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.9 .28 18% .37 81% .30
Jan
15
Idaho St. D- B- A- F F 38% 13% 49% C+ F D- A+ A C+ A+ F A+ D+ A+ F F F 39% 25% 36% A- F A+ A+ A+ F+ F F+ F
1.02 65% 50% 14% -11 +1 0.82 23% 2.0 .46 13% .54 65% .35 1.14 41% 64% 50% +9 -1 1.18 23% 0.6 .13 13% .43 80% .35
Jan
17
Weber St. F+ D A+ F F 44% 13% 44% B- F+ F A+ B- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 16% 40% C A+ D+ D D A+ F C F
0.98 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28 0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47
Jan
22
Sacramento St. C+ A- F A+ A 37% 8% 56% C+ A F+ F F C D- A+ C C- C+ A- A+ A 52% 31% 17% D+ A- F D F D A- F C-
1.20 68% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 26% 0.9 .23 17% .27 88% .23 1.06 53% 28% 10% -12 0 0.78 35% 1.2 .42 13% .27 100% .27
Jan
24
Portland St. D+ C F C- C 47% 11% 42% A- C+ D+ F F C- A+ F+ B+ C- B F F F+ 66% 12% 22% F F A+ A+ A+ F+ B- C B-
0.98 57% 20% 32% -4 +2 0.98 26% 0.7 .17 19% .46 68% .31 1.03 52% 50% 55% +4 +3 1.16 13% 0.0 .00 15% .28 69% .19
Jan
29
Northern Colorado C+ F B- B+ D+ 38% 13% 50% C+ D+ D F F A A- A+ A+ D D A F D 50% 19% 31% D+ D A D- B+ D F B+ F
1.09 38% 43% 36% -6 +1 0.93 21% 0.8 .17 8% .40 86% .34 1.20 65% 30% 44% +7 +1 1.17 19% 1.2 .22 14% .51 70% .35
Jan
31
Northern Arizona C+ A+ B B- B+ 43% 13% 44% C+ B+ F D- F B F A- F A- B- F B C+ 40% 27% 33% B- C+ B D C+ C F+ A- D+
1.21 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 18% 1.0 .18 14% .16 78% .12 0.95 53% 46% 31% -1 -1 0.98 20% 1.1 .23 17% .33 61% .20
Feb
5
Montana St. F+ D A+ F D 57% 16% 28% B+ C- F+ F F F+ F A+ F+ A- C- A- A+ A+ 35% 44% 21% A+ A+ A+ F C D- F F F
0.91 52% 56% 25% -5 +2 0.97 21% 0.6 .12 19% .15 89% .14 1.00 59% 33% 20% -6 -3 0.83 13% 2.3 .30 12% .47 87% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7
Montana D- F+ F B+ D 35% 18% 47% C+ D+ D F F D+ F F F B- B F F D 31% 20% 49% B D+ B+ F C C+ D- A+ C+
0.94 50% 20% 37% -4 0 0.95 25% 0.6 .16 17% .20 58% .12 1.01 53% 50% 42% +7 -1 1.14 17% 1.4 .23 21% .35 60% .21
Feb
12
Weber St. C- C+ F C D+ 42% 6% 52% A- C- F+ F F A+ D+ B C- F D B+ F F 44% 34% 22% A+ D- B F D+ F C- F F
1.12 64% 0% 33% 0 +2 1.06 22% 0.6 .14 8% .29 76% .22 1.29 64% 29% 55% +6 -1 1.12 28% 1.2 .34 9% .34 90% .31
Feb
14
Idaho St. A A A+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 46% B+ A+ B A A D D F F+ B+ A+ C A A+ 30% 23% 46% A A+ A- F C D- B- F D
1.36 71% 60% 48% +17 +2 1.41 34% 1.3 .45 17% .30 67% .20 0.95 35% 38% 27% -12 -1 0.77 26% 1.3 .33 14% .29 89% .26
Feb
19
Portland St. C- D+ F A- C 37% 22% 41% C- C C D- D+ C- F B- F D B C+ F D 28% 34% 38% A+ C C+ F F F+ D- B- D+
0.98 53% 18% 38% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 19% .23 77% .18 1.12 50% 35% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.5 .43 15% .36 67% .24
Feb
21
Sacramento St. B- F F A+ C 35% 10% 54% C C A D+ B+ F A+ C+ A+ C- F B+ B- D- 29% 33% 37% A- D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.17 47% 20% 42% +1 +1 1.06 44% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35 1.09 73% 29% 32% 0 -2 0.98 14% 0.4 .06 11% .51 85% .43
Feb
26
Northern Arizona B F F A+ B+ 40% 17% 43% C- B+ C- A+ B B+ F F F B A+ C D B+ 35% 33% 33% A B+ A- F C+ F+ D+ F+ D
1.29 47% 25% 60% +10 +1 1.23 32% 1.4 .45 13% .21 55% .11 0.96 41% 38% 38% -4 -2 0.90 17% 1.3 .23 13% .28 73% .21
Feb
28
Northern Colorado D- F+ F F F 52% 5% 43% A F A F C A- C- F D D+ A+ F F F+ 41% 22% 37% B- D- A A+ A+ D F F F
1.00 48% 0% 21% -16 +3 0.77 36% 0.8 .30 9% .31 68% .21 1.13 45% 64% 50% +9 0 1.20 19% 0.0 .00 15% .33 89% .30
Mar
2
Eastern Washington A F+ C A- D+ 47% 15% 38% C+ C- A A+ A+ B- D+ F D- D D+ F A+ D 39% 24% 37% C+ D+ F+ F F C+ F C+ F
1.27 50% 43% 39% 0 +1 1.04 44% 1.7 .74 15% .30 65% .19 1.21 63% 70% 27% +5 0 1.12 38% 1.7 .63 19% .54 72% .39
Mar
7
Sacramento St. F F F F F 32% 15% 53% D F C C+ C C- B- B- B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 34% 28% B A+ A+ A+ A+ D B- B B
0.98 47% 25% 25% -13 0 0.77 34% 1.1 .39 17% .35 75% .26 0.65 32% 24% 21% -20 -2 0.58 16% 0.3 .05 13% .32 74% .23
Mar
8
Montana St. B A+ A F A 45% 24% 31% C- A F A+ F+ A- B F C C A B- F C 35% 28% 37% C C A- C- B F A+ A+ A+
1.16 78% 50% 25% +8 0 1.18 15% 1.5 .22 12% .30 67% .20 1.10 45% 38% 48% +3 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 9% .15 56% .08




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 25.4% 25.4% 14.7 0.3 7.3 17.3 0.5 74.6
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 25.4% 25.4% 0.0% 14.7 74.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 25.4% 100.0% 14.7 1.2 28.8 68.1 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 28.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 45.7%