Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#215
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#234
Pace72.2#116
Improvement-2.1#319

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#220
First Shot-1.0#204
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#237
Layup/Dunks+3.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#300
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-2.6#350

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#217
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#176
Layups/Dunks-3.3#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+0.5#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 10.0% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 36.0% 58.8% 32.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.5% 60.4% 46.8%
Conference Champion 6.9% 11.2% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 8.5% 14.2%
First Four1.2% 0.6% 1.3%
First Round6.1% 9.6% 5.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 112 @Utah L 89-92 OT 18%     0 - 1 +3.5 +1.5 +2.5
  Wed, Nov 12 43 @Utah St. L 73-83 6%     0 - 2 +4.3 +6.0 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 15 122 @UC Irvine L 70-79 19%     0 - 3 -3.2 -1.4 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 226 Campbell W 91-85 63%     1 - 3 -0.8 +10.1 -11.2
  Sat, Nov 22 175 Texas Arlington L 73-74 53%     1 - 4 -5.1 +4.5 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 29 343 UMKC W 82-61 86%     2 - 4 +6.2 +6.7 -0.1
  Wed, Dec 3 301 Oral Roberts W 92-66 76%     3 - 4 +15.2 +7.5 +6.4
  Sun, Dec 7 152 @St. Thomas L 65-88 27%     3 - 5 -19.8 -6.9 -12.8
  Wed, Dec 10 343 @UMKC W 64-60 70%     4 - 5 -4.8 -13.7 +8.6
  Wed, Dec 17 87 @Utah Valley L 68-80 12%    
  Sat, Dec 20 259 Utah Tech W 76-71 68%    
  Thu, Jan 1 176 Portland St. W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 276 Sacramento St. W 81-75 70%    
  Thu, Jan 8 258 @Northern Arizona L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 161 @Northern Colorado L 73-79 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 236 Eastern Washington W 81-77 63%    
  Sat, Jan 17 177 Idaho W 76-75 53%    
  Thu, Jan 22 202 @Montana L 77-81 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 165 @Montana St. L 69-75 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 160 Idaho St. L 71-72 49%    
  Mon, Feb 2 276 @Sacramento St. L 77-78 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 161 Northern Colorado L 76-77 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 258 Northern Arizona W 75-70 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 177 @Idaho L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 14 236 @Eastern Washington L 78-80 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 165 Montana St. W 73-72 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 Montana W 80-78 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 160 @Idaho St. L 68-74 29%    
  Mon, Mar 2 176 @Portland St. L 70-75 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.9 1st
2nd 0.5 2.6 3.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 6.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.8 3.3 0.3 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.5 4.0 0.4 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.8 3.2 0.8 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.0 8.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.3 9.9 12.5 13.4 13.3 11.7 9.2 6.7 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 92.4% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 80.3% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.0
13-5 52.4% 2.1    1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 22.0% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.7 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 29.0% 29.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 30.3% 30.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.2% 24.0% 24.0% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.6
13-5 4.0% 17.3% 17.3% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.3
12-6 6.7% 16.0% 16.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 5.6
11-7 9.2% 10.5% 10.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 8.3
10-8 11.7% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 10.7
9-9 13.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 12.4
8-10 13.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 12.9
7-11 12.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.2
6-12 9.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.8
5-13 7.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.2
4-14 4.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-15 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.6 2.3 93.4 0.0%