Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#173
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#219
Pace70.2#162
Improvement-1.2#262

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#282
First Shot-3.3#269
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#233
Layup/Dunks+1.1#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#245
Freethrows-1.1#254
Improvement-3.0#355

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#83
First Shot+4.0#58
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#261
Layups/Dunks-0.1#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#43
Freethrows-1.7#293
Improvement+1.8#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.2% 18.3% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 57.0% 70.2% 44.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.6% 84.6% 62.8%
Conference Champion 20.3% 28.8% 12.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.7% 7.2%
First Four1.2% 0.8% 1.6%
First Round14.7% 18.1% 11.5%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Away) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 411 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 81 @Stanford L 79-89 15%     0 - 1 -0.1 +1.1 +0.2
  Wed, Nov 12 95 @San Francisco L 70-80 18%     0 - 2 -1.2 +2.1 -3.5
  Mon, Nov 17 305 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93-80 83%     1 - 2 +1.8 +10.7 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 25 251 @Utah Tech W 68-63 54%     2 - 2 +2.8 -6.8 +9.6
  Wed, Dec 3 291 @South Dakota W 77-71 61%     3 - 2 +2.2 -6.7 +8.3
  Sat, Dec 6 221 Nebraska Omaha L 55-60 71%     3 - 3 -11.8 -11.5 -1.3
  Wed, Dec 17 73 @Colorado L 73-84 14%     3 - 4 -0.3 +1.5 -1.6
  Sat, Dec 20 194 @Tulane L 61-63 43%     3 - 5 -1.2 -8.4 +7.1
  Thu, Jan 1 223 @Weber St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 175 @Idaho St. L 67-70 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 276 Sacramento St. W 77-69 78%    
  Thu, Jan 15 171 Northern Colorado W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 289 Northern Arizona W 73-64 79%    
  Thu, Jan 22 258 @Eastern Washington W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 177 @Idaho L 68-71 39%    
  Thu, Jan 29 209 Montana W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 168 Montana St. W 69-66 59%    
  Mon, Feb 2 175 Idaho St. W 70-67 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 276 @Sacramento St. W 74-72 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 289 @Northern Arizona W 70-67 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 171 @Northern Colorado L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Feb 19 177 Idaho W 71-68 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 258 Eastern Washington W 79-72 74%    
  Thu, Feb 26 168 @Montana St. L 66-69 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 209 @Montana L 73-74 47%    
  Mon, Mar 2 223 Weber St. W 76-70 70%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.2 5.5 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 20.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.2 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.8 6.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 6.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.2 2.8 0.3 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.4 2.7 0.3 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.4 4.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.6 7.2 9.7 11.6 13.4 13.4 12.2 9.8 6.8 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 99.5% 1.9    1.8 0.1
15-3 95.2% 3.7    3.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 81.4% 5.5    4.0 1.4 0.1
13-5 52.9% 5.2    2.4 2.2 0.5 0.0
12-6 22.6% 2.8    0.6 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.3% 20.3 12.7 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 44.4% 44.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 51.4% 51.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.9% 43.5% 43.5% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.9% 35.9% 35.9% 13.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 2.5
14-4 6.8% 30.4% 30.4% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.7
13-5 9.8% 24.0% 24.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 7.5
12-6 12.2% 20.8% 20.8% 14.6 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.1 9.6
11-7 13.4% 16.2% 16.2% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.3 11.2
10-8 13.4% 11.4% 11.4% 15.3 0.1 1.0 0.5 11.9
9-9 11.6% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.3 0.7 10.5
8-10 9.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.2
7-11 7.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.2 6.9
6-12 4.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 4.5
5-13 2.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 2.7
4-14 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 5.4 2.6 84.8 0.0%